Breeders' Cup Facts and Figures
By Anthony Stabile
Historical Betting Notes
Favorites are 96 for 292 (33%) in the 32 year history of the event, while those that were odds on favorites (under even money) are 26 for 55 (47%). The 1990 Juvenile Fillies at Belmont produced the shortest price in Breeders’ Cup history when Meadow Star returned $2.40.
Only one of the 39 horses that have gone off at 100-1 or higher has hit the board. Arcangues came from the other side of the pond to win the 1993 Classic as the biggest longshot in Breeders’ Cup history, returning $269.20.
Inside Information posted the largest margin of victory in Breeders’ Cup history when she walloped her competition by 13 ½ lengths in the 1995 Distaff at Belmont. Eighteen horses have won by the shortest margin of victory, a nose, including Bayern the 2014 Classic.
Foreign based runners have had tremendous success in Breeders’ Cup events. They’ve won 57 races overall, including a remarkable 46 of the 106 (43%) run on the grass. They’ve won seven on conventional dirt and four synthetic track races.
Zenyatta, Beholder, Secret Circle and Stephanie’s Kitten are the only horses to ever win two different events. Goldikova is the only horse to ever win three Breeders’ Cup races.
Horses that have won multiple Breeders’ Cup races
Bayakoa – Distaff – 1989, 1990
Beholder – Juvenile Fillies - 2012, Distaff - 2013
Conduit – Turf – 2008, 2009
Da Hoss – Mile – 1996, 1998
Goldencents – Dirt Mile – 2013, 2014
Goldikova – Mile – 2008, 2009, 2010
Groupie Doll – F&M Sprint - 2012, 2013
High Chapparal – Turf – 2002, 2003 (dead heat w/Johar)
Lure – Mile – 1992, 1993
Midnight Lute – Sprint – 2007, 2008
Miesque – Mile – 1987, 1988
Mizdirection – Turf Sprint – 2012, 2013
Ouija Board – F&M Turf – 2004, 2006
Royal Delta – Distaff – 2011, 2012
Secret Circle – 2011 Juvenile Sprint/2013 Sprint
Stephanie’s Kitten – 2011 Juvenile Fillies, Turf , 2015 - F&M Turf
Tiznow – Classic – 2000, 2001
Wise Dan – Mile – 2012, 2013
Zenyatta – Distaff - 2008, Classic -2009
By Anthony Stabile
Historical Betting Notes
Favorites are 96 for 292 (33%) in the 32 year history of the event, while those that were odds on favorites (under even money) are 26 for 55 (47%). The 1990 Juvenile Fillies at Belmont produced the shortest price in Breeders’ Cup history when Meadow Star returned $2.40.
Only one of the 39 horses that have gone off at 100-1 or higher has hit the board. Arcangues came from the other side of the pond to win the 1993 Classic as the biggest longshot in Breeders’ Cup history, returning $269.20.
Inside Information posted the largest margin of victory in Breeders’ Cup history when she walloped her competition by 13 ½ lengths in the 1995 Distaff at Belmont. Eighteen horses have won by the shortest margin of victory, a nose, including Bayern the 2014 Classic.
Foreign based runners have had tremendous success in Breeders’ Cup events. They’ve won 57 races overall, including a remarkable 46 of the 106 (43%) run on the grass. They’ve won seven on conventional dirt and four synthetic track races.
Zenyatta, Beholder, Secret Circle and Stephanie’s Kitten are the only horses to ever win two different events. Goldikova is the only horse to ever win three Breeders’ Cup races.
Horses that have won multiple Breeders’ Cup races
Bayakoa – Distaff – 1989, 1990
Beholder – Juvenile Fillies - 2012, Distaff - 2013
Conduit – Turf – 2008, 2009
Da Hoss – Mile – 1996, 1998
Goldencents – Dirt Mile – 2013, 2014
Goldikova – Mile – 2008, 2009, 2010
Groupie Doll – F&M Sprint - 2012, 2013
High Chapparal – Turf – 2002, 2003 (dead heat w/Johar)
Lure – Mile – 1992, 1993
Midnight Lute – Sprint – 2007, 2008
Miesque – Mile – 1987, 1988
Mizdirection – Turf Sprint – 2012, 2013
Ouija Board – F&M Turf – 2004, 2006
Royal Delta – Distaff – 2011, 2012
Secret Circle – 2011 Juvenile Sprint/2013 Sprint
Stephanie’s Kitten – 2011 Juvenile Fillies, Turf , 2015 - F&M Turf
Tiznow – Classic – 2000, 2001
Wise Dan – Mile – 2012, 2013
Zenyatta – Distaff - 2008, Classic -2009
2016 Breeders' Cup Preview
By Anthony Stabile
Welcome to Stabile’s Breeders’ Cup Preview, an in depth look into each and every Breeders’ Cup race to be held Friday, November 4th and Saturday, November 5th at Santa Anita in Arcadia, CA. Handicapper Anthony “the Big A” Stabile will take a look at the contenders in each event, talk about how the race should set-up and provide some strategies on how to get the biggest bang for your buck when it comes to betting on the race.
Day 1 - Friday, Nov. 4, 2016
Race Purse Distance/Surface Post Time
Juvenile Turf $1,000,000 1 Mile 5:25 p.m. ET
Dirt Mile $1,000,000 1 Mile 6:05 p.m. ET
Juvenile Fillies Turf $1,000,000 1 Mile 6:50 p.m. ET
Distaff $2,000,000 1 1/8 Miles 7:35 p.m. ET
Day 2 - Saturday, Nov. 5, 2016
Race Purse Distance/Surface Post Time
Juvenile Fillies $2,000,000 1 1/16 Miles 3:05 p.m. ET
Filly & Mare Turf $2,000,000 1 1/4 Miles 3:45 p.m. ET
Sprint $1,500,000 6 Furlongs 4:21 p.m. ET
Turf Sprint $1,000,000 6.5 Furlongs 5:05 p.m. ET
Juvenile $2,000,000 1 1/16 miles 5:43 p.m. ET
Turf $4,000,000 1 1/2 miles 6:22 p.m. ET
Filly & Mare Sprint $1,000,000 7 Furlongs 7:01 p.m. ET
Mile $2,000,000 1 mile 7:40 p.m. ET
Classic $6,000,000 1 1/4 miles 8:35 p.m. ET
By Anthony Stabile
Welcome to Stabile’s Breeders’ Cup Preview, an in depth look into each and every Breeders’ Cup race to be held Friday, November 4th and Saturday, November 5th at Santa Anita in Arcadia, CA. Handicapper Anthony “the Big A” Stabile will take a look at the contenders in each event, talk about how the race should set-up and provide some strategies on how to get the biggest bang for your buck when it comes to betting on the race.
Day 1 - Friday, Nov. 4, 2016
Race Purse Distance/Surface Post Time
Juvenile Turf $1,000,000 1 Mile 5:25 p.m. ET
Dirt Mile $1,000,000 1 Mile 6:05 p.m. ET
Juvenile Fillies Turf $1,000,000 1 Mile 6:50 p.m. ET
Distaff $2,000,000 1 1/8 Miles 7:35 p.m. ET
Day 2 - Saturday, Nov. 5, 2016
Race Purse Distance/Surface Post Time
Juvenile Fillies $2,000,000 1 1/16 Miles 3:05 p.m. ET
Filly & Mare Turf $2,000,000 1 1/4 Miles 3:45 p.m. ET
Sprint $1,500,000 6 Furlongs 4:21 p.m. ET
Turf Sprint $1,000,000 6.5 Furlongs 5:05 p.m. ET
Juvenile $2,000,000 1 1/16 miles 5:43 p.m. ET
Turf $4,000,000 1 1/2 miles 6:22 p.m. ET
Filly & Mare Sprint $1,000,000 7 Furlongs 7:01 p.m. ET
Mile $2,000,000 1 mile 7:40 p.m. ET
Classic $6,000,000 1 1/4 miles 8:35 p.m. ET
Breeders' Cup Facts and Figures
By Anthony Stabile
Historical Betting Notes
Favorites are 96 for 292 (33%) in the 32 year history of the event, while those that were odds on favorites (under even money) are 26 for 55 (47%). The 1990 Juvenile Fillies at Belmont produced the shortest price in Breeders’ Cup history when Meadow Star returned $2.40.
