At the Gate - Wednesday
By Mike Dempsey
I sure hope none of you guys had 5 out of 6 in Sunday’s Pick 6 at Del Mar, which was closing day with a mandatory payout.
Despite the fact there was a consolation payoff for 5 out of 6 during the meeting, horseplayers were surprised to find out that on closing day there was only a 6 for 6 payout.
Once Twitter blew up on Sunday by horseplayers wondering why there was no consolation payout, Del Mar released a statement that read:
“Due to confusion surrounding Del Mar’s closing day Pick Six pool payouts, based on the Association of Racing Commissioners International (ARCI) Rule 004-105G (“Pick N Pools”), Del Mar Thoroughbred Club asks that customers hang on to their Pick Six tickets until Del Mar, AmTote and the California Horse Racing Board are able to clarify all circumstances surrounding the full distribution of the pool and the payouts.”
Monday afternoon they released this statement:
Beginning with its 2016 fall meeting, Del Mar instituted an enhanced Pick Six that included a Single Ticket Jackpot pool bonus for a unique (i.e., single) winning ticket.
Del Mar applied for the modification to its Pick Six under the Association of Racing Commissioners International (ARCI) rule 004-105G (“Pick n Pools”). Under that rule, there is a provision which designates payouts during a mandatory distribution date (in this case closing day). Under the ARCI rule, if there is not a unique ticket on a mandatory distribution day, the entire pool, including any carryover that might exist, shall be paid out to those who have selected the first-place finishers in the greatest number of races. Based upon the rule, since there were 44 tickets with six of six winners, there was no consolation payout in these circumstances.
While Del Mar Thoroughbred Club and its tote provider, AmTote, were following the ARCI rule, we regret any confusion surrounding the payout of the Pick Six pool on the mandatory distribution day and how the ARCI rule may have impacted our customers.
Let me translate for you: They make up the rules as they go along and horseplayers get screwed.
With the very questionable steward’s calls including the Jimmy Durante Stakes where debris on the turf course affected the running of the race but they decided not to declare it a no contest (they would have had to refund all wagers), it is getting very difficult for me to wager any money on California racing.
It is an incredibly frustrating industry run mostly by imbeciles that really have no idea that if it was not for horseplayers, there would be no industry.
Here is the opening race from Gulfstream Park to get the day off to a good start:
GP Race 1 Clm $6,250 (12:35 ET)
#1 Prague 4-1
#8 Shere Khan 9-2
#9 Right On Ready 7-2
#6 All About Diva 10-1
Analysis: Prague dueled for the early lead and faded to finish seventh last out against $8,000 starter allowance foes and drops back in for a tag. Moya claimed this guy for this price three back and protected him the first two starts for the barn. He has a couple of wins over the main track here and looks like a good fit at this level. He owns solid early and mid pace numbers and figures to be sent from the rail.
Shere Khan finished evenly last out in a fourth place finish in the same race our top pick exits. Two back this guy was beaten just a neck in a tough beat at this tag. He won at this level four back over the main track here where he has won 3 of 8 and has run very well on wet tracks in his career, winning 4 of 6 on off going which we might see today.
Wagering
WIN: #1 to win at 3-1 or better.
EX: 1,8 / 1,6,8,9
TRI: 1,8 / 1,6,8,9 / 1,3,6,8,9
Today’s Featured Race of the Day from Gulfstream Park:
GP Race 9 Clm $16,000 (4:32 ET)
#9 Frye's Leap 10-1
#1 Calidez 4-1
#10 Savanna's Smile 10-1
#3 Grandma Maria 8-1
Analysis: Frye's Leap tries dirt for the first time here in her third career outing. She broke her maiden on turf here for a $35,000 tag in her debut and then faded to finish eighth against $35,000 optional claimers in her first start against winners. She drops into a softer spot here and she might get an off track she is bred to run over. Decent value if she goes off near her 10-1 morning line.
Calidez broke inward at the break, stalked the early pace while saving ground and finished evenly in a fourth place finish last out in her second career start. Both trips came on poly and she tries conventional dirt for the first time here. Her one local work was on the slow side but she is dropping in class here. She is out of a stakes placed During mare and Castellano takes the call.
Wagering
WIN: #9 to win at 5-1 or better.
EX: 1,9 / 1,3,9,10
TRI: 1,9 / 1,3,9,10 / 1,3,9,10,12
Live Longshots:
These are price plays for exotic players looking to find a couple of extra contenders to use in their trifecta and superfecta wagers. Or for those with smaller bankrolls, you might want to get in a small win-place wager.
