Jack Winningham

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MLB

The Astros came through last night. After some wild NLDS action, you've got two clubs in Washington and St. Louis which are pretty darn close. I'm not recommending ANY Series bet on the NLCS. This is a series that screams “Let’s see how this shakes out”. If either team takes a 3-0 lead, then will be the time to risk some money. If you must choose – get out a coin and flip it. Because serious gamblers wouldn’t touch Game 1 of this Series. TV Tommy and addict will need to make a play. Show some DISCIPLINE and keep your bankroll intact for when a good opportunity arises. Will you do that? Probably not. But that’s what I’m doing.

NCAA FOOTBALL
So that leaves us with College Football. The only play I like is a small one on Virginia. Miami is sinking. Remove their GARBAGE game vs Bethune Cookman (Seriously - how does this team get on ANYONES schedule??) and Miami is 1-3 ATS. Their lone win being an opening day cover vs Florida. On paper that looks more impressive than it actually is. That late August game was a prime example of 2 teams not being ready to play and was a complete sloppy mess. Since then they've gone 0-3 ATS vs real college football teams (not including the Bethune joke). Miami looked more like Miami of Ohio when they squeaked by Central Michigan - AT HOME! And remember - Miami can't protect their QB.

Virginia is coming off a road 15-point loss to Notre Dame. Let's face it, the ACC isn't the toughest conference in the NCAA. Not by a long shot. But Virginia is looking like the cream of the crop in the ACC West. I'm frankly stunned Miami is favored in this game. And the line has GROWN! When you look at these two clubs, the only reason I see the Hurricanes as a favorite is because of their ‘name’, reputation, and history. Vegas was built by people looking at team’s “Glory Days” and betting accordingly. Hey, this isn’t the best game of the week, but IMO it’s the best play of the night. Don’t go crazy, but feel confident placing a small bet on Virginia +2.5. I’m going to buy a half point and get this to a magic push number of 3. When I see a matchup where the team I think is going to win the game outright – and I’m catching points – I make a play. Do the same.

VIRGINA +2.5 (consider buying the ½ point)

BOL
Jack
 

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NCAA FOOTBALL - Early Game - NOON One early Noon EST game. Tennessee has been going in the wrong direction all season. Mississippi St isn't a world beater, but they are good enough to cover the line at Tennessee. This isn't a top play, but is a good one to get us started on this packed Saturday. I'll be back later with all the picks for the day!

Mississippi State -6
BOL
Jack

 

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October 12, 2019

Here are the late games. All at 3:30PM Eastern.

TOP PLAYS
Ohio -5 at BETONLINE.ag (GET THIS LINE!)
Alabama -17


Smaller play
Wisconsin -10.5 (Buy ½ point to get it to 10)

Briefly – Alabama still has a large advantage where it matters the most – the line of scrimmage. I expect a lot of points in this game – so teasing it with the over may also be a nice play. But Alabama is going to wear them down, and they just have too much firepower. Too many great receivers, a Heiman candidate at QB, and a good running game. Combined with a defense that, while not as dominating as in recent years, is going to be enough to hold own the Aggies.

Ohio has started slow, but now is when they will start their march. They have an excellent QB in Rourke – who should break out this week, to go along with a couple of good tailbacks and a steady receiving core. On defense they match up well with their linebackers and secondary. Northern Illinois is struggling to find an identity. They play one good half of football, then sleepwalk through the next. That inconsistency combined with their mistake prone play will be fatal. On the road, at Ohio, it’s going to be another disappointing day for the Huskies.

Wisconsin WILL win the game. The question is by how much? 10.5 is a lot to give the Spartans coming off a loss. MSU’s season is on the line, but their problems aren’t going away. Ohio State ran all over them – and Wisconsin is BETTER at running the ball with a top notch OL and Jonathan Taylor at RB. Wisconsin also has one of the country’s best defenses. The difference between them and Ohio State is at QB. Coan is NO Justin Fields. Then again, Lewerke isn’t any Jack Coan. And there lies the problem. Michigan State’s below average offense against a top defense on the road. Gimmie Wisconsin. But 10.5 is a LOT – so don’t go crazy – and buy it down to 10 if you have to. Vegas has this line set perfectly, and if the game ends on a magic number (10), you want a push, not a loss.