Only one of the 39 horses that have gone off at 100-1 or higher has hit the board. Arcangues came from the other side of the pond to win the 1993 Classic as the biggest longshot in Breeders’ Cup history, returning $269.20.
Inside Information posted the largest margin of victory in Breeders’ Cup history when she walloped her competition by 13 ½ lengths in the 1995 Distaff at Belmont. Eighteen horses have won by the shortest margin of victory, a nose, including Bayern the 2014 Classic.
Foreign based runners have had tremendous success in Breeders’ Cup events. They’ve won 57 races overall, including a remarkable 46 of the 106 (43%) run on the grass. They’ve won seven on conventional dirt and four synthetic track races.
Zenyatta, Beholder, Secret Circle and Stephanie’s Kitten are the only horses to ever win two different events. Goldikova is the only horse to ever win three Breeders’ Cup races.
Horses that have won multiple Breeders’ Cup races
Bayakoa – Distaff – 1989, 1990
Beholder – Juvenile Fillies - 2012, Distaff - 2013
Conduit – Turf – 2008, 2009
Da Hoss – Mile – 1996, 1998
Goldencents – Dirt Mile – 2013, 2014
Goldikova – Mile – 2008, 2009, 2010
Groupie Doll – F&M Sprint - 2012, 2013
High Chapparal – Turf – 2002, 2003 (dead heat w/Johar)
Lure – Mile – 1992, 1993
Midnight Lute – Sprint – 2007, 2008
Miesque – Mile – 1987, 1988
Mizdirection – Turf Sprint – 2012, 2013
Ouija Board – F&M Turf – 2004, 2006
Royal Delta – Distaff – 2011, 2012
Secret Circle – 2011 Juvenile Sprint/2013 Sprint
Stephanie’s Kitten – 2011 Juvenile Fillies, Turf , 2015 - F&M Turf
Tiznow – Classic – 2000, 2001
Wise Dan – Mile – 2012, 2013
Zenyatta – Distaff - 2008, Classic -2009
By Anthony Stabile
Historical Betting Notes
Favorites are 96 for 292 (33%) in the 32 year history of the event, while those that were odds on favorites (under even money) are 26 for 55 (47%). The 1990 Juvenile Fillies at Belmont produced the shortest price in Breeders’ Cup history when Meadow Star returned $2.40.
Only one of the 39 horses that have gone off at 100-1 or higher has hit the board. Arcangues came from the other side of the pond to win the 1993 Classic as the biggest longshot in Breeders’ Cup history, returning $269.20.
Inside Information posted the largest margin of victory in Breeders’ Cup history when she walloped her competition by 13 ½ lengths in the 1995 Distaff at Belmont. Eighteen horses have won by the shortest margin of victory, a nose, including Bayern the 2014 Classic.
Foreign based runners have had tremendous success in Breeders’ Cup events. They’ve won 57 races overall, including a remarkable 46 of the 106 (43%) run on the grass. They’ve won seven on conventional dirt and four synthetic track races.
Zenyatta, Beholder, Secret Circle and Stephanie’s Kitten are the only horses to ever win two different events. Goldikova is the only horse to ever win three Breeders’ Cup races.
Horses that have won multiple Breeders’ Cup races
Bayakoa – Distaff – 1989, 1990
Beholder – Juvenile Fillies - 2012, Distaff - 2013
Conduit – Turf – 2008, 2009
Da Hoss – Mile – 1996, 1998
Goldencents – Dirt Mile – 2013, 2014
Goldikova – Mile – 2008, 2009, 2010
Groupie Doll – F&M Sprint - 2012, 2013
High Chapparal – Turf – 2002, 2003 (dead heat w/Johar)
Lure – Mile – 1992, 1993
Midnight Lute – Sprint – 2007, 2008
Miesque – Mile – 1987, 1988
Mizdirection – Turf Sprint – 2012, 2013
Ouija Board – F&M Turf – 2004, 2006
Royal Delta – Distaff – 2011, 2012
Secret Circle – 2011 Juvenile Sprint/2013 Sprint
Stephanie’s Kitten – 2011 Juvenile Fillies, Turf , 2015 - F&M Turf
Tiznow – Classic – 2000, 2001
Wise Dan – Mile – 2012, 2013
Zenyatta – Distaff - 2008, Classic -2009
Mohawk: Friday 11/4 Analysis
By Garnet Barnsdale
DRF
Race 1 - $30,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool
Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool
PICK 5: 7,8,9/2,7,10/1,4,6/2,5,10/8,10 = $32.40
EARLY PICK 4: 2,5,10/8,10/2,6,7/2,5 = $36
LATE PICK 4: 3,4/3,6/1/2,4,10 = $12
MEET STATS: 459 - 1366 / $2396.00 BEST BETS: 72 - 125 / $225.60
SPOT PLAYS: 31 - 125 / $203.20
Best Bet: KILLEAN FINALE (10th)
Spot Play: WHISTYS PARADISE (11th)
Race 1
(8) IMSPORTY raced well in the slop now he goes for Moreau off the claim here; top call in the opener. (7) LOCK N RELOAD has a solid record now tries claimers for the first time. He's worth a long look vs. many suspect foes. (9) JUST A THOUGHT passed most of the field in the back 1/2 to win in his debut in claimers. He could repeat; toss on Pick 5 tickets. (2) THE AVENGER should be able to take a share racing from close range here.
Race 2
(7) PENNIES FROM ABOVE almost got the job done a class higher last week. If she can lay a bit closer this time, she can beat these. (2) POLLAR HALL was beaten by a promising two-year-old colt last time and he should be prominent throughout here. (10) STUCK IN MY SPANKS has been racing against the best female rookie trotters, now she faces elders. She can take a share here if she stays flat. (8) VERY CLASSY should show some early foot then stick around for a share.
Race 3
(1) MISTY DE VIE should be able to sit closer to the pace here and she can convert if she finds live cover. (4) BETTORS UP has a great record and flashed excellent speed in the summer. She will likely be the one to chase down. (6) HOT SPOT HANOVER has been solid in her last two and a threepeat isn't out of the question here. (7) SHE LIGHTS OUT may last longer leaving from a better post here.
Race 4
(5) JMR MACH MEL requalified okay after taking a ton of money in her debut and breaking. I'll give her another try in a wide-open dash. (10) SNAPPY DRESSER has been racing decently and she could pepper the exotics here leaving from the outside. (2) COLUMNIST gets Filion here in an effort to break her maiden in her 28th try; she isn't impossible here. (4) B FIFTEEN looks like she has a bit of talent but she must stay flat.
Race 5
(10) UTOPIA has been in good form for several weeks now he goes for the top barn off the claim here. I am expecting Filion to get him a better position early here, even leaving from the 10 hole. (8) OLYMPIC SON raced well for Henry last time; expect the same here with that driver sticking. (6) KINETIC KING can close for a smaller slice, as he does often. (1) SECOND SISTER steps up off a good effort but merits a look for exotic plays.
Race 6
(6) LAY LADY LAY has been game in defeat in her past two starts after doing the heavy lifting. If she can work out a slightly easier trip, she can beat these. (7) MS MAC N CHEESE drops a few levels here and she has to be considered despite being an infrequent winner this year. (2) BET YA moves inside where she is sure to be heard from; using. (5) D GS PESQUERO has developed an effective closing style. She can share again here.
Race 7
(2) TWIN B INSPIRING is in sharp form and she has beaten better at this meet already; top call. (5) REGAL LUCK picks up Filion here shipping in which should mean she is headed to the front early; using. (7) STONEBRIDGE QUEST drops and may get sent off the gate here, which would make her dangerous. (8) RIDE AWAY SHARK hasn't missed a check in over a month and her good tactical speed should land her a spot near the front early here.
