At the Gate - Wednesday
By Mike Dempsey
The Breeders’ Cup is in the books but we are now just 178 days away from the Kentucky Derby and we likely are going to see a rematch between California Chrome and Arrogate in a couple of month as well.
The top two finishers of the $6 million Breeders’ Cup Classic likely will show up at Gulfstream Park on Jan. 28 for the inaugural running of the $12 million Pegasus Cup.
A dozen ownership groups each put up $1 million for the opportunity to race in the first running of this race, the brainchild of Frank Stronach.
We have Del Mar opening on Friday, Santa Anita and Gulfstream Park opening in December, and our good old standby Aqueduct is in action now.
We go into Wednesday’s card with a $19,273 carryover in the Pick 6.
Just as I predicted, jockey Antonio Gallardo is off to a quick start at the Big A meeting, leading the standings with eight winners from 26 mounts (31%).
Yes, I know the Ortiz brothers were busy in Southern California for the Breeders’ Cup, but Gallardo is picking up some good mounts from barns like Chad Brown and has already proved to be a top jockey on the circuit.
A top jock at Tampa Bay Downs and Presque Isle, I had not seen him ride much, but was very impressed when he shipped into New York last month to win a couple of races.
I have been saying for a year a top level jockey could come to New York and make an instant impact over what I think is a subpar jockey colony, and Gallardo is doing just that.
Gallardo leads all jockeys in wins in 2016 with 316 winners., Next in line is Jose Ortiz with 295 winners. With both jocks riding in New York it could come right down to the wire.
Here is the opening race from Aqueduct to get the day off to a good start:
AQU Race 1 Clm $14,000N3L (12:20 ET)
#1 Roman Revival 7-2
#2 Patton Proud 5-2
#4 Glennevan 2-1
#5 Too Wild to Repent 4-1
Analysis: Roman Revival prompted the early pace and weakened to finish sixth last out against $25,000 non-winners of three over a wet track at Belmont Park. The gelding drops in for a $14,000 tag here and owns the edge in early and mid pace numbers. Two back he took the field gate to wire to beat $16,000 non-winners of two earning a career top speed fig. He looks capable of shaking loose early from this slow group.
Patton Proud makes his first start since July where he made a mild late run to finish in the runner up spot against straight three-year-olds for a $25,000 tag. The colt was claimed out of that race by the Gullo barn that is 25% winners (with a +ROI) first off the claim and 15% winners with runners coming back off a 61-180 day layoff. Davis is in the irons and I'm not a big fan but she has won 3 of 15 when riding for the barn.
Wagering
WIN: #1 to win at 5-2 or better.
EX: 1,2 / 1,2,4,5
TRI: 1,2 / 1,2,4,5 / 1,2,4,5,6
Today’s Featured Race of the Day from Aqueduct:
AQU Race 8 OClm $62,500N2X (3:47 ET)
#2 Sadler's Joy 7-2
#1 Munjaz 4-1
#5 Revved Up 3-1
#10 Request 8-1
Analysis: Sadler's Joy raced near the back of the pack early and came with a good middle move around the far turn, taking over in the stretch and drawing away late to a good looking Alw-1 win last out in his first start against winners. The third and fifth place finishers came out of that race to beat Alw-1 foes next out. The extra ground here should not pose a problem as he steps up a notch in class. He is by Kitten's Joy out of a Dynaformer mare.
Munjaz moved forward in his second start off the bench, just missing by a head last out in a tough bet at 1 1/4 miles at Belmont Park. He was beaten just a nose three back at Keeneland at this level over soft ground and we could see less than firm conditions today with some rain in the forecast. He makes his third start off the layoff here for the McLaughlin barn.
Wagering
WIN: #2 to win at 3-1 or better.
EX: 1,2 / 1,2,5,10
TRI: 1,2 / 1,2,5,10 / 1,2,5,10,11
Live Longshots:
These are price plays for exotic players looking to find a couple of extra contenders to use in their trifecta and superfecta wagers. Or for those with smaller bankrolls, you might want to get in a small win-place wager.
Aqueduct
R3: #3 Chosen One Elijah 10-1
R5: #2 Dan the Man 8-1
R6: #1 Eldmilaad 15-1
R8: #10 Request 8-1
R9: #5 Concatulations 8-1
R9: #4 Right Ben 10-1
Good luck today!
By Mike Dempsey
The Breeders’ Cup is in the books but we are now just 178 days away from the Kentucky Derby and we likely are going to see a rematch between California Chrome and Arrogate in a couple of month as well.
The top two finishers of the $6 million Breeders’ Cup Classic likely will show up at Gulfstream Park on Jan. 28 for the inaugural running of the $12 million Pegasus Cup.
