At the Gate - Thursday
By Mike Dempsey
We will be shifting out tack from the Big A to Gulfstream Park starting with opening day of the championship meeting, which runs until April 1.
I will be doing Gulfstream Park daily and Aqueduct just on Saturday during the winter.
The Gulfstream Park meeting will feature 93 stakes races along with the first running of the $12 million Pegasus World Cup Invitational, which is now the world’s richest race.
A dozen stakeholders put up $1 million each, with the winning horse earning a paycheck of $7 million for winning the race, which will be contested on Jan. 28.
There is a good chance we could see a renewal of the rivalry between Arrogate and California Chrome, the one-two finishers of the Breeders’ Cup Classic (G1).
Also possible for the race is the Aiden O’Brien trained Highland Reel, the winner of the Breeders’ Cup Turf (G1).
Others that could compete include Connect, Hoppertunity, Keen Ice and Gun Runner.
Opening day on Saturday features the 18th edition of the Claiming Crown, with nine stakes races with $1.1 million in purses up for grabs.
The Claiming Crown is always one of my favorite cards to play all year. We are going to see full fields of competitive races with horses coming in from all parts of the U.S.
I will have my full card report available by Friday afternoon.
The weather is on the improve at Aqueduct after we were off the turf and catching a sloppy track on Wednesday to start the week.
Here is the opening race from Aqueduct to get the day off to a good start:
AQU Race 1 Md $20,000 (12:20 ET)
#3 Blameiton Brooklyn 2-1
#1 Play Big 3-1
#7 Whitegate 5-1
#5 Chomsky 7-2
Analysis: Blameiton Brooklyn prompted the early pace while down along a deep rail and a racing strip that was kind to outside stalkers and closers, weakening to finish fourth in his first start off a 15 month layoff. He was sent off as the chalk after showing promise in his debut last March in a game runner up finish at the Spa against maiden special weight foes. He should move forward second off the bench for the Gullo barn that is off to a chilly start at the meeting (0 for 16). The mare has dropped one other foal to race, 1 for 4 Indian Wildcat ($16,010).
Play Big chased the early pace and tired to finish sixth last out for this tag in his first start off the claim by the Toscano barn that does good work with recent claims. His best effort was three back in a game runner up finish at this level at Belmont Park. A repeat of that effort here is good enough to win in this spot.
Wagering
WIN: #3 to win at 8-5 or better.
EX: 1,3 / 1,3,5,7
TRI: 1,3 / 1,3,5,7 / 1,2,3,5,7
Today’s Featured Race of the Day from Aqueduct:
AQU Race 9 Clm $16,000N2L (4:12 ET)
#2 Kid Friendly 7-2
#4 Mid Ocean 2-1
#8 Lotta Gold 8-1
#7 Feets of Strength 6-1
Analysis: Kid Friendly pressed the early pace and weakened in the stretch to finish fourth last out going long on turf versus $25,000 non-winners of two. The gelding was claimed out of the race by the Falcone barn that is 18% winners (with a +ROI) first off the claim. The gelding broke his maiden in the slop in his debut three back at the Spa going nine furlongs while in the Nicks barn. He looks well spotted dropping in for $16,000 and switching back to the main track.
Mid Ocean was outrun early and not a threat in a fifth place finish, eased up late with the jock standing up before the wire as the beaten favorite against Alw-1 foes at Penn. The gelding was a good second in the slop at the Spa four back against $40,000 non-winners of two. The surface switch suits as does the jock switch back to Carmouche.
Wagering
WIN: #2 to win at 5-2 or better.
EX: 2,4 / 2,4,7,8
TRI: 2,4 / 2,4,7,8 / 2,4,5,7,8
Live Longshots:
These are price plays for exotic players looking to find a couple of extra contenders to use in their trifecta and superfecta wagers. Or for those with smaller bankrolls, you might want to get in a small win-place wager.
Aqueduct
R4: #6 Single Heist 12-1
R5: #5 Just Got Out 8-1
R9: #8 Lotta Gold 8-1
Good luck today!
By Mike Dempsey
We will be shifting out tack from the Big A to Gulfstream Park starting with opening day of the championship meeting, which runs until April 1.
I will be doing Gulfstream Park daily and Aqueduct just on Saturday during the winter.
The Gulfstream Park meeting will feature 93 stakes races along with the first running of the $12 million Pegasus World Cup Invitational, which is now the world’s richest race.
A dozen stakeholders put up $1 million each, with the winning horse earning a paycheck of $7 million for winning the race, which will be contested on Jan. 28.
There is a good chance we could see a renewal of the rivalry between Arrogate and California Chrome, the one-two finishers of the Breeders’ Cup Classic (G1).
Also possible for the race is the Aiden O’Brien trained Highland Reel, the winner of the Breeders’ Cup Turf (G1).
Others that could compete include Connect, Hoppertunity, Keen Ice and Gun Runner.
Opening day on Saturday features the 18th edition of the Claiming Crown, with nine stakes races with $1.1 million in purses up for grabs.
The Claiming Crown is always one of my favorite cards to play all year. We are going to see full fields of competitive races with horses coming in from all parts of the U.S.
I will have my full card report available by Friday afternoon.
The weather is on the improve at Aqueduct after we were off the turf and catching a sloppy track on Wednesday to start the week.
Here is the opening race from Aqueduct to get the day off to a good start:
AQU Race 1 Md $20,000 (12:20 ET)
#3 Blameiton Brooklyn 2-1
#1 Play Big 3-1
#7 Whitegate 5-1
#5 Chomsky 7-2
Analysis: Blameiton Brooklyn prompted the early pace while down along a deep rail and a racing strip that was kind to outside stalkers and closers, weakening to finish fourth in his first start off a 15 month layoff. He was sent off as the chalk after showing promise in his debut last March in a game runner up finish at the Spa against maiden special weight foes. He should move forward second off the bench for the Gullo barn that is off to a chilly start at the meeting (0 for 16). The mare has dropped one other foal to race, 1 for 4 Indian Wildcat ($16,010).
Play Big chased the early pace and tired to finish sixth last out for this tag in his first start off the claim by the Toscano barn that does good work with recent claims. His best effort was three back in a game runner up finish at this level at Belmont Park. A repeat of that effort here is good enough to win in this spot.
Wagering
WIN: #3 to win at 8-5 or better.
EX: 1,3 / 1,3,5,7
TRI: 1,3 / 1,3,5,7 / 1,2,3,5,7
Today’s Featured Race of the Day from Aqueduct:
AQU Race 9 Clm $16,000N2L (4:12 ET)
#2 Kid Friendly 7-2
#4 Mid Ocean 2-1
#8 Lotta Gold 8-1
#7 Feets of Strength 6-1
Analysis: Kid Friendly pressed the early pace and weakened in the stretch to finish fourth last out going long on turf versus $25,000 non-winners of two. The gelding was claimed out of the race by the Falcone barn that is 18% winners (with a +ROI) first off the claim. The gelding broke his maiden in the slop in his debut three back at the Spa going nine furlongs while in the Nicks barn. He looks well spotted dropping in for $16,000 and switching back to the main track.
Mid Ocean was outrun early and not a threat in a fifth place finish, eased up late with the jock standing up before the wire as the beaten favorite against Alw-1 foes at Penn. The gelding was a good second in the slop at the Spa four back against $40,000 non-winners of two. The surface switch suits as does the jock switch back to Carmouche.
Wagering
WIN: #2 to win at 5-2 or better.
EX: 2,4 / 2,4,7,8
TRI: 2,4 / 2,4,7,8 / 2,4,5,7,8
Live Longshots:
These are price plays for exotic players looking to find a couple of extra contenders to use in their trifecta and superfecta wagers. Or for those with smaller bankrolls, you might want to get in a small win-place wager.
Aqueduct
R4: #6 Single Heist 12-1
R5: #5 Just Got Out 8-1
R9: #8 Lotta Gold 8-1
Good luck today!
Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Saratoga Harness
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 10 - Post: 7:00 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 79 - Purse:$5030 - COLTS & GELDINGS - N/W $2,000 LAST 5 STARTS NON-WINNERS LAST 3 ALLOWED $300
CONSORTIUM*CHOICES
# 9 ILIKETHEMTRASHY 5/2
# 5 SOMELUCKSOMEROCK 6/1
# 3 MAYFLOWERMOONSHINE 9/2
The consensus here is that ILIKETHEMTRASHY is the one to beat. Getting a good thought about this gelding. Could surprise today. This fine animal looks very good. Look at the 84 avg TrackMaster SR. Been competing with some tougher customers of late, has a distinct class advantage. (Average Rating 87). SOMELUCKSOMEROCK - Could more than likely best this field of starters given the 76 TrackMaster Speed Rating achieved in his last race. This entrant has been making trips to the winner's circle on a routine basis, look for him to make another appearance soon. MAYFLOWERMOONSHINE - Tough to pass on this gelding with masterful Aldrich in the sulky. Major player for the win
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 10 - Post: 7:00 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 79 - Purse:$5030 - COLTS & GELDINGS - N/W $2,000 LAST 5 STARTS NON-WINNERS LAST 3 ALLOWED $300
CONSORTIUM*CHOICES
# 9 ILIKETHEMTRASHY 5/2
# 5 SOMELUCKSOMEROCK 6/1
# 3 MAYFLOWERMOONSHINE 9/2
The consensus here is that ILIKETHEMTRASHY is the one to beat. Getting a good thought about this gelding. Could surprise today. This fine animal looks very good. Look at the 84 avg TrackMaster SR. Been competing with some tougher customers of late, has a distinct class advantage. (Average Rating 87). SOMELUCKSOMEROCK - Could more than likely best this field of starters given the 76 TrackMaster Speed Rating achieved in his last race. This entrant has been making trips to the winner's circle on a routine basis, look for him to make another appearance soon. MAYFLOWERMOONSHINE - Tough to pass on this gelding with masterful Aldrich in the sulky. Major player for the win
Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Woodbine
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 1 - Post: 7:30 - 1 mile. TROT - Class Rating: 75 - Purse:$17000 - 4 YEAR OLDS & YOUNGER, NW 2
CONSORTIUM*CHOICES
# 9 DEVILS ADVOCATE 3/1
# 7 MAJESTIC MISTRESS 9/1
# 6 CRYSTAL GIRL 8/1
DEVILS ADVOCATE appears to be our best wagering option in this outing. This entrant has shown us ability in its prior races, just look at the 77 avg class rating. Should play well in this race. Many horse players will recognize the exemplary TrackMaster speed fig in the last race. Stacks up against any horse in this field of horses. MAJESTIC MISTRESS - Overall stats look very good. Can't throw her out of the picture. CRYSTAL GIRL - This race horse has been making trips to the winner's circle on a regular basis, look for her to make another showing soon. Comp pace figs show this standardbred has what it takes to win for this one.
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 1 - Post: 7:30 - 1 mile. TROT - Class Rating: 75 - Purse:$17000 - 4 YEAR OLDS & YOUNGER, NW 2
CONSORTIUM*CHOICES
# 9 DEVILS ADVOCATE 3/1
# 7 MAJESTIC MISTRESS 9/1
# 6 CRYSTAL GIRL 8/1
DEVILS ADVOCATE appears to be our best wagering option in this outing. This entrant has shown us ability in its prior races, just look at the 77 avg class rating. Should play well in this race. Many horse players will recognize the exemplary TrackMaster speed fig in the last race. Stacks up against any horse in this field of horses. MAJESTIC MISTRESS - Overall stats look very good. Can't throw her out of the picture. CRYSTAL GIRL - This race horse has been making trips to the winner's circle on a regular basis, look for her to make another showing soon. Comp pace figs show this standardbred has what it takes to win for this one.
Handicapped by The Walker Group at Hawthorne
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 2 - Maiden Special Weight - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $20000 Class Rating: 76
FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES TWO YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 122 LBS.
RECOMMENDED*CHOICES
# 1 ROYAL'S RETURN 9/5
# 6 SHEZA SUPER STAR 2/1
# 8 MY EMOJI 30/1
My choice in this contest is ROYAL'S RETURN. Should be given consideration as sire's progeny has among the strongest win rate as two-year olds. Bettors ought to note that this animal runs on Lasix today. Should be right there at the finish based on competitive results of the conditioner with juveniles. SHEZA SUPER STAR - Graeme Hall is a formidable sire when it comes to two-year olds. Very good try today on Lasix. Stidham has a reliable 18 percent win rate with entries running at this distance and surface.
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 2 - Maiden Special Weight - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $20000 Class Rating: 76
FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES TWO YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 122 LBS.
RECOMMENDED*CHOICES
# 1 ROYAL'S RETURN 9/5
# 6 SHEZA SUPER STAR 2/1
# 8 MY EMOJI 30/1
My choice in this contest is ROYAL'S RETURN. Should be given consideration as sire's progeny has among the strongest win rate as two-year olds. Bettors ought to note that this animal runs on Lasix today. Should be right there at the finish based on competitive results of the conditioner with juveniles. SHEZA SUPER STAR - Graeme Hall is a formidable sire when it comes to two-year olds. Very good try today on Lasix. Stidham has a reliable 18 percent win rate with entries running at this distance and surface.
Handicapped by The Walker Group at Penn National
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 8 - Claiming - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $12400 Class Rating: 78
FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE NOVEMBER 1 ALLOWED 2 LBS. A RACE SINCE OCTOBER 1 ALLOWED 4 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000.