Race 8
(3) DOMEDOMEDOME drops to a level where she should be a top contender leaving from a good post here. (4) JETPEDIA has the speed to contend here and perhaps Davis Jr. will look for a spot closer to the front. (1) CROWN CLASSIC quite often takes a smaller share and she could do just that leaving from the inside here. (9) SCARY GOOD is in good form and he stands a decent chance of landing on the ticket here.
Race 9
(6) SANDBETWEENURTOES missed four weeks prior to her last start and came up dull. Returning quicker could make all the difference here. (3) ROCK N ROLL EXAMPLE roared home to win in this class last week. She's the one to hold off late. (1) WRANGLER MAGIC should get a good trip here leaving from the rail and take a share. (5) SAYITALL BB never missed a check and she should take one here.
Race 10
(1) KILLEAN FINALE draws well coming off a lifetime-best score; call to repeat. (5) SELLING THE DREAM faces easier here and also draws well; the main threat. (4) KATIES BEACH is 3 for her last 54 but is in good form and she can hit the ticket. (7) NAUGHTY LADY B was 2nd to the choice from the same post last week. She can take a smaller share here with a similar effort.
Race 11
(4) WHISTYS PARADISE showed her patented late kick off last week and if she brings a similar effort here she can win this despite stepping up in class. (10) MISS COCO LUCK drops a couple of classes here and may try to wire this. (2) BAROCKEY gets back to a regular cycle here and could be a lot closer at the finish. (5) ST LADS PENNY LANE and (8) P L HURRICANE are both great mares to use underneath in exotics
By Garnet Barnsdale
DRF
Race 1 - $30,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool
Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool
PICK 5: 7,8,9/2,7,10/1,4,6/2,5,10/8,10 = $32.40
EARLY PICK 4: 2,5,10/8,10/2,6,7/2,5 = $36
LATE PICK 4: 3,4/3,6/1/2,4,10 = $12
MEET STATS: 459 - 1366 / $2396.00 BEST BETS: 72 - 125 / $225.60
SPOT PLAYS: 31 - 125 / $203.20
Best Bet: KILLEAN FINALE (10th)
Spot Play: WHISTYS PARADISE (11th)
Race 1
(8) IMSPORTY raced well in the slop now he goes for Moreau off the claim here; top call in the opener. (7) LOCK N RELOAD has a solid record now tries claimers for the first time. He's worth a long look vs. many suspect foes. (9) JUST A THOUGHT passed most of the field in the back 1/2 to win in his debut in claimers. He could repeat; toss on Pick 5 tickets. (2) THE AVENGER should be able to take a share racing from close range here.
Race 2
(7) PENNIES FROM ABOVE almost got the job done a class higher last week. If she can lay a bit closer this time, she can beat these. (2) POLLAR HALL was beaten by a promising two-year-old colt last time and he should be prominent throughout here. (10) STUCK IN MY SPANKS has been racing against the best female rookie trotters, now she faces elders. She can take a share here if she stays flat. (8) VERY CLASSY should show some early foot then stick around for a share.
Race 3
(1) MISTY DE VIE should be able to sit closer to the pace here and she can convert if she finds live cover. (4) BETTORS UP has a great record and flashed excellent speed in the summer. She will likely be the one to chase down. (6) HOT SPOT HANOVER has been solid in her last two and a threepeat isn't out of the question here. (7) SHE LIGHTS OUT may last longer leaving from a better post here.
Race 4
(5) JMR MACH MEL requalified okay after taking a ton of money in her debut and breaking. I'll give her another try in a wide-open dash. (10) SNAPPY DRESSER has been racing decently and she could pepper the exotics here leaving from the outside. (2) COLUMNIST gets Filion here in an effort to break her maiden in her 28th try; she isn't impossible here. (4) B FIFTEEN looks like she has a bit of talent but she must stay flat.
Race 5
(10) UTOPIA has been in good form for several weeks now he goes for the top barn off the claim here. I am expecting Filion to get him a better position early here, even leaving from the 10 hole. (8) OLYMPIC SON raced well for Henry last time; expect the same here with that driver sticking. (6) KINETIC KING can close for a smaller slice, as he does often. (1) SECOND SISTER steps up off a good effort but merits a look for exotic plays.
Race 6
(6) LAY LADY LAY has been game in defeat in her past two starts after doing the heavy lifting. If she can work out a slightly easier trip, she can beat these. (7) MS MAC N CHEESE drops a few levels here and she has to be considered despite being an infrequent winner this year. (2) BET YA moves inside where she is sure to be heard from; using. (5) D GS PESQUERO has developed an effective closing style. She can share again here.
Race 7
(2) TWIN B INSPIRING is in sharp form and she has beaten better at this meet already; top call. (5) REGAL LUCK picks up Filion here shipping in which should mean she is headed to the front early; using. (7) STONEBRIDGE QUEST drops and may get sent off the gate here, which would make her dangerous. (8) RIDE AWAY SHARK hasn't missed a check in over a month and her good tactical speed should land her a spot near the front early here.
Race 8
(3) DOMEDOMEDOME drops to a level where she should be a top contender leaving from a good post here. (4) JETPEDIA has the speed to contend here and perhaps Davis Jr. will look for a spot closer to the front. (1) CROWN CLASSIC quite often takes a smaller share and she could do just that leaving from the inside here. (9) SCARY GOOD is in good form and he stands a decent chance of landing on the ticket here.
Race 9
(6) SANDBETWEENURTOES missed four weeks prior to her last start and came up dull. Returning quicker could make all the difference here. (3) ROCK N ROLL EXAMPLE roared home to win in this class last week. She's the one to hold off late. (1) WRANGLER MAGIC should get a good trip here leaving from the rail and take a share. (5) SAYITALL BB never missed a check and she should take one here.
Race 10
(1) KILLEAN FINALE draws well coming off a lifetime-best score; call to repeat. (5) SELLING THE DREAM faces easier here and also draws well; the main threat. (4) KATIES BEACH is 3 for her last 54 but is in good form and she can hit the ticket. (7) NAUGHTY LADY B was 2nd to the choice from the same post last week. She can take a smaller share here with a similar effort.
Race 11
(4) WHISTYS PARADISE showed her patented late kick off last week and if she brings a similar effort here she can win this despite stepping up in class. (10) MISS COCO LUCK drops a couple of classes here and may try to wire this. (2) BAROCKEY gets back to a regular cycle here and could be a lot closer at the finish. (5) ST LADS PENNY LANE and (8) P L HURRICANE are both great mares to use underneath in exotics
Meadowlands: Friday 11/4 Analysis
By Derick Giwner
DRF
Race 1 - $30,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool
Race 3 - $25,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool
Race 7 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool
MEET STATS: 25 - 53 / $109.60 (+$3.60)
BEST BETS: 2 - 4 / $4.80 (-3.20)
Best Bet: STORMIN RUSTLER (3rd)
Spot Play: ROADWAY (2nd)
Race 1
(4) DREAM ROCKER should be plenty tight after a solid second-place finish on Tuesday. I’m not in love with any of these horses but at least this gal has legitimate early speed and should be put in play. (2) KEYSTONE THOMAS has done well here in the past and you can’t fault him for the dull effort last time after getting parked out. (1) PROUD MOMENT is not as fast as he used to be at 11 years old, but he does have the class to pull off an upset.
Race 2
(1) ROADWAY has a 1:51 4/5 win at the Meadowlands this year, which jumps off the page. Don’t be surprised is Ginsburg fires this guy up behind the gate and looks to wire the field. (2) MAYFLOWERMOONSHINE has been stuck with outside posts week after week. Twelve-year-old has back class and might enjoy the better starting spot. (3) BAKIN ON THE BEACH hasn’t raced in almost four weeks but is more than capable of winning in a spot like this one.