A dozen ownership groups each put up $1 million for the opportunity to race in the first running of this race, the brainchild of Frank Stronach.
We have Del Mar opening on Friday, Santa Anita and Gulfstream Park opening in December, and our good old standby Aqueduct is in action now.
We go into Wednesday’s card with a $19,273 carryover in the Pick 6.
Just as I predicted, jockey Antonio Gallardo is off to a quick start at the Big A meeting, leading the standings with eight winners from 26 mounts (31%).
Yes, I know the Ortiz brothers were busy in Southern California for the Breeders’ Cup, but Gallardo is picking up some good mounts from barns like Chad Brown and has already proved to be a top jockey on the circuit.
A top jock at Tampa Bay Downs and Presque Isle, I had not seen him ride much, but was very impressed when he shipped into New York last month to win a couple of races.
I have been saying for a year a top level jockey could come to New York and make an instant impact over what I think is a subpar jockey colony, and Gallardo is doing just that.
Gallardo leads all jockeys in wins in 2016 with 316 winners., Next in line is Jose Ortiz with 295 winners. With both jocks riding in New York it could come right down to the wire.
Here is the opening race from Aqueduct to get the day off to a good start:
AQU Race 1 Clm $14,000N3L (12:20 ET)
#1 Roman Revival 7-2
#2 Patton Proud 5-2
#4 Glennevan 2-1
#5 Too Wild to Repent 4-1
Analysis: Roman Revival prompted the early pace and weakened to finish sixth last out against $25,000 non-winners of three over a wet track at Belmont Park. The gelding drops in for a $14,000 tag here and owns the edge in early and mid pace numbers. Two back he took the field gate to wire to beat $16,000 non-winners of two earning a career top speed fig. He looks capable of shaking loose early from this slow group.
Patton Proud makes his first start since July where he made a mild late run to finish in the runner up spot against straight three-year-olds for a $25,000 tag. The colt was claimed out of that race by the Gullo barn that is 25% winners (with a +ROI) first off the claim and 15% winners with runners coming back off a 61-180 day layoff. Davis is in the irons and I'm not a big fan but she has won 3 of 15 when riding for the barn.
Wagering
WIN: #1 to win at 5-2 or better.
EX: 1,2 / 1,2,4,5
TRI: 1,2 / 1,2,4,5 / 1,2,4,5,6
Today’s Featured Race of the Day from Aqueduct:
AQU Race 8 OClm $62,500N2X (3:47 ET)
#2 Sadler's Joy 7-2
#1 Munjaz 4-1
#5 Revved Up 3-1
#10 Request 8-1
Analysis: Sadler's Joy raced near the back of the pack early and came with a good middle move around the far turn, taking over in the stretch and drawing away late to a good looking Alw-1 win last out in his first start against winners. The third and fifth place finishers came out of that race to beat Alw-1 foes next out. The extra ground here should not pose a problem as he steps up a notch in class. He is by Kitten's Joy out of a Dynaformer mare.
Munjaz moved forward in his second start off the bench, just missing by a head last out in a tough bet at 1 1/4 miles at Belmont Park. He was beaten just a nose three back at Keeneland at this level over soft ground and we could see less than firm conditions today with some rain in the forecast. He makes his third start off the layoff here for the McLaughlin barn.
Wagering
WIN: #2 to win at 3-1 or better.
EX: 1,2 / 1,2,5,10
TRI: 1,2 / 1,2,5,10 / 1,2,5,10,11
Live Longshots:
These are price plays for exotic players looking to find a couple of extra contenders to use in their trifecta and superfecta wagers. Or for those with smaller bankrolls, you might want to get in a small win-place wager.
Aqueduct
R3: #3 Chosen One Elijah 10-1
R5: #2 Dan the Man 8-1
R6: #1 Eldmilaad 15-1
R8: #10 Request 8-1
R9: #5 Concatulations 8-1
R9: #4 Right Ben 10-1
Good luck today!
Handicapped by The Walker Group at Churchill Downs
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 9 - Optional Claiming - 8.0f on the Turf. Purse: $63000 Class Rating: 107
FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING OR STARTER OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES OR CLAIMING PRICE $62,500. THREE YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 125 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF $26,600 TWICE AT A MILE OR OVER ON THE TURF SINCE SEPTEMBER 9 ALLOWED 2 LBS. $23,400 AT A MILE OR OVER ON THE TURF SINCE THEN ALLOWED 4 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE
RECOMMENDED*CHOICES
# 4 OBSIDIAN SPLENDOR 20/1
# 10 R. GREAT ADVENTURE 9/2
# 14 BLARP 10/1
OBSIDIAN SPLENDOR looks strong to best this field and could score at a price in here. R. GREAT ADVENTURE - Difficult to pass on this horse with Landeros in the irons. I think having Landeros ride this horse is a smart choice. BLARP - Will most likely be one of the leaders of the group going into the halfway point of the race. Vaunts sound speed figures on average overall when compared with the rest of this field.