RECOMMENDED*CHOICES
# 5 CONSORTS RING 5/1
# 12 SOOKIE 5/1
# 7 MISCHIEF MUSIC 7/2
My choice here is CONSORTS RING. Earnings per start at the distance/surface is a good angle. This entrant ranks at the top in this field. Is a strong contender based on figs put up recently under today's conditions. Boasts formidable speed figures on average overall when compared with the rest of this field. SOOKIE - Synnefias has this mare racing well and is a solid pick based on the formidable Equibase Speed Figures garnered in sprint races lately. Could best this group of horses based on the speed figure - 69 - of her last race. MISCHIEF MUSIC - Has been running admirably lately and will most likely be up near the lead early on. She has put up solid figs under today's conditions and should fare well versus this field.
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 8 - Claiming - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $12400 Class Rating: 78
FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE NOVEMBER 1 ALLOWED 2 LBS. A RACE SINCE OCTOBER 1 ALLOWED 4 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000.
RECOMMENDED*CHOICES
# 5 CONSORTS RING 5/1
# 12 SOOKIE 5/1
# 7 MISCHIEF MUSIC 7/2
My choice here is CONSORTS RING. Earnings per start at the distance/surface is a good angle. This entrant ranks at the top in this field. Is a strong contender based on figs put up recently under today's conditions. Boasts formidable speed figures on average overall when compared with the rest of this field. SOOKIE - Synnefias has this mare racing well and is a solid pick based on the formidable Equibase Speed Figures garnered in sprint races lately. Could best this group of horses based on the speed figure - 69 - of her last race. MISCHIEF MUSIC - Has been running admirably lately and will most likely be up near the lead early on. She has put up solid figs under today's conditions and should fare well versus this field.
Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts
Golden Gate Fields - Race #6 - Post: 3:15pm - Claiming - 8.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $15,000 Class Rating: 64
Rating:
#3 INEEDAMANIANDAPEDI (ML=7/2)
#4 ALMOST A SAINT (ML=2/1)
#2 FINISH WEALTHY (ML=4/1)
INEEDAMANIANDAPEDI - The ROI when Bowen and Sherman team up is fantastic. Bowen is up for another event today after sitting atop this animal for the first ride on November 13th and ought to know the ropes to this one a little better. Last race was at Golden Gate Fields in a race with an Equibase class figure of 69. Dropping considerably in class rating this time puts her in a solid position right here in this race. That 74 fig this filly earned in her last race tells me she's a main player this time. ALMOST A SAINT - I like that most recent race on Nov 5th at Golden Gate Fields where she ran first. FINISH WEALTHY - This filly should run better today now that she's back facing here own gender. Took a class drop last out at Golden Gate Fields. Badilla keeps her at the same level right here in this race. I think that's a good move. Last ran at Golden Gate Fields and finished fourth. Reviewing her past performance lines, I see she was close at the finish line, within five of the winner.
Vulnerable Contenders: #6 KYLIE INFORMED (ML=9/2), #1 CONSTANT CRAVING (ML=9/2),
KYLIE INFORMED - In the last affair this mount finished fifth. Doesn't show much potential for her chances today. This steed ran a substandard speed rating in the last race. She shouldn't run much better and will likely lose in today's event running that number. CONSTANT CRAVING - Just can't play this runner. Didn't show me anything positive last time around the track or on Jul 17th. Extended layoff, then came back and finished sixth. Hard to expect much better this time around.
STRAIGHT WAGERS:
#3 INEEDAMANIANDAPEDI is going to be the play if we are getting 7/2 or better
EXACTA WAGERS:
Pass
TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Box [2,3,4] Total Cost: $6
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Pass
Golden Gate Fields - Race #6 - Post: 3:15pm - Claiming - 8.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $15,000 Class Rating: 64
Rating:
#3 INEEDAMANIANDAPEDI (ML=7/2)
#4 ALMOST A SAINT (ML=2/1)
#2 FINISH WEALTHY (ML=4/1)
INEEDAMANIANDAPEDI - The ROI when Bowen and Sherman team up is fantastic. Bowen is up for another event today after sitting atop this animal for the first ride on November 13th and ought to know the ropes to this one a little better. Last race was at Golden Gate Fields in a race with an Equibase class figure of 69. Dropping considerably in class rating this time puts her in a solid position right here in this race. That 74 fig this filly earned in her last race tells me she's a main player this time. ALMOST A SAINT - I like that most recent race on Nov 5th at Golden Gate Fields where she ran first. FINISH WEALTHY - This filly should run better today now that she's back facing here own gender. Took a class drop last out at Golden Gate Fields. Badilla keeps her at the same level right here in this race. I think that's a good move. Last ran at Golden Gate Fields and finished fourth. Reviewing her past performance lines, I see she was close at the finish line, within five of the winner.
