At the Gate - Sunday
By Mike Dempsey
It was a rough opening day at Gulfstream Park on Saturday, with just three winners on top on the 11-race Claiming Crown card.
I had eight of the winners listed including a pair of winners sent out by Jorge Navarro, who also had a close up second.
He won the Rapid Transit with Shaft of Light ($4.80) and the Express with Defer Heaven ($6.80) and missed in the Iron Horse with Goodtimehadbyall who came up a half-length short.
Navarro is hitting at a 30% clip on the year, and if you recall he was suspended for 60 days for six post-race positives for the regulated medication flunixin that were detected following races at Tampa Bay’s 2011-12 meeting.
Tampa Bay elected to not allow him to enter horses at all for the 2013-2104 meeting.
Some of his horses seem to run right out of their skin on occasion, making him one heck of a trainer I guess.
On Derby Day, this year he won two races, with Sharp Azteca in the Pat Day Mile (G2) and Catalina Red in the Churchill Downs Stakes (G2). They both looked as if they had been shot out of a cannon.
Between the time of his six positives and his suspension, nearly 20 months had passed. During that time, he won the Monmouth Park training title, winning at a 32% clip.
Justice comes slow in horse racing, and each time I see Navarro win a race I get sick to my stomach. He is one of a handful of trainers that have had multiple drug positives that just keeps on training and winning.
I just hope all his horses that ran on Saturday at Gulfstream Park test clean. If not, he may be slapped on the wrist with another 60-day suspension to be served in 2025.
My Best Plays Report for Sunday includes my eight strongest plays from Aqueduct and Gulfstream Park.
Here is the opening race from Gulfstream Park to get the day off to a good start:
GP Race 1 Clm $16,000N2L (12:35 ET)
#8 Yes Mongolia 8-1
#5 Break Away 7-2
#6 Fist Bump 5-1
#4 Earhart 12-1
Analysis: Yes Mongolia stalked the pace while saving ground and weakened to finish fifth last out at Hawthorne against $25,000 non-winners of two on the switch from turf to dirt. The winner Vilaro came back to beat allowance foes in her next outing on Nov. 25. Her maiden score came on turf. She gets a jock upgrade here from the 10 pound bug to Jaramillo and the 8-1 morning line looks more than fair.
Break Away stalked the early pace and came with a good late rally to finish in the runner up spot last out at this level, beaten a length for the top spot. This gal has racked up a bunch of losses but her last two starts have been solid. Two back at Arlington Park over good ground she was beaten just a neck. She makes her second start off a two month break.
Wagering
WIN: #8 to win at 9-2 or better.
EX: 5,8 / 4,5,6,8
TRI: 5,8 / 4,5,6,8 / 4,5,6,7,8
Today’s Featured Race of the Day from Aqueduct:
AQU Race 8 Alw $67,000N1X (3:43 ET)
#9 Apologynotaccepted 6-1
#1 Chorus Line 5-2
#7 Felini 2-1
#3 Play Unified 6-1
Analysis: Apologynotaccepted pressed the early pace and weakened to finish fourth last out in her first trip over the Big A main track and was coming back off nearly a four month layoff. The mare caught a racing strip that was playing to outside stalkers and closers that day. She should be tighter second off the bench for Mott and she showed some serious promise in her first two career starts, breaking her maiden in her debut by 16 lengths at Gulfstream Park back in March.
Chorus Line was a sharp winner last out against $50,000 starter allowance foes in his first start off the claim by De Lauro and her first start against winners. She broke her maiden for $20,000 when in the Mott barn. She makes her third start of her current form cycle and a repeat of her last outing makes her a player in this tougher spot.
Wagering
WIN: #9 to win at 9-2 or better.
EX: 1,9 / 1,3,7,9
TRI: 1,9 / 1,3,7,9 / 1,3,5,7,9
Today’s Featured Race of the Day from Gulfstream Park:
GP Race 8 Clm $30,000N2L (4:02 ET)
#6 Bingo Kitten 2-1
#5 Lottery Ticket 5-1
#2 Cavity 6-1
#4 Whip N Nay Nay 8-1
Analysis: Bingo Kitten makes his first start since running eighth last out at the Spa against a real tough group of Alw-2 optional claimers. The runner up Deeply Undervalued came back to win the Commonwealth Derby (G2) in his next outing at Laurel Park on Sept. 24. He drops in for a tag here for the Maker barn that is 18% winners with runners coming back off a 61-180 day layoff.
Lottery Ticket stalked the early pace while saving ground and tired to finish eighth last out against Alw-1 foes. The runner up Metaphorically returned to beat $12,500 starter allowance foes in his next outing on Nov. 6. The colt broke his maiden on the main track here in August and is 0 for 9 on turf in his career but he does have three seconds over the weeds and this is not a real tough looking group he faces here.
