K1 World GP Final - 6 december

[saku]

b-a-h has released betting lines (decimal fashion)

Peter Aerts - Badr Hari 06-12-08 09:00 2,20 1,55
Remy Bonjasky - Jerome Lebanner 06-12-08 09:00 1,55 2,20
Gokhan Saki - Ruslan Karaev 06-12-08 09:00 2,50 1,45
Errol Zimmerman - Ewerton Teixeira 06-12-08 09:00 1,75 1,85

To win whole tournament:

Badr Hari 3,50
Peter Aerts 4,50
Remy Bonjasky 5,00
Ruslan Karaev 6,00
Jerome Lebanner 7,00
Ewerton Teixeira 9,00
Errol Zimmerman 14,00
Gokhan Saki 17,00

Hari is here favourite and that's obvious. If he win he will probably meet winner of the Bonjasky vs Lebanner fight. Whichever won, will be very tired or maybe even with some injury. Later I will make a predictions.

 

[TheBrainiac]

I like Karaev but Saki can easily chop his leggs off , weird odds .

 

[TheBrainiac]

Where did you get those odds ? I have leans on every of those fights but need to place bets before doing previews .

 

[saku]

bet-at-home.com - it's an european bookie

 

[turbozed]

BOF/Bookmaker/CRIS has it's own lines out and they are considerably different from those above:

BADR HARI +140
PETER AERTS -170

JEROME LE BANNER +140
REMY BONJASKY -170

EWERTON TEIXEIRA +195
ERROL ZIMMERMAN -245

RUSLAN KARAEV +155
GOKHAN SAKI -195

RAY SEFO +180
HONG MAN CHOI -220

PAUL SLOWINSKI +135
MELVIN MANHOEF -165

K-1 WORLD GP TITLE
36521 PETER AERTS +275
36522 REMY BONJASKY +350
36523 BADR HARI +425
36524 JEROME LE BANNER +475
36525 ERROL ZIMMERMAN +650
36526 GOKHAN SAKI +750
36527 RUSLAN KARAEV +800
36528 EWERTON TEIXEIRA +1100
36529 FIELD { ANY OTHER FIGHTER } +750

Seems to me that Aerts is a bit overvalued here and Hari undervalued. Also, it seems odd that Manhoef is a favorite considering he will be dwarfed by Slowinski. Anyone have any other thoughts on these lines?

Sefo has dropped his last 6 fights and now he has to fight HMC. I think HMC should be a bigger favorite here too.

 

[TheBrainiac]

What are their win limits ?

 

[turbozed]

It's a $250 limit (risking)

 

[TheBrainiac]

Karaev is + 231 at pinnacle but only laughable 50 $ , sure value I believe .
Hari + 186 over Aerts is as funny as it can only get as well ...

 

[TheBrainiac]

Oh boy ... thats just awesome !

Saki vs Karaev

Odds :

Pinnaclesports : 1.47 vs 3.00

Unibet : 2.70 vs 1.45

Betandwin : 2.55 vs 1.40

 

[turbozed]

They're all over the place with these odds

 

[TheBrainiac]

easy money