It's time.

[THEGAME9000]

It's sunday....it's september....and it's time....
Lord football returns.

A 3 day weekend...happy Labor Day...and a full day off Monday to post week 1...can't ask for more.

Just curious this year, "for feedback", that if along with week 1 insights anyone would like me to post the #'s...(not that they would be of any use), as patterns won't reveal themselves until around week 3 or 4...but maybe there are some who would like to keep track of them from the jump as a change of pace from the usual.

Gotta love the greatest time of the year.

GAME.

 

[TomandJerry]

Week 4 is fine GAME.

Happy Labor Day.

 

[RoughingThePasser]

Yo Game,

Happy Labor Day weekend to you too. This day next week, we can watch the Packers begin their march to a Super Bowl victory and weekly payouts.

I do have a couple questions to start this season with, first, do you have the final results from last years cover chart? I feel like the chart crushed the spreads, but would like to see the data if possible. I tried recording the stats myself but missed a few weeks.

Also, this is just me thinking out loud, but do you happen to know how many different teams make the playoffs each year?

 

[SaintsFan1977]

Also, this is just me thinking out loud, but do you happen to know how many different teams make the playoffs each year?

I believe the average is 5 different teams.

 

[THEGAME9000]

Week 4 is fine GAME.

Happy Labor Day.

Works for me....T&J

 

[THEGAME9000]

RTP....

2015 cover chart (final)

Home favs............................road favs...........................home pick
....................................................................................pk w
1pt...wlpwlwpl........................lwlllwlw.............................-1w
2pt...wwwwwwwlwwlwwl.........wlplwwllwwl.....................-2l
3pt...lwlllwwllw.......................lllwwwlwww.....................-3l,-3l,-3l,-3.5l,-3l
4pt...wwlwwlwwww................wwwllwlplw......................-4l,-4l
5pt...lwlwwlwlwlwl..................lwpllwwww.......................
6pt...pwwlwwlww...................wlwllwwllwlwl...................
7pt...wpllwww.........................lwlwlw...............................-7w
8pt...wlllllwll.............................lwwwlwllwwwwll...............
9pt...llllww................................wwwlw...............................
10pt..llllllll................................ww.....................................
11pt..llwl..................................llwwlwlw............................
12pt..lwplw.............................wlw....................................
13pt..lplw................................lllwllwwwl..........................
14pt..ll.....................................lplw....................................
15pt..wll..................................wlw....................................
16pt..ll.....................................wwwwl...............................
17pt........................................ww.....................................
18pt..wwww............................ll.........................................
19pt..w..........................................................................
20pt...............................................................................
21pt..w...........................................................................
22pt...............................................................................
23pt...............................................................................
24pt...............................................................................
25pt...............................................................................

Home favs of....ats
2pts................11-3.....taking team to cover
4pts.................8-2......taking team to cover
6pts.................6-2-1...taking team to cover
8-11pts...........5-22.....taking team to fail
13-16pts.........2-8-1....taking team to fail
18+pts.............6-0.......taking team to cover

Recognized pattern selection plays total...
61-14-2 ats

Road favs of.....ats
9-10pts.............6-1.....taking team to cover
15-17pts...........8-2.....taking team to cover

Recognized pattern selection plays total...
14-3 ats

Home team pick'em....ats
2-4pts..........................0-8.....taking team to fail

Recognized pattern selection plays total...
8-0 ats

Combined total for the year...
102 plays...recognized pattern selections
83-17-2 ats

As the season gets deeper it pays to be analytical, recognize the # plays that have been consistently covering and the # plays that have been consistently failing to cover and sticking with them.
It's easy for me to look back and "cherry pick" but I've looked back at the last 3 years worth of final cover charts and they all can be totaled the same way with the only difference being which #'s suggested teams would cover or fail to cover.

So realistically if you started taking the suggested plays using only the consistenly repeating choices starting about week 4 or 5, when they started to become obvious you would have still done pretty phenomenal....

GAME.

 

[THEGAME9000]

Teams that weren't in playoffs one year, but in the next....

2000....bal,oak,nyg,phi,den,no...........6
2001....chi,pit,sf,Gbh,nyj,ne...............6
2002....ind,atl,nyg,cle,tenn................5
2003....ne,bal,den,dal,stl,kc,car,sea....8
2004....pit,atl,nyj,sd,minn..................5
2005....chi,tb,car,was,cinn,jax,nyg......7
2006....bal,sd,kc,nyj,phi,dal,no...........7
2007....pit,tb,Gb,tenn,was,jax............6
2008....bal,car,mia,atl,phi,minn,ari......7
2009....cinn,nyj,no,dal,ne,Gb..............6
2010....pit,atl,chi,kc,sea.....................5
2011....hou,sf,det,den,cinn,nyg...........6
2012....sea,ind,minn,was....................4
2013....car,kc,sd,no,phi......................5
2014....bal,dal,ari,det,pit....................5
2015....hou,kc,minn,was.....................4

Saints fan is on it....about 5 a year since 2000

GAME.

 

[cashducats]

RTP....

2015 cover chart (final)

Home favs............................road favs...........................home pick
....................................................................................pk w
1pt...wlpwlwpl........................lwlllwlw.............................-1w
2pt...wwwwwwwlwwlwwl.........wlplwwllwwl.....................-2l
3pt...lwlllwwllw.......................lllwwwlwww.....................-3l,-3l,-3l,-3.5l,-3l
4pt...wwlwwlwwww................wwwllwlplw......................-4l,-4l
5pt...lwlwwlwlwlwl..................lwpllwwww.......................
6pt...pwwlwwlww...................wlwllwwllwlwl...................
7pt...wpllwww.........................lwlwlw...............................-7w
8pt...wlllllwll.............................lwwwlwllwwwwll...............
9pt...llllww................................wwwlw...............................
10pt..llllllll................................ww.....................................
11pt..llwl..................................llwwlwlw............................
12pt..lwplw.............................wlw....................................
13pt..lplw................................lllwllwwwl..........................
14pt..ll.....................................lplw....................................
15pt..wll..................................wlw....................................
16pt..ll.....................................wwwwl...............................
17pt........................................ww.....................................
18pt..wwww............................ll.........................................
19pt..w..........................................................................
20pt...............................................................................
21pt..w...........................................................................
22pt...............................................................................
23pt...............................................................................
24pt...............................................................................
25pt...............................................................................

Home favs of....ats
2pts................11-3.....taking team to cover
4pts.................8-2......taking team to cover
6pts.................6-2-1...taking team to cover
8-11pts...........5-22.....taking team to fail
13-16pts.........2-8-1....taking team to fail
18+pts.............6-0.......taking team to cover

Recognized pattern selection plays total...
61-14-2 ats

Road favs of.....ats
9-10pts.............6-1.....taking team to cover
15-17pts...........8-2.....taking team to cover

Recognized pattern selection plays total...
14-3 ats

Home team pick'em....ats
2-4pts..........................0-8.....taking team to fail

Recognized pattern selection plays total...
8-0 ats

Combined total for the year...
102 plays...recognized pattern selections
83-17-2 ats

As the season gets deeper it pays to be analytical, recognize the # plays that have been consistently covering and the # plays that have been consistently failing to cover and sticking with them.
It's easy for me to look back and "cherry pick" but I've looked back at the last 3 years worth of final cover charts and they all can be totaled the same way with the only difference being which #'s suggested teams would cover or fail to cover.

So realistically if you started taking the suggested plays using only the consistenly repeating choices starting about week 4 or 5, when they started to become obvious you would have still done pretty phenomenal....

GAME.

interesting chart. is it based on the opening number or closing number?

 

[THEGAME9000]

interesting chart. is it based on the opening number or closing number?

Closing line only....no other line matters.
Always the scoresandodds line.

 

[mrbruce]

nice chart
do u have a 3 year chart on the numbers
do u skip the 1st 4 weeks ;but chart what numbers r hitting
thank you

 

[THEGAME9000]

nice chart
do u have a 3 year chart on the numbers
do u skip the 1st 4 weeks ;but chart what numbers r hitting
thank you

I've been running this #'s system for a dozen years, I have all the final charts, the problem is 2 years ago my pc dumped loosing all my digital records...I do however have them all written as well....it would take a while to post them....at one point I was posting from my phone...a real pain in the ass.

however they were all posted on the rx, so if you dig deep, you'll find them

 

[THEGAME9000]

Sorry, my pad jammed...
I skip posting the 1st 4 weeks because it takes about that amount of games to start establishing patterns

GAME.

 

[TomandJerry]

Sorry, my pad jammed...
I skip posting the 1st 4 weeks because it takes about that amount of games to start establishing patterns

GAME.

w-thumbs!^

 

[Green17]

It's sunday....it's september....and it's time....
Lord football returns.

A 3 day weekend...happy Labor Day...and a full day off Monday to post week 1...can't ask for more.

Just curious this year, "for feedback", that if along with week 1 insights anyone would like me to post the #'s...(not that they would be of any use), as patterns won't reveal themselves until around week 3 or 4...but maybe there are some who would like to keep track of them from the jump as a change of pace from the usual.

Gotta love the greatest time of the year.

GAME.

Good to see you back again GAME.
Looking forward to another great season with your data.

 

[THEGAME9000]

Thanx green....

Hopefully it's going to be a great year for all of us...can't wait!

GAME.

 

[THEGAME9000]

Some insights for week 1....

Car(3) at den 41.5....
Car 5-15 under in reg sea opener s 96
Den 15-1 su in reg sea home opener s 00
** sb losers are 2-13-1 ats in following season opener s 00
**defending sb champions are 9-3-3 ats in following season opener s 01

Tb at atl(3) 47.5...
Atl 11-1 ats in reg sea home opener s 04
**series favorites are 8-2-1 ats in last 11 games and 14-5-1 ats s 06
....home team covered 4 of last 6 s 13
....4 of last 6 played in Atlanta have went over s 10 ( averaging 56pts a game)

Min(1) at ten 41...
Min 3-13-1 ats before hosting Gb s 97
Min 4-12 ats as favs before playing gb s 97
**week 1 teams who were eliminated in 1st round of playoffs are 2-8 ats if facing an opponent who lost 10+games su last year s 02

Cin(2.5) at nyj 42...
Cin 11-2 ats before playing at pit s 03
Cin 6-0 over before playing at pit s 10
Cin 7-2 over in 1st reg sea road game s 07

Sd at kc(7) 44.5...
Sd 8-2 ats as div road dogs s 11
Kc 3-11 ats as div home favs s 07
Kc 4-19-2 under in reg sea home opener s 91
**series..kc covered 5 of last 6 sept match ups s 00

Chi at hou(6) 44...
Chi 7-1 ats on the road vs afc s12
**week 1 teams who were eliminated in 1st round of last years playoffs are 2-8 ats if facing an opponent who lost 10+games su last year s 02

Mia at sea(10.5) 44...
Mia 14-0 ats in 1st of b2b road games s 09
Sea 16-5-1 ats at home before playing a div road game s 07
Sea 17-4-1 ats at home vs afc s 05

Nyg at dal(1) 46...
Dal 3-11 ats as div home favs s 11
**series..the last 16 games have went 12-3-1 over s 08
..............the last 7 straight in Dallas have exceeded 50pts s 09 (averaging 61pts a game)

Det at ind(4) 50.5...
Det 8-3 over in 1st reg sea road game s 05
Det 17-5 over on the road vs afc s 05
Ind 2-6 ats in reg sea home opener s 08

Ne at ari(6.5) 47...
**week 1 teams who are 3+pt dogs on Sunday are 2-18-1 ats if they went to last years playoffs s 02

Pit(3) at was 50...
Pit 2-6 ats as road favs on mnf s 80
Pit 3-14 ats as favs before playing cin s 04
Was 1-12 ats at home on mnf s 00
**pit games vs nfc have averaged 58pts s 13 with only 3 of the 12 games totaling under 51

La(2.5) at sf 44...
La 3-12-1 ats in reg sea road opener s 00
La 4-11 under in reg sea opener s 01
Sf 10-1 ats on mnf s 08
Sf 3-14-1 under as home dogs of 4pts or less s 03

GAME.

 

[bobbyjones2]

good stuff game, thanks for posting

 

[THEGAME9000]

:toast:

 

[Green17]

Great to see your data again GAME. Thanks for posting early week.

^!:

 

[MalikSealy]

good to see you back game...bol this season