Gulfstream Park
R1: #6 All About Diva 10-1
R4: #10 Buster Rocks 8-1
R5: #7 Alabandus 15-1
R5: #10 Tom Liz 12-1
R6: #4 Smart Romance 8-1
R8: #10 Blackjack Baby 10-1
R9: #9 Frye’s Leap 10-1
R9: #10 Savannah’s Smile 10-1
R10: #8 Disco Man 12-1
R10: #1 Twistcat Candy 10-1
Good luck today!
By Mike Dempsey
I sure hope none of you guys had 5 out of 6 in Sunday’s Pick 6 at Del Mar, which was closing day with a mandatory payout.
Despite the fact there was a consolation payoff for 5 out of 6 during the meeting, horseplayers were surprised to find out that on closing day there was only a 6 for 6 payout.
Once Twitter blew up on Sunday by horseplayers wondering why there was no consolation payout, Del Mar released a statement that read:
“Due to confusion surrounding Del Mar’s closing day Pick Six pool payouts, based on the Association of Racing Commissioners International (ARCI) Rule 004-105G (“Pick N Pools”), Del Mar Thoroughbred Club asks that customers hang on to their Pick Six tickets until Del Mar, AmTote and the California Horse Racing Board are able to clarify all circumstances surrounding the full distribution of the pool and the payouts.”
Monday afternoon they released this statement:
Beginning with its 2016 fall meeting, Del Mar instituted an enhanced Pick Six that included a Single Ticket Jackpot pool bonus for a unique (i.e., single) winning ticket.
Del Mar applied for the modification to its Pick Six under the Association of Racing Commissioners International (ARCI) rule 004-105G (“Pick n Pools”). Under that rule, there is a provision which designates payouts during a mandatory distribution date (in this case closing day). Under the ARCI rule, if there is not a unique ticket on a mandatory distribution day, the entire pool, including any carryover that might exist, shall be paid out to those who have selected the first-place finishers in the greatest number of races. Based upon the rule, since there were 44 tickets with six of six winners, there was no consolation payout in these circumstances.
While Del Mar Thoroughbred Club and its tote provider, AmTote, were following the ARCI rule, we regret any confusion surrounding the payout of the Pick Six pool on the mandatory distribution day and how the ARCI rule may have impacted our customers.
Let me translate for you: They make up the rules as they go along and horseplayers get screwed.
With the very questionable steward’s calls including the Jimmy Durante Stakes where debris on the turf course affected the running of the race but they decided not to declare it a no contest (they would have had to refund all wagers), it is getting very difficult for me to wager any money on California racing.
It is an incredibly frustrating industry run mostly by imbeciles that really have no idea that if it was not for horseplayers, there would be no industry.
Here is the opening race from Gulfstream Park to get the day off to a good start:
GP Race 1 Clm $6,250 (12:35 ET)
#1 Prague 4-1
#8 Shere Khan 9-2
#9 Right On Ready 7-2
#6 All About Diva 10-1
Analysis: Prague dueled for the early lead and faded to finish seventh last out against $8,000 starter allowance foes and drops back in for a tag. Moya claimed this guy for this price three back and protected him the first two starts for the barn. He has a couple of wins over the main track here and looks like a good fit at this level. He owns solid early and mid pace numbers and figures to be sent from the rail.
Shere Khan finished evenly last out in a fourth place finish in the same race our top pick exits. Two back this guy was beaten just a neck in a tough beat at this tag. He won at this level four back over the main track here where he has won 3 of 8 and has run very well on wet tracks in his career, winning 4 of 6 on off going which we might see today.
Wagering
WIN: #1 to win at 3-1 or better.
EX: 1,8 / 1,6,8,9
TRI: 1,8 / 1,6,8,9 / 1,3,6,8,9
Today’s Featured Race of the Day from Gulfstream Park:
GP Race 9 Clm $16,000 (4:32 ET)
#9 Frye's Leap 10-1
#1 Calidez 4-1
#10 Savanna's Smile 10-1
#3 Grandma Maria 8-1
Analysis: Frye's Leap tries dirt for the first time here in her third career outing. She broke her maiden on turf here for a $35,000 tag in her debut and then faded to finish eighth against $35,000 optional claimers in her first start against winners. She drops into a softer spot here and she might get an off track she is bred to run over. Decent value if she goes off near her 10-1 morning line.
