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SEASON: 89-65 +20.16

Back at 20+ units and my goall till all star break is to stay over this number. Last night couldnt post because of my internet had spurs. I'm taking an early bet for wed:

LA LAKERS @ LA CLIPPERS
PLAY: UNDER 205 -109

Really dont understand this line i know lakers defense is awfull but cmon. I have watched the clippers playing lately and i wanna say without their 3 starts who are out another week Camby, Randolph, Davis their offense couldnt put up 90 pts against minny what makes u think they can do that against one of the best teams in nba. Clippers have only two players that can score in dd the rookie Eric Gordon playing well lately and Al Thornton, and their bench is horrid. I would go with lakers because they covered dd spread in both h2h games this season but i rarely lay that number in nba. Clipps scored over 95 pts only in two games of their past 11at home, and always start the game badly. They avg 90 ppg in home game this season and in both h2h clipps posted 88 and 79 pts with Davis on the court. In fact h2h Lakers held clipps under 95 pts in 8 of last 10, they are 8-2 ats and under is 5-1 in lines over 200. So lakers will probably jump out to a big half lead and rest their starters for tomorrow as they will be b2b against wash and will have spurs few days later, really cant see more then 110-95 here.
 
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rest of the plays will come later tonight as i will be out all day studying.
 

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gab, you dont think the lakers roll the clipps easy. possibly scoring 120+

guessing final score would be around 120-88

like you said with most of the clipps starters out. kaman, randolph, davis and camby. clipps look to have no chance, but you never know.....
leaning toward taking lakers at -16 but thats alot of points. lakers could get ahead too early and rest the starters and not cover
 

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could get ahead too early and rest the starters and not cover

you just answered your own questions, i doubt lakers will go for 120 in this game because they are b2b tomorrow and will probably jump to a huge lead at halftime or after 3 quarters and rest the starters after that.
 

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WAS WIZARDS @ SAC KINGS
PLAY: SAC KINGS -2.5 -108


Public on wash and the line goes down half point, what am i missing here? Oh yeah i will continue fade the crappy wizards on the road untill they prove me wrong. 2-17 away from home and they are only 2.5 underdog, books beging for wiz money. Yes i know sacremento is b2b after loosing last night in denver, both teams are 2-8 last 10 but kings playing better at home then on the road. Both crappy defenses but sactown has the advantage of the offense also they had some tough opponents last 7 home games. Kings really need this win because after tonight will start a 4 game road trip taking on milw, tor, clev, bos. Trends are in our favor as wash won last 6 straight against them. 108-105 predicted score.
 

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TOR RAPTORS @ DET PISTONS
PLAY: DET PISTONS -5 -113


Bought the hook paying some juice for safety. Detroit is starting to build some momentum and recover after that 5 game loosing streak they had. Defeated the grizzlies last game and today will be looking to defeat the craptors. Every time i bet toronto i lose today i have to fade them and they only thing im affraid is their 6 game loosing streak. Pistons have the advantage in this one because of better defense 93 ppg and the better guards. Still no Calderon and i dont know if JO plays tonight but i doubt he will have too much action. Det won last 4 home h2h games and since they dropped last two at home im expecting them to come out strong tonight.
 

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NJ NETS @ NO HORNETS
PLAY: UNDER 189 -110


No West, no Chandler, no way this game goes over that total. Hornets have one of the best defenses at home with 90 ppg and since Jianlian is out for Nets they only scored over 100 once in ot against thunder and they do struggle without him. 98-90 my predicted score.
 

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thats all for today...4 plays..here are some leans:
utah, utah under, boston under, milwaukee, warriors over.
 

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