Horse Racing 2-6-17

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Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Monticello Raceway

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 5 - Post: 1:45 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 74 - Purse:$2500 - F& M $4000 CLAIMING/ALLOWANCES N/W $1250 LAST 3 STARTS $3000 P/C L/S SCRATCHED - SO CAM LUCKY - JUDGES
CONSORTIUM*CHOICES

# 4 QUIK PULSE DAISY 5/2
# 1 DARN SHOOTIN 3/1
# 5 SHELBY LU 9/2

After thorough analysis by the group, QUIK PULSE DAISY comes out as the top selection. This nice horse may have some hidden form, a victory would be a pleasant surprise. Feel the need for speed, this contender has been turning in some outstanding TrackMaster Speed Ratings averaging around 79. This nice horse looks tough considering the high class stats. Not a good idea to throw out of any exotics. DARN SHOOTIN - Not many folks know, but the 1 slot here at Monticello Raceway has been fantastic for an above average win percentage. Positively the class of the group of animals with an average rating of 79. A nice play. SHELBY LU - Recent figures for the driver - 29 percent win - make this mare a clear choice in the group. This mare has the ability to take positive advantage of a favorable pace scenario in this race.
 
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Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Yonkers Raceway

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 9 - Post: 9:50 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 84 - Purse:$29000 - NON-WINNERS OF 6 P-M RACES OR $60,000 LIFETIME. 3,4& 5 YEAR OLD COLTS, HORSES & GELDINGS
CONSORTIUM*CHOICES

# 5 HUSTLING CHARLEY 5/1
# 6 BLAISE MM HANOVER 5/2
# 2 STIRLING ESCORT 5/1

If you want a really strong play this time, feast your eyes on HUSTLING CHARLEY. Many horse players know speed is of the utmost importance. This horse has credentials with a 87 avg figure. Good for a win wager just off the outstanding prior class figures. Have to like this standardbred. BLAISE MM HANOVER - A competitive play in here as he has one of the highest winning pcts in the bunch as well as strong credentials all around. Has a bang-up shot this time, if he can perform to his back class. STIRLING ESCORT - Could surprise us at a fair price. Don't leave out.
 
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Handicapped by The Walker Group at Louisiana Downs

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 7 - Maiden Claiming - 440y on the Dirt. Purse: $7000 Class Rating: 62

QUARTER HORSE 440Y, FOR ACCREDITED LA BRED MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $10,000.


RECOMMENDED*CHOICES


# 2 PRODUCTIVE BLUE 5/2

# 8 CURLEYS GONE GRAY 9/2

# 7 ITSASELFISHGAME 5/1

I've got to go with PRODUCTIVE BLUE. Looks competitive against this group and should be one of the early speedsters. CURLEYS GONE GRAY - May best this field here, showing respectable figures of late. Lujan has been scorching the last month, winning at a nifty 17 percent rate. ITSASELFISHGAME - This rider and trainer team has produced some strong ROI numbers at this track. Could best this group based on the speed fig - 56 - of his last affair.
 
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Handicapped by The Walker Group at Mahoning Valley Race Course

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 4 - Claiming - 8.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $10500 Class Rating: 71

FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 118 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE JANUARY 6 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $7,500


RECOMMENDED*CHOICES


# 2 PAPA MOON 5/2

# 1 CHANCE OF REIGN 5/1

# 3 GARAVA 9/2

PAPA MOON gets the edge as the wager in here. Demonstrates the look of a profitable play, averaging a solid 67 speed fig which is one of the top in this field. Tauzin has him trained admirably to break speedily out of the starting gate. Could beat this group given the 71 speed rating recorded in his last outing. CHANCE OF REIGN - Has performed strongly as of late in route races, posting a nifty 65 avg speed rating. Ought to be given consideration for this event if only for the very strong speed rating recorded in the last race. GARAVA - Is worth thinking about and may be a bet - strong speed figures (57 average) at today's distance and surface as of late. Might go off at a decent number and has some positives going for him.
 