Calidez broke inward at the break, stalked the early pace while saving ground and finished evenly in a fourth place finish last out in her second career start. Both trips came on poly and she tries conventional dirt for the first time here. Her one local work was on the slow side but she is dropping in class here. She is out of a stakes placed During mare and Castellano takes the call.
Wagering
WIN: #9 to win at 5-1 or better.
EX: 1,9 / 1,3,9,10
TRI: 1,9 / 1,3,9,10 / 1,3,9,10,12
Live Longshots:
These are price plays for exotic players looking to find a couple of extra contenders to use in their trifecta and superfecta wagers. Or for those with smaller bankrolls, you might want to get in a small win-place wager.
Gulfstream Park
R1: #6 All About Diva 10-1
R4: #10 Buster Rocks 8-1
R5: #7 Alabandus 15-1
R5: #10 Tom Liz 12-1
R6: #4 Smart Romance 8-1
R8: #10 Blackjack Baby 10-1
R9: #9 Frye’s Leap 10-1
R9: #10 Savannah’s Smile 10-1
R10: #8 Disco Man 12-1
R10: #1 Twistcat Candy 10-1
Good luck today!
Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Northfield Park
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 5 - Post: 7:20 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 65 - Purse:$4800 - NON WINNERS $7500 LIFETIME.
CONSORTIUM*CHOICES
# 8 TIMESAWASTEING 7/2
# 7 ADIOS AMIGOS 2/1
# 4 WESTERN DIAL 6/1
TIMESAWASTEING is the most compelling wager in this contest. Positive idea - battling well enough to contend in this competition. ADIOS AMIGOS - Has good speed figs and most definitely has to be considered for a play this time. With a 67 average class rating, this nice horse has one of the top class advantages in the race. WESTERN DIAL - If performance in the most recent gathering is any indicator, this entrant will have a very competitive shot in here. High last race TrackMaster Speed Rating.
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 5 - Post: 7:20 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 65 - Purse:$4800 - NON WINNERS $7500 LIFETIME.
CONSORTIUM*CHOICES
# 8 TIMESAWASTEING 7/2
# 7 ADIOS AMIGOS 2/1
# 4 WESTERN DIAL 6/1
TIMESAWASTEING is the most compelling wager in this contest. Positive idea - battling well enough to contend in this competition. ADIOS AMIGOS - Has good speed figs and most definitely has to be considered for a play this time. With a 67 average class rating, this nice horse has one of the top class advantages in the race. WESTERN DIAL - If performance in the most recent gathering is any indicator, this entrant will have a very competitive shot in here. High last race TrackMaster Speed Rating.
Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Harrah's Philadelphia
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 10 - Post: 3:40 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 72 - Purse:$13000 - 4 YR. OLDS & UNDER COLTS & GELDINGS NW 2 EXT. PM RACES 2 YEAR OLDS DRAW INSIDE PA PREFERENCE
CONSORTIUM*CHOICES
# 1 ARTISTS RUFFLES 9/5
# 5 DRAGON N KICKIN 7/2
# 3 MICH RYDER 7/1
ARTISTS RUFFLES is the most solid wager in this race. Positive thought - racing well enough to contend in this affair. Can't forget based on speed ratings which have been exemplary (74 avg) recently. Recent numbers for the driver - 22 percent win - make this gelding a top pick in the group of horses. DRAGON N KICKIN - Many expert selectors will recognize the great speed rating in the last contest. Stacks up against any horse in this group of horses. Not many folks know, but the 5 position here at Harrah's Philadelphia has been fantastic for a much better than average win rate. MICH RYDER - This harness racer has shown us some prior ability, just look at the 72 average class rating. Should play well for this one. Many top players will recognize the outstanding TrackMaster SR in the last race. Stacks up against any horse in this pack.
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 10 - Post: 3:40 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 72 - Purse:$13000 - 4 YR. OLDS & UNDER COLTS & GELDINGS NW 2 EXT. PM RACES 2 YEAR OLDS DRAW INSIDE PA PREFERENCE
CONSORTIUM*CHOICES
# 1 ARTISTS RUFFLES 9/5
# 5 DRAGON N KICKIN 7/2
# 3 MICH RYDER 7/1
ARTISTS RUFFLES is the most solid wager in this race. Positive thought - racing well enough to contend in this affair. Can't forget based on speed ratings which have been exemplary (74 avg) recently. Recent numbers for the driver - 22 percent win - make this gelding a top pick in the group of horses. DRAGON N KICKIN - Many expert selectors will recognize the great speed rating in the last contest. Stacks up against any horse in this group of horses. Not many folks know, but the 5 position here at Harrah's Philadelphia has been fantastic for a much better than average win rate. MICH RYDER - This harness racer has shown us some prior ability, just look at the 72 average class rating. Should play well for this one. Many top players will recognize the outstanding TrackMaster SR in the last race. Stacks up against any horse in this pack.