Race 3
(4) STORMIN RUSTLER couldn’t have hand-picked a better spot. I know his form isn’t great, but he should be able to take charge here. (8) OUTLAWDANGRUSWATRS has proven versatile and has as good as shot as any in this formless field. (5) CHEYENNE OXE doesn’t have a lot of positive big track experience. That said, at least he has been racing OK of late.
Race 4
(1) SWEET JUSTICE should be firing off the gate as usual and take this field as far as he can. (3) MAGENTA MAN is one of two horses written into the condition on the NW75000 Lifetime also eligible line. If he is ready in his first start since May, watch out. (7) KELSEY’S KEEPSAKE never got involved from post eight at Pocono in her first start for this barn; can improve.
Race 5
(8) VEGAS DREAM was cruising along on the lead when he lost control seemingly due to broken equipment. I’m sticking with him one more time. (9) GRAVE DANCER took dead aim at the top choice and won by default when he stopped suddenly last week. (2) HEAVEN’S GAIT was conservatively driven and had no chance a week ago at 4-5. He could make amends at a better price.
Race 6
(6) ROCK OF CASHEL is a rock-solid competitor who brings an honest effort week after week. He catches a field with plenty of early speed and that should set up his late rally. (4) NOWUCIT NOWUDONT raced somewhat conservatively after seven weeks on the bench. I’m expecting a better effort this time. (8) OPULENT YANKEE drew clear in his qualifier and you can ignore the slow time because the track was very slow with high winds playing a role. If he is ready to fire his best shot, he wins.
Race 7
(8) IMAGINE DRAGON couldn’t handle the stiffer competition in the Breeders Crown. This spot should be right up her alley if McCarthy can keep her in striking position. (6) LYONS RIVER PRIDE moves into a new barn and sports some solid miles on his PP lines in Canada. (1) GWENEEEE J has missed more than five weeks of action. If she is ready to roll, this looks like a great spot.
Race 8
(3) WINDSONG ILLUSION has legitimate excuses for his recent loses, having started from post eight last time and making a break two starts back. This is a very winnable spot and I wouldn’t be surprised to see him show early speed. (8) EARL’S SPEEDER righted the ship with hobbles added last time and two in a row is possible. (4) JACKS TO OPEN has plenty of form and should be a player.
Race 9
(1) PURITY came up short after missing nearly three months of action. Five-year-old mare knows her way around this track and should be in close attendance from the onset. (8) PRINCESS KATIE switches to a bigger track and was able to score multiple times on larger ovals in Canada. (4) ROYAL KNOCKOUT is clearly sharp but keeps hanging in the stretch. (6) SHE’S HEAVENLY scored a big upset last time.
Race 10
(2) HILL I AM closed reasonably well in his first start in eight months. He should be a bit tighter now. (1) DETROIT RAPPER loomed boldly last time but quickly flattened out. He is the best horse in the field if sharp. (10) STITCH IN TIME has the early speed to overcome the outside draw but no form to speak of.
Race 11
(2) M A JACKIE double-drops in class and faces a blank field. (5) FULL EXPLOSION gets a nice driver change to Callahan. (7) KESONS AVAIA blew up the board last time at Pocono.
Race 12
(4) FOUR HOUR NAP was used hard last week and only lost by a few lengths. Let’s give her another shot against a weak field. (5) LOOKOUT STOKK ZONE has been facing tougher and does get a driver switch to Callahan. (8) MISSSOMEBEACH BLUE is another in from out of town where she was racing against better competition. (10) CAMPANILE is sharp enough to contend but will be hurt by the outside post.
By Derick Giwner
DRF
Race 1 - $30,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool
Race 3 - $25,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool
Race 7 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool
MEET STATS: 25 - 53 / $109.60 (+$3.60)
BEST BETS: 2 - 4 / $4.80 (-3.20)
Best Bet: STORMIN RUSTLER (3rd)
Spot Play: ROADWAY (2nd)
Race 1
(4) DREAM ROCKER should be plenty tight after a solid second-place finish on Tuesday. I’m not in love with any of these horses but at least this gal has legitimate early speed and should be put in play. (2) KEYSTONE THOMAS has done well here in the past and you can’t fault him for the dull effort last time after getting parked out. (1) PROUD MOMENT is not as fast as he used to be at 11 years old, but he does have the class to pull off an upset.
Race 2
(1) ROADWAY has a 1:51 4/5 win at the Meadowlands this year, which jumps off the page. Don’t be surprised is Ginsburg fires this guy up behind the gate and looks to wire the field. (2) MAYFLOWERMOONSHINE has been stuck with outside posts week after week. Twelve-year-old has back class and might enjoy the better starting spot. (3) BAKIN ON THE BEACH hasn’t raced in almost four weeks but is more than capable of winning in a spot like this one.
Race 3
(4) STORMIN RUSTLER couldn’t have hand-picked a better spot. I know his form isn’t great, but he should be able to take charge here. (8) OUTLAWDANGRUSWATRS has proven versatile and has as good as shot as any in this formless field. (5) CHEYENNE OXE doesn’t have a lot of positive big track experience. That said, at least he has been racing OK of late.
Race 4
(1) SWEET JUSTICE should be firing off the gate as usual and take this field as far as he can. (3) MAGENTA MAN is one of two horses written into the condition on the NW75000 Lifetime also eligible line. If he is ready in his first start since May, watch out. (7) KELSEY’S KEEPSAKE never got involved from post eight at Pocono in her first start for this barn; can improve.
Race 5
(8) VEGAS DREAM was cruising along on the lead when he lost control seemingly due to broken equipment. I’m sticking with him one more time. (9) GRAVE DANCER took dead aim at the top choice and won by default when he stopped suddenly last week. (2) HEAVEN’S GAIT was conservatively driven and had no chance a week ago at 4-5. He could make amends at a better price.
Race 6
(6) ROCK OF CASHEL is a rock-solid competitor who brings an honest effort week after week. He catches a field with plenty of early speed and that should set up his late rally. (4) NOWUCIT NOWUDONT raced somewhat conservatively after seven weeks on the bench. I’m expecting a better effort this time. (8) OPULENT YANKEE drew clear in his qualifier and you can ignore the slow time because the track was very slow with high winds playing a role. If he is ready to fire his best shot, he wins.
Race 7
(8) IMAGINE DRAGON couldn’t handle the stiffer competition in the Breeders Crown. This spot should be right up her alley if McCarthy can keep her in striking position. (6) LYONS RIVER PRIDE moves into a new barn and sports some solid miles on his PP lines in Canada. (1) GWENEEEE J has missed more than five weeks of action. If she is ready to roll, this looks like a great spot.
Race 8
(3) WINDSONG ILLUSION has legitimate excuses for his recent loses, having started from post eight last time and making a break two starts back. This is a very winnable spot and I wouldn’t be surprised to see him show early speed. (8) EARL’S SPEEDER righted the ship with hobbles added last time and two in a row is possible. (4) JACKS TO OPEN has plenty of form and should be a player.
Race 9
(1) PURITY came up short after missing nearly three months of action. Five-year-old mare knows her way around this track and should be in close attendance from the onset. (8) PRINCESS KATIE switches to a bigger track and was able to score multiple times on larger ovals in Canada. (4) ROYAL KNOCKOUT is clearly sharp but keeps hanging in the stretch. (6) SHE’S HEAVENLY scored a big upset last time.
Race 10
(2) HILL I AM closed reasonably well in his first start in eight months. He should be a bit tighter now. (1) DETROIT RAPPER loomed boldly last time but quickly flattened out. He is the best horse in the field if sharp. (10) STITCH IN TIME has the early speed to overcome the outside draw but no form to speak of.
Race 11
(2) M A JACKIE double-drops in class and faces a blank field. (5) FULL EXPLOSION gets a nice driver change to Callahan. (7) KESONS AVAIA blew up the board last time at Pocono.
Race 12
(4) FOUR HOUR NAP was used hard last week and only lost by a few lengths. Let’s give her another shot against a weak field. (5) LOOKOUT STOKK ZONE has been facing tougher and does get a driver switch to Callahan. (8) MISSSOMEBEACH BLUE is another in from out of town where she was racing against better competition. (10) CAMPANILE is sharp enough to contend but will be hurt by the outside post.
