Jan,29

[5thstreetpicks]

I will be posting most, if not all, of the tracks today. I will also be posting the mix that I used yesterday, since it's all based on speed. I have a problem with ratings. It could be speed, etc. I have read a lot of articles about how racetracks do time and the runup. Some handicappers if not all of them have one thing in common they are fuckin adjustment happy now one thing is a fact and that is BRIS'S PRIME POWER # TOP-5 will have the winner better than 88% of the time. Back to time and what I am pursuing is to make a chart that deals with Turn-time for both S/R races but NOT use Final Fraction but instead use the last fraction of the race between STR call and Finish. For that I must look at Equibase results, so I have a big task since I want to do all tracks for the last 3 months. All I have to do is post the horse's name in my database to get the races he may have run. So Good Luck to All races will be up soon

Jim

 

[5thstreetpicks]

Before SCR's will update
GP
R2/7-2-1
R5/8-11-5
R8/6-7-2
R9/2-3-6
LRL
R1/7-4-5
R2/3-1-4
R4/6-3-7
R5/2-8-7
R6/6-2x-10
R7/3-5-2
AQ
R2/2-3-1
R3/4-3-2
R6/4-5-6
R7/4-3-8
R8/6-5-1
R9/1-5-9

 

[5thstreetpicks]

TAM
R2/6-4-2
R4/7-3-5
R8/5-4-6

 

[5thstreetpicks]

AQ update
R2/2-3-5
R3/2-7-5

 

[5thstreetpicks]

GP & TAM & LRL
all good

 

[5thstreetpicks]

this is basically total pace but am not using final fraction only for certain distances the last fraction between stretch call and finish and am not using
the 1/2 mile call or 3/4 call just turn time for final beaten lengths am using the Stretch call. (doing my top-3) also only using the best race of last-2
AQ race-2
#2> 25.3-27.08/bl-0/ 157 dist>8.0
#3>25.2-26.2/bl-5.5/ 155 dist>8.0
#5>24.4-13.0/bl-5/166 dist>7.0

 

[5thstreetpicks]

Okay all here is the SPEED MIX from yesterday 9-factors (1stbet)
#1>Top speed on fast dirt track
#2>Top speed at this distance
#3>Avg. speed in last 3 races
#4>Avg. top speed 2 of last 3 races
#5>Top speed at this track
#6>Top speed last 3 races
#7>Top speed on wet track
#8>Top speed on turf
#9>Top speed on all weather track
I think it did very well finding the winner you can't hit all the races but damm am trying

 

[5thstreetpicks]

LRL race-1
#7>6.0 / 23.2-13.1 / bl-0 / 177 2nd race
#4>6.0 / 24.1-13.2 / bl-3.5 / 168 last race
#5>5.5 / 23.4-6.1 / bl-1/2 / 179 2nd race

 

[5thstreetpicks]

LRL race-1
#7>6.0 / 23.2-13.1 / bl-0 / 177 2nd race
#4>6.0 / 24.1-13.2 / bl-3.5 / 168 last race
#5>5.5 / 23.4-6.1 / bl-1/2 / 179 2nd race

off the md race the horse fit by the numbers and he was dropping from last race so let see about AQ

 

[5thstreetpicks]

OP
R1/3-5-8
R3/11-7-8
R4/9-1-2
R6/5-1-3
R7/7-10-2
R8/3-5-2
R9/11-3-7

 

[5thstreetpicks]

this is basically total pace but am not using final fraction only for certain distances the last fraction between stretch call and finish and am not using
the 1/2 mile call or 3/4 call just turn time for final beaten lengths am using the Stretch call. (doing my top-3) also only using the best race of last-2
AQ race-2
#2> 25.3-27.08/bl-0/ 157 dist>8.0
#3>25.2-26.2/bl-5.5/ 155 dist>8.0
#5>24.4-13.0/bl-5/166 dist>7.0

so far the numbers seem to be good #3 was dropping from last-2 see the thing about all numbers is you have to look at the class the horse has been racing in and if he fits but does not have top fig handicappers tend to look the other way so basically what am saying is I want a reliable number and the speed mix cuts my handicapping time with its top-3

 

[5thstreetpicks]

FG
R1/2-5-1
R3/3-6-7
R4/4-2-1
R5/3-6-2
R6/4-11-6
R7/6-4-9
R8/5-4-7

 

[5thstreetpicks]

SUN
R3/7-3-6
R4/4-1-5
R5/9-5-8
R6/4-1-3
R7/1-6-4
R8/10-5-8
R9/6-4-9

 

[5thstreetpicks]

AQ race-8
#6> 24.4-26.0=166 last-race
#5>24.3-12.4=165 2nd-race
#1>25.3-13.1=166 2nd-race
I think am going to look at Bris's race rating not the class rating

 

[5thstreetpicks]

If you are finding the top-3 from mix is working for you here is something to try with it of the top-3 find the ones that are in Bris's top-3 for 4yo and up races they tend to be more consistent on their ratings
FG has 6 4yo-^ races today

 

[5thstreetpicks]

SA
R2/1-2-3
R5/1-6-5
R7/7-2-5

 

[HossSense]

Hello Jim, I'm not trying to be a wise ass here But you seem to come up with a new system everyday? Racing is not brain surgery! Please just post your picks/plays and leave the gobbily goop for your customers?
You change your mind every 5 minutes?

Thank You Hoss

 

[5thstreetpicks]

good try cool that tells me you are closed minded
good luck in your racing

 

[5thstreetpicks]

racing is about exploring new ideas if your not willing to try new ideas then you can never go foward and you will stay in the same rut

 

[5thstreetpicks]

Back in the 80's I worked for Pistol Pete at AQ we were the 1st that invented the so-called turndown shoe by backsmith Pat Murphy the original name was Stifle shoe to help a horses back and we also had blood guys that would take sample of all the horses blood to make sure it was right because the more oxygen he take the more energy he put out so when Pistol Pete would say you have to be open to new ideas you would listen to the man and that goes to handicapping as well