Handicapped by The Walker Group at Delta Downs
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 10 - Maiden Claiming - 5.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $14000 Class Rating: 57
FOR ACCREDITED LA BRED MAIDENS, THREE, FOUR, FIVE, AND SIX YEARS OLD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $10,000.
RECOMMENDED*CHOICES
# 11 MAKEMELIKEIT 6/1
# 1 ADIOS A TODOS 8/1
# 10 TIGER BILL 15/1
MAKEMELIKEIT is the best wager in this race. Will probably come out sharp - I have liked the way this gelding has moved promptly to the front end recently. This gelding could improve with second time Lasix. Has performed soundly as of late in sprint races, posting a nifty 53 avg speed fig. ADIOS A TODOS - He looks strong in this slot and I expect will be on the front end or close at the halfway point. Could beat this group of animals given the 53 Equibase Speed Figure recorded in his last outing. TIGER BILL - Look for this racer to be close up at the wire versus these racers.
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 10 - Maiden Claiming - 5.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $14000 Class Rating: 57
FOR ACCREDITED LA BRED MAIDENS, THREE, FOUR, FIVE, AND SIX YEARS OLD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $10,000.
RECOMMENDED*CHOICES
# 11 MAKEMELIKEIT 6/1
# 1 ADIOS A TODOS 8/1
# 10 TIGER BILL 15/1
MAKEMELIKEIT is the best wager in this race. Will probably come out sharp - I have liked the way this gelding has moved promptly to the front end recently. This gelding could improve with second time Lasix. Has performed soundly as of late in sprint races, posting a nifty 53 avg speed fig. ADIOS A TODOS - He looks strong in this slot and I expect will be on the front end or close at the halfway point. Could beat this group of animals given the 53 Equibase Speed Figure recorded in his last outing. TIGER BILL - Look for this racer to be close up at the wire versus these racers.
Handicapped by The Walker Group at Turfway Park
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 4 - Claiming - 8.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $9900 Class Rating: 82
FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 123 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT A MILE OR OVER SINCE NOVEMBER 7 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $12,500, FOR EACH $1,000 TO $10,500 1 LB.
RECOMMENDED*CHOICES
# 4 MISS FORTY NINER 6/1
# 5 WILL GRACIE SHINE 5/1
# 2 TELLALITTLESECRET 7/2
I like MISS FORTY NINER here. With a sound 86 average speed rating at the distance, seems well suited for today's contest. Has solid Equibase Class Figures relative to this group - worth a look. Could provide positive dividends based on solid recent Equibase Speed Figures with an average of 83. WILL GRACIE SHINE - Could provide positive dividends based on quite good recent Speed Figures with an average of 73. TELLALITTLESECRET - Her 74 average has this mare with among the top Speed Figures in this competition. Put up a reliable speed fig in the latest race. Can run another good one in this affair.
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 4 - Claiming - 8.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $9900 Class Rating: 82
FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 123 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT A MILE OR OVER SINCE NOVEMBER 7 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $12,500, FOR EACH $1,000 TO $10,500 1 LB.
RECOMMENDED*CHOICES
# 4 MISS FORTY NINER 6/1
# 5 WILL GRACIE SHINE 5/1
# 2 TELLALITTLESECRET 7/2
I like MISS FORTY NINER here. With a sound 86 average speed rating at the distance, seems well suited for today's contest. Has solid Equibase Class Figures relative to this group - worth a look. Could provide positive dividends based on solid recent Equibase Speed Figures with an average of 83. WILL GRACIE SHINE - Could provide positive dividends based on quite good recent Speed Figures with an average of 73. TELLALITTLESECRET - Her 74 average has this mare with among the top Speed Figures in this competition. Put up a reliable speed fig in the latest race. Can run another good one in this affair.
Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts
Gulfstream Park - Race #2 - Post: 1:04pm - Maiden Claiming - 8.5 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $26,000 Class Rating: 87
Rating:
#3 CITY SECTION (ML=6/1)
#8 INTRACTABLE (ML=15/1)
CITY SECTION - This filly is in good form, having run a strong race on Nov 13th, finishing fourth. Saez was aboard this filly last out and was impressed enough to take the animal right back. You have to really like that latest race speed figure, 88, which is the highest most recent race speed rating of this bunch. This entrant may have too much power on the turf for the rest of the field. At the top of the lane, she could put these away. INTRACTABLE - Matz has an 'uncoupled' entry here. Best to beware of the longer priced half.