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 9 - Optional Claiming - 8.0f on the Turf. Purse: $63000 Class Rating: 107
FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING OR STARTER OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES OR CLAIMING PRICE $62,500. THREE YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 125 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF $26,600 TWICE AT A MILE OR OVER ON THE TURF SINCE SEPTEMBER 9 ALLOWED 2 LBS. $23,400 AT A MILE OR OVER ON THE TURF SINCE THEN ALLOWED 4 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE
RECOMMENDED*CHOICES
# 4 OBSIDIAN SPLENDOR 20/1
# 10 R. GREAT ADVENTURE 9/2
# 14 BLARP 10/1
OBSIDIAN SPLENDOR looks strong to best this field and could score at a price in here. R. GREAT ADVENTURE - Difficult to pass on this horse with Landeros in the irons. I think having Landeros ride this horse is a smart choice. BLARP - Will most likely be one of the leaders of the group going into the halfway point of the race. Vaunts sound speed figures on average overall when compared with the rest of this field.
Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts
Mahoning Valley Race Course - Race #6 - Post: 3:04pm - Claiming - 5.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $8,500 Class Rating: 70
Rating:
#9 CONQUEST CYCLONE (ML=6/1)
#8 JUSTICE YALL (ML=6/1)
CONQUEST CYCLONE - Good win percentage this jockey and conditioner tandem have been putting together. Sprinters that come back to the races quickly are generally good plays. Trainer, Sullivan, has been deliberate with this gelding off the layoff. Look for a solid effort today. This speedy sort is shortening up today. Should promote his chances to win. JUSTICE YALL - Ranks at the top in earnings per start. A solid effort right here will boost the lifetime total. I figure that today's shorter trip should help this gelding. The improved speed figs over the last three races is strong. Gorham drops him in this clash ready to win.
Vulnerable Contenders: #10 PREMIER ACCESS (ML=7/2), #11 CRASH GATE (ML=4/1), #4 PRAYER CHANT (ML=8/1),
PREMIER ACCESS - If you keep betting these sort of 'bridesmaid' types, you're going to be disillusioned most every time. The favorite is suspect here with the lack of morning activity. CRASH GATE - This horse garnered a speed rating in his last affair which probably isn't good enough today. PRAYER CHANT - Hard to take this mount at these odds after the finish position (fifth) in the last affair. Won't be easy for this entrant to beat this group off of that last speed fig. Unlikely to improve enough to run a figure close to today's class figure, so put him on the likely underlays list.
STRAIGHT WAGERS:
#9 CONQUEST CYCLONE to win at post-time odds of 7/5 or better
EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [8,9]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Skip
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
None
Mahoning Valley Race Course - Race #6 - Post: 3:04pm - Claiming - 5.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $8,500 Class Rating: 70
Rating:
#9 CONQUEST CYCLONE (ML=6/1)
#8 JUSTICE YALL (ML=6/1)
CONQUEST CYCLONE - Good win percentage this jockey and conditioner tandem have been putting together. Sprinters that come back to the races quickly are generally good plays. Trainer, Sullivan, has been deliberate with this gelding off the layoff. Look for a solid effort today. This speedy sort is shortening up today. Should promote his chances to win. JUSTICE YALL - Ranks at the top in earnings per start. A solid effort right here will boost the lifetime total. I figure that today's shorter trip should help this gelding. The improved speed figs over the last three races is strong. Gorham drops him in this clash ready to win.
Vulnerable Contenders: #10 PREMIER ACCESS (ML=7/2), #11 CRASH GATE (ML=4/1), #4 PRAYER CHANT (ML=8/1),
PREMIER ACCESS - If you keep betting these sort of 'bridesmaid' types, you're going to be disillusioned most every time. The favorite is suspect here with the lack of morning activity. CRASH GATE - This horse garnered a speed rating in his last affair which probably isn't good enough today. PRAYER CHANT - Hard to take this mount at these odds after the finish position (fifth) in the last affair. Won't be easy for this entrant to beat this group off of that last speed fig. Unlikely to improve enough to run a figure close to today's class figure, so put him on the likely underlays list.
STRAIGHT WAGERS:
#9 CONQUEST CYCLONE to win at post-time odds of 7/5 or better
EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [8,9]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Skip
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
None
Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Dover Downs
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 2 - Post: 4:50 - 1 mile. TROT - Class Rating: 59 - Purse:$20000 - DELAWARE STANