Horse Racing 12-27-16

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Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Dayton Raceway

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Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 10 - Post: 4:51 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 73 - Purse:$4500 - HORSES & GELDINGS CLAIMING $5000 W/ALLOWANCES DAYTON RACEWAY T. TETRICK - LISTED 6-9
CONSORTIUM*CHOICES

# 5 HAY GOODLOOKING 5/2
# 7 DIXIELAND BAND 7/2
# 4 CATHERINE'SDIAMOND 6/1

HAY GOODLOOKING could be our best wagering option in this gathering. Might be there at a fair price tag. Very likely one to keep in your exotics. Certainly should be given a look based on the really strong TrackMaster Speed Rating achieved in the most recent race. Post 5 has been winning at a better than expected percent, suggesting competitive probability of success in this contest. DIXIELAND BAND - The knowledge group always likes a proven player. This horse's high winning percent is confirmation of that. Gelding and trainer go together like Sonny and Cher. They finish in the money 51 percent of their races. CATHERINE'SDIAMOND - Starters win from this post at Dayton Raceway with better than average regularity, suggesting this magnificent wager. Has the look of a profitable play, averaging a nifty 75 speed rating.
 
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Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Pompano Park

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Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 2 - Post: 7:38 - 1 mile. TROT - Class Rating: 86 - Purse:$12000 - OPEN 1 HANDICAP POST POSITIONS 1-5 DRAWN , 6 ASSIGNED
CONSORTIUM*CHOICES

# 5 SERENDIPITIOUS 5/2
# 3 DIAMOND DAGGER 6/1
# 6 TATER TWISTER 2/1

The pick in here is SERENDIPITIOUS. Been racing with some tougher customers of late, has a distinct class edge. (Average Rating 86). With one of the best drivers in terms of crossing the wire first, don't count this mare out of the race. Considered a solid bet based solely on her high triumph figure. DIAMOND DAGGER - Superb driver Dillander should find the pace of today's race to this mare's liking - could be a good wager. Many bettors strongly consider this mare on the driver-trainer numbers alone. TATER TWISTER - This nice horse looks dangerous. Look at the 91 avg TrackMaster speed fig. Many expert selectors will recognize the stellar speed figure in the last contest. Stacks up against any horse in this race.
 
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Handicapped by The Walker Group at Sunland Park

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 5 - SA - 4.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $17000 Class Rating: 87

FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $5,000 OR LESS IN 2015-2016. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS.


RECOMMENDED*CHOICES


# 4 A. P WILD 5/1

# 6 LAYCOCK BAY 6/1

# 2 TAKEIT TOTHE LIMIT 4/1

A. P WILD looks like the bet in here. Looks like a solid candidate for the exotics. Must be carefully examined here on the basis of the figures in the speed realm alone. Must be given a chance based on the formidable speed figure garnered in the last contest. LAYCOCK BAY - He has been running solidly and the Equibase Speed Figures are among the best in this group. Has to be given a chance based on the very strong Equibase speed fig recorded in the last race. TAKEIT TOTHE LIMIT - Strong average speed figures in dirt sprint races make this racer a definite contender. This equine could stun this bunch at a big price.
 
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Handicapped by The Walker Group at Turf Paradise

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 5 - Claiming - 5.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $9500 Class Rating: 83

FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE OCTOBER 27 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $8,000, IF FOR $7,000, ALLOWED 2 LBS. ARIZONA BRED CLAIMING PRICE $10,000.


RECOMMENDED*CHOICES


# 3 FOUR TIMES LUCKY 5/2

# 7 EXTREME CAUTION 3/1

# 1 ZIVA THE DIVA 3/1

FOUR TIMES LUCKY is my choice. Has run admirably when running a dirt sprint race. EXTREME CAUTION - Posted a formidable Equibase speed fig last time out. ZIVA THE DIVA - Will almost certainly compete quite well in the pace contest which bodes well with this group. May best this field here, showing respectable figures of late.
 
