How in the world can San Antonio be favored by 9 in game 2?

[jwblue]

Denver beat San Antonio the first game. Tim Duncan is not 100%. What is going on here?

I feel like pouring money into Denver. Someone convince me not to.

IS

 

[captainchaos]

dont pour it....flood it.

 

[jerseymike111]

Denver beat San Antonio the first game. Tim Duncan is not 100%. What is going on here?

I feel like pouring money into Denver. Someone convince me not to.

IS

Well first off you have to always use money management..and of course there is.........Oh fu*k it.Duncan cann't jump or go side to side to play any defense.The 9 looks like a gift to me also!
I already placed twice my normal play on it!
If they don't cover,i guess we will both look like this:monsters-
GL to us....

 

[padrote]

Im with you...

Man, everybody is freaking out here in SA. 9 is too many, Sheet, I might even throw a unit on the moneyline at +430

padrote

 

[jwblue]

Vegas must be thinking that the public is going to take the Spurs because there is no way that the Spurs will lose game 2.

IS

 

[HPark1]

"Vegas must be thinking that the public is going to take the Spurs because there is no way that the Spurs will lose game 2."

Usually not how the thinking process works for the masses. If a team is hot they will continue to support them.

Fact is Spurs had a meltdown in the last 1+ minutes before the half which cost them 6 points and a ridiculous 10+ minute stretch in the 4th without a FG, which will never happen again.

Even with those serious mishaps the game was still a one possesion game with under 1 minute to go.


I wouldn't bet big on Denver, Spurs will likely win by 10+.

 

[ronaldn]

That is perfectly normal for Vegas. After years of watching the lines in the playoffs I have come to a few conclusions.

All things being equal, ie same home team, no major injuries etc:
If the favorite loses a game, they will be a greater fav the next game.
If the fav wins the game they will be less of a fav the next game.

Just check all the lines now.
Dallas -5.5 lost. Now -7
Miami -9 won. Now -8
Seattle -4 won. Now -3
San Ant -8 lost. Now -9
Chi -4 won. Now -3.5
Phoenix -9 won. Now -8
Det and Bos lines are the same.

Follow this for all the playoffs and you will see this pattern repeat itself over and over again.

 

[captainchaos]

imo these lines are set up to protect from the heavy hitters who do the zigzag. if line was say san an -6.5 to -7.5 big bettors would hammer it to where the line is now. by putting the line there, the oddsmen are preemptively protecting from the big boys. they do not care that square money will play the dog bc they figure they will get that money back in time. another angle on this line is that it is taking into consideration prior history...much like those laker lines last year vs detroit. thing is the la team was nothing like prior la teams ly and imo the san an team this year nothing like the prior san an teams. as for the dallas line...unless the game is fixed or hou gets food poisoning i do not see how dal covers this line. a lot of their late wins were vs bad comp and as a whole this team a lot different than recent editions considering nash isnt there. i was enamored with dallas before playoffs bc of depth and talent but a friend of mine who is nba guru who does not bet said i should be looking at houston bc of the coach and size inside with yao and mutumbo. i will definitely be on rockets tonight.

 

[padrote]

I agree with your friend CC. The Rockets seem to be a more discipline team on the defensive side. And when T-mac is on, they can beat anybody. I have'em going to the WCF against my Spurs, but by the look of things, Houston will probably be playing...... Denver? :monsters-

padrote