At the Gate - Friday
By Mike Dempsey
The next Road to the Kentucky Derby points race comes up on Saturday, the $300,000 Los Alamitos Cash Call Futurity (G1), but it turns out it is not much of a betting race.
There are 10-4-2-1 Derby points up for grabs for the top four finishers.
The race drew a small field of jut five, led by the Bob Baffert trained Mastery, who is the 1-2 morning line favorite. The colt won the Bob Hope (G3) in his last outing and is currently listed at +1000 in early Kentucky Derby wagering.
Baffert has won the Futurity a record eight times including last year with Mor Spirit and in 2015 with Dortmund.
Baffert will also saddle Show Me Da Lute, the 7-2 second choice on the morning line. The colt broke his maiden in his debut and is currently listed at +14000 in early Derby betting.
If the Baffert duo are going to get upset, it could be Dangerfield (6-1) that does the trick. The Doug O’Neill trainee won the Oak Tree Juvenile on Oct. 1 and most recently was third in the Delta Downs Jackpot (G3).
Peter Miller will saddle Bobby Abu Dhabi (4-1), who broke his maiden in his debut on Nov. 19. Completing the field is Irap, still maiden after two starts on turf for the O’Neill burn. The colt is 20-1 on the morning line.
It looks as if we will have better wagering races on Saturday with the $125,000 Garland of Roses at the Big A and we have seven $75,000 stakes on tap at Gulfstream Park.
I will have full card reports for both tracks available by Friday evening.
Here is the opening race from Gulfstream Park to get the day off to a good start:
GP Race 1 Clm $6,250N3L (12:35 ET)
#9 Horse Spotter Carl 9-2
#8 Joey Six Pack 7-2
#3 Starship Apache 2-1
#4 Candy Jam 6-1
Analysis: Horse Spotter Carl is going to be the higher price among the duo sent out by the Dwoskin barn. The colt tracked the early pace and could not catch the winner in the stretch in a runner up finish last out at this level while lugging in. The colt beat $12,500 non-winners of two in his first start against winners three back at GP West. He looks back on track after failing to fire two back and we should catch a fair price.
Joey Six Pack set the early fractions and weakened in the stretch to finish fourth last out, exiting the same race as our top pick. He was a good second two back in his first start at this condition in the slop. He owns solid early and mid pace numbers and his numbers two and three back are good enough to beat this group.
Wagering
WIN: #9 to win at 7-2 or better.
EX: 8,9 / 3,4,8,9
TRI: 8,9 / 3,4,8,9 / 3,4,5,8,9
Today’s Featured Race of the Day from Gulfstream Park:
GP Race 8 OClm $12,500N1X (4:02 ET)
#1 Mia Torri 2-1
#4 April Rose 8-1
#3 True Pleasure 9-2
#7 Melody Girl 6-1
Analysis: Mia Torri made a mild late rally to finish third last out at Philly versus Alw-2 company. Two back this gal was beaten just a neck in the Charles Town Oaks (G3). She makes her first start here for the Navarro barn that is 23% winners with newcomers to the barn and has already picked up three wins at the meeting from his first 11 starters. Castellano takes the call and this gal likely goes off at less than the 2-1 morning line.
April Rose beat $16,000 non-winners of three or a race in ix months last out in her first start off an eight-month layoff. The filly earned a career top speed fig and looks sharp enough to handle the step up in class here for the Klesaris barn. She does not need to move forward much off her last win to be right in the mix in this spot.
Wagering
WIN: #1 to win at 8-5 or better.
EX: 1,4 / 1,3,4,7
TRI: 1,4 / 1,3,4,7 / 1,3,4,7,8
Live Longshots:
These are price plays for exotic players looking to find a couple of extra contenders to use in their trifecta and superfecta wagers. Or for those with smaller bankrolls, you might want to get in a small win-place wager.
Gulfstream Park
R3: #7 Medal 15-1
R4: #3 Infilitrada 8-1
R6: #4 Prince of England 15-1
R7: #9 Angel Choir 8-1
R7: #1 Forever Plus 10-1
R8: #4 April Rose 8-1
R10: #12 Feel Proud 8-1
R10: #6 Mojo Rising 8-1
Good luck today!