| View attachment 17271 J.J. Bascus Power Rating Week 12: November 20-24, 2014 |
Best = Ranks the spreads from high-to-low. A '1' means J.J.Bascus pick for that game has the best chance of winning relative to every other game that week.
J.J.Bascus = Pick. The team the J.J.Bascus predicts to win the game.
J.J.Bascus Power Line = forecast for how many points J.J.Bascus picks will win the game by.
Vegas = Team that Vegas picks to win.
V.Line = Vegas spread for the game (points the pick will win by).
O/U = J.J. Bascus Prediction for Over/Under. Prediction for the total amount of points scored by both teams.
*Home field advantage point spread is factored in with the forecast for how many points J.J.Bascus picks will win the game
J.J.> Closest Projected Game: Dallas at New York Giants.
J.J..>Best Chance (team to win by the most points): Indianapolis Colts.
J.J. Bascus ~NOTES~
***4th year back DeMarco Murray has already far surpassed his rushing attempts of prior years; on pace for just under 2000 yards this season.
Patriots' run has been more impressive. That Pats-to-over combo is 5-1 in their last six games. Good teams, bad teams, improved teams…it doesn’t matter. Tom Brady has this team on a roll, and the only time in six weeks he hasn’t put a 37-spot or more on a team has been in Week 7 vs. the defensive-minded Jets. We look for the Lions offense to be forced to keep up with the Pats and air it more. The play is Patriots to cover -7. J.J. has this game New England's home win streak is the longest current run in the league, and it comes with a 13.6-point margin of victory. Its overall six-game streak is tied with the Cardinals for tops in the NFL, and the Patriots have won their last three with the Lions. In addition to the injuries to Johnson and Bush, the Lions are hurting along their interior of both lines, with defensive tackle Nick Fairley and right guard Larry Warford both on the mend with knee ailments.
Sanders and tight end Julius Thomas – who’ve accounted for 117 catches, 1,380 yards and 19 touchdowns – will play Sunday against the Dolphins.Thomas is dealing with a sprained ankle, but has not been in a walking boot this week and stretched with the team Thursday.There’s been little movement from the openers, but a few books have added juice on Denver and some have flashed -7.5 (even). Totals have been lowered a half-point to 49 at some spots. For updated spreads and totals from around Las Vegas. This is must game for Denver or they might face a wild-card. Best Bet On The Board at -6 1/2 Denver at home under a touchdown. This line will fluctuate between -6 1/2 to -7 and maybe -7 1/2 at game time. Bet early if you are taking Denver.
AFC West Team W- L- T
Denver Broncos 7- 3 -0
Kansas City Chiefs 7- 4- 0
San Diego Chargers 6- 4- 0
Oakland Raiders 1- 10- 0
NFL Predictions based on J.J. Bascus analysis of offensive and defensive points and yards per game and other statistics and factors. Picks include recent team statistics. Best= ranks best chances to win.
These are the type of calculations from J.J.Bascus power rating analysis that Vegas doesn't want you to see. Plus his power rating predictions factors in slightly different factors which give differences with the Las Vegas predictions that can help you confirm and/or make your own decisions.
~ OUR PICKS THIS WEEK~
J.J. Bascus> Pick -7 Pats at Home[ Vegas Line is very close to my estimated line at -5 1/2
J.J. Bascus & HarryTheHat Pick> Denver -6 1/2
System Smitty Ryan Pick > Bears at home in bad weather and the real windy city under 47 points [Points will at premium]
Back Room Benny The Jew> The play is Over at 50 points Colts //Colts laying the inflated number -13 1/2 [ To Many Points Here, disagree with J.J.]
Bee Bee Black Widow> 7 point Teaser Eagles - 11 to -4 and 48 1/2 over to 41 1/2 over
Back Room Benny The Jew> Denver -6 1/2[ I have to go with winning streak with the HÄT]
PS. We will have updates for you at near game time here at sports book from J.J. Bascus and rest of our crew, at our reserved table/ as long as we stay sober//LOL. What else can we do on Sunday NFL game day but Bet & Drink Watch Football at our Favorite sports book Caesars L.V. Good Luck this week in the NFL, RX Sports Forum Members
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