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Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Parx Racing - Race #1 - Post: 12:25pm - Maiden Claiming - 8.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $18,000 Class Rating: 55

Rating:

#8 BALTIMORE BEAUTY (ML=9/2)
#4 BEAUTIFUL MAIDEN (ML=6/1)


BALTIMORE BEAUTY - Jock hops right back aloft after getting to know the fine animal by riding last out. That's always a positive sign. BEAUTIFUL MAIDEN - Don't often see a lucrative return on investment like +70. This rider/conditioner pair has done well together over the last year. Pinero comes to saddle up after getting to know the filly in the last contest. I know the outfit is serious today. The filly gets Lasix for the first time.

Vulnerable Contenders: #2 HALLUCINATION (ML=5/2), #7 BLUE BIRDS FLY (ML=4/1), #1 HELLO MOON (ML=5/1),

HALLUCINATION - Hasn't been on the Parx Racing oval in the last three weeks. Cause for some concern. HELLO MOON - I checked out her past performances and she hasn't done well out of the one slot.

GUEST COMMENTARY: Winston - BEAUTIFUL MAIDEN - Deceivingly close to victory on Dec 26th. A repeat of that strong effort makes her a contender this time around.
*


STRAIGHT WAGERS:

#8 BALTIMORE BEAUTY is going to be the play if we are getting 5/2 or better

EXACTA WAGERS:

Box [4,8]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:

Skip

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:

Skip
 
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Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Mahoning Valley Race Course - Race #6 - Post: 3:04pm - Claiming - 5.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $11,600 Class Rating: 64

Rating:

#1 HILLBILLY HULA GAL (ML=12/1)
#8 AMANDA MARIE (ML=4/1)
#7 GREAT WAY LADY (ML=8/1)


HILLBILLY HULA GAL - Entered last at Mahoning Valley Race Cour in a race with an Equibase class figure of 69. Dropping a significant amount in class rating in today's event puts her in a solid position in this race. I sense a pace scenario where the pace will fail to hang on, setting up a perfect situation for her late kick. Mare is a few starts into a return to racing here. Should give a big performance today. Sub-par outing last time around the track at Mahoning Valley Race Cour was due to the off-going (she finished fifth). Expect better in today's race without a sloppy track. AMANDA MARIE - After the affair aboard this horse on December 10th, the rider is going to know the filly much better. Was in an Allowance race at Mahoning Valley Race Cour in the last race. That race had a class figure of 72 and she is moving down right here. A certain solid contender. That 62 fig this filly earned in her last event tells me she's a key player this time around. GREAT WAY LADY - Inirio brings this filly back into a race rather than a workout. He knows his filly is on top of her game. When this rider and trainer are put together you have to take a look. Colon and Inirio have been fabulous together.

Vulnerable Contenders: #4 GENERAL'S JEWEL (ML=2/1), #5 MARIOTA (ML=7/2), #6 SILVER STARLIGHT (ML=6/1),

GENERAL'S JEWEL - This probable favorite may be out of shape without any recent workouts. MARIOTA - Today's event is 5 1/2 furlongs. Hasn't hit the board in a short distance race in the last 60 days. Not the best of indicators. Don't feel this entrant will make an impact in today's event. That last speed figure was most unsatisfactory when compared with today's class rating. SILVER STARLIGHT - Difficult to put any cash on this mare on the win end. Likes to end up on the board though. When looking at today's Equibase class figure, she will have to record a much better rating than last time out to compete in this dirt sprint.



STRAIGHT WAGERS:

Play #1 HILLBILLY HULA GAL to win if you can get odds of 4/1 or more

EXACTA WAGERS:

Box [1,7,8]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:

Box [1,7,8] Total Cost: $6

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:

None
 
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Woodbine Harness: Monday 2/6 Analysis
By Garnet Barnsdale

DRF

Race 1 - $40,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool

Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

PICK 5: 2,5,6,7/4,5/3,4,7/1,4,8,9/4 = $19.20

EARLY PICK 4: 1,4,8,9/4/1/2,3,4,9 = $16

LATE PICK 4: 2,3,4,9/1,4/3,5/2,5,6 = $48

MEET STATS: 104 - 405 / $567.70 BEST BETS: 16 - 37 / $59.70

SPOT PLAYS: 16 - 36 / 64.50

Best Bet: EURO GAP (6th)