Vulnerable Contenders: #6 KYLIE INFORMED (ML=9/2), #1 CONSTANT CRAVING (ML=9/2),
KYLIE INFORMED - In the last affair this mount finished fifth. Doesn't show much potential for her chances today. This steed ran a substandard speed rating in the last race. She shouldn't run much better and will likely lose in today's event running that number. CONSTANT CRAVING - Just can't play this runner. Didn't show me anything positive last time around the track or on Jul 17th. Extended layoff, then came back and finished sixth. Hard to expect much better this time around.
STRAIGHT WAGERS:
#3 INEEDAMANIANDAPEDI is going to be the play if we are getting 7/2 or better
EXACTA WAGERS:
Pass
TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Box [2,3,4] Total Cost: $6
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Pass
Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts
Fair Grounds - Race #2 - Post: 1:54pm - Claiming - 8.3 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $16,000 Class Rating: 76
Rating:
#6 MISS BETTY BOO (ML=6/1)
#2 KEVIL KID (ML=5/2)
MISS BETTY BOO - Filly was in versus 'open company' on October 12th and should find this group easier to deal with. I like when a race sets up this way. This filly has the lone early speed to bury this field. I like this thoroughbred. Should be familiar with this level since she ran against the same type last time around the track at Belterra Park. KEVIL KID - This jock/conditioner duo has been producing a high winning percent, right around 32. Have to make this mare a strong challenger; she comes off a solid contest on Nov 16th. This mare's last figure notched on Nov 16th is uppermost in last race Equibase speed figs. Lead horse at every call in last race at Delta Downs. Good opportunity in this race to repeat that effort in this race.
Vulnerable Contenders: #1 RATHLIN (ML=3/1), #5 DUENAY (ML=3/1), #1A BLUE GRASS MARY (ML=3/1),
RATHLIN - The speed figure in the last race doesn't fit very well in this contest when I look at the Equibase class figure of today's race. Mark this horse as a vulnerable competitor. DUENAY - Unlikely that this runner will be at her best this time around off the very long layoff. Maybe next out. BLUE GRASS MARY - Tough to take this vulnerable equine at this price after the finish (fourth) in the last event. The speed figure last time around the track doesn't fit very well in this clash when I look at the class figure of today's affair. Mark this racer as a likely underpriced contender.
GUEST COMMENTARY: Winston - MISS BETTY BOO - This filly is tops in the group in earnings per start. I'm wagering on this one.
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STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Putting our cash on #6 MISS BETTY BOO to win. Have to have odds of at least 9/5 or better though
EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [2,6]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:
6 with 2 with [3,5,7] Total Cost: $3
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Skip
Fair Grounds - Race #2 - Post: 1:54pm - Claiming - 8.3 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $16,000 Class Rating: 76
Rating:
#6 MISS BETTY BOO (ML=6/1)
#2 KEVIL KID (ML=5/2)
MISS BETTY BOO - Filly was in versus 'open company' on October 12th and should find this group easier to deal with. I like when a race sets up this way. This filly has the lone early speed to bury this field. I like this thoroughbred. Should be familiar with this level since she ran against the same type last time around the track at Belterra Park. KEVIL KID - This jock/conditioner duo has been producing a high winning percent, right around 32. Have to make this mare a strong challenger; she comes off a solid contest on Nov 16th. This mare's last figure notched on Nov 16th is uppermost in last race Equibase speed figs. Lead horse at every call in last race at Delta Downs. Good opportunity in this race to repeat that effort in this race.
Vulnerable Contenders: #1 RATHLIN (ML=3/1), #5 DUENAY (ML=3/1), #1A BLUE GRASS MARY (ML=3/1),
RATHLIN - The speed figure in the last race doesn't fit very well in this contest when I look at the Equibase class figure of today's race. Mark this horse as a vulnerable competitor. DUENAY - Unlikely that this runner will be at her best this time around off the very long layoff. Maybe next out. BLUE GRASS MARY - Tough to take this vulnerable equine at this price after the finish (fourth) in the last event. The speed figure last time around the track doesn't fit very well in this clash when I look at the class figure of today's affair. Mark this racer as a likely underpriced contender.
GUEST COMMENTARY: Winston - MISS BETTY BOO - This filly is tops in the group in earnings per start. I'm wagering on this one.
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STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Putting our cash on #6 MISS BETTY BOO to win. Have to have odds of at least 9/5 or better though
EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [2,6]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:
6 with 2 with [3,5,7] Total Cost: $3
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Skip
Handicapped by Rick Needham at Aqueduct
RACE #7 - AQUEDUCT - 3:18 PM EASTERN POST
6.0 FURLONGS DIRT THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD $25,000.00 CLAIMING $47,000.00 PURSE
#2 MONSTER MASH
#3 SIR BOND
#6 ROYAL SAINT
#4 WIRELESS FUTURE
#2 MONSTER MASH shares the overall speed honors in this claiming field with #3 SIR BOND, takes a slight class drop (-1), and has hit the board in each of his last five outings, including a trio of "POWER RUN WINS" being embedded in this recent streak of racing consistency. #3 SIR BOND, also drops in class, is the pace profile leader, and has produced a quartet of "POWER RUN PERFORMANCES" in his respective last five outings, including a "POWER RUN WIN" in his 5th race back.
