Incubus 2015 NCAA Football Week 1

[Incubus]

After taking a long hiatus from the Rx, I'm back to post my football plays.

No write-ups. Just the plays.

I make between 4 to 6 bets per week comprised of a mix of straight plays and teasers.

Each straight play is for 1 unit at -110 odds. Each 3 team 10 points teaser is for 1 unit at -130 odds.

Follow or fade me. The choice is your's.

Either way, I'm looking forward to having a profitable 2015 season.

Comments are always welcome.
Good luck, and let's have a great year in football! :toast:


Straight Plays

Northern Illinois -22 over UNLV

Baylor -35 over SMU

FAU +7 over Tulsa

Michigan-Utah UNDER 46


3 Team 10 Point Teasers

#1 "Favorites"

Alabama PICK (-10) over Wisconsin
Ohio State -1 (-11) over Virginia Tech
Auburn -1 (-11) over Louisville

#2 "Dogs"

Hawaii +17.5 (+7.5) over Colorado
Purdue +17.5 (+7.5) over Marshall
Michigan +15 (+5) over Utah

 

[indiana]

Inc...........welcome back for another season of fun and profits.............BOL with all your action............indy

 

[Greenbacks]

Good luck this season Incubus!

 

[Ilovetobet]

Welcome back and bol.

 

[BigdaddyQH]

Interesting. My only red flag is your Purdue wager. Marshall will score at will against Purdue's alleged defense, and Purdue needs to settle on a QB.

 

[Incubus]

Interesting. My only red flag is your Purdue wager. Marshall will score at will against Purdue's alleged defense, and Purdue needs to settle on a QB.

Red flag? :think2: I think Purdue has a very good chance to hang with Marshall as a straight play at +7.5 also. However, as you're aware, I boosted the price up to +17.5 in Teaser #2 above.

Purdue has 16 returning starters from a team last year that improved on both sides of the ball from the year before. +62 YPG on offense and +44 YPG on defense.

Purdue is settled at their QB position with 6'5" Austin Appleby. He was just named the starter. He started the last 7 games last season. The Boilermakers return all five offensive linemen. That's a big plus IMO.

On the flip side, Marshall loses a lot! Scoring "at will?" :think2: Gone is their all everything QB Rakeem Cato and his primary WR target Tommy Shuler. Also gone is their all conference center Chris Japerse. Marshall has a potent rushing attack. I'll give you that. Purdue will stack the box for sure and do their best to slow them down.

On defense, the Herd their top three DBs as well as three of it's top four LBs.

I'm predicting this will will be a see saw scoring affair IMO. High scoring. OVER 63.5 is very possible IMO, and that's my "lean."

Purdue is 13-3 SU in season openers the past 16 years. I like my chances of covering one of my 3 Teaser #2 legs with getting Purdue +17.5.
Thanks for your comment! :toast:

 

[rush__man]

wow you used to be in the lang thread a long time ago. its been a while.

 

[theDonger]

Subscribed.

Welcome back to the forum brother-- lets make some money.

-donger

 

[jaxfactor]

Great info on Purdue- I'll probably play them in a teaser as well.

good luck this season!

 

[Incubus]

Nice to start the 2015 NCAA football season with a winner! k:

1-0 with the UNDER 46 Michigan-Utah winner in the straight plays, and Teaser #2 is alive with the Michigan +15 (+5) winner!
Next leg up for Teaser #2 is Hawaii +17.5 (+7.5) over Colorado. Let's do this! :toast:

 

[ElTaino]

Nice to start the 2015 NCAA football season with a winner! k:

1-0 with the UNDER 46 Michigan-Utah winner in the straight plays, and Teaser #2 is alive with the Michigan +15 (+5) winner!
Next leg up for Teaser #2 is Hawaii +17.5 (+7.5) over Colorado. Let's do this! :toast:

nicely done on the total!!!!

 

[Incubus]

Hawaii wins OUTRIGHT and the +17.5 (+7.5) wasn't even needed! @)

The 2nd leg of Teaser #2 is now in the books. The 3rd and final leg, Purdue +17.5 (+7.5) will be on tap this coming Monday 7th. )^&&

 

[Incubus]

Well, I'm having way too much fun with these 3 team 10 point teasers. k:

I'm adding a couple more to this weekend's card.

Again, each teaser is for 1 unit at -130 odds.

3 Team 10 Point Teasers

#3 Mix of "Favorites" and "Dogs"

Boise State -1.5 (-11.5) over Washington
UNC Charlotte +17 (+7) over Georgia State
Western Michigan +27 (+17) over Michigan State

#4 "Totals"

Bowling Green - Tennessee OVER 59 (69)
Arkansas State - USC OVER 59 (69)
Washington - Boise State UNDER 66 (56)

That should be it for the teasers, but you never know with me! :lolBIG:

I may add some more straight bets also. We'll see! :grandmais

 

[TyBounce]

Nice start Inc , gl bro.

 

[Incubus]

Let the chasing begin! :lolBIG:

The Baylor -35 game bet looks like toast, so I'll try to level it out with a 2nd 1/2 bet.

2nd 1/2 bet

Baylor -15 over SMU

Baylor will be PISSED OFF, like I am! ##)

I'm counting on them to throttle SMU in the 2nd 1/2!

1 unit at -110 odds
Good luck! :toast:

 

[Incubus]

Feels GREAT to get a couple more units. k:

I pushed the Baylor -35 play, but nailed the 2nd 1/2 bet (Baylor -15). I also hit my first 3 team 10 point teaser! Teaser #3 Mix of "Favorites" and "Dogs."

So far, I'm 3-0-1 and +3 units.

I'm looking forward to Saturday and will probably add more plays and teasers! :nuts:

 

[Incubus]

Many gamblers say teasers are money burners in the long run. Perhaps they're right.

However, if you can pinpoint key match-ups and sides/totals, you have the opportunity manipulate the odds in your favor. Why not?

I've been very good at these in my football handicapping career over the years, so I won't stop just because it's unpopular.

Here are Teasers #s 5 through 8 for the remainder of this weekend's card. I believe I've mined some very solid legs to each one.

Again, each teaser is for 1 unit at -130 odds.

3 Team 10 Point Teasers

#5 "BIG Dogs"

Arkansas State +38 (+28) over USC
Georgia Southern +28 (+18) over West Virginia
Bowling Green +31 (+21) over Tennessee

#6 "SMALL Dogs"

BYU +16.5 (+6.5) over Nebraska
FAU +15 (+5) over Tulsa
Northwestern +21 (+11) over Stanford

#7 "More Favorites"

Texas A&M +7 (-3) over Arizona State
Kentucky -7 (-17) over Louisiana-Lafayette
UCLA -9.5 (-19.5) over Virginia

#8 "More Totals"

Texas - Notre Dame UNDER 59 (49)
Wisconsin - Alabama UNDER 59 (49)
Ohio State - Virginia Tech UNDER 63 (53)

That's it for the teasers for this opening weekend. Honest Injun.

I'll probably be post several more straight plays and totals in the next several hours. #%()

 

[sparticus]

Did u see that there is another "lovely" play? gl!

 

[Incubus]

I'm mining the last remaining straight plays for my card, and I'm focused on the BLOODY BEATDOWNS.

These are the plays I feel where the favorite will absolutely jolly stomp their opponent beyond the prohibitive spread.

Betting these is obviously dicey, however, I'm willing to take my chances. After all, that's why they call it GAMBLING! :lolBIG:

Again, these straight plays are for 1 unit each at -110 odds.

 

[Incubus]

Did u see that there is another "lovely" play? gl!

I'm ignoring that shit. I'm handicapping my own plays in college football. No need to bring that crap in my thread. Thanks. :toast: