So today's "dozens killed in insurgent attack" story has an interesting twist: at least 29 are dead after what amounts to a crank call which led troops into an apparent ambush attack. An unmanned ambush at that: there was no one at the house at the time that it went BOOM except for Irai troops and policemen.
What are the ramifications of this tactic?
1) It's like a suicide bombing, but without the need to come up with a warm body who wishes to die for the cause. A single cell with a reliable supply of materiel could do as much damage as a widespread network of "kamikaze" attackers.
2) It potentially reduces collateral damage, perhaps dramatically so, thus causing less negative blowback among the Iraqi population.
3) It clogs up the system with disinformation: authorities can be led on a series of dead ends that sometimes result in terrorist arrests, often are just wild goose chases, and every now and then result in everyone involved on the state's end being killed horrifically. Smart insurgents might even consider throwing the occasional bone to the state by giving up intel, weapons, personnel etc. just to keep the investigators interested in pursuing the tips.
4) It discredits the system of anonymous tips, which could lead to authorities requiring verifiable contact info from tipsters, which would almost certainly dramatically reduce the number of incoming legitimate tips due to fear of reprisal.
2005 is going to be a bad year to be an Iraqi policeman.
Phaedrus
What are the ramifications of this tactic?
1) It's like a suicide bombing, but without the need to come up with a warm body who wishes to die for the cause. A single cell with a reliable supply of materiel could do as much damage as a widespread network of "kamikaze" attackers.
2) It potentially reduces collateral damage, perhaps dramatically so, thus causing less negative blowback among the Iraqi population.
3) It clogs up the system with disinformation: authorities can be led on a series of dead ends that sometimes result in terrorist arrests, often are just wild goose chases, and every now and then result in everyone involved on the state's end being killed horrifically. Smart insurgents might even consider throwing the occasional bone to the state by giving up intel, weapons, personnel etc. just to keep the investigators interested in pursuing the tips.
4) It discredits the system of anonymous tips, which could lead to authorities requiring verifiable contact info from tipsters, which would almost certainly dramatically reduce the number of incoming legitimate tips due to fear of reprisal.
2005 is going to be a bad year to be an Iraqi policeman.
Phaedrus