Jacksonville Jaguars vs Tennessee Titans 12/30/2012

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Expect a close game with the Jacksonville Jaguars winning 51% of simulations, and the Tennessee Titans 49% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. The Jacksonville Jaguars commit fewer turnovers in 54% of simulations and they go on to win 71% when they take care of the ball. The Tennessee Titans wins 73% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Montell Owens is averaging 71 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (23% chance) then he helps his team win 76%. Chris Johnson is averaging 63 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (23% chance) then he helps his team win 75%.
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