Vulnerable Contenders: #2 MAKE ME (ML=3/1), #1 TRICKITA (ML=7/2), #9 BACKSPLASH (ML=4/1),
MAKE ME - This filly registered a speed rating in her last contest which probably isn't good enough in today's event. TRICKITA - This stretch-runner should have a rough go of it to be along with an absence of pace in this race. Hard to support any horse with dropping speed ratings of 74/69/63. BACKSPLASH - This stretch-runner will probably be rolling fast from far back much too late to make an impression in this event.
GUEST COMMENTARY: Winston - CITY SECTION - If I can get anything close to the morning line odds on this one I'm betting. Wasn't too far from the victor last time out.
**
STRAIGHT WAGERS:
#3 CITY SECTION to win at post-time odds of 8/5 or better
EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [3,8]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:
3 with 8 with [1,6,7] Total Cost: $3
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Pass
SUPER HI 5 WAGERS:
None
Gulfstream Park - Race #2 - Post: 1:04pm - Maiden Claiming - 8.5 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $26,000 Class Rating: 87
Rating:
#3 CITY SECTION (ML=6/1)
#8 INTRACTABLE (ML=15/1)
CITY SECTION - This filly is in good form, having run a strong race on Nov 13th, finishing fourth. Saez was aboard this filly last out and was impressed enough to take the animal right back. You have to really like that latest race speed figure, 88, which is the highest most recent race speed rating of this bunch. This entrant may have too much power on the turf for the rest of the field. At the top of the lane, she could put these away. INTRACTABLE - Matz has an 'uncoupled' entry here. Best to beware of the longer priced half.
Vulnerable Contenders: #2 MAKE ME (ML=3/1), #1 TRICKITA (ML=7/2), #9 BACKSPLASH (ML=4/1),
MAKE ME - This filly registered a speed rating in her last contest which probably isn't good enough in today's event. TRICKITA - This stretch-runner should have a rough go of it to be along with an absence of pace in this race. Hard to support any horse with dropping speed ratings of 74/69/63. BACKSPLASH - This stretch-runner will probably be rolling fast from far back much too late to make an impression in this event.
GUEST COMMENTARY: Winston - CITY SECTION - If I can get anything close to the morning line odds on this one I'm betting. Wasn't too far from the victor last time out.
**
STRAIGHT WAGERS:
#3 CITY SECTION to win at post-time odds of 8/5 or better
EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [3,8]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:
3 with 8 with [1,6,7] Total Cost: $3
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Pass
SUPER HI 5 WAGERS:
None
Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts
Tampa Bay Downs - Race #1 - Post: 12:25pm - Claiming - 7.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $10,400 Class Rating: 84
Rating:
#6 THOMAS HILL (ML=9/2)
THOMAS HILL - This gelding is in top physical condition right now. Ran third last out and comes back promptly. This horse earns a lot of cash per race around the track. I believe he will boost the lifetime earnings in this field.
Vulnerable Contenders: #4 A LAUGH AN A JOKE (ML=3/1), #1 BLUEGRASS DEMON (ML=7/2), #2 SYNTHESIZER (ML=4/1),
A LAUGH AN A JOKE - You should normally gamble against chalk that haven't raced or show no activity in the morning over the last three weeks. BLUEGRASS DEMON - Unlikely for this one to do much running with no recent success in a short distance event. SYNTHESIZER - This gelding hasn't had any recent favorable outcomes in sprint races. Difficult to play him in this race. When looking at today's class rating, he will have to garner a better speed fig than in the last race to battle in this dirt sprint.
STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Putting our cash on #6 THOMAS HILL to win. Have to have odds of at least 1/1 or better though
EXACTA WAGERS:
None
TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Pass
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Skip
SUPER HIGH 5 WAGERS:
Pass
Tampa Bay Downs - Race #1 - Post: 12:25pm - Claiming - 7.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $10,400 Class Rating: 84
Rating:
#6 THOMAS HILL (ML=9/2)
THOMAS HILL - This gelding is in top physical condition right now. Ran third last out and comes back promptly. This horse earns a lot of cash per race around the track. I believe he will boost the lifetime earnings in this field.