No MLB today. We will sit and watch for value later in each series.

BOL!
Jack
 

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[FONT=&quot]October 13, 2019

NFL
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[FONT=&quot]
There’s some lines out there I just can’t believe. WHY are the Saints catching points vs Jacksonville? Why are the Chiefs only laying 3.5 vs Houston? Why aren’t the Cowboys double-digit favorites over the hapless NY Jets? And who’s doing all the scoring in the Atlanta/Arizona game that the O/U is sitting at 53? These lines are out of whack, and they are the games I’m zeroing in on today.

Kansas City -3.5
Yes, Sammy Watkins is out, but Tyrek Hill returns. Mahomes still has plenty of weapons, and is still having a great year. The Texans have played well, but travelling to KC is always tough, and some of their warts are going to shine through today. This line should be sitting at -8, not -3.5. I’m buying a ½ point and getting this down to -3.

New Orleans +3
This is a game I think the Saints win outright. Jacksonville and Minshew are going to crash down to earth – in front of their own crowd. Bridgewater is a fine QB who would be starting on most teams, so it’s not like the Saints are completely crippled with Brees being out. And Kamara is going to play despite reports of his ankle bothering him. That’s enough to get the win. I had this line at Saints -6.5. So now that I’m catching points, I’m thrilled.

Dallas -7
This could be the biggest blowout of the week. Dallas should be at LEAST 13 point favorites over the Jets, who by the way should thank Miami and Washington for being even MORE crummy, lest they be the laughing stocks of the NFL. This line reflects the return of Sam Darnold. Let’s face it, he’s not that much of a difference maker, and this Jet team is LOADED with issues. While Dallas needs a win after dropping 2 straight, and they need to boost their confidence by rubbing the Jets nose in the dirt. This is a laugher.

Atlanta/Arizona under 52.5
I’m not sure who’s doing all this scoring down in the desert. Out of all the plays, this is the one I’m least confident in, and I’ll wait to see how my Sunday is shaping up before moving on this game. But if I’m up big, I’ll wager 25% of my early winnings on the Under. If I’m down (and if you’re down) pass on this game. I do expect Arizona to play tough, as 4 of their next 5 games are on the road. The Cardinals offense is like an old car, it takes time to warm up. And the Falcons look like a car headed for the junk heap. Neither team is going anywhere, and I expect this to be a low scoring snoozer. [/FONT]
 

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Jack Winningham.com

MLB
Just like I did with the Astros in the ALDS, and with many series in the past, I've waited to see if any team could go up either 3-1 or 3-0 in the Championship series'. Well, the Nationals have done just that. And as I've written before, the team that goes up 3-0 in a best of 7 series wins that series 90% of the time. Read that again - NINETY PERCENT of the time. So if you've got enough of a bankroll, you've also got a great shot at making some quick cash. Show me another play or a stock or ANYTHING with a 90% shot at ROI. My bet is you cannot. So tonight, plot out how much you want to win. THEN plot out how much you can afford to lose using this technique. Because 10% of the time, you could lose 4 straight plays. And while I'd love to lie to you and tell you it's never happened to me - it has. And yes, it's a gut punch and it stings. THAT is why planning out your maximum loss NOW will limit what you can lose. Just take the average Moneyline and add up 4 losses based on what you want to win. If you can't absorb that loss - LOWER YOUR BETS. Don't be a fool. This isn't a 'get rich quick' scheme. It's about placing bets that have a great track record of winning, but doing something MOST gamblers simply refuse to do. That is MANAGE YOUR DAMN MONEY.
Hey, I'm not perfect. Far from it. I just had the worst 3 days I've had in over 6 months. But may bankroll is fine because I set loss limits and don't mismanage by bankroll like a clown. When I'm losing, I dial down my amounts. I DO NOT CHASE. That way, when I'm hotter again, and I will be, I have more money to play with. So do your homework in regards to your bankroll, and make a play on the Washington Nationals -160.
BOL
Jack

 