Yonkers: Friday 11/4 Analysis
By Matt Rose
DRF
MEET STATS: 391 - 1122 / $2,133.90
BEST BETS: 51 - 91 / $169.10
Best Bet: FASHION DELIGHT (6th)
Spot Play: BAD NIGHT MARE (2nd)
Race 1
(3) KAITLIN RAE never got involved last week but with tonight's post relief the Allard trainee looms the one to beat. (4) UPFRONTWHOSURLADY gets Bartlett back in the bike and they teamed up to win three back, albeit in a different barn. (1) HARMONY OAKS QUIKE should be good enough to hold position from this spot.
Race 2
(2) BAD NIGHT MARE saved ground and finished with pace last out; one of these weeks she's going to get there. (1) CANACO STAR got away very easily on the front end last week; clearly she can repeat but may have to work harder tonight. (4) HERETIC FRANCO N qualified nicely after that erratic effort last out but the recent import seems like she should be much better than she's showing.
Race 3
(5) NOBLES FINESSE finished nicely from off the pace last out; Sears picks up the drive tonight. (6) PAN STREET USA faltered badly on a night where this barn was bad; clearly he's capable of rebounding. (3) KILLER MARTINI can always be counted on for a share.
Race 4
(1) MASSIVE ATTACK A has been racing well recently without a win to show for it; perhaps the post relief gets her over the top. (7) ROCKAROUND SUE draws another poor post but Bartlett sticks and she's got class to her; on the move early? (4) HER OWN LAND raced well in her debut for Sorentino and she can land a board spot again.
Race 5
(1) KISS OF TERROR came up flat last out at Philly but his prior efforts off the Allard claim were decent; gelding may be a good fit here in this evenly-matched bunch. (8) SHADIOS draws worst but will likely be gunning to the front. (4) SAM'S ESCAPE goes for another new barn off the claim and has been in good form.
Race 6
(1) FASHION DELIGHT couldn't hack an uncovered grind into a sharp front-running winner last week but from this spot Bartlett will be taking charge. (4) ROETHBLISSBERGER drops back down to a winning level and has early speed. (3) ARTIST NIGHT has been razor-sharp and would be no surprise.
Race 7
(2) MOSQUITO BLUE CHIP battled hard and tired versus better last out; Allard trainee is classier than these. (7) CAVIART CARI ANN has been tons better since adding the pacing hobbles and she had plenty left last week. (4) PASULTIMATEDELITE N has clear ability and just needs a smooth trip to contend.
Race 8
(8) MACH IT A PAR was flying to the wire last week after lingering in last and just missed; she will sweep these if anywhere close turning for home. (4) MOMAS GOT A GUN has done nothing wrong since arriving locally and may offer a price again. (7) KRISPY APPLE got away easily on the front end last week; classy mare is always a threat.
Race 9
(3) MASTERSON was an easy pocket-sitting winner last week and can certainly repeat for top connections. (5) DOJEA SOLO can fire to the front, release for a trip and hold his ground late. (2) SPORTSKEEPER gets some post relief which gives him a better chance.
Race 10
(6) SECRETS OUT N isn't the most reliable horse out there but he can crush these if in the mood. (3) SAGE N figures to be more involved from this spot. (7) TIPITINA was a winner two back at this level but needs to navigate the outside post.
By Matt Rose
DRF
MEET STATS: 391 - 1122 / $2,133.90
BEST BETS: 51 - 91 / $169.10
Best Bet: FASHION DELIGHT (6th)
Spot Play: BAD NIGHT MARE (2nd)
Race 1
(3) KAITLIN RAE never got involved last week but with tonight's post relief the Allard trainee looms the one to beat. (4) UPFRONTWHOSURLADY gets Bartlett back in the bike and they teamed up to win three back, albeit in a different barn. (1) HARMONY OAKS QUIKE should be good enough to hold position from this spot.
Race 2
(2) BAD NIGHT MARE saved ground and finished with pace last out; one of these weeks she's going to get there. (1) CANACO STAR got away very easily on the front end last week; clearly she can repeat but may have to work harder tonight. (4) HERETIC FRANCO N qualified nicely after that erratic effort last out but the recent import seems like she should be much better than she's showing.
Race 3
(5) NOBLES FINESSE finished nicely from off the pace last out; Sears picks up the drive tonight. (6) PAN STREET USA faltered badly on a night where this barn was bad; clearly he's capable of rebounding. (3) KILLER MARTINI can always be counted on for a share.
Race 4
(1) MASSIVE ATTACK A has been racing well recently without a win to show for it; perhaps the post relief gets her over the top. (7) ROCKAROUND SUE draws another poor post but Bartlett sticks and she's got class to her; on the move early? (4) HER OWN LAND raced well in her debut for Sorentino and she can land a board spot again.
Race 5
(1) KISS OF TERROR came up flat last out at Philly but his prior efforts off the Allard claim were decent; gelding may be a good fit here in this evenly-matched bunch. (8) SHADIOS draws worst but will likely be gunning to the front. (4) SAM'S ESCAPE goes for another new barn off the claim and has been in good form.
Race 6
(1) FASHION DELIGHT couldn't hack an uncovered grind into a sharp front-running winner last week but from this spot Bartlett will be taking charge. (4) ROETHBLISSBERGER drops back down to a winning level and has early speed. (3) ARTIST NIGHT has been razor-sharp and would be no surprise.
Race 7
(2) MOSQUITO BLUE CHIP battled hard and tired versus better last out; Allard trainee is classier than these. (7) CAVIART CARI ANN has been tons better since adding the pacing hobbles and she had plenty left last week. (4) PASULTIMATEDELITE N has clear ability and just needs a smooth trip to contend.
Race 8
(8) MACH IT A PAR was flying to the wire last week after lingering in last and just missed; she will sweep these if anywhere close turning for home. (4) MOMAS GOT A GUN has done nothing wrong since arriving locally and may offer a price again. (7) KRISPY APPLE got away easily on the front end last week; classy mare is always a threat.
Race 9
(3) MASTERSON was an easy pocket-sitting winner last week and can certainly repeat for top connections. (5) DOJEA SOLO can fire to the front, release for a trip and hold his ground late. (2) SPORTSKEEPER gets some post relief which gives him a better chance.
Race 10
(6) SECRETS OUT N isn't the most reliable horse out there but he can crush these if in the mood. (3) SAGE N figures to be more involved from this spot. (7) TIPITINA was a winner two back at this level but needs to navigate the outside post.
At the Gate - Friday
By Mike Dempsey
It is a big day today. That’s right, it is opening day at Aqueduct!
The 10-race card gets underway at 12:10 ET with the opening day feature the $200,000 Nashua (G2) which drew a compact field of five.
Okay, that’s enough about the Big A, it is also Breeders’ Cup Day 1, with a great 10 race card on tap at Santa Anita that features four of the 13 Breeders’ Cup races.
The first Breeders’ Cup race is the $1 million Juvenile Turf (G1) which might be one of the best wagering races over the two days of action. A full field of two-year-olds will head to the gate including three Euro invaders.
Then we get to see Dortmund in action in the $1 million Dirt Mile (G1). The Bob Baffert trainee gets away from California Chrome and is going to be tough to beat as the 6-5 morning line favorite.
Among his foes is last year’s Breeders’ Cup Sprint (G1) champ Runhappy, who makes his second start off the layoff and could be the underlay of the 13 races.
The $1 million Juvenile Fillies Turf (G1) drew a full field of 14 including six making their first start in the U.S. The home team has done well in this race, but the tides could shift here as there is a talented group that has made the trip.
The $2 million Distaff (G1) caps off the day, with three champions—Songbird, Beholder and Stellar Wind doing battle in the most anticipated race of the Breeders’ Cup.
