Home Field Advantage: Denver’s altitude and undefeated home record are major hurdles for visiting teams.
Quarterback Duel: Lawrence is red-hot, but Nix has been steady and efficient. Both QBs have nearly identical TD totals (23 each).
Momentum: Both teams are streaking, but Denver’s longer run and defensive consistency tilt the balance.
Playoff Stakes: Broncos can clinch the AFC West and potentially the No. 1 seed; Jaguars can lock up a playoff berth.
Denver continued their miraculous campaign with a victory versus a good Packers team last weekend, amassing 391 yards, 302 pass yards and 21 first downs along the way. The Broncos weren’t great on third downs (4-of-11) but Green Bay’s 10 penalties didn’t hurt matters either. Denver has 11 straight wins now, with all but a couple of them coming by one score. It’s been quite the heart-attack season, but in a good way.
As for the Jags, they demolished the lowly Jets last weekend to the tune of 438 yards, 7.4 yards per play and 24 first downs. The defense gave up 284 yards on the other side with 154 pass yards, 19 first downs and three picks. Jacksonville is scoring great lately with 25 or more points in seven straight games since their bye week. This one could very well end up a pretty high total if both teams play well.
Prediction
This game has the feel of a playoff preview. Jacksonville’s offense will test Denver’s defense, but the Broncos’ pass rush and home-field edge should prove decisive. Jacksonville Jaguars Win Probability: 40.00% Denver Broncos Win Probability: 63.24%
My Bet:
Denver covers the spread -2 1/2 buying hook, expect a competitive game with playoff intensity.
Quarterback Duel: Lawrence is red-hot, but Nix has been steady and efficient. Both QBs have nearly identical TD totals (23 each).
Momentum: Both teams are streaking, but Denver’s longer run and defensive consistency tilt the balance.
Playoff Stakes: Broncos can clinch the AFC West and potentially the No. 1 seed; Jaguars can lock up a playoff berth.
Denver continued their miraculous campaign with a victory versus a good Packers team last weekend, amassing 391 yards, 302 pass yards and 21 first downs along the way. The Broncos weren’t great on third downs (4-of-11) but Green Bay’s 10 penalties didn’t hurt matters either. Denver has 11 straight wins now, with all but a couple of them coming by one score. It’s been quite the heart-attack season, but in a good way.
As for the Jags, they demolished the lowly Jets last weekend to the tune of 438 yards, 7.4 yards per play and 24 first downs. The defense gave up 284 yards on the other side with 154 pass yards, 19 first downs and three picks. Jacksonville is scoring great lately with 25 or more points in seven straight games since their bye week. This one could very well end up a pretty high total if both teams play well.
Prediction
This game has the feel of a playoff preview. Jacksonville’s offense will test Denver’s defense, but the Broncos’ pass rush and home-field edge should prove decisive. Jacksonville Jaguars Win Probability: 40.00% Denver Broncos Win Probability: 63.24%
My Bet:
Denver covers the spread -2 1/2 buying hook, expect a competitive game with playoff intensity.