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Jack Winningham

Carolina Panthers +119


Go to www.JackWinningham.com and get a quick #NHL game for those who NEED to bet on this slow day where the MLB game has been rained out. #NHL #MLB #Carolina #Hurricanes #CarolinaHurricanes #SanJose #Sharks #Sportsbetting #SportsPicks #Gambling #JackWinningham #Yankees #Astros
 

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[FONT=&quot]October 18, 2019[/FONT][FONT=&quot][/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]

[/FONT]

[FONT=&quot]MLB[/FONT][FONT=&quot] [/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]The Yankees crapped the proverbial bed last night, squandering their best (and likely last) chance to get back into this ALCS. With poor play, both offensively and especially defensively, they let a game slip away that the HAD to have. Starting with squandering a great opportunity to knock Greinke out in the 1st inning. They are not getting that opportunity again. Houston has their foot on the Yankees throat tonight, and with Verlander squaring off against Paxton, the pitching matchup swings back to their favor. AND - we have what we look for in these series, a 3-1 lead. We're right back in that statistical wheelhouse we seek. Teams this good RARELY squander series leads this large. If the Yankees win 3 in a row - 2 of them in Houston - I'll bite the bullet. So as we talked about earlier in the week with St. Louis - CHECK YOUR BANKROLL and MANAGE YOUR MONEY. You've got a great shot to win some quick cash on Houston. But project out the possible 3 straight losses - then set a win goal based on that. If you need a refresher - go back and read our winner from earlier in the week when the Cards were up 3-0 in their series. But the play tonight is HOUSTON -137 (odds from BetOnline.ag).

NHL

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[FONT=&quot]Tonight we have a couple of good-looking plays in the NHL. We’re starting to get some more data, so expect more NHL plays going forward. [/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]
Pittsburgh is home riding a 4 game winning streak against a terrible Dallas team who is riding a 4 game losing streak. It’s a meeting of trends you should hop on. Lay the wood and take Pittsburgh. [/FONT]

[FONT=&quot] [/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]PITTSBURGH -138[/FONT][FONT=&quot]

Edmonton is simply one of my favorite teams for this season. They are at home, taking on a Red Wing team that is in the middle of a West Coast trip. Not only are they not scoring goals, but the schedule maker did them no favors scheduling them on back to back nights. They got their clocks cleaned again last night vs Calgary. Expect it to happen again. Edmonton is a large favorite – for a reason. Check your bankroll and make a play on Edmonton -189. [/FONT]

[FONT=&quot] [/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]EDMONTON -189

[/FONT]

[FONT=&quot]BOL

Jack

[/FONT]
 

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October 19, 2019
Yesterday was a decent day. Lost the MLB play, but we are right back on Houston – do or die – riding that 90% trend that when a team is up 3-1 in a playoff series, they close it out. As for the NHL, we swept by winning both plays last night on Pittsburgh and Edmonton.

MLB

As already explained – we are right back on Houston today. Hopefully you’ve done what I suggested and plotted out the 3 potential games it will take to win your desired amount – and that you’ve accepted what you may lose if this series and system fall into the 10% loser category. If you bury yourself – that will be an expensive lesson. Fortunately, 9 times out of 10, you won’t – even if you didn’t manage your money like I’ve instructed. Using this system worked on Leg 1 earlier in the week with St. Louis. I fully expect the Astros to close it out either tonight, or with Cole on the bump tomorrow.
HOUSTON -140