Wagering
WIN: #6 to win at 5-2 or better.
EX: 5,6 / 2,4,5,6
TRI: 5,6 / 2,4,5,6 / 1,2,4,5,6
Live Longshots:
These are price plays for exotic players looking to find a couple of extra contenders to use in their trifecta and superfecta wagers. Or for those with smaller bankrolls, you might want to get in a small win-place wager.
Gulfstream Park
R1: #8 Yes Mongolia 8-1
R1: #4 Earhart 12-1
R3: #10 Bravucona 10-1
R4: #6 Divine Deacon 12-1
R5: #7 Son of Greatness 10-1
R7: #8 Three Illusions 10-1
R8: #4 Whip N Nay Nay 8-1
R9: #7 Cat Tree 20-1
R10: #12 Cindy’s Candy 8-1
R10: #2 Negev 10-1
Good luck today!
By Mike Dempsey
It was a rough opening day at Gulfstream Park on Saturday, with just three winners on top on the 11-race Claiming Crown card.
I had eight of the winners listed including a pair of winners sent out by Jorge Navarro, who also had a close up second.
He won the Rapid Transit with Shaft of Light ($4.80) and the Express with Defer Heaven ($6.80) and missed in the Iron Horse with Goodtimehadbyall who came up a half-length short.
Navarro is hitting at a 30% clip on the year, and if you recall he was suspended for 60 days for six post-race positives for the regulated medication flunixin that were detected following races at Tampa Bay’s 2011-12 meeting.
Tampa Bay elected to not allow him to enter horses at all for the 2013-2104 meeting.
Some of his horses seem to run right out of their skin on occasion, making him one heck of a trainer I guess.
On Derby Day, this year he won two races, with Sharp Azteca in the Pat Day Mile (G2) and Catalina Red in the Churchill Downs Stakes (G2). They both looked as if they had been shot out of a cannon.
Between the time of his six positives and his suspension, nearly 20 months had passed. During that time, he won the Monmouth Park training title, winning at a 32% clip.
Justice comes slow in horse racing, and each time I see Navarro win a race I get sick to my stomach. He is one of a handful of trainers that have had multiple drug positives that just keeps on training and winning.
I just hope all his horses that ran on Saturday at Gulfstream Park test clean. If not, he may be slapped on the wrist with another 60-day suspension to be served in 2025.
My Best Plays Report for Sunday includes my eight strongest plays from Aqueduct and Gulfstream Park.
Here is the opening race from Gulfstream Park to get the day off to a good start:
GP Race 1 Clm $16,000N2L (12:35 ET)
#8 Yes Mongolia 8-1
#5 Break Away 7-2
#6 Fist Bump 5-1
#4 Earhart 12-1
Analysis: Yes Mongolia stalked the pace while saving ground and weakened to finish fifth last out at Hawthorne against $25,000 non-winners of two on the switch from turf to dirt. The winner Vilaro came back to beat allowance foes in her next outing on Nov. 25. Her maiden score came on turf. She gets a jock upgrade here from the 10 pound bug to Jaramillo and the 8-1 morning line looks more than fair.
Break Away stalked the early pace and came with a good late rally to finish in the runner up spot last out at this level, beaten a length for the top spot. This gal has racked up a bunch of losses but her last two starts have been solid. Two back at Arlington Park over good ground she was beaten just a neck. She makes her second start off a two month break.
Wagering
WIN: #8 to win at 9-2 or better.
EX: 5,8 / 4,5,6,8
TRI: 5,8 / 4,5,6,8 / 4,5,6,7,8
Today’s Featured Race of the Day from Aqueduct:
AQU Race 8 Alw $67,000N1X (3:43 ET)
#9 Apologynotaccepted 6-1
#1 Chorus Line 5-2
#7 Felini 2-1
#3 Play Unified 6-1
Analysis: Apologynotaccepted pressed the early pace and weakened to finish fourth last out in her first trip over the Big A main track and was coming back off nearly a four month layoff. The mare caught a racing strip that was playing to outside stalkers and closers that day. She should be tighter second off the bench for Mott and she showed some serious promise in her first two career starts, breaking her maiden in her debut by 16 lengths at Gulfstream Park back in March.
Chorus Line was a sharp winner last out against $50,000 starter allowance foes in his first start off the claim by De Lauro and her first start against winners. She broke her maiden for $20,000 when in the Mott barn. She makes her third start of her current form cycle and a repeat of her last outing makes her a player in this tougher spot.
