is minnesota/atlanta under 196 on Mon a safe bet? *IN-GAME THREAD*

[sumday]

I don't see why the total is set so high. Atlanta Hawks don't allow many points at home and Minnesota is inept as they come on offense. I know Wolves have poor Defense but even if Atlanta scores 100 or 105, I can't see Hawks scoring more than 90.

This total just stands out to me. It seems too high. I was wondering if anyone else has any opinions on it because I am thinking about poundng the under Monday.

 

[AppleBuddy4Life]

the only meeting between these 2 teams rendered a total of 180, hawks 94 wolves 86. That was at minnesota, and that was with al jefferson. They did score 86 in SA, 93 in NO, and 88 in HOU. All very good defensive teams. Just put up 90 at home against a poor OKC defense. I could see them putting up 95 absolute max, but closer to 85-90. The most ATL has scored was at home vs SAC, but they are awful. The next closest total is 105 @ NY. I see a 103-88 victory for the hawks, somewhere in that neighborhood..... I don't see the under as a "lock", but it does look very tempting.

 

[sumday]

the only meeting between these 2 teams rendered a total of 180, hawks 94 wolves 86. That was at minnesota, and that was with al jefferson. They did score 86 in SA, 93 in NO, and 88 in HOU. All very good defensive teams. Just put up 90 at home against a poor OKC defense. I could see them putting up 95 absolute max, but closer to 85-90. The most ATL has scored was at home vs SAC, but they are awful. The next closest total is 105 @ NY. I see a 103-88 victory for the hawks, somewhere in that neighborhood..... I don't see the under as a "lock", but it does look very tempting.

Thanks for responding with your opinion man. I think I have made up my mind. I'm going to lock it in now for a large bet in case the number goes lower tomorrow.

 

[AppleBuddy4Life]

i might tail you on that man... eh its tough... give me your thoughts... whats running through your head?

 

[AppleBuddy4Life]

and ill be able to give you the accuscore predictions when they come out around midnight... i use espn's accuscore to help sway decisions or give me different view points so stay up and wait with me man... ill throw up the info when it comes out in bout 50 minutes

 

[AppleBuddy4Life]

and the bitch of it is they average 196.7 scoring and allow 199.4 defensively on the average... im not seeing much advantage its a coin flip

 

[AppleBuddy4Life]

atlanta did get a day off and minnesota is playing for the 2nd day in a row... the ATL wins for sure, but who knows on the total... if you havent yet wait on me bout an hour

 

[sumday]

Thanks again. I'm crashing. It's 1am in my town. I pulled the trigger already for a big bet. Hopefully it cashes.

I really can't see it going over 196. Atlanta is too good defensively. Less than 48.5 points per quarter is reasonable. My only concern is Atlanta putting up like 115 or something but I am going to risk it. I cannot see this game going to overtime and I can't envision Minnesota putting up a ton of points either. We'll see how it goes. I feel good about the bet.

 

[sumday]

atlanta did get a day off and minnesota is playing for the 2nd day in a row... the ATL wins for sure, but who knows on the total... if you havent yet wait on me bout an hour

Damn, just read your post. I already banked it in at Betjam under 196. I guess I have to stick with it now.

 

[AppleBuddy4Life]

alright well i will throw down my last minute info for you one way or the other... check it in the morning bro and good luck to you i might be right behind you... and they could put up 115 lol but i got my fingers crossed

 

[AppleBuddy4Life]

Damn, just read your post. I already banked it in at Betjam under 196. I guess I have to stick with it now.

keep your chin up man ill post my numbers when they punch out

 

[sumday]

haha, yeah, I know what you mean. They very well might put up 115 or Minnesota might actually pplay ball and do their share to put it over. We'll see. ttyl man.

 

[AppleBuddy4Life]

the info didnt come out yet, but im stayin up for a bit... did a parlay of ATL under 196.5 and PHO under 237... barbosa and amare are out for phoenix and the last 2 times they have played those 2 were healthy i believe and they never got higher then 232... so well see

 

[akphidelt]

the only meeting between these 2 teams rendered a total of 180, hawks 94 wolves 86. That was at minnesota, and that was with al jefferson.

I'm not sure if this changes peoples decisions... but Joe Johnson didn't play in the first meeting. And he is the biggest scoring threat for Atlanta, which might allow the hawks to get in the 105-115 range which might be scary.

 

[rivers2tomlinson]

The Hawks have played 7 games (6 at home) since Marvin Williams went down with his back injury and have only scored more than 101 once, and that was against the terrible Kings. Combine that with Jefferson being out and the T-Wolves ineptness on offense on the road recently, and it looks like this one will go under, though not by much.

 

[AppleBuddy4Life]

my numbers say 191, with a 57% chance of going under.

 

[AppleBuddy4Life]

gonna be close :/

 

[TheJackal]

I think this line is razor sharp. When I look at totals, I disect the data in 5 different ways. When there is a consensus between my five lines I make it a play. All five of my lines for this game are between 195 and 197. I don't see an edge on either side of this total. BOL on your under action though. I will be staying away.

 

[sumday]

Yeah, I believe it's going to be very close also. I'm glad I got it last night at 196 because it's at about 194.5 last time I checked today.

 

[TheJackal]

Yes, you will beat the closing line which is a good sign.