NHL

Tonight we have one play. Tampa Bay, one of the NHL’s best teams, returns to play at home for only the second time this season, and the first since October 3[SUP]rd[/SUP] Opening Night. Six straight road games will have the Lightening primed to win at home. Yeah yeah, I’ve heard all that nonsense about how teams are tired after a long road trip, and typically lose the first game back at home. Only – IT’S NOT TRUE. That is a BS myth where the reverse is the reality. Take a second and ask yourself where you think these nonsense trends originate. Gee – could it be from casinos and books? Listen, when I’ve used this system for myself, the home team has won 2/3 of those games. Reality and rumor are often two very separate things. Don’t let that false rumor (or fake news) scare you off this play of Tampa Bay over Colorado. The Avalanche are in the midst of a 6 game road trip, where, before they’re finished, will have them crisscrossing the entire nation. They opened up the trip with a win over the Capitols, and then lost to Pittsburgh. But our NHL schedule makers have placed them in an unenviable position, just like they did to the Red Wings last night – which is back to back road games. Never something a team wants to do. Last night a tired Red Wings team gave it their all vs Edmonton, but the Oilers were at home with the fresher legs, and grinded out the win. Colorado beat Florida last night by a single goal. That’s no big accomplishment as the Panthers aren’t exactly world beaters. Afterwards the Avs hopped on a plane to take the quick flight to Tampa, while the Lightening were sleeping in their own beds after enjoying an off day. I like to find NHL games where things line up to my advantage. Tonight we have Tampa Bay – advantage with talent, advantage of being at home, advantage of having a day’s rest, advantage of sliding into one of my systems, playing Colorado, a Western team in the middle of a long road trip, with tired legs having played last night, and outmatched in talent. Now, nothing’s a sure thing – but when I look at the schedule, this is a game I’m zeroing in on, just as I did with the Penguins and Oilers last night.
TAMPA BAY -185

NCAA FOOTBALL

Unlike other touts, I won’t lie to you – as I’m not here to sell you a subscription. Last weekend was a bad one for football. My worst overall weekend for sports in 6 months. It happens. How you react to it is what keeps good gamblers in the game, and where you see bad gamblers sink themselves. The bad ones will do moronic things like double down, chase, bet more games, etc… INTELLIGENT gamblers know this is the time to CUT BACK. Go with ONLY a top play. DO NOT INCREASE BET AMOUNTS. Can you do that? If not, well, I hope you learn. Me? I’ve done this long enough to realize I’m cold with football right now, and it’s time to reel it in. I have a single play today. It matches all my criteria. I’ll mention just a few here. But I’m cutting back to my minimum bet until I get the monkey off my back and get myself a win. Then I’ll gradually increase the bet amounts. Remember – MANAGING YOUR MONEY is just as, if not MORE, important than picking winners. I know dopes that had a nice 60% winning run that LOST money – simply because managing their bankroll was beyond their grasp. We’re gonna talk about that stuff more in the future. Just trust me – make a nice minimum bet today on this NCAA pick.

My play for today is Penn St -7.5 over Michigan. I’m buying the ½ point and getting down to one of the magic numbers – SEVEN. Michigan not only has a terrible record against ranked teams, it’s even more dismal on the road. They are also a terrible ATS team this year, 2-4. Couple that with the fact the Michigan’s running game is sporadic at best, below average at worst. This doesn’t bode well going up against a Penn State team that has allowed it’s three Big10 opponents to rush for a TOTAL of 111 yards so far this season. That’s TOTAL, not per game. So Michigan, who’s rushing has been weak, is going against a defense that has allowed Big10 teams to rush for 1.1 yards a carry. Michigan also has not been able to figure out how to hang onto the ball, and has been a turnover machine this season. If they lose both the ground and turnover battle, as I believe they will, they are not only going to lose the game, but they are going to get their face rubbed into the dirt at Happy Valley. I expect Penn State to win, and win by double digits. This Michigan team was overrated at the start of the year, while Penn State was under-rated. The rubber meets the road tonight and Penn State drives over Michigan.
PENN STATE -7.5 (Buy the ½ point if you can)

BOL

Jack




 

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October 20, 2019

NFL

Some quick football/gambling thoughts. Last week I wasn’t hot with football. Yesterday, I pushed. Hopefully you did too. Did you buy the ½ point and get Penn State down to -7? If not and you lost – go to your bathroom mirror and look (but put away your razor first). When you have a shot to buy down to a magic number as a favorite and don’t – you’re asking for it. Let me give you an example. As a $100 bettor, I’ve said to buy the ½ point 6 times. Let’s say I lost all six games (WHICH I HAVE NOT). The extra juice you’d have lost would total $60. Now last night, if you bought the half point on a $100 play, you would have saved yourself $110. Can you do basic math? 110-60 = FIFTY. So in the event EVERY OTHER time I suggested you buy down lost, you’d STILL be up $50 bucks. And in reality, you’re up a lot more than that. If 10% extra juice is keeping you from buying half points when it makes logical sense – check your bankroll and ask yourself WHY you are betting in the first place. Because you’re spending dollars to save dimes – and sorry – that’s just stupid. KNOW HOW TO MANAGE YOUR MONEY.