Wagering
WIN: #9 to win at 9-2 or better.
EX: 1,9 / 1,3,7,9
TRI: 1,9 / 1,3,7,9 / 1,3,5,7,9
Today’s Featured Race of the Day from Gulfstream Park:
GP Race 8 Clm $30,000N2L (4:02 ET)
#6 Bingo Kitten 2-1
#5 Lottery Ticket 5-1
#2 Cavity 6-1
#4 Whip N Nay Nay 8-1
Analysis: Bingo Kitten makes his first start since running eighth last out at the Spa against a real tough group of Alw-2 optional claimers. The runner up Deeply Undervalued came back to win the Commonwealth Derby (G2) in his next outing at Laurel Park on Sept. 24. He drops in for a tag here for the Maker barn that is 18% winners with runners coming back off a 61-180 day layoff.
Lottery Ticket stalked the early pace while saving ground and tired to finish eighth last out against Alw-1 foes. The runner up Metaphorically returned to beat $12,500 starter allowance foes in his next outing on Nov. 6. The colt broke his maiden on the main track here in August and is 0 for 9 on turf in his career but he does have three seconds over the weeds and this is not a real tough looking group he faces here.
Wagering
WIN: #6 to win at 5-2 or better.
EX: 5,6 / 2,4,5,6
TRI: 5,6 / 2,4,5,6 / 1,2,4,5,6
Live Longshots:
These are price plays for exotic players looking to find a couple of extra contenders to use in their trifecta and superfecta wagers. Or for those with smaller bankrolls, you might want to get in a small win-place wager.
Gulfstream Park
R1: #8 Yes Mongolia 8-1
R1: #4 Earhart 12-1
R3: #10 Bravucona 10-1
R4: #6 Divine Deacon 12-1
R5: #7 Son of Greatness 10-1
R7: #8 Three Illusions 10-1
R8: #4 Whip N Nay Nay 8-1
R9: #7 Cat Tree 20-1
R10: #12 Cindy’s Candy 8-1
R10: #2 Negev 10-1
Good luck today!
Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Pompano Park
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 10 - Post: 10:02 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 76 - Purse:$4000 - CLAIMING $5,000 MACDONALD PICKED 3 OVER 8
CONSORTIUM*CHOICES
# 5 BROOKSTONE 7/2
# 3 SHOOTIN TYME 5/2
# 1 VAN GUNDY HANOVER 8/1
After thorough analysis by the wagering panel, BROOKSTONE comes out as the top selection. Sometimes you just have to go with a vibe, get behind this one's chances. Could very well be the strongest in the group of horses here, showing competitive figures of late. Average speed is a solid 85. This gelding has been racing versus some of the most competitive horses in this field recently. SHOOTIN TYME - When Bowman sends this harness racer out you can bet they'll be in the top three, figures show them there 100 percent of the time. VAN GUNDY HANOVER - Been squaring off with some tougher customers of late, has a distinct class advantage. (Average Rating 78). Always super driver/conditioner duet. 24 percent winners when they work together.
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 10 - Post: 10:02 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 76 - Purse:$4000 - CLAIMING $5,000 MACDONALD PICKED 3 OVER 8
CONSORTIUM*CHOICES
# 5 BROOKSTONE 7/2
# 3 SHOOTIN TYME 5/2
# 1 VAN GUNDY HANOVER 8/1
After thorough analysis by the wagering panel, BROOKSTONE comes out as the top selection. Sometimes you just have to go with a vibe, get behind this one's chances. Could very well be the strongest in the group of horses here, showing competitive figures of late. Average speed is a solid 85. This gelding has been racing versus some of the most competitive horses in this field recently. SHOOTIN TYME - When Bowman sends this harness racer out you can bet they'll be in the top three, figures show them there 100 percent of the time. VAN GUNDY HANOVER - Been squaring off with some tougher customers of late, has a distinct class advantage. (Average Rating 78). Always super driver/conditioner duet. 24 percent winners when they work together.
Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Saratoga Harness
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 1 - Post: 12:15 - 1 mile. TROT - Class Rating: 77 - Purse:$4600 - NON-WINNERS $1,500 LAST 5 STARTS
CONSORTIUM*CHOICES
# 2 POUNCE K 6/5
# 4 HMS FIRECRACKER 10/1
# 5 ABC CROWN ME QUEEN 15/1
POUNCE K has a very good shot to take this contest. Feel the need for speed, this nice horse has been turning in some outstanding speed figs averaging around 79. He has very nice class ratings, averaging 82. Should be considered for a bet in here. Could unquestionably dominate this group given the 76 TrackMaster SR recorded in his last race. HMS FIRECRACKER - Can't forget based on TrackMaster Speed Ratings which have been excellent (80 avg) recently. Seems to have a good class edge based on the opponents he has raced against. ABC CROWN ME QUEEN - Hard to put finger on it, but like her in this event.
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 1 - Post: 12:15 - 1 mile. TROT - Class Rating: 77 - Purse:$4600 - NON-WINNERS $1,500 LAST 5 STARTS
CONSORTIUM*CHOICES
# 2 POUNCE K 6/5
# 4 HMS FIRECRACKER 10/1
# 5 ABC CROWN ME QUEEN 15/1
POUNCE K has a very good shot to take this contest. Feel the need for speed, this nice horse has been turning in some outstanding speed figs averaging around 79. He has very nice class ratings, averaging 82. Should be considered for a bet in here. Could unquestionably dominate this group given the 76 TrackMaster SR recorded in his last race. HMS FIRECRACKER - Can't forget based on TrackMaster Speed Ratings which have been excellent (80 avg) recently. Seems to have a good class edge based on the opponents he has raced against. ABC CROWN ME QUEEN - Hard to put finger on it, but like her in this event.
Handicapped by The Walker Group at Gulfstream Park
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 6 - Maiden Special Weight - 7.5f on the Turf. Purse: $42000 Class Rating: 80
FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS.
RECOMMENDED*CHOICES
# 9 COLDGREYDAWN 9/5
# 4 MOONLESS SKY 5/2
# 7 ELIZABETH AURORA 10/1
I've got to go with COLDGREYDAWN. Will probably compete well in the early pace clash which bodes well with this field. Must be considered given the class of races run recently. Has respectable speed figures and has to be considered for a bet in this race. MOONLESS SKY - Looks very strong for the conditions of this contest today, showing solid figures in turf sprint races lately. Should be given a chance based on the formidable Equibase speed fig recorded in the last contest. ELIZABETH AURORA - She has quite good class ratings, averaging 80, and has to be considered in this race. Don't overlook this filly in your bets - very dangerous with Panici aboard.
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 6 - Maiden Special Weight - 7.5f on the Turf. Purse: $42000 Class Rating: 80
FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS.
RECOMMENDED*CHOICES
# 9 COLDGREYDAWN 9/5
# 4 MOONLESS SKY 5/2
# 7 ELIZABETH AURORA 10/1
I've got to go with COLDGREYDAWN. Will probably compete well in the early pace clash which bodes well with this field. Must be considered given the class of races run recently. Has respectable speed figures and has to be considered for a bet in this race. MOONLESS SKY - Looks very strong for the conditions of this contest today, showing solid figures in turf sprint races lately. Should be given a chance based on the formidable Equibase speed fig recorded in the last contest. ELIZABETH AURORA - She has quite good class ratings, averaging 80, and has to be considered in this race. Don't overlook this filly in your bets - very dangerous with Panici aboard.
Handicapped by The Walker Group at Zia Park
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 3 - Claiming - 870y on the Dirt. Purse: $15500 Class Rating: 88
QUARTER HORSE 870Y, FOR REGISTERED NEW MEXICO BRED THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 123 LBS.; OLDER, 125 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $10,000.
RECOMMENDED*CHOICES
# 6 SOUTHERN CCC 5/1
# 3 EL TORMENTA PERFECTA 7/2
# 7 STORM CHASOR 12/1
I've got to go with SOUTHERN CCC. Bettors should take a good look at this one as this gelding has one of the best win percentages at this distance in this group of horses. Has quite good front speed and will probably fare very well against this group of animals. Could best this group based on the speed rating - 85 - of his last outing. EL TORMENTA PERFECTA - His 76 average has this gelding with among the best Equibase Speed Figures in here. Has to be given consideration based on the quite good speed rating recorded in the last contest. STORM CHASOR - In fine fettle, and coming right back again today.
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 3 - Claiming - 870y on the Dirt. Purse: $15500 Class Rating: 88
QUARTER HORSE 870Y, FOR REGISTERED NEW MEXICO BRED THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 123 LBS.; OLDER, 125 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $10,000.
RECOMMENDED*CHOICES
# 6 SOUTHERN CCC 5/1
# 3 EL TORMENTA PERFECTA 7/2
# 7 STORM CHASOR 12/1
I've got to go with SOUTHERN CCC. Bettors should take a good look at this one as this gelding has one of the best win percentages at this distance in this group of horses. Has quite good front speed and will probably fare very well against this group of animals. Could best this group based on the speed rating - 85 - of his last outing. EL TORMENTA PERFECTA - His 76 average has this gelding with among the best Equibase Speed Figures in here. Has to be given consideration based on the quite good speed rating recorded in the last contest. STORM CHASOR - In fine fettle, and coming right back again today.
Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts
Turfway Park - Race #3 - Post: 3:58pm - Claiming - 6.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $7,100 Class Rating: 79
Rating:
#5 PROM THEME (ML=4/1)
PROM THEME - I do like the fact this mare is back in a race so quickly. Danner brings her back again. I recommend you stay with this hot mare. This mare has 'tactical' speed, Mojica will use this advantage by laying in perfect stalking position behind the early speed, and getting first run on the leaders. Don't often see a beneficial ROI like +35. This jock/handler twosome has done well together over the last twelve months.
Vulnerable Contenders: #7 PURE LEGACY (ML=5/2), #4 CALL ME ANNA (ML=7/2), #1 ON THE CENTERLINE (ML=4/1),
PURE LEGACY - Showed very little in the last event. Really don't see any hint of any change today. CALL ME ANNA - Hard to bet on at 7/2 odds after the two most recent efforts. ON THE CENTERLINE - In any race of 6 1/2 furlongs, I like to bet on a contender that has been looking good in sprint affairs of late. Finished sixth in her most recent race with a run-of-the-mill speed rating. When I look at today's class figure, it would take an improved performance to win after that in this bunch.
GUEST COMMENTARY: Hal - PROM THEME - Advancing each step of the way, this mount has recorded significant increases in her speed figures over her last two events.*
*
STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Bet on #5 PROM THEME to win if we can get at least 1/1 odds
EXACTA WAGERS:
Pass
TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Skip
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Skip
Turfway Park - Race #3 - Post: 3:58pm - Claiming - 6.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $7,100 Class Rating: 79
Rating:
#5 PROM THEME (ML=4/1)
PROM THEME - I do like the fact this mare is back in a race so quickly. Danner brings her back again. I recommend you stay with this hot mare. This mare has 'tactical' speed, Mojica will use this advantage by laying in perfect stalking position behind the early speed, and getting first run on the leaders. Don't often see a beneficial ROI like +35. This jock/handler twosome has done well together over the last twelve months.
Vulnerable Contenders: #7 PURE LEGACY (ML=5/2), #4 CALL ME ANNA (ML=7/2), #1 ON THE CENTERLINE (ML=4/1),
PURE LEGACY - Showed very little in the last event. Really don't see any hint of any change today. CALL ME ANNA - Hard to bet on at 7/2 odds after the two most recent efforts. ON THE CENTERLINE - In any race of 6 1/2 furlongs, I like to bet on a contender that has been looking good in sprint affairs of late. Finished sixth in her most recent race with a run-of-the-mill speed rating. When I look at today's class figure, it would take an improved performance to win after that in this bunch.
GUEST COMMENTARY: Hal - PROM THEME - Advancing each step of the way, this mount has recorded significant increases in her speed figures over her last two events.*
*
STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Bet on #5 PROM THEME to win if we can get at least 1/1 odds
EXACTA WAGERS:
Pass
TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Skip
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Skip
Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts
Fair Grounds - Race #4 - Post: 2:53pm - Claiming - 8.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $17,000 Class Rating: 84
Rating:
#5 COMMERCIAL APPEAL (ML=6/1)
#2 DRINKING FUND (ML=4/1)
COMMERCIAL APPEAL - Looking at today's class figure, this pony is meeting an easier field than last time out at Hawthorne. DRINKING FUND - Don't throw this animal out due to her last event at Louisiana Downs where she ran ninth on the soft turf. Expect better today. This mare seems to run pretty good after a vacation. This horse is utmost in earnings per start. She looks good in today's affair.
Vulnerable Contenders: #4 THRYLOS (ML=5/2), #3 PINKING OF YOU (ML=4/1), #7 NUMBER ONE GAL (ML=9/2),
THRYLOS - Just can't play this questionable contender. Didn't show me anything in the last race or on September 16th. PINKING OF YOU - Will probably be stranded with much too much to do down the homestretch. NUMBER ONE GAL - This rallier will probably be coming much too late to make an impression in this clash. Don't believe this vulnerable equine will do much running today. That last fig was run-of-the-mill when compared with today's class rating.
STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Go with #5 COMMERCIAL APPEAL on top if we're getting at least 9/5 odds
EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [2,5]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Pass
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
None
Fair Grounds - Race #4 - Post: 2:53pm - Claiming - 8.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $17,000 Class Rating: 84
Rating:
#5 COMMERCIAL APPEAL (ML=6/1)
#2 DRINKING FUND (ML=4/1)
COMMERCIAL APPEAL - Looking at today's class figure, this pony is meeting an easier field than last time out at Hawthorne. DRINKING FUND - Don't throw this animal out due to her last event at Louisiana Downs where she ran ninth on the soft turf. Expect better today. This mare seems to run pretty good after a vacation. This horse is utmost in earnings per start. She looks good in today's affair.
Vulnerable Contenders: #4 THRYLOS (ML=5/2), #3 PINKING OF YOU (ML=4/1), #7 NUMBER ONE GAL (ML=9/2),
THRYLOS - Just can't play this questionable contender. Didn't show me anything in the last race or on September 16th. PINKING OF YOU - Will probably be stranded with much too much to do down the homestretch. NUMBER ONE GAL - This rallier will probably be coming much too late to make an impression in this clash. Don't believe this vulnerable equine will do much running today. That last fig was run-of-the-mill when compared with today's class rating.
STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Go with #5 COMMERCIAL APPEAL on top if we're getting at least 9/5 odds
EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [2,5]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Pass
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
None
Handicapped by Rick Needham at Aqueduct
RACE #7 - AQUEDUCT - 3:17 PM EASTERN POST
8½ FURLONGS TURF FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD ALLOWANCE $67,000.00 PURSE
#2 VAGABOND
#13 DAISY CUTTER
#5 ELOWEASEL
#4 MY SENSES
#2 VAGABOND is the overall speed leader in this allowance field racing at, or about today's distance of 8½ furlongs on the turf,, and has hit the board in "POWER RUN FASHION" in three straight, including a "POWER RUN WIN" to break her maiden in her 3rd race back, which was just the 2nd race of her young career to date. Jockey Jose Ortiz, and Trainer "Shug" McGaughey send her to the post ... they've hit the board with 54% of more than 100 entries saddled as a team to date. The morning line favorite is #13 DAISY CUTTER, who has turned in "POWER RUN PERFORMANCES" in four of her last five outings, hitting the board in three of those races.
RACE #7 - AQUEDUCT - 3:17 PM EASTERN POST
8½ FURLONGS TURF FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD ALLOWANCE $67,000.00 PURSE
#2 VAGABOND
#13 DAISY CUTTER
#5 ELOWEASEL
#4 MY SENSES
#2 VAGABOND is the overall speed leader in this allowance field racing at, or about today's distance of 8½ furlongs on the turf,, and has hit the board in "POWER RUN FASHION" in three straight, including a "POWER RUN WIN" to break her maiden in her 3rd race back, which was just the 2nd race of her young career to date. Jockey Jose Ortiz, and Trainer "Shug" McGaughey send her to the post ... they've hit the board with 54% of more than 100 entries saddled as a team to date. The morning line favorite is #13 DAISY CUTTER, who has turned in "POWER RUN PERFORMANCES" in four of her last five outings, hitting the board in three of those races.
Yonkers: Sunday 12/4 Analysis
By Matt Rose
DRF
MEET STATS: 432 - 1235 / $2,377.20
BEST BETS: 56 - 101 / $189.60
Best Bet: SHOWMEYOURGUNS (3rd)
Spot Play: TORNADO TIM (1st)
Race 1
(5) TORNADO TIM broke while on the move last week but was solid in prior starts; gelding faces softer today and is reunited with Dube. (9) LUMINOSITY was no match for Hemi Seelster last out but the argument can be made that the Burke trainee is best here; must navigate the second tier. (1) ZOOMING ended up trapped in last week; Buter trainee has been sharp, however.
Race 2
(2) NEWCASTLE gets an interesting driver change to Kakaley and draws well in a field with some question marks; worth a look at a price. (9) LUCKY COLBY returns locally and he's had success here in the past. (1) WATKINS has quietly banked over $100K this season and he fits well with these but he did break in his last Yonkers start.
Race 3
(3) SHOWMEYOURGUNS gets a better starting spot and more importantly gets leading driver Jason Bartlett back in the bike; he can take these down the road. (10) WALLTOCOUSINS should be more involved today, provided he gets a smooth getaway from the second tier. (5) ROCKET MASTER was a decent second best last week after tracking live cover.
Race 4
(9) SIM BROWN showed improvement on the recent barn change and now he goes for new connections via claim; trotter may be sharp enough to handle these. (4) POP I looks for three straight, at his third different venue. (8) NORTHERN OBSESSION was a winner at this level four back with MacDonald driving; consider for a share at a price.
Race 5
(4) LO RAIL CROSSING drops in claiming price off a solid win and while generally that's a red flag I'll assume everything is ok and he'll repeat. (9) EMPIRE EARL N has hinted at ability since arriving in the U.S. (5) WESTERN CREDIT has alternated between really good or really bad; I guess it's his turn to be good today.
Race 6
(8) HEMI SEELSTER was dead-game on the front end last week holding off a good rival in the process; Bartlett will be moving early until clearing the front and will look to score again. (5) RED HOT HERBIE should leave the gate from this spot and could work out a good stalking trip. (7) WIND OF THE NORTH needs to generate some early speed for his best chance but he clearly is capable with these.
Race 7
(5) DREAMSTEELER has been very sharp in his last few and seems capable of powering by late. (1) CHINESE CUISINE returns locally and is a threat to lead these the distance. (3) DARK ROAST lands in a much more realistic spot in her second local start; threat.
Race 8
(2) CARD SHOCK returns locally, where he's had some success in the past, especially from inside posts; Dube's choice. (6) GRIN FOR MONEY debuts for the Hudson barn via claim and will look to continue his form spree. (7) MAJOR HOMER goes for Bartlett/Milici but is clearly at a post disadvantage.
Race 9
(4) MARTIAL BLISS has been second best in his last three and is more than capable of getting lucky today. (3) WHAT I BELIEVE is another horse in raging form who was claimed by Hudson and he stays at the same level. (7) IDEALBEACH HANOVER is clearly better than his recent lines indicate but he's stuck outside.
Race 10
(4) SONOFA SIZZLE never fully fired last week but that was a tough trip from the eight hole; post relief could get him over the top in the finale. (1) MILLIONDOLLAR WAVE returns locally off a sharp score at Dover and looks like the primary threat. (5) MACON GEORGIA A seems capable of landing a share; consider underneath at a price.
By Matt Rose
DRF
MEET STATS: 432 - 1235 / $2,377.20
BEST BETS: 56 - 101 / $189.60
Best Bet: SHOWMEYOURGUNS (3rd)
Spot Play: TORNADO TIM (1st)
Race 1
(5) TORNADO TIM broke while on the move last week but was solid in prior starts; gelding faces softer today and is reunited with Dube. (9) LUMINOSITY was no match for Hemi Seelster last out but the argument can be made that the Burke trainee is best here; must navigate the second tier. (1) ZOOMING ended up trapped in last week; Buter trainee has been sharp, however.
Race 2
(2) NEWCASTLE gets an interesting driver change to Kakaley and draws well in a field with some question marks; worth a look at a price. (9) LUCKY COLBY returns locally and he's had success here in the past. (1) WATKINS has quietly banked over $100K this season and he fits well with these but he did break in his last Yonkers start.
Race 3
(3) SHOWMEYOURGUNS gets a better starting spot and more importantly gets leading driver Jason Bartlett back in the bike; he can take these down the road. (10) WALLTOCOUSINS should be more involved today, provided he gets a smooth getaway from the second tier. (5) ROCKET MASTER was a decent second best last week after tracking live cover.
Race 4
(9) SIM BROWN showed improvement on the recent barn change and now he goes for new connections via claim; trotter may be sharp enough to handle these. (4) POP I looks for three straight, at his third different venue. (8) NORTHERN OBSESSION was a winner at this level four back with MacDonald driving; consider for a share at a price.
Race 5
(4) LO RAIL CROSSING drops in claiming price off a solid win and while generally that's a red flag I'll assume everything is ok and he'll repeat. (9) EMPIRE EARL N has hinted at ability since arriving in the U.S. (5) WESTERN CREDIT has alternated between really good or really bad; I guess it's his turn to be good today.
Race 6
(8) HEMI SEELSTER was dead-game on the front end last week holding off a good rival in the process; Bartlett will be moving early until clearing the front and will look to score again. (5) RED HOT HERBIE should leave the gate from this spot and could work out a good stalking trip. (7) WIND OF THE NORTH needs to generate some early speed for his best chance but he clearly is capable with these.
Race 7
(5) DREAMSTEELER has been very sharp in his last few and seems capable of powering by late. (1) CHINESE CUISINE returns locally and is a threat to lead these the distance. (3) DARK ROAST lands in a much more realistic spot in her second local start; threat.
Race 8
(2) CARD SHOCK returns locally, where he's had some success in the past, especially from inside posts; Dube's choice. (6) GRIN FOR MONEY debuts for the Hudson barn via claim and will look to continue his form spree. (7) MAJOR HOMER goes for Bartlett/Milici but is clearly at a post disadvantage.
Race 9
(4) MARTIAL BLISS has been second best in his last three and is more than capable of getting lucky today. (3) WHAT I BELIEVE is another horse in raging form who was claimed by Hudson and he stays at the same level. (7) IDEALBEACH HANOVER is clearly better than his recent lines indicate but he's stuck outside.