However, let’s not discount the supporting cast of Curalina, Forever Unbridled and I’m a Chatterbox, as they are each multiple Garde 1 winners and they all figure to go off at double digit odds.
Here is the opening race from Aqueduct to get the day off to a good start:
AQU Race 1 Alw $50,000s (12:20 ET)
#2 Bella Bailar 5-2
#1 Marnesia Big Girl 3-1
#6 Bagema 5-1
#5 Doinwhatshelikes 6-1
Analysis: Bella Bailar took the field gate to wire to beat $50,000 non-winners of two at Keeneland going six furlongs in a sharp effort. She bounced back after fading to finish a well beaten ninth two back against Alw-1 foes at Churchill Downs in her first start against winners. She owns solid early and mid pace numbers and is in good hands with the sharp Cox barn that finds a great spot for her here facing starter allowance foes.
Marnesia Big Girl drew off to beat $25,000 non-winners of two by 14 lengths last out at Belmont Park going a mile in a race taken off the turf. Her five previous starts had come on turf and now Rice keeps her on dirt. Her maiden breaker came in the slop at Gulfstream Park last September. She should be able to handle the cut back to seven panels for a barn that is 24% winners (with a +ROI) moving runners from route to sprint.
Wagering
WIN: #2 to win at 9-5 or better.
EX: 1,2 / 1,2,5,6
TRI: 1,2 / 1,2,5,6 / 1,2,3,5,6
Today’s Featured Race of the Day from Aqueduct:
AQU Race 8 OClm $40,000N2X (4:22 ET)
#1 Captain Gaughen 4-1
#5 Call Provision 8-5
#3 Runaway Posse 5-1
#7 Aragonite 8-1
Analysis: Captain Gaughen stalked the early pace and finished evenly in a fourth-place finish against open Alw-2 optional claimers and now returns to the state bred ranks for the hit RRod barn. The gelding also stretches back out to a route and he has five wins on turf and two have been at this distance.
Call Provision as squeezed back coming out of the gate and weakened to finish sixth after tracking the early pace at the Spa going nine furlongs in the Saranac (G3). This guy has no trouble beating state bred Alw-1 foes two back, drawing away to win by 5 1/2 lengths as the chalk. He was only beaten a neck back in June in the Pennine Ridge (G3) in his first go against winners. The deserving chalk for Brown.
Wagering
WIN: #1 to win at 3-1 or better.
EX: 1,5 / 1,3,5,7
TRI: 1,5 / 1,3,5,7 / 1,3,5,7,8
Today’s Featured Race of the Day from Santa Anita:
SA Race 5 The Golden State Juvenile Fillies (1:45 PT)
#8 Vai 7-2
#10 How About Zero 8-1
#3 Only You Babe 4-1
#9 My Pi Romancer 10-1
Analysis: Vai is perfect in two starts, breaking her maiden in her debut at Del Mar at 8-1 and then beating state bred Alw-1 optional claimers last out over the main track here as the chalk. The Glatt trainee owns solid early and mid pace numbers and looks as if she will be able to handle the extra furlong.
How About Zero is still a maiden but O'Neill thought enough of her to try her in stakes company in her debut where she ran second. She could not match strides with Ms Wakaya last out as the beaten favorite, settling for the runner up spot. Blinkers are added today and she figures to be in the mix early in this spot. She is out of an In Excess mare that has dropped two winners.
Wagering
WIN: #8 to win at 3-1 or better.
EX: 8,10 / 3,8,9,10
TRI: 8,10 / 3,8,9,10 / 3,4,8,9,10
Live Longshots:
These are price plays for exotic players looking to find a couple of extra contenders to use in their trifecta and superfecta wagers. Or for those with smaller bankrolls, you might want to get in a small win-place wager.
Aqueduct
R2: #10 Pure Gemmz 15-1
R3: #5 Boys From Boston 8-1
R5: #10 Browneyed Bachelor 15-1
R6: #6 Tequila Sunday 12-1
R7: #4 Bug Juice 8-1
R8: #7 Aragonite 8-1
R9: #1 Indycott 12-1
R10: #10 Degrees of Freedom 8-1
Good luck today!
By Mike Dempsey
It is a big day today. That’s right, it is opening day at Aqueduct!
The 10-race card gets underway at 12:10 ET with the opening day feature the $200,000 Nashua (G2) which drew a compact field of five.
Okay, that’s enough about the Big A, it is also Breeders’ Cup Day 1, with a great 10 race card on tap at Santa Anita that features four of the 13 Breeders’ Cup races.
The first Breeders’ Cup race is the $1 million Juvenile Turf (G1) which might be one of the best wagering races over the two days of action. A full field of two-year-olds will head to the gate including three Euro invaders.
Then we get to see Dortmund in action in the $1 million Dirt Mile (G1). The Bob Baffert trainee gets away from California Chrome and is going to be tough to beat as the 6-5 morning line favorite.
Among his foes is last year’s Breeders’ Cup Sprint (G1) champ Runhappy, who makes his second start off the layoff and could be the underlay of the 13 races.
The $1 million Juvenile Fillies Turf (G1) drew a full field of 14 including six making their first start in the U.S. The home team has done well in this race, but the tides could shift here as there is a talented group that has made the trip.
The $2 million Distaff (G1) caps off the day, with three champions—Songbird, Beholder and Stellar Wind doing battle in the most anticipated race of the Breeders’ Cup.
However, let’s not discount the supporting cast of Curalina, Forever Unbridled and I’m a Chatterbox, as they are each multiple Garde 1 winners and they all figure to go off at double digit odds.
Here is the opening race from Aqueduct to get the day off to a good start:
AQU Race 1 Alw $50,000s (12:20 ET)
#2 Bella Bailar 5-2
#1 Marnesia Big Girl 3-1
#6 Bagema 5-1
#5 Doinwhatshelikes 6-1
Analysis: Bella Bailar took the field gate to wire to beat $50,000 non-winners of two at Keeneland going six furlongs in a sharp effort. She bounced back after fading to finish a well beaten ninth two back against Alw-1 foes at Churchill Downs in her first start against winners. She owns solid early and mid pace numbers and is in good hands with the sharp Cox barn that finds a great spot for her here facing starter allowance foes.
Marnesia Big Girl drew off to beat $25,000 non-winners of two by 14 lengths last out at Belmont Park going a mile in a race taken off the turf. Her five previous starts had come on turf and now Rice keeps her on dirt. Her maiden breaker came in the slop at Gulfstream Park last September. She should be able to handle the cut back to seven panels for a barn that is 24% winners (with a +ROI) moving runners from route to sprint.
Wagering
WIN: #2 to win at 9-5 or better.
EX: 1,2 / 1,2,5,6
TRI: 1,2 / 1,2,5,6 / 1,2,3,5,6
Today’s Featured Race of the Day from Aqueduct:
AQU Race 8 OClm $40,000N2X (4:22 ET)
#1 Captain Gaughen 4-1
#5 Call Provision 8-5
#3 Runaway Posse 5-1
#7 Aragonite 8-1
Analysis: Captain Gaughen stalked the early pace and finished evenly in a fourth-place finish against open Alw-2 optional claimers and now returns to the state bred ranks for the hit RRod barn. The gelding also stretches back out to a route and he has five wins on turf and two have been at this distance.
Call Provision as squeezed back coming out of the gate and weakened to finish sixth after tracking the early pace at the Spa going nine furlongs in the Saranac (G3). This guy has no trouble beating state bred Alw-1 foes two back, drawing away to win by 5 1/2 lengths as the chalk. He was only beaten a neck back in June in the Pennine Ridge (G3) in his first go against winners. The deserving chalk for Brown.
Wagering
WIN: #1 to win at 3-1 or better.