Now, onto today. This weekend has been so-so. We went 2-1 on Friday with some nice NHL wins, and our system MLB bet came in last night. Chalk up 2 system wins for MLB this week - $100 bettors are up $200 on that alone. Yesterday we went 1-1-1. So the weekend is going decently. The only TRUE loss was 1 NHL game (the 2[SUP]nd[/SUP] leg of the MLB system win yesterday erases the Friday MLB loss – provided you managed your bets the way I suggested). That said, I’m not “Hot” yet.

Last week football in general wasn’t great. And with a push yesterday, I have yet to get the monkey off my back. So today I’m stacking the deck in my favor. I’m pivoting to some Triple Dips. For those of you who don’t know what that is, we get to take 3 games and move the line 10 points in either direction. You must win all 3 games or the bet loses. I’ve identified some games I like with normal lines, and I’m lumping them together, AND I’m going to time zone these Dips/Teasers with the Monday Night game between the Pats and Jets. Then I’ll hedge and look for a middle.

Triple Dip #1 (WestGate Superbook lines)
Buffalo -5.5
Giants/Cards under 60
New England +1

Triple Dip #2 (BetOnline.ag lines)
Minnesota +7.5
Minnesota/Detroit under 53
New England +0.5

If all is looking good at 4PM, I’ll open up a 3[SUP]rd[/SUP] Trip Dip as follows

Triple Dip #3 (5Dimes)
Chargers +12.5
New Orleans +14.5
New England +0.5

Then tomorrow, as the line for the MNF game increases, likely to 10 or 10.5 (we’ll go with 10), take 1/3 of the potential win (or more/less depending on what you like) and place a hedge bet on the Jets +10.
What this will do is limit your losses (something you should ALWAYS be doing) and give you the potential to win BOTH plays by hitting a 10 point middle (something we’ve done a couple times already this season). Nothing feels better than when that middle comes in. And if for some reason the Patriots crap the bed, you’re minimizing your losses with the hedge.

Confusing? Read it again. And again. And again. And realize what I’m trying to get across, just like last night. PROTECT YOUR CASH. The more you protect your bankroll will equal less losses. And NOT LOSING should be your FIRST PRIORITY. Don’t think we’re here to get rich quick. We are here to make intelligent plays, manage our money so as to minimize losses, and over time, with smaller consistent wins, turn a nice profit.

BOL!
[FONT=&quot]Jack [/FONT]
 

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[FONT=&quot]October 21, 2019[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]NFL
[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]
We have 2 Triple Dips open, both tied in with New England. One at +1, the other at +0.5. Here they are.

Buffalo -5.5 [/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]
[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]Giants/Cards under 60[/FONT][FONT=&quot]
[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]New England +1

Chargers +12.5[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]
[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]New Orleans +14.5[/FONT][FONT=&quot]
[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]New England +0.5

Now, you have a choice. Let’s assume these are $100 bets. You can let it ride (which I’m not doing), and go for broke and try to snag $200. Or you could do a money line hedge on the Jets, currently sitting at +370 at Betonline.ag. A bet of $50 will cover you to the tune of $185. Not a bad hedge. If New England wins, you get $150. If the Jets win, you only lose $15.

What I’m doing is playing for a middle. I’ll put in a play for NY Jets +10. But wait until later. The line was at 9 and 9.5 yesterday – and it’s moving in our direction. Check in about 15 minutes before kickoff and see if you can find the line at +10.5. We learned on Saturday just how important it is to get onto or off of those magic numbers. Tonight, if we have to, we will buy a ½ point and make it Jets +10.5. Place 100 on that bet. This way if you if the Jets win the game (doubtful as that is) you only lose $110 total (that include the vig). But if New England wins by 1, or 2, or 3, or 4, or 5, or 6, or 7, or 8, or 9, or 10 you win BOTH plays and net $300. If the Patriots win by more 10 or more, you lose the hedge, win the two Triple Dips anyway, and walk away with $100.

THERE IS NO WAY you should risk losing $200 unless you have cash to burn. MANAGE YOUR MONEY. HEDGE YOUR BETS.

