Yessir >
I gather a whole bunch of stats and then also look at the teams vs (what i think are) similar opponents I do a bunch of nonsense monkey math using my formulas and come up with a value.
The value doesn't really specify the line. I used to make lines and base my plays from that but I lost my formula's I used. No matter, I'm doing better than I ever have in NCAAF this year so that's okay.
Whenever my value is over 12+... it's hitting about 85% so it's going at least 3 of 4. I've dodged a few bullets when I feel intangibles are in play such as injuries/coaching/situation/etc... and I let those go but yes. These are the dogs that are "supposed" to have the best chance at winning.
Keep in mind that value doesn't mean value against the line. It's the team's strength value.
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I gather a whole bunch of stats and then also look at the teams vs (what i think are) similar opponents I do a bunch of nonsense monkey math using my formulas and come up with a value.The value doesn't really specify the line. I used to make lines and base my plays from that but I lost my formula's I used. No matter, I'm doing better than I ever have in NCAAF this year so that's okay.
Whenever my value is over 12+... it's hitting about 85% so it's going at least 3 of 4. I've dodged a few bullets when I feel intangibles are in play such as injuries/coaching/situation/etc... and I let those go but yes. These are the dogs that are "supposed" to have the best chance at winning.
Keep in mind that value doesn't mean value against the line. It's the team's strength value.
Thank you for stopping by SaltyVeteran
The linesmakers made the right line in giving them 7. That's without HFA. So they have a little edge... helps that EAST CAR is out 2 starters. Could be a really good play... or could go really bad lol.
I'm staying away from it but yes--it does have value in it. It's strength is 2 which is means nothing to me because everything between 0 and 7 seem to be VERY random in the formula
I'm staying away from it but yes--it does have value in it. It's strength is 2 which is means nothing to me because everything between 0 and 7 seem to be VERY random in the formula