RACE #7 - AQUEDUCT - 3:18 PM EASTERN POST
6.0 FURLONGS DIRT THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD $25,000.00 CLAIMING $47,000.00 PURSE
#2 MONSTER MASH
#3 SIR BOND
#6 ROYAL SAINT
#4 WIRELESS FUTURE
#2 MONSTER MASH shares the overall speed honors in this claiming field with #3 SIR BOND, takes a slight class drop (-1), and has hit the board in each of his last five outings, including a trio of "POWER RUN WINS" being embedded in this recent streak of racing consistency. #3 SIR BOND, also drops in class, is the pace profile leader, and has produced a quartet of "POWER RUN PERFORMANCES" in his respective last five outings, including a "POWER RUN WIN" in his 5th race back.
Woodbine Harness: Thursday 12/1 Analysis
By Garnet Barnsdale
DRF
Race 1 - $40,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool
Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool
PICK 5: 7,8,9/1,3,5/1,2,8/6/2,6,7 = $16.20
EARLY PICK 4: 6/2,6,7/1,2,6,9/1,5,9 = $36
LATE PICK 4: 1,5,9/4,6,10/4,6,8/2,5
MEET STATS: 32 - 125 / $188.60 BEST BETS: 7 - 12 / $22.30
SPOT PLAYS: 2 - 12 / $9.50
Best Bet: MR MATCH ON BEACH (4th)
Spot Play: ROCKABELLA (10th)
Race 1
(8) MONOPOLY had some trot in the lane last week and he would have been a clear second had he found some room. I'll give him the nod here thinking Jamieson rolls him early. (9) DEVILS ADVOCATE has been racing well for Vanderkemp when she has stayed flat; using. (5) DAYLINER wasn't far off in the Autumn series now she gets a driver switch here. She is another that can win this with the right trip. (7) MAJESTIC MISTRESS is yet another possibility in a Pick 5 “spread” race.
Race 2
(5) KLOOF STREET showed promise in her debut in the summer and comes into her second start sporting two decent qualifiers. This isn't the toughest spot; top call. (3) KIMBERLEYS BABY is another that resumes from a spell showing good late speed in her two qualifiers. Again, this isn't the toughest race to resume a career in. (1) VOW TO WOW raced decently in her Woodbine debut. She isn't out of this and she could get a better trip here. (4) STYLE SNAPSHOT has won three of her last five out of town and although she will need more speed here, her consistency should be respected.
Race 3
(8) UNITED BI comes up tagged here for Henry so expect an all-out effort, especially if there is a claim entered. (2) TYMAL WIZARD comes off a powerful first-up win at Flamboro and these aren't that much tougher; musing. (1) ONE TOO MANY is obviously one of the best in here, but she comes up tagged after missing 3 1/2 weeks of action; your call. (9) LMC MASS OAK should go better here in a claimer and he isn't out of this despite his post.
Race 4
(6) MR MATCH ON BEACH had by far his best race ever last week, now he returns to a 7-day cycle and picks up Henry. I'll single him expecting an aggressive steer. (7) HUGHGETTHECREDIT looks next best but he has trouble finishing off a mile. (4) SEDONA SEELSTER can take another share off a following trip. (10) CASIMIR PILOT is worth a look for the exotics at a price here.
Race 5
(7) CURATOR should have lots of early speed to chase here and he could blow by them all late. (2) CALGARY SEELSTER isn't the soundest horse on the track, but he does get brave on the lead and has to be considered for multi-race bets. (6) CRANKIN IT UP should go better in his second start over the track; using. (8) BEIBER HANOVER raced much better last time after being heavily-bet early in the wagering cycle. Perhaps the tote can provide some clues with this one.
Race 6
(6) FREE WILLY HANOVER had a sharp qualifier at the Meadowlands, but that was close to a month ago now. Obviously, if he brings anything close to that race, he jogs here, but I would caution taking a low price in the win pool. (1) PERFECT LOVER hasn't missed the board racing out of town vs. lesser. He is worth inclusion on Pick 4 tickets here. (2) MISTER BLUES should go forward off an even debut effort here. (9) IGOCRAZY WITHOUT U has gained ground in the stretch the past two starts and she can sneak into the exotics at a price here.