Decide how you want to hedge, use my options or do your own based on your bankroll, or don’t and risk it all. It’s up to you. Me? I’m making damn sure I don’t get hit for a $200 loss (+ vig). I’m limiting my losses and giving myself an opportunity to hit a middle and have a fantastic finish to the football week. You should too. [/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]
[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot] [/FONT]
 

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October 22, 2019


Yesterday we hedged, and walked away with 2 winning Triple Dips! Enjoy the cash!

Today we have the start of the World Series, and the start of the NBA season. I have a play for each.

MLB WORLD SERIES
Everyone on planet Earth is betting the under. To the point they’ve pushed it from an open of 7 down to 6.5. I always like betting against the public. And although Scherzer had a fine game vs the Dodgers in the ALDS, I’m not putting much stock in what he did vs the Cardinals. The Nats could have run out their batting practice pitcher and beaten that St. Louis squad. And yes, I get it, Cole is looking unstoppable right now. “PITCHING MATCHUP OF THE CENTURY!” is what I’m hearing. What I’ve seen is how many times when games get touted like that, it goes the other way. And 7 runs with these lineups is not asking much. Also, once they get to the bullpens, I expect some late runs. Nevertheless, don’t go hog wild on this play. I nice little pot builder tonight on the Over 6.5. As usual with Series play, we’ll wait to see if our value play appears – as we did in both Championship Series, and then cash in.

NBA
Only one play tonight. I like the Money Line on the LA Lakers. King James has had nearly 6 months to sit and stew about last season. I expect the “new” Lakers to come out swinging. This could still be a close game – and it’s essentially a home game for both the Lakers and Clippers. But come on – the Lakers will have the crowd behind them. And with no Paul George – that’s the difference. Still, I don’t like the line of -4. There’s nothing worse than seeing a garbage free throw at the end of a game screw your bet. Worse yet, watching your team up by 3, with the ball, and just dribble the game and your money awasy. Get on the ML as fast as you can, as it’s rising. It’s jumped from -145 to as high as -160. I just locked in with BetOnline.ag at LAKERS -157.
 

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Accidentally posted this in my NBA thread. I'll just have this one thread going forward. Hope you got in on the Carolina play.

JackWinningham.com

NHL
Carolina -185
Colorado -150

2 Triple Dips - check them out at www.JackWinningham.com
 

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Get to www.JackWinningham.com to see how to close out our TWO open Triple Dips, how to hedge the plays, and how to shoot for middles. We are looking great after opening up two dips yesterday, one with LSU -1 and Miami Fl +14.5, and another with just LSU -1.

See you there!
 

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We had a great finish to the week. Two big Triple Dips came in. We missed the middles, but still turned a nice profit, as we also hit on 2 NHL plays.

Tonight doesn't look so great. If you have a HUGE bankroll, the Pittsburgh ML would be a play, as I don't see any way in hell that the Dolphins could win this game. But 14 points is a lot to give. Dogs have been ruining ATS plays all season. And Pittsburgh's ML is VERY high. IMO, it's a garbage game with garbage teams, and if it were on a Sunday with a full slate of games, I wouldn't go near this dog with fleas contest. So why should I bet on it tonight? Because it's on TV? That's the DUMBEST reason to bet on a game. That's akin to putting coins in a slot machine. You're doing it because it's there. Not a good reason to wager your money.

The NHL has only 2 games on the schedule. Neither are worth a play. The NBA has a full slate. If you put a gun to my head I'd say take Denver -5 over the Kings. But it's so early in the NBA season, and I've been cold with them. Made the mistake of jumping in. It's time to evaluate this new season, see how teams are playing together, and identify some trends. That's what I did with the NHL, and should have done with the NBA.

Sometimes the best move is not to play. That's my sage advice for tonight.

Jack




 

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October 30, 2019

NHL



Tonight I have 2 more NHL plays for you. Both teams returning home after long road trips. They myth is the home team loses. The fact is, they win over 60% of the time. A trend over a period of YEARS. I'll keep laying these play, and keep winning.




LA Kings +102

Arizona -120

Both plays at BetOnline.ag




BOL




Jack

 

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