Vulnerable Contenders: #4 A LAUGH AN A JOKE (ML=3/1), #1 BLUEGRASS DEMON (ML=7/2), #2 SYNTHESIZER (ML=4/1),
A LAUGH AN A JOKE - You should normally gamble against chalk that haven't raced or show no activity in the morning over the last three weeks. BLUEGRASS DEMON - Unlikely for this one to do much running with no recent success in a short distance event. SYNTHESIZER - This gelding hasn't had any recent favorable outcomes in sprint races. Difficult to play him in this race. When looking at today's class rating, he will have to garner a better speed fig than in the last race to battle in this dirt sprint.
STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Putting our cash on #6 THOMAS HILL to win. Have to have odds of at least 1/1 or better though
EXACTA WAGERS:
None
TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Pass
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Skip
SUPER HIGH 5 WAGERS:
Pass
Handicapped by Rick Needham at Aqueduct
RACE #4 - AQUEDUCT - 1:50 PM EASTERN POST
8½ FURLONGS INNER DIRT TRACK THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD $25,000.00 CLAIMING $47,000.00 PURSE
#2 OUR CARAVAN
#7 A. P. CINO
#1 PICOZZA
#6 HUSBAND'S FOLLY
#2 OUR CARAVAN is the overall speed leader in this claiming field racing at, or about, today's distance of 8½ furlongs on the dirt, and has produced "POWER RUN PERFORMANCES" in five straight, hitting the board in three, including a "POWER RUN WIN" in his last start. Jockey Jose Ortiz was in his irons for that win which produced a +225% return on investment in the process, and is back today here in Ozone Park for his 2nd ride, gunning for back-to-back "Circle Trips. #7 A. P. CINO comes off a "POWER RUN PLACE" finish in his last start, being beaten by OUR CARAVAN in that race, 20 days ago here at Aqueduct, losing by just a "photographed head" at the wire.
RACE #4 - AQUEDUCT - 1:50 PM EASTERN POST
8½ FURLONGS INNER DIRT TRACK THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD $25,000.00 CLAIMING $47,000.00 PURSE
#2 OUR CARAVAN
#7 A. P. CINO
#1 PICOZZA
#6 HUSBAND'S FOLLY
#2 OUR CARAVAN is the overall speed leader in this claiming field racing at, or about, today's distance of 8½ furlongs on the dirt, and has produced "POWER RUN PERFORMANCES" in five straight, hitting the board in three, including a "POWER RUN WIN" in his last start. Jockey Jose Ortiz was in his irons for that win which produced a +225% return on investment in the process, and is back today here in Ozone Park for his 2nd ride, gunning for back-to-back "Circle Trips. #7 A. P. CINO comes off a "POWER RUN PLACE" finish in his last start, being beaten by OUR CARAVAN in that race, 20 days ago here at Aqueduct, losing by just a "photographed head" at the wire.
Northfield: Wednesday 12/7 Analysis + Pick Four Ticket
By Jeremey Day
DRF
Race 8 - $10,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool
Jeremey’s $1 Pick Four play:
2,3,4,5 / 1 / 1,2,3 / 2 = $12
Best Bet: HOLYHOLYGUACAMOLIE (3rd)
Spot Play: KARMA KWEEN (7th)
Race 1
(7) MYSTERY RINGER will offer excellent value and just needs a smooth trip for a chance. (1) BLUTUX benefits from the rail but only has one win on the year. (9) LIGHTENING WAR should be closer turning for home this week.
Race 2
(6) MORGANGETSHERWAY has been off a month but was impressive in his last start. (1) DUNE ON TIME filly benefits from the best post and top driver. (2) AUNT BETTY well bred filly has some question marks but does show some good efforts against slightly better.
Race 3
(3) HOLYHOLYGUACAMOLIE drew off last week at this level; short price. (4) ECHO'S ANNIE had no chance last week from the far outside. The 3-year-old might be one of few threats to the top choice. (9) WICKED WINDY gets sent out for a provisional pilot but looks to own some ability.
Race 4
(5) SEA DANSER finished a solid second against a similar field last start. (6) MCPLAY GIRL picks up the top driver first time out for a new barn. (9) SAGEBRUSH SUE freshman pacer faces older but should offer value and has flashed ability.
Race 5
(1) BUCKEYE BOB three-year-old will look to make it three straight at this level. (7) ADIOS AMIGOS was an easy winner last out for a new barn, however the pacer will have a much tougher task from the outside this week. (8) TIMESAWASTEING lightly raced pacer has a ton of upside but is also up against it with the post.
Race 6
(2) ACTING CAPTAIN is very inconsistent from week to week but a good effort puts him in the mix. (5) LOCK THREE was heavily bet down last week from a tough post at this level. (6) SILVERHILL DELIGHT well bred gelding has just been racing evenly but takes a huge drop in class with a top driver.
Race 7
(4) KARMA KWEEN has been facing slightly tougher and gets a positive driver change. (5) ALMOST MIDNIGHT just missed last week at this level but owns only one win on the year; command a price. (6) WEDNESDAYS WHIM might be able to pick up the pieces with a good setup.
Race 8
In a wide open race, (3) OK FERRARI is one of few in the race that's been competitive at this level. (5) COACH KEN just missed against similar two back. (4) SOUTHWIND JOKER has just been racing evenly but is a threat to hit the ticket with a good setup.
Race 9
(1) ROYAL ASSASSIN gets the best post and is one of few threats in the race. (3) MCCUTCHEN had no excuse last week burning cash; use caution. (4) FIXTHEDEFICIT has room to improve first start in a new barn.
Race 10
(3) ONEEYEDMOMMA filly might have needed the start last week and has the ability to trot a good mile. (1) CERTAIN POTENTIAL will draw all the attention with the best post and top driver; short price. (2) VICTORY CANDY MAN might be the fastest off the gate but has struggled late in recent miles.
Race 11
(2) DRAG N SAND nice looking filly makes her second start back off a layoff and should be much sharper. (9) ELOQUENT VELOCITY might be in a position to pick up a late piece. (1) ARTS-ROCKSTAR gets the best post with the top driver but is best used underneath bumping up in class.
Race 12
(5) ULTIMATE WINNER five-year-old trotter has a high win percentage and is just now back in racing shape after a layoff. (2) KICK A LOT picks up a huge driver change facing weaker, however the trotter doesn't look to be on his game as of late; use caution. (9) FLEXCEPTIONAL has room to improve first start for a new barn.
Race 13
(1) KINGS BEACH impeccably bred pacer is the horse to beat off a decent effort at this level. (3) SOUTHWIND RAMBO is capable of getting his picture taken with a good setup. (2) JOJO IN THE SKY looks best used on the bottom of your tickets.
Race 14
In a really weak and inconsistent field, (2) KEENE ALLURE picks up the top driver with an excellent starting post. (7) MONTANA REI takes a huge drop in class for a capable trainer. (3) IM BABYS BIG GIRL has just been racing evenly but does own a win at this level; threat.
Race 15
(2) LOGAN COUNTY RALPH owns a win against better on the year and gets a big morning line. (1) CUTTY SHARK needs a competent drive from a low percentage pilot; command a price. (9) P L ADDER could be in a perfect spot to save some ground before shaking loose late.
By Jeremey Day
DRF
Race 8 - $10,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool
Jeremey’s $1 Pick Four play:
2,3,4,5 / 1 / 1,2,3 / 2 = $12
Best Bet: HOLYHOLYGUACAMOLIE (3rd)
Spot Play: KARMA KWEEN (7th)
Race 1
(7) MYSTERY RINGER will offer excellent value and just needs a smooth trip for a chance. (1) BLUTUX benefits from the rail but only has one win on the year. (9) LIGHTENING WAR should be closer turning for home this week.
Race 2
(6) MORGANGETSHERWAY has been off a month but was impressive in his last start. (1) DUNE ON TIME filly benefits from the best post and top driver. (2) AUNT BETTY well bred filly has some question marks but does show some good efforts against slightly better.
Race 3
(3) HOLYHOLYGUACAMOLIE drew off last week at this level; short price. (4) ECHO'S ANNIE had no chance last week from the far outside. The 3-year-old might be one of few threats to the top choice. (9) WICKED WINDY gets sent out for a provisional pilot but looks to own some ability.
Race 4
(5) SEA DANSER finished a solid second against a similar field last start. (6) MCPLAY GIRL picks up the top driver first time out for a new barn. (9) SAGEBRUSH SUE freshman pacer faces older but should offer value and has flashed ability.
Race 5
(1) BUCKEYE BOB three-year-old will look to make it three straight at this level. (7) ADIOS AMIGOS was an easy winner last out for a new barn, however the pacer will have a much tougher task from the outside this week. (8) TIMESAWASTEING lightly raced pacer has a ton of upside but is also up against it with the post.
Race 6
(2) ACTING CAPTAIN is very inconsistent from week to week but a good effort puts him in the mix. (5) LOCK THREE was heavily bet down last week from a tough post at this level. (6) SILVERHILL DELIGHT well bred gelding has just been racing evenly but takes a huge drop in class with a top driver.
