I'm trying to figure out something.. plz help.

[BaseballGuy]

I am trying to figure out the best strategy for laying out my bets.

In the past I have been betting on 10-12 games for an equal amount on each game based on information from this site and others. I bet this way mainly because I do not like putting all of my eggs in one basket and feel there is less risk by spreading out the bets.

However in the past month, I have lost 60 percent of my selections by betting this way.

Any suggestions on how I can maximize my profits?

P.S this is for college and nfl only.

I usually fair pretty well on baseball picks.

 

[CalmMcEnroe]

I am trying to figure out the best strategy for laying out my bets.

In the past I have been betting on 10-12 games for an equal amount on each game based on information from this site and others. I bet this way mainly because I do not like putting all of my eggs in one basket and feel there is less risk by spreading out the bets.

However in the past month, I have lost 60 percent of my selections by betting this way.

Any suggestions on how I can maximize my profits?

P.S this is for college and nfl only.

I usually fair pretty well on baseball picks.

If you are losing 60 percent of your bets you have bigger problems than money management. There are alot of cappers here who claim they are good but won't win over the long haul. The key is finding those that will come out ahead. Email me at ****** and I'll send you some numbers on certain games for next weekend. When the lines come out, bet where there is value. I guarantee I won't lose cash this next weekend. Also, keep wagering the same amount on each game unless you have some inside information on something that almost no one has. It's a slow road but it's a steady road and if you want to make it as a gambler it's the way to go. Chasers aren't prosperers. Email me and in the next few hours I'll have my numbers up for a few games if not more.

 

[tsm123]

You may want to ask CalmMcEnroe where his plays are for the last 6-7 weeks.

If he's gone 40-3 over that span (or something similar), he might be worth listening to.

If he can't show you documented evidence of how he's done in the heat of battle, I'd use extreme caution.

Good luck.

 

[BaseballGuy]

I don't pay for picks regardless.

 

[CalmMcEnroe]

You may want to ask CalmMcEnroe where his plays are for the last 6-7 weeks.

If he's gone 40-3 over that span (or something similar), he might be worth listening to.

If he can't show you documented evidence of how he's done in the heat of battle, I'd use extreme caution.

Good luck.

Not trying to sell picks at all. Just trying to help someone out.

 

[Kodiak7]

calm is a ghost poster of fangles...

fandle is 5-23 documented with his picks this year in foots... he stopped posting after 2 weeks..

nuff said!

:toothless

 

[CalmMcEnroe]

calm is a ghost poster of fangles...

fandle is 5-23 documented with his picks this year in foots... he stopped posting after 2 weeks..

nuff said!

:toothless

Don't listen to Kodiak. I post regularly at MW and OGD and came in here to ask him to stop lying about everything. If you want to look in the RR he got caught in a lie already since I've been here by posting that 3 mods have emailed him at the same time to inform him we are the same people. After asking the mods to verify and asking him to say which mods, he has no response and the mods have no idea what he is talking about.

He follows me around now.

Anyway, this is between me and the man who emailed me. I'm not raiders and it's not even relevant in this discussion.

Thanks for your time and we are all still waiting for you to prove your accusations kodiak. From here on, please don't bug me out of the RR. If you feel the need to continue with your lies than that is the place to go. Not the pick forums.

 

[AlwaysKeen]

baseballguy,

Just wanted to share with you how I pick my plays every week...I intially write down every game on a piece of paper, and I circle the side I like (thinking, OK first who will win the game, then how much will they win buy...if they are the dog, I automatically circle them, if they are the favorite I think about it some more)...When I bet underdogs, I bet teams that I think have a legitmate chance of winning outright, and I try not to bet favorites of -21 or more...although I did have Louisville and Toledo this week)...

