Iraqi voter turnout over/under 8.0 Million?

[christof]

Trading at Tradesports at about 68, which is a about -210.

There are about 14 million eligable voters. I read a lot of articles where the writers predicted 50% or less which would make the under at +210 a great value. After a little thought though, I figure the media is hoping for a low turnout, and that would skew their projections downward.

It seems like no officials are making any hard estimates on turnout, but I did dig up this:

"I am expecting the turnout of Iraqi voters to be between 70 and 80 percent," Iraqi Foreign Minister Hoshyar Zebari told the BBC last week...

I view his projections as an upward bias.

Right now I think the price is about right, and will probably avoid it.

Anyone have any thoughts?

 

[PatPatriot]

Yes.I'd bet the over.

The only ones that don't want to see it go over that amount is Bin Laden,Zarqawi,Chirac,Ted Kennedy,John Kerry,UN,Ny Times,Dan Rather,Michael Moore and the Dixie Chix.
Basically the same people who thought Bush would never win re-election.

remember if they get 50% its the same amount that vote in US elections and their doing through a rain of bullets.Americans won't vote if its plain raining.

Iraqy ex-patriots are voting in droves in other countries as of right now.
You'll see the only ones wrong on this is the gang listed above.

 

[JDeuce]

The only ones that don't want to see it go over that amount is Bin Laden,Zarqawi,Chirac,Ted Kennedy,John Kerry,UN,Ny Times,Dan Rather,Michael Moore and the Dixie Chix.

Don't forget Doc Mujahideen, landass, Marco, and eek in that group...

 

[Redneckman]

Doc Mujahadeen! :lolBIG:

 

[PatPatriot]

No thats doc deranged glove...

 

[xpanda]

Can't believe JD didn't throw my name into that list.

I hope for the sake of those that do vote, that security is solid and that attacks are at a minimum. I'm alot more worried about the survivability of voters than I am about the numbers. There's no doubt a Shi'ia gov't is going to win; proportions guarantee it.

 

[Marco]

Under looks better and better each day, judging by the fact that a few eligible voters are getting wasted everyday by the warmongers....are the books adjusting to this ever-lowering number?

So whose numbers are the bets being graded by.......???

Some Bushite that's going to claim more people voted than live over there....."Yes, an amazing success....we had 83 million people show up to vote"......

Any over/under on how many voters go to the hospital/morgue while they're doing thier civic duty of getting killed for being a civilian?

Any over/under on how long the elected candidates live after being elected?

Peace in the middle east....:biglaugh:

 

[docmercer--banned]

Throw out Xpanda and the avg IQ is what?? 45???

Scary part is Patriot or Redneck might could some big ol 400lber drunk one nite and try to pass on their "very high intellectual traits"

Boys ... do us all a favor and keep the zippers up!

 

[JinnRikki]

Some Bushite that's going to claim more people voted than live over there....."Yes, an amazing success....we had 83 million people show up to vote"......

They're flying Kenneth Blackwell in to insure that every Allawi vote gets counted... two or three times.

 

[PatPatriot]

doc if I want any sh1t from you,I'l put a rag over your mouth and strain it out of your breath.

 

[HiloBoy]

i think 12b people should vote cause 13 is unlucky.