Race 7
(8) EMPTYTHETILL was sold right after his most recent start and he goes for Auciello here. I would expect McNair to have him rolling early. (1) HOOTER SHOOTER moves up off a sharp win and he has some upside. (5) BUGATTI raced well in the Autumn series and he is another to consider for Pick 4 bets. (4) TOY COP can take a share moving up off his maiden win.
Race 8
(6) MR MACH JIMMY goes first off the claim for Cullen here after a good second-place finish when leaving from the 10-hole. He should be tough in here. (4) JUST A THOUGHT continues to close well and he should be out closer to the front this time leaving from a better post; using, (10) IMSPORTY comes off a sharp win and the 10-hole shouldn't matter much considering where he is normally placed early. He can win this if there is a decent flow. (3) EAST END comes up tagged off a non-winners of two conditioned win which maybe isn't the best sign.
Race 9
(4) ABOUT A BOY finished quickly in both November starts. He can beat these if he is put into the race earlier. (8) EAS IDEAL gets the stable's #1 driver here; beware. (6) BADSTORMANYPORT had no punch in his return race. Maybe he needed that start. (2) SOUTHWIND SAVAGE continues to pile up losses while taking smaller shares. Expect more of the same here.
Race 10
(2) ROCKABELLA won last time he raced this low and has some darkened form racing against better. I'm hoping for a price here based on his most recent chart lines. (5) HES A SENSATION left as hard as he possibly could last week when dropped to the bottom, but the speed mission was aborted when three others had the same plan. He fits well here. (7) MAC RAIDER has won here many times in the past and is sure to be sent hard early by Davis Jr.; using. (9) HIDDEN POTENTIAL often gets brutal trips but he does figure at this level and he can make the ticket if he doesn't get hung out to dry. (6) REAL KID popped and stopped five days ago. He could last longer this time in his second start over the Woodbine oval.
By Garnet Barnsdale
DRF
Race 1 - $40,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool
Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool
PICK 5: 7,8,9/1,3,5/1,2,8/6/2,6,7 = $16.20
EARLY PICK 4: 6/2,6,7/1,2,6,9/1,5,9 = $36
LATE PICK 4: 1,5,9/4,6,10/4,6,8/2,5
MEET STATS: 32 - 125 / $188.60 BEST BETS: 7 - 12 / $22.30
SPOT PLAYS: 2 - 12 / $9.50
Best Bet: MR MATCH ON BEACH (4th)
Spot Play: ROCKABELLA (10th)
Race 1
(8) MONOPOLY had some trot in the lane last week and he would have been a clear second had he found some room. I'll give him the nod here thinking Jamieson rolls him early. (9) DEVILS ADVOCATE has been racing well for Vanderkemp when she has stayed flat; using. (5) DAYLINER wasn't far off in the Autumn series now she gets a driver switch here. She is another that can win this with the right trip. (7) MAJESTIC MISTRESS is yet another possibility in a Pick 5 “spread” race.
Race 2
(5) KLOOF STREET showed promise in her debut in the summer and comes into her second start sporting two decent qualifiers. This isn't the toughest spot; top call. (3) KIMBERLEYS BABY is another that resumes from a spell showing good late speed in her two qualifiers. Again, this isn't the toughest race to resume a career in. (1) VOW TO WOW raced decently in her Woodbine debut. She isn't out of this and she could get a better trip here. (4) STYLE SNAPSHOT has won three of her last five out of town and although she will need more speed here, her consistency should be respected.
Race 3
(8) UNITED BI comes up tagged here for Henry so expect an all-out effort, especially if there is a claim entered. (2) TYMAL WIZARD comes off a powerful first-up win at Flamboro and these aren't that much tougher; musing. (1) ONE TOO MANY is obviously one of the best in here, but she comes up tagged after missing 3 1/2 weeks of action; your call. (9) LMC MASS OAK should go better here in a claimer and he isn't out of this despite his post.
Race 4
(6) MR MATCH ON BEACH had by far his best race ever last week, now he returns to a 7-day cycle and picks up Henry. I'll single him expecting an aggressive steer. (7) HUGHGETTHECREDIT looks next best but he has trouble finishing off a mile. (4) SEDONA SEELSTER can take another share off a following trip. (10) CASIMIR PILOT is worth a look for the exotics at a price here.
Race 5
(7) CURATOR should have lots of early speed to chase here and he could blow by them all late. (2) CALGARY SEELSTER isn't the soundest horse on the track, but he does get brave on the lead and has to be considered for multi-race bets. (6) CRANKIN IT UP should go better in his second start over the track; using. (8) BEIBER HANOVER raced much better last time after being heavily-bet early in the wagering cycle. Perhaps the tote can provide some clues with this one.
