At the Gate - Wednesday
By Mike Dempsey
Now that the $12 million Pegasus World Cup (G1) is out of the way, we flip the calendar over to February which means we have just three short months before the Kentucky Derby (G1).
Where does the time go?
Coming up on Saturday at Gulfstream Park is the $350,000 Holy Bull (G2) which will feature the return of the early Kentucky Derby betting favorite in Classic Empire, who is currently at odds of 3-1.
The Breeders’ Cup Juvenile (G1) winner has won four of his five career starts, the lone loss when he veered out and dumped his jockey in the Hopeful (G1) last September at Saratoga.
The colt is trained by Mark Casse and has been ridden in his four wins by Julian Leparoux. Irad Ortiz Jr. was aboard in the Hopeful.
Among those he likely will face on Saturday is Gunnevera, the winner of the Delta Downs Jackpot (G3) in his last outing. The Antonio Sano trainee is listed at 10-1 in early Kentucky Derby wagering at Sportsbook.ag.
We have two other Derby points races on tap on Saturday—the $250,000 Withers (G3) at Aqueduct and the $150,000 Robert B. Lewis (G3) at Santa Anita.
I will include my analysis and selections for all three of the Derby preps in Saturday’s Best Plays Report.
Latest Future Odds for the Kentucky Derby:
Classic Empire 3-1
Uncontested 7-2
Mastery 5-1
Mc Craken 7-1
Running Mate 7-1
Squadron 7-1
Mo Town 15-2
Unique Bella 8-1
Irish War Cry 9-1
Gunnevera 10-1
Gormley 11-1
Fact Finding 14-1
Here is the opening race from Gulfstream Park to get the day off to a good start:
GP Race 1 OClm $50,000SAL (12:35 ET)
#2 Devilish Romance 6-1
#1 Jermyn Street 4-1
#3 Blame It On Dixie 5-2
#6 Notapradaprice 6-1
Analysis: Devilish Romance tracked the early pace, caught in tight nearing the 3/8's and weakened to finish fifth last out against Alw-1 optional claimers at GP West. This gal ran a game second two back over the turf here in the Our Dear Peggy over good ground, beaten just a half-length. She returns here off a 3 1/2 month break as she makes her first start for the Fawkes barn that is 12% winners with newcomers to the barn. Looks well spotted for her return racing starter optional claimers.
Jermyn Street stalked the early pace, came with a four-wide bid around the far turn and finished evenly in a third-place fish as the beaten chalk last out in her first start against winners. She broke her maiden two back in her second career start at 7 1/2 furlongs on the turf at GP West. The Ward trainee does not need to move forward much off her last effort to win in this spot. She picks up Johnny V. and the 4-1 morning line looks fair enough.
Wagering
WIN: #2 to win at 7-2 or better.
EX: 1,2 / 1,2,3,6
TRI: 1,2 / 1,2,3,6 / 1,2,3,4,6
Today’s Featured Race of the Day from Gulfstream Park:
GP Race 7 Md $35,000 (3:32 ET)
#6 Ruckus 7-2
#8 So Long Chuck 3-1
#9 Durocher 8-1
#1 Legacy Azteca 4-1
Analysis: Ruckus was bumped coming out of the gate, prompted the early pace and faded badly to finish a well beaten 10th last out against a much tougher group. The winner Oscar Performance came back to win the Pilgrim (G3) and Breeders' Cup Juvenile Turf (G1) in his next two starts. He drops in for a tag for the Nicks barn that is 15% winners with runners coming back off a 61-180 day layoff.
So Long Chuck set the early fractions and could not hold off the winner late in a runner up finish in his turf debut. The winner Francesco Flier came back to beat $25,000 claimers in his next outing on Jan. 27. This guy is on the light side pedigree for turf, by Adios Charlie out of a Greatness mare who has dropped one dirt winner, but he has some early zip and may get loose on the lead in this spot.
Wagering
WIN: #6 to win at 3-1 or better.
EX: 6,8 / 1,6,8,9
TRI: 6,8 / 1,6,8,9 / 1,5,6,8,9
Live Longshots:
These are price plays for exotic players looking to find a couple of extra contenders to use in their trifecta and superfecta wagers. Or for those with smaller bankrolls, you might want to get in a small win-place wager.
Gulfstream Park
R2: #4 It’s High Time 8-1
R3: #2 Cowboy’s Hero 8-1
R5: #9 Clyde’s Queen 8-1
R7: #9 Durocher 8-1
R8: #5 Fast Fire 12-1
R10: #11 Salt Mine 10-1
Good luck today!