Race 10
(4) SONOFA SIZZLE never fully fired last week but that was a tough trip from the eight hole; post relief could get him over the top in the finale. (1) MILLIONDOLLAR WAVE returns locally off a sharp score at Dover and looks like the primary threat. (5) MACON GEORGIA A seems capable of landing a share; consider underneath at a price.
SPOT PLAYS
For Sunday
TRACK (RACE) HORSE, MORNING LINE
Aqueduct (3rd) Finding Candy, 7-2
(7th) Bargaining Table, 6-1
Del Mar (1st) True Testament, 3-1
(9th) Soglio, 7-2
Fair Grounds (1st) Warrioress, 9-2
(7th) Curlino, 7-2
Golden Gate Fields (4th) Hal's Buddy, 9-2
(5th) Bay Area, 7-2
Gulfstream Park (2nd) Summer Scamp, 6-1
(3rd) Katira, 3-1
Laurel Park (2nd) Hickory Hill, 7-2
(3rd) Resident Scholar, 8-1
Parx (2nd) Stevie Says No, 9-2
(5th) Magical Fire, 6-1
Turf Paradise (3rd) Just After Sunset, 6-1
(6th) Pastero, 4-1
Turfway Park (2nd) Baylynn, 4-1
(6th) Cobra's Crown, 6-1
Woodbine (1st) Gasconade, 9-2
(7th) Rock River, 4-1
For Sunday
TRACK (RACE) HORSE, MORNING LINE
Aqueduct (3rd) Finding Candy, 7-2
(7th) Bargaining Table, 6-1
Del Mar (1st) True Testament, 3-1
(9th) Soglio, 7-2
Fair Grounds (1st) Warrioress, 9-2
(7th) Curlino, 7-2
Golden Gate Fields (4th) Hal's Buddy, 9-2
(5th) Bay Area, 7-2
Gulfstream Park (2nd) Summer Scamp, 6-1
(3rd) Katira, 3-1
Laurel Park (2nd) Hickory Hill, 7-2
(3rd) Resident Scholar, 8-1
Parx (2nd) Stevie Says No, 9-2
(5th) Magical Fire, 6-1
Turf Paradise (3rd) Just After Sunset, 6-1
(6th) Pastero, 4-1
Turfway Park (2nd) Baylynn, 4-1
(6th) Cobra's Crown, 6-1
Woodbine (1st) Gasconade, 9-2
(7th) Rock River, 4-1
Winning Angle
HORSE RACING
It was a pretty good start to the horses for us on Opening Day at Gulfstream----we nailed some Top Play Winners and pulled in a few exotic wagers making a nice return for the day. I will list the entire card for today----Let’s get these winners and cash some tickets.
As always—I recommend a Win/Place/Show Wager on each TOP PLAY listed and I have listed the exacta and trifecta boxes for those that like the exotic plays.
GULFSTREAM PARK
RACE 1---#5 Break Away (5-1-2-6)
RACE 2---#4 Grand Nene (4-1-2-3)
RACE 3---#6 Tavrida (6-1-5-8)
RACE 4---#5 Homer Matt (5-2-4-6)
RACE 5---#9 Our War Eagle (9-1-3-4)
RACE 6---#7 Elizabeth Aurora (7-3-4-5)
RACE 7---#12 Pray for Bourbon (12-2-5-7)
RACE 8---#11 Banco Dinero (11-2-5-6)
RACE 9---#3 Mr. Baker (3-2-7-8)
RACE 10---#10 Parker Elizabeth (10-3-8-9)
HORSE RACING
It was a pretty good start to the horses for us on Opening Day at Gulfstream----we nailed some Top Play Winners and pulled in a few exotic wagers making a nice return for the day. I will list the entire card for today----Let’s get these winners and cash some tickets.
As always—I recommend a Win/Place/Show Wager on each TOP PLAY listed and I have listed the exacta and trifecta boxes for those that like the exotic plays.
GULFSTREAM PARK
RACE 1---#5 Break Away (5-1-2-6)
RACE 2---#4 Grand Nene (4-1-2-3)
RACE 3---#6 Tavrida (6-1-5-8)
RACE 4---#5 Homer Matt (5-2-4-6)
RACE 5---#9 Our War Eagle (9-1-3-4)
RACE 6---#7 Elizabeth Aurora (7-3-4-5)
RACE 7---#12 Pray for Bourbon (12-2-5-7)
RACE 8---#11 Banco Dinero (11-2-5-6)
RACE 9---#3 Mr. Baker (3-2-7-8)
RACE 10---#10 Parker Elizabeth (10-3-8-9)