Race 6
(6) FREE WILLY HANOVER had a sharp qualifier at the Meadowlands, but that was close to a month ago now. Obviously, if he brings anything close to that race, he jogs here, but I would caution taking a low price in the win pool. (1) PERFECT LOVER hasn't missed the board racing out of town vs. lesser. He is worth inclusion on Pick 4 tickets here. (2) MISTER BLUES should go forward off an even debut effort here. (9) IGOCRAZY WITHOUT U has gained ground in the stretch the past two starts and she can sneak into the exotics at a price here.
Race 7
(8) EMPTYTHETILL was sold right after his most recent start and he goes for Auciello here. I would expect McNair to have him rolling early. (1) HOOTER SHOOTER moves up off a sharp win and he has some upside. (5) BUGATTI raced well in the Autumn series and he is another to consider for Pick 4 bets. (4) TOY COP can take a share moving up off his maiden win.
Race 8
(6) MR MACH JIMMY goes first off the claim for Cullen here after a good second-place finish when leaving from the 10-hole. He should be tough in here. (4) JUST A THOUGHT continues to close well and he should be out closer to the front this time leaving from a better post; using, (10) IMSPORTY comes off a sharp win and the 10-hole shouldn't matter much considering where he is normally placed early. He can win this if there is a decent flow. (3) EAST END comes up tagged off a non-winners of two conditioned win which maybe isn't the best sign.
Race 9
(4) ABOUT A BOY finished quickly in both November starts. He can beat these if he is put into the race earlier. (8) EAS IDEAL gets the stable's #1 driver here; beware. (6) BADSTORMANYPORT had no punch in his return race. Maybe he needed that start. (2) SOUTHWIND SAVAGE continues to pile up losses while taking smaller shares. Expect more of the same here.
Race 10
(2) ROCKABELLA won last time he raced this low and has some darkened form racing against better. I'm hoping for a price here based on his most recent chart lines. (5) HES A SENSATION left as hard as he possibly could last week when dropped to the bottom, but the speed mission was aborted when three others had the same plan. He fits well here. (7) MAC RAIDER has won here many times in the past and is sure to be sent hard early by Davis Jr.; using. (9) HIDDEN POTENTIAL often gets brutal trips but he does figure at this level and he can make the ticket if he doesn't get hung out to dry. (6) REAL KID popped and stopped five days ago. He could last longer this time in his second start over the Woodbine oval.
SPOT PLAYS
For Thursday
TRACK (RACE) HORSE, MORNING LINE
Aqueduct (1st) Whitegate, 5-1
(6th) Driven by Thunder, 5-1
Charles Town (3rd) Credit My Account, 4-1
(8th) Ranson, 4-1
Del Mar (2nd) T. Montana, 3-1
(3rd) Nat's Nation, 3-1
Delta Downs (7th) Pace City, 6-1
(10th) Nicholls Rebel, 7-2
Fair Grounds (2nd) Duenay, 3-1
(5th) Sweet Miss Lou, 8-1
Golden Gate Fields (1st) Tickle Me Pink, 4-1
(5th) Pop Fizz Clink, 3-1
Hawthorne (2nd) Sugarsugarsugar, 6-1
(5th) Night Goggles, 9-2
Penn National (2nd) Bohemian Bliss, 7-2
(6th) Williwaw, 8-1
Remington Park (6th) Prada Has Bling, 3-1
(8th) Bubbas Dixie, 4-1
Turfway Park (5th) Gift of Friends, 3-1
(8th) Chant for Kitten, 3-1
For Thursday
TRACK (RACE) HORSE, MORNING LINE
Aqueduct (1st) Whitegate, 5-1
(6th) Driven by Thunder, 5-1
Charles Town (3rd) Credit My Account, 4-1
(8th) Ranson, 4-1
Del Mar (2nd) T. Montana, 3-1
(3rd) Nat's Nation, 3-1
Delta Downs (7th) Pace City, 6-1
(10th) Nicholls Rebel, 7-2
Fair Grounds (2nd) Duenay, 3-1
(5th) Sweet Miss Lou, 8-1
Golden Gate Fields (1st) Tickle Me Pink, 4-1
(5th) Pop Fizz Clink, 3-1
Hawthorne (2nd) Sugarsugarsugar, 6-1
(5th) Night Goggles, 9-2
Penn National (2nd) Bohemian Bliss, 7-2
(6th) Williwaw, 8-1
Remington Park (6th) Prada Has Bling, 3-1
(8th) Bubbas Dixie, 4-1
Turfway Park (5th) Gift of Friends, 3-1
(8th) Chant for Kitten, 3-1
