college basketball is so erratic its almost impossible to be really good at it i just lost an 8 team parlay on boston college they won by 4 and i had -4.5 they are 6-2 playing a 1-5 team and it went to overtime and they couldnt hit free throws hit 7/8 but that doesnt pay sorry had to vent
more than any other sport home court is huge. unlike baseball, and football the actual you have a distinct advantage on your home court. Atmosphere aside being able to practice, and shoot on your home hoops is a big deal. just think to when you were a kid and used to play basketball in your driveway or the local park. you were comfortable with the rims, the surrounding, the depth behind the basket, etc. for any shooters who played ball at a high level you know what i'm talking about. i know i shot several % higher at home from high school through college. you can look at home field goal % vs road and they are always higher. i value home court a great deal when it comes to capping cbb. just my .002
Tru dat.
Maybe most importantly...since there are so many teams and so many games played throughout the year you really have to read up on your teams, follow the scores, and most importantly watch any chance you get. These teams change so drastically year in and year out you have to stay on top of it.
Baseball is easy dough if you are VERY selactive. Very boring sport to bet because you should only take on average 7 games per week.
Well no doubt you can win posting multiple plays but from what I've seen in my days...go back and take your top play from the day and see what your record is. Thats just my way of doing it not THE way of doing it.
A lot of decent advice in here.....I also have found CBB the easiest to 'cap and the most profitable. The kids always try hard unlike NBA or NFL.
I use a somewhat complicated, analytical method of 'capping. I use a spreadsheet that does most of the work, but it took a few years to set up with all the filters that I feel are necessary. Basic knowledge and experience is all that is required to have fun. If you're planning on actually making a serious effort at the cash, you'll need to read about all the teams and conferences, players etc.
I tend to disagree with Homedog about HCA. Certainly, it is important, but I've found that there are only 34 teams (out of 346) that HCA is significant enough to alter my lines.
If you google Ken Pomeroy, you'll find enough information to get you started. His method is related to Pace of play. He then computes Offensive efficiency, which basically evaluates how many points a team will score in 100 possessions. He also uses Defensive efficiency in the same manner. In the matchups, it's possible to predict a score using those numbers.
This is very elementary, but using this method, combined with HCA and common sense it's possible to make some money. The Vegas lines are not as accurate as you may think, especially this early in the season. You simply need a method to identify those that are in error.
Also, one very important aspect. On this forum and others, you'll notice some 'cappers that know a great deal about local teams. I'm not going to mention anyone by name, but scour the forums and you'll find them. It's very helpful as they are like having "scouts" in various cities. Trying to acquire inside information on 346 teams is next to impossible. These guys narrow it down to the teams and conferences they know most about. I appreciate their effort and sharing.
Sorry for the long post....
Good Luck on your action...
I use a somewhat complicated, analytical method of 'capping. I use a spreadsheet that does most of the work, but it took a few years to set up with all the filters that I feel are necessary. Basic knowledge and experience is all that is required to have fun. If you're planning on actually making a serious effort at the cash, you'll need to read about all the teams and conferences, players etc.
I tend to disagree with Homedog about HCA. Certainly, it is important, but I've found that there are only 34 teams (out of 346) that HCA is significant enough to alter my lines.
If you google Ken Pomeroy, you'll find enough information to get you started. His method is related to Pace of play. He then computes Offensive efficiency, which basically evaluates how many points a team will score in 100 possessions. He also uses Defensive efficiency in the same manner. In the matchups, it's possible to predict a score using those numbers.
This is very elementary, but using this method, combined with HCA and common sense it's possible to make some money. The Vegas lines are not as accurate as you may think, especially this early in the season. You simply need a method to identify those that are in error.
Also, one very important aspect. On this forum and others, you'll notice some 'cappers that know a great deal about local teams. I'm not going to mention anyone by name, but scour the forums and you'll find them. It's very helpful as they are like having "scouts" in various cities. Trying to acquire inside information on 346 teams is next to impossible. These guys narrow it down to the teams and conferences they know most about. I appreciate their effort and sharing.
Sorry for the long post....
Good Luck on your action...
we'll have to agree to disagree b/c in my mind it is single handily the most important factor when it comes to cbb. i have won for years with my style, and will stick to it. Unless your system has hundreds of different filters I would be very suspect of it, just b/c of all the different variables each game entails. Totals would be much easier to have a system for, but sides I can't see to have a chance on working.