EX: 1,5 / 1,3,5,7
TRI: 1,5 / 1,3,5,7 / 1,3,5,7,8
Today’s Featured Race of the Day from Santa Anita:
SA Race 5 The Golden State Juvenile Fillies (1:45 PT)
#8 Vai 7-2
#10 How About Zero 8-1
#3 Only You Babe 4-1
#9 My Pi Romancer 10-1
Analysis: Vai is perfect in two starts, breaking her maiden in her debut at Del Mar at 8-1 and then beating state bred Alw-1 optional claimers last out over the main track here as the chalk. The Glatt trainee owns solid early and mid pace numbers and looks as if she will be able to handle the extra furlong.
How About Zero is still a maiden but O'Neill thought enough of her to try her in stakes company in her debut where she ran second. She could not match strides with Ms Wakaya last out as the beaten favorite, settling for the runner up spot. Blinkers are added today and she figures to be in the mix early in this spot. She is out of an In Excess mare that has dropped two winners.
Wagering
WIN: #8 to win at 3-1 or better.
EX: 8,10 / 3,8,9,10
TRI: 8,10 / 3,8,9,10 / 3,4,8,9,10
Live Longshots:
These are price plays for exotic players looking to find a couple of extra contenders to use in their trifecta and superfecta wagers. Or for those with smaller bankrolls, you might want to get in a small win-place wager.
Aqueduct
R2: #10 Pure Gemmz 15-1
R3: #5 Boys From Boston 8-1
R5: #10 Browneyed Bachelor 15-1
R6: #6 Tequila Sunday 12-1
R7: #4 Bug Juice 8-1
R8: #7 Aragonite 8-1
R9: #1 Indycott 12-1
R10: #10 Degrees of Freedom 8-1
Good luck today!
Meadowlands: Friday 11/4 Analysis
By Derick Giwner
DRF
Race 1 - $30,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool
Race 3 - $25,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool
Race 7 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool
MEET STATS: 25 - 53 / $109.60 (+$3.60)
BEST BETS: 2 - 4 / $4.80 (-3.20)
Best Bet: STORMIN RUSTLER (3rd)
Spot Play: ROADWAY (2nd)
Race 1
(4) DREAM ROCKER should be plenty tight after a solid second-place finish on Tuesday. I’m not in love with any of these horses but at least this gal has legitimate early speed and should be put in play. (2) KEYSTONE THOMAS has done well here in the past and you can’t fault him for the dull effort last time after getting parked out. (1) PROUD MOMENT is not as fast as he used to be at 11 years old, but he does have the class to pull off an upset.
Race 2
(1) ROADWAY has a 1:51 4/5 win at the Meadowlands this year, which jumps off the page. Don’t be surprised is Ginsburg fires this guy up behind the gate and looks to wire the field. (2) MAYFLOWERMOONSHINE has been stuck with outside posts week after week. Twelve-year-old has back class and might enjoy the better starting spot. (3) BAKIN ON THE BEACH hasn’t raced in almost four weeks but is more than capable of winning in a spot like this one.
Race 3
(4) STORMIN RUSTLER couldn’t have hand-picked a better spot. I know his form isn’t great, but he should be able to take charge here. (8) OUTLAWDANGRUSWATRS has proven versatile and has as good as shot as any in this formless field. (5) CHEYENNE OXE doesn’t have a lot of positive big track experience. That said, at least he has been racing OK of late.
Race 4
(1) SWEET JUSTICE should be firing off the gate as usual and take this field as far as he can. (3) MAGENTA MAN is one of two horses written into the condition on the NW75000 Lifetime also eligible line. If he is ready in his first start since May, watch out. (7) KELSEY’S KEEPSAKE never got involved from post eight at Pocono in her first start for this barn; can improve.
Race 5
(8) VEGAS DREAM was cruising along on the lead when he lost control seemingly due to broken equipment. I’m sticking with him one more time. (9) GRAVE DANCER took dead aim at the top choice and won by default when he stopped suddenly last week. (2) HEAVEN’S GAIT was conservatively driven and had no chance a week ago at 4-5. He could make amends at a better price.
Race 6
(6) ROCK OF CASHEL is a rock-solid competitor who brings an honest effort week after week. He catches a field with plenty of early speed and that should set up his late rally. (4) NOWUCIT NOWUDONT raced somewhat conservatively after seven weeks on the bench. I’m expecting a better effort this time. (8) OPULENT YANKEE drew clear in his qualifier and you can ignore the slow time because the track was very slow with high winds playing a role. If he is ready to fire his best shot, he wins.
Race 7
(8) IMAGINE DRAGON couldn’t handle the stiffer competition in the Breeders Crown. This spot should be right up her alley if McCarthy can keep her in striking position. (6) LYONS RIVER PRIDE moves into a new barn and sports some solid miles on his PP lines in Canada. (1) GWENEEEE J has missed more than five weeks of action. If she is ready to roll, this looks like a great spot.
Race 8
(3) WINDSONG ILLUSION has legitimate excuses for his recent loses, having started from post eight last time and making a break two starts back. This is a very winnable spot and I wouldn’t be surprised to see him show early speed. (8) EARL’S SPEEDER righted the ship with hobbles added last time and two in a row is possible. (4) JACKS TO OPEN has plenty of form and should be a player.
Race 9
(1) PURITY came up short after missing nearly three months of action. Five-year-old mare knows her way around this track and should be in close attendance from the onset. (8) PRINCESS KATIE switches to a bigger track and was able to score multiple times on larger ovals in Canada. (4) ROYAL KNOCKOUT is clearly sharp but keeps hanging in the stretch. (6) SHE’S HEAVENLY scored a big upset last time.
Race 10
(2) HILL I AM closed reasonably well in his first start in eight months. He should be a bit tighter now. (1) DETROIT RAPPER loomed boldly last time but quickly flattened out. He is the best horse in the field if sharp. (10) STITCH IN TIME has the early speed to overcome the outside draw but no form to speak of.
Race 11
(2) M A JACKIE double-drops in class and faces a blank field. (5) FULL EXPLOSION gets a nice driver change to Callahan. (7) KESONS AVAIA blew up the board last time at Pocono.
Race 12
(4) FOUR HOUR NAP was used hard last week and only lost by a few lengths. Let’s give her another shot against a weak field. (5) LOOKOUT STOKK ZONE has been facing tougher and does get a driver switch to Callahan. (8) MISSSOMEBEACH BLUE is another in from out of town where she was racing against better competition. (10) CAMPANILE is sharp enough to contend but will be hurt by the outside post.
By Derick Giwner
DRF
Race 1 - $30,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool
Race 3 - $25,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool
Race 7 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool
MEET STATS: 25 - 53 / $109.60 (+$3.60)
BEST BETS: 2 - 4 / $4.80 (-3.20)
Best Bet: STORMIN RUSTLER (3rd)
Spot Play: ROADWAY (2nd)
Race 1
(4) DREAM ROCKER should be plenty tight after a solid second-place finish on Tuesday. I’m not in love with any of these horses but at least this gal has legitimate early speed and should be put in play. (2) KEYSTONE THOMAS has done well here in the past and you can’t fault him for the dull effort last time after getting parked out. (1) PROUD MOMENT is not as fast as he used to be at 11 years old, but he does have the class to pull off an upset.
Race 2
(1) ROADWAY has a 1:51 4/5 win at the Meadowlands this year, which jumps off the page. Don’t be surprised is Ginsburg fires this guy up behind the gate and looks to wire the field. (2) MAYFLOWERMOONSHINE has been stuck with outside posts week after week. Twelve-year-old has back class and might enjoy the better starting spot. (3) BAKIN ON THE BEACH hasn’t raced in almost four weeks but is more than capable of winning in a spot like this one.
Race 3
(4) STORMIN RUSTLER couldn’t have hand-picked a better spot. I know his form isn’t great, but he should be able to take charge here. (8) OUTLAWDANGRUSWATRS has proven versatile and has as good as shot as any in this formless field. (5) CHEYENNE OXE doesn’t have a lot of positive big track experience. That said, at least he has been racing OK of late.
Race 4
(1) SWEET JUSTICE should be firing off the gate as usual and take this field as far as he can. (3) MAGENTA MAN is one of two horses written into the condition on the NW75000 Lifetime also eligible line. If he is ready in his first start since May, watch out. (7) KELSEY’S KEEPSAKE never got involved from post eight at Pocono in her first start for this barn; can improve.
Race 5
(8) VEGAS DREAM was cruising along on the lead when he lost control seemingly due to broken equipment. I’m sticking with him one more time. (9) GRAVE DANCER took dead aim at the top choice and won by default when he stopped suddenly last week. (2) HEAVEN’S GAIT was conservatively driven and had no chance a week ago at 4-5. He could make amends at a better price.
Race 6
(6) ROCK OF CASHEL is a rock-solid competitor who brings an honest effort week after week. He catches a field with plenty of early speed and that should set up his late rally. (4) NOWUCIT NOWUDONT raced somewhat conservatively after seven weeks on the bench. I’m expecting a better effort this time. (8) OPULENT YANKEE drew clear in his qualifier and you can ignore the slow time because the track was very slow with high winds playing a role. If he is ready to fire his best shot, he wins.
Race 7
(8) IMAGINE DRAGON couldn’t handle the stiffer competition in the Breeders Crown. This spot should be right up her alley if McCarthy can keep her in striking position. (6) LYONS RIVER PRIDE moves into a new barn and sports some solid miles on his PP lines in Canada. (1) GWENEEEE J has missed more than five weeks of action. If she is ready to roll, this looks like a great spot.
Race 8
(3) WINDSONG ILLUSION has legitimate excuses for his recent loses, having started from post eight last time and making a break two starts back. This is a very winnable spot and I wouldn’t be surprised to see him show early speed. (8) EARL’S SPEEDER righted the ship with hobbles added last time and two in a row is possible. (4) JACKS TO OPEN has plenty of form and should be a player.
Race 9
(1) PURITY came up short after missing nearly three months of action. Five-year-old mare knows her way around this track and should be in close attendance from the onset. (8) PRINCESS KATIE switches to a bigger track and was able to score multiple times on larger ovals in Canada. (4) ROYAL KNOCKOUT is clearly sharp but keeps hanging in the stretch. (6) SHE’S HEAVENLY scored a big upset last time.
Race 10
(2) HILL I AM closed reasonably well in his first start in eight months. He should be a bit tighter now. (1) DETROIT RAPPER loomed boldly last time but quickly flattened out. He is the best horse in the field if sharp. (10) STITCH IN TIME has the early speed to overcome the outside draw but no form to speak of.
Race 11
(2) M A JACKIE double-drops in class and faces a blank field. (5) FULL EXPLOSION gets a nice driver change to Callahan. (7) KESONS AVAIA blew up the board last time at Pocono.
Race 12
(4) FOUR HOUR NAP was used hard last week and only lost by a few lengths. Let’s give her another shot against a weak field. (5) LOOKOUT STOKK ZONE has been facing tougher and does get a driver switch to Callahan. (8) MISSSOMEBEACH BLUE is another in from out of town where she was racing against better competition. (10) CAMPANILE is sharp enough to contend but will be hurt by the outside post.
SPOT PLAYS
For Friday
TRACK (RACE) HORSE, MORNING LINE
Aqueduct (1st) Chorus Line, 6-1
(8th) Aragonite, 8-1
Charles Town (2nd) Hero of War, 5-1
(5th) Foxy Flirt, 8-1
Churchill Downs (3rd) Sugar Cube, 3-1
(5th) Cap's Tale, 4-1
Delta Downs (1st) Montbrooks Miracle, 7-2
(10th) One True Sun, 7-2
Golden Gate Fields (2nd) Pocket Prince, 3-1
(4th) Chaun With a C, 7-2
Gulfstream Park West (3rd) Princess Dom, 3-1
(8th) Tanyas Pride, 6-1
Hawthorne (3rd) Spring City Gal, 6-1
(9th) Electric Cat, 10-1
Laurel Park (1st) Alex's Way, 7-2
(9th) Tizanillusion, 7-2
Penn National (6th) Evening Prize, 8-1
(8th) Northern Call, 3-1
Remington Park (1st) Tiz a Lady Now, 5-1
(4th) Animauxion, 10-1
Retama Park (7th) She's All Ranger, 9-2
(8th) Sexy Dance, 7-2
Santa Anita (1st) Distinctive B, 7-2
(2nd) My Palmilla, 6-1
Turf Paradise (6th) Lee's Gold, 5-1
(7th) Aikman Jack, 6-1
Woodbine (4th) Classyshadesofgrey, 3-1
(6th) Mick the Conqueror, 4-1
For Friday
TRACK (RACE) HORSE, MORNING LINE
Aqueduct (1st) Chorus Line, 6-1
(8th) Aragonite, 8-1
Charles Town (2nd) Hero of War, 5-1
(5th) Foxy Flirt, 8-1
Churchill Downs (3rd) Sugar Cube, 3-1
(5th) Cap's Tale, 4-1
Delta Downs (1st) Montbrooks Miracle, 7-2
(10th) One True Sun, 7-2
Golden Gate Fields (2nd) Pocket Prince, 3-1
(4th) Chaun With a C, 7-2
Gulfstream Park West (3rd) Princess Dom, 3-1
(8th) Tanyas Pride, 6-1
Hawthorne (3rd) Spring City Gal, 6-1
(9th) Electric Cat, 10-1
Laurel Park (1st) Alex's Way, 7-2
(9th) Tizanillusion, 7-2
Penn National (6th) Evening Prize, 8-1
(8th) Northern Call, 3-1
Remington Park (1st) Tiz a Lady Now, 5-1
(4th) Animauxion, 10-1
Retama Park (7th) She's All Ranger, 9-2
(8th) Sexy Dance, 7-2
Santa Anita (1st) Distinctive B, 7-2
(2nd) My Palmilla, 6-1
Turf Paradise (6th) Lee's Gold, 5-1
(7th) Aikman Jack, 6-1
Woodbine (4th) Classyshadesofgrey, 3-1
(6th) Mick the Conqueror, 4-1
[h=5]Offensive Edge
Write Up Posted on Site
Breeders' Cup Friday
RACE 6: JUVENILE TURF - PURSE: $1,000,000
#6 BIG SCORE 8/1
#11 GOOD SAMARITAN 9/2
#13 OSCAR PERFORMANCE 4/1
LIVE LONGSHOT: #3 CHANNEL MAKER 30/1[/h][h=5]
RACE 7: DIRT MILE - PURSE: $1,000,000
#3 DORTMUND 6/5
#8 TAMARKUZ 8/1
#1 VYJACK 10/1
LIVE LONGSHOT: #6 TEXAS CHROME 20/1[/h][h=5]
RACE 8: JUVENILE FILLIES TURF - PURSE: $1,000,000
#14 LA CORONEL 9/2
#5 VICTORY TO VICTORY 12/1
#4 SPAIN BURG (FR) 5/1
LIVE LONGSHOT: #10 HAPPY MESA 20/1[/h][h=5]
RACE 9: DISTAFF - PURSE: $2,000,000[/h]
Write Up Posted on Site
Breeders' Cup Friday
RACE 6: JUVENILE TURF - PURSE: $1,000,000
#6 BIG SCORE 8/1
#11 GOOD SAMARITAN 9/2
#13 OSCAR PERFORMANCE 4/1
LIVE LONGSHOT: #3 CHANNEL MAKER 30/1[/h][h=5]
RACE 7: DIRT MILE - PURSE: $1,000,000
#3 DORTMUND 6/5
#8 TAMARKUZ 8/1
#1 VYJACK 10/1
LIVE LONGSHOT: #6 TEXAS CHROME 20/1[/h][h=5]
RACE 8: JUVENILE FILLIES TURF - PURSE: $1,000,000
#14 LA CORONEL 9/2
#5 VICTORY TO VICTORY 12/1
#4 SPAIN BURG (FR) 5/1
LIVE LONGSHOT: #10 HAPPY MESA 20/1[/h][h=5]
RACE 9: DISTAFF - PURSE: $2,000,000[/h]