Race 7
(4) KARMA KWEEN has been facing slightly tougher and gets a positive driver change. (5) ALMOST MIDNIGHT just missed last week at this level but owns only one win on the year; command a price. (6) WEDNESDAYS WHIM might be able to pick up the pieces with a good setup.
Race 8
In a wide open race, (3) OK FERRARI is one of few in the race that's been competitive at this level. (5) COACH KEN just missed against similar two back. (4) SOUTHWIND JOKER has just been racing evenly but is a threat to hit the ticket with a good setup.
Race 9
(1) ROYAL ASSASSIN gets the best post and is one of few threats in the race. (3) MCCUTCHEN had no excuse last week burning cash; use caution. (4) FIXTHEDEFICIT has room to improve first start in a new barn.
Race 10
(3) ONEEYEDMOMMA filly might have needed the start last week and has the ability to trot a good mile. (1) CERTAIN POTENTIAL will draw all the attention with the best post and top driver; short price. (2) VICTORY CANDY MAN might be the fastest off the gate but has struggled late in recent miles.
Race 11
(2) DRAG N SAND nice looking filly makes her second start back off a layoff and should be much sharper. (9) ELOQUENT VELOCITY might be in a position to pick up a late piece. (1) ARTS-ROCKSTAR gets the best post with the top driver but is best used underneath bumping up in class.
Race 12
(5) ULTIMATE WINNER five-year-old trotter has a high win percentage and is just now back in racing shape after a layoff. (2) KICK A LOT picks up a huge driver change facing weaker, however the trotter doesn't look to be on his game as of late; use caution. (9) FLEXCEPTIONAL has room to improve first start for a new barn.
Race 13
(1) KINGS BEACH impeccably bred pacer is the horse to beat off a decent effort at this level. (3) SOUTHWIND RAMBO is capable of getting his picture taken with a good setup. (2) JOJO IN THE SKY looks best used on the bottom of your tickets.
Race 14
In a really weak and inconsistent field, (2) KEENE ALLURE picks up the top driver with an excellent starting post. (7) MONTANA REI takes a huge drop in class for a capable trainer. (3) IM BABYS BIG GIRL has just been racing evenly but does own a win at this level; threat.
Race 15
(2) LOGAN COUNTY RALPH owns a win against better on the year and gets a big morning line. (1) CUTTY SHARK needs a competent drive from a low percentage pilot; command a price. (9) P L ADDER could be in a perfect spot to save some ground before shaking loose late.
Spot Plays
For Wednesday
TRACK (RACE) HORSE, MORNING LINE
Aqueduct (1st) Jacqueline D, 7-2
(3rd) Beautiful Nite Sky, 7-2
Charles Town (5th) Onthestraitanarrow, 3-1
(8th) Macho Spaces, 9-2
Delta Downs (3rd) Westpine, 9-2
(5th) Spanish Chrome, 3-1
Gulfstream Park (2nd) Backsplash, 4-1
(6th) Publicist, 9-2
Mahoning Valley (7th) Mount Diablo, 7-2
(8th) Nikispring, 4-1
Penn National (2nd) Grogger, 7-2
(6th) Great Lite, 6-1
Tampa Bay Downs (3rd) Stately Defence, 5-1
(4th) Designer Win, 7-2
Turf Paradise (2nd) Hot Tub, 7-2
(5th) Cowboy Cliff, 8-1
Turfway Park (2nd) Start Up, 4-1
(7th) Seattle Firm, 7-2
For Wednesday
TRACK (RACE) HORSE, MORNING LINE
Aqueduct (1st) Jacqueline D, 7-2
(3rd) Beautiful Nite Sky, 7-2
Charles Town (5th) Onthestraitanarrow, 3-1
(8th) Macho Spaces, 9-2
Delta Downs (3rd) Westpine, 9-2
(5th) Spanish Chrome, 3-1
Gulfstream Park (2nd) Backsplash, 4-1
(6th) Publicist, 9-2
Mahoning Valley (7th) Mount Diablo, 7-2
(8th) Nikispring, 4-1
Penn National (2nd) Grogger, 7-2
(6th) Great Lite, 6-1
Tampa Bay Downs (3rd) Stately Defence, 5-1
(4th) Designer Win, 7-2
Turf Paradise (2nd) Hot Tub, 7-2
(5th) Cowboy Cliff, 8-1
Turfway Park (2nd) Start Up, 4-1
(7th) Seattle Firm, 7-2