Spot Play: SINGLE WHITE SOCK (5th)


Race 1

(7) JULERICA took lots of early action last week then blasted from the 10-hole but got fried. He could last much longer here in his second start back. (5) LIFEIMITATESART stayed game despite going a tough trip last week and he gamely got up on the line. He should be tough right back. (2) BEACH TERROR was just short last week and he gets an aggressive pilot here; using. (6) JAC SPADE is dangerous here, but he is more apt to take a slice than win.

Race 2

(4) COBALT MAN tried to go down the road from the rail last week and was just short. He has more options here and can work out a winning trip. (5) LONEWOLF CURRIER provided perfect cover for the winner last time in another good effort. He rates highly. (8) MUSSELSFROMBRUSSELS hasn't missed the board in three starts in this barn; consider. (3) BANK SHOT HANOVER drops into a claimer here and picks up the hot Roy. He is another that merits a look.

Race 3

(7) P L JERICO faces easier here in his third start back and he should be leaving; slight nod. (3) BATOUTAHILL was outsprinted late last time, but she continues to be a threat every week. (4) WINDSONG MAGIC is another that comes to play every week and she is a threat from up close. (5) READY ANY TIME steps up off a sharp win but these are a lot tougher.

Race 4

(1) JOSHUA MY BOY is on a roll for Allard/Roy and he should get another good trip here; top call. (8) MYSTIC DEUCE is another that is in top form who should be right there. (9) OCAPTAIN MYCAPTAIN took a new life's mark off the claim and he is a threat, but he could provide perfect cover for the choice here. (4) WHO DOESNT - A 37-time winner - is a perfect 2 for 2 since being claimed and is another that merits multi-race wager consideration.

Race 5

(4) SINGLE WHITE SOCK won at a higher level the last time McNair drove. He should be tough racing this low. (6) IDEAL JET is another that should like this class, but he tends to be a bit trip dependent. (7) MCKINNEY attracted a claim last week and he's worth a look here. (8) PRINCE CLYDE has seen better days, but the class drop could perk him up here.

Race 6

(1) EURO GAP shows promise as an undefeated colt thus far and he shouldn't have an problem with these if he stays flat. (5) ASTERIX should be in the thick of things again, but notice he is still stuck on one win. (4) SIBSON is another that can be forwardly-placed and stick for a slice. (3) VASCO BI steps up off a maiden win. A small share is likely here.

Race 7

(4) PASSPORT TO ART goes for new connections here and the sharp final 1/4 in his qualifier is a good sign. This is a good spot for him to break his maiden; top call. (9) BET TILL DAWN finished fast in both 2016 starts. If he is put into this race earlier, he has a shot. (3) ACHILLES SEELSTER is worth considering at a price with the leading driver taking over. (2) ONLY HALF BAD tried a first up move last week but the winner was far too strong. He can improve off that effort.

Race 8

(1) FEARLESS MAN raced too good not to win last week. The streaking winner that nailed him then isn't in this field. He should be tough on the lead here. (4) A ROD HALL continues to power home late. He will be the one to fend off down the lane. (7) ITS HUW YOU KNOW never missed the board and tonight should be no different. (2) WILD AND CRAZY GUY will be passing some of these late for a slice.

Race 9

(5) PODGE was unlucky to get beat by a rival that slid up the rail late last week. He can rebound here and beat these. (3) FIRST CAR got a smart steer and nailed the choice last time. Roy sticks; using. (2) MR MATCH ON BEACH steps up off a narrow win but his good tactical speed puts him the mix here. (6) REDONKULOUS figures to fill one of the lower rungs of the Tri or Super.

Race 10

(5) CATCH THE DREAM drops to a class where he should be prominent here. (6) APRIL ROSE is sent out by a hot barn and she should get an easier trip on or near the lead here. (2) CALL ME RICHARD was flying late last week; using. (3) INTIMIDATE drops and gets Lasix, but he has missed four weeks; mixed signals. (1) BIG RICH can leave near the front here and take a share off an inside following trip.
 