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Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Turf Paradise - Race #2 - Post: 1:10pm - Maiden Claiming - 6.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $7,000 Class Rating: 70

Rating:

#4 SANTA NELLA (ML=3/1)
#1 ANGELNAULE (ML=7/2)


SANTA NELLA - When Stevens and Kruljac unite on horses the return on investment has been great at +168. The Nov 18th race at Del Mar was at a class level of (82). Dropping to a lower class level considerably, so she should be in a good position to win. ANGELNAULE - Ran in the last race against a high class rated field at Turf Paradise. The move down in class should suit her well. Utilizing this jockey/trainer combination is a smart move. This animal has increased her speed figures in each of the last two races. That kind of progress is just want you want for a winner today.

Vulnerable Contenders: #5 CORRELATION (ML=8/5), #7 SWEETNORTHERN ROSE (ML=4/1), #2 EMMA'S JOY (ML=6/1),

CORRELATION - This horse hasn't been in the money in either of her last couple of outings. SWEETNORTHERN ROSE - Doesn't seem to be in a comfortable situation this time. EMMA'S JOY - This stretch-runner looks to have slight chance without an early speed duel at the front. Unlikely that the speed fig she earned on Dec 5th will hold up in this affair.

GUEST COMMENTARY: The Turf Man - ANGELNAULE - Last affair was on the turf at Turf Paradise. Switching to a dirt race at 6 1/2 furlongs today. I like this play with maidens.
*

STRAIGHT WAGERS:

#4 SANTA NELLA is the play if we get odds of 6/5 or better

EXACTA WAGERS:

Box [1,4]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:

Skip

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:

None
 
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Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Mahoning Valley Race Course - Race #3 - Post: 1:40pm - Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $9,000 Class Rating: 73

Rating:

#4 CANARYINACOALMINE (ML=6/1)
#6 NOCTURNAL Q (ML=8/1)
#1 MISS BORREGO (ML=8/1)


CANARYINACOALMINE - Aboard this thoroughbred on Nov 29th and Yaranga is right back in the irons this time. Took a significant drop in class rating last out at Mahoning Valley Race Cour. Returning to a similar class in today's race. I'd calculate a good performance. NOCTURNAL Q - Nice return on investment for this jockey and conditioner tandem. Finished out of the money last out at Mahoning Valley Race Cour, but was within five lengths of the winner. Opening at 8/1 makes me think she's got a chance. MISS BORREGO - You probably want to throw out that last race at Mahoning Valley Race Cour on a track listed as good where she finished out of the money. Should do well today with the benefit of a fast track.

Vulnerable Contenders: #8 CINDER TYME (ML=6/5), #7 CHARIOT CHAR (ML=9/2), #9 MOON BABY (ML=8/1),

CINDER TYME - This morning-line favorite ran on November 12th and hasn't had a workout after that. CHARIOT CHAR - Should be difficult for this entrant to beat this field off of that last speed rating. Not probable to improve enough to run a figure close enough to today's Equibase class figure, so put her on the possibly overvalued contestants list. MOON BABY - 8/1 is just too low of a reward to take on most any horse that has run poorly in back to back outings. Finished fifth in her most recent race with a common speed fig. When I look at today's Equibase class figure, it would take an improved performance to prove victorious after that in this bunch.


STRAIGHT WAGERS:

Have to go with #4 CANARYINACOALMINE on the win end if we get at least 2/1 odds

EXACTA WAGERS:

4 with [1,6]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:

Box [1,4,6] Total Cost: $6

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:

Pass
 
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Spot Plays

For Tuesday

TRACK (RACE) HORSE, MORNING LINE

Mahoning Valley (2nd) Nikispring, 9-2
(5th) Red Velvet Lady, 10-1


Parx Racing (1st) Feisty Valentina, 8-1
(5th) Sweet Maggie Mae, 6-1


Sunland Park (4th) R C Dillinger, 3-1
(7th) Secret Heat R F, 7-2


Turf Paradise (3rd) Del Rio Harbor, 5-1
(6th) Brock Baby, 9-2
 

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