Anyway, I then make a second sheet of around 20 or so picks, eliminating games from the first sheet that I know I am not at all interested in...from there, I try to find 5-7 (usually 8 at the most) games that I will bet...I have found that when I bet on 3 a week I am more at risk, but at 10 picks I usually throw in a couple "forced" plays...I make it a point not to bet "extra" or "chase" games...If I go 2-5 or 5-2, I take my gains and lumps and move onto the next week...been capping for 20 years now, and have learned over the course of time that this works best for me...hope this helps you

 

[silver7]

Pags

That`s essentially the way I start out. I assign #`s to the tms I like, then refine it when the lines come out. Discard some, add some etc., go over the stats again, read some selected cappers here and @ other places, (you`re one of them), then start the betting process! Sat. was good, but my NFL as usual was marginal.

 

[AlwaysKeen]

silver,

sweet...I think it's important to have a system or a process that keeps things consistent...other thing I try to do is let games sink in...trying not to bet them too early...earliest I try to bet a game is Tuesday, unless something totally sticks out...as the year goes on, linesmakers get pretty tight with the lines which usually has me taking games on Wed. and Thur.

It's always good to share info. like this...GL.

 

[heart222]

go to my post about docs pick in the college section. doc is over 65% this year on games where one side or the other has cover 80%. this book comes out in July I bet them on Tuesdays. last week 9-2 this week there are 5 games. its a great starting point.

 

[loneranger]

Until you get on track (no substitute for Winners!!!), I would cut down a few plays. Can't just play 10-12 every week (sometimes the board is good and sometimes is bad).

Lets say you play $50 a game (just throwing out an arbitrary number. Divide the plays int 3 groups. Play the top group for $60, the bottom group for $40 and the rest for the regular $50 or something like that. If you aren't sure which are stronger plays you can get a set of power ratings like Jeff Sagarin in the USA Today. After you made your list of games to play, compare them with his ratings and make the 3 groups that way. That helps take out your "opinion" on which games would be stronger. Also, don't just go by 3 guys like this so I'll make it the best bet. If they are using the same methods of handicapping, they should come out with the same results. If they have different reasoning/methods and come up with same side that would make it a stronger play.

 

[CalmMcEnroe]

Until you get on track (no substitute for Winners!!!), I would cut down a few plays. Can't just play 10-12 every week (sometimes the board is good and sometimes is bad).

Lets say you play $50 a game (just throwing out an arbitrary number. Divide the plays int 3 groups. Play the top group for $60, the bottom group for $40 and the rest for the regular $50 or something like that. If you aren't sure which are stronger plays you can get a set of power ratings like Jeff Sagarin in the USA Today. After you made your list of games to play, compare them with his ratings and make the 3 groups that way. That helps take out your "opinion" on which games would be stronger. Also, don't just go by 3 guys like this so I'll make it the best bet. If they are using the same methods of handicapping, they should come out with the same results. If they have different reasoning/methods and come up with same side that would make it a stronger play.

From most of the successful gamblers that I've talked to who have been doing this a while (not just a few years) they have been pretty much unanimous on one thing; 95%+ of your plays should be for flat units. It's okay to have a bigger than normal play if you feel you have a huge advantage but those opportunities are few and far between. The road to long term success is money management and although it's tough to stick to it, it will eventually help you out.

 

[loneranger]

I tend to agree (and they would also suggest limiting the plays). I was suggesting a few plays slightly higher and a few slightly lower. Not single plays, double plays and triple plays.
Except in a few cases I don't think the top plays should be 3x or 5x the regular play. Sometmes you'll see touts release their card with 3 5* 3 7* 1 10* and 1 20*. %wise that is nearly 1/3 bankroll on a single play - not good.

 

[twjd]

Lone Ranger I like your system the best. I'm going to give it a try.

 

[plato]

BG, before I would adjust any bet sizes I would seriously look at how you are picking the games. It, on the surface of what you said, doesn't appear that you are picking the right ones. While I agree that all bets are not created equal, you must have sound reasoning to create "units" for each bet. All units can be the same in each category, but you can have many categories (only after you figure out what you are currently doing incorrect). gl