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Yonkers: Monday 2/6 Analysis
By Matt Rose

DRF

MEET STATS: 29 - 104 / $156.60

BEST BETS: 6 - 10 / $21.50

Best Bet: ISLAY N (1st)

Spot Play: SILVERHILL STORM (3rd)


Race 1

(2) ISLAY N was second best to a runaway in her U.S. debut; she's clearly the one to beat in this blank field but will also be overbet. (6) FAMOUS PADDY has been racing well at Freehold and that form could transfer well here. (3) EBONY'S MERLOT has made the most money in the field but her last few races don't inspire much confidence.

Race 2

(6) FOREVER AS broke last out but was a blowout winner the start prior at The Meadowlands; big threat if she minds her manners. (4) MADHATTER BLUECHIP returns locally off some easy wins at Monticello. (3) MOVEMENT qualified well and can be ready to roll tonight.

Race 3

(2) SILVERHILL STORM had no chance last week upon arrival from The Maritimes but he did enough to merit consideration here. (3) NEVER SAY NEVER N makes his U.S. debut off an even qualifer; Bartlett drives. (7) MAGRITE could very well be the one to beat despite the poor post.

Race 4

(4) GET TO DOIN IT lands in a better spot in his second start off the Garcia-Herrera claim and he gets a big morning line in a wide-open affair. (2) SILVER CREDIT should appreciate the post relief. (8) OPENING NIGHT drops in class and is stuck outside; too far to come?

Race 5

(5) LUCKY PLAYER gutted out an uncovered victory last week and seems capable of repeating. (8) ROSY OUTLOOK is proven with these and certainly looks ready off that Monticello qualifier. (2) ANOTHER LOOK has a nice move in her but needs to time it right.

Race 6

(8) FINAL JUSTICE was second best last out to a horse who came back and jogged; gelding has some early speed so maybe he can find a lucky spot off the gate. (2) JK ONAROLL has talent but is a bit erratic; use caution. (7) MACHIAVELLI is nicely bred and appears to have some ability.

Race 7

(4) TANGO STAR ships in from The Meadowlands making his second start since moving to the Burke barn and he looks like he could fit nicely here. (7) ROCK POWER was no match for a strong winner last week but he's still in good form. (1) MY THREE SONS was wildly overbet upon arrival from Ohio and never fired; much better price looming tonight.

Race 8

(1) LO HOLD A MOONBEAN has looked razor-sharp in her last two sweeping from the back and she may be good enough to handle the class hike. (6) FREEZE OUT was a bit disappointing last week but still remains a threat. (7) SKINNY DIPPER qualified effectively but does she need a start?

Race 9

(6) BLAISE MM HANOVER keeps Bartlett and looms a speed threat from this spot. (2) STIRLING ESCORT continues to race well and offers some value along the way; he's a player from this inside spot. (7) AZUL POOL was sharp in defeat last week; post here is a big problem.

Race 10

(4) VEGAS DREAM was much better last week with Lasix added. (1) MAGICAL COWBOY tripped out from the rail at 10/1 and he draws best again. (3) SHANE ADAM is usually coming late; use him to round out exotics.

Race 11

(6) VINOVIO came uncovered into a stepped-up back half and never made up any ground; I assume he's still sharp and will offer more value tonight. (3) PREJUDICE gets needed post relief and this trainer/driver combo has had some live ones. (5) SPENDABUCKONME was off over a month before last week's race for his new barn; more can be expected here.
 
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Spot Plays

For Monday

TRACK (RACE) HORSE, MORNING LINE

Mahoning Valley (1st) Powder Road, 6-1
(5th) Princess Arya, 7-2


Parx Racing (4th) Movie Night, 3-1
(5th) Seeking Shamrocks, 3-1


Sam Houston (6th) High Fashion Diva, 7-2
(10th) Royal Luxe, 6-1


Turf Paradise (5th) Strawberry Gulch, 8-1
(8th) Look at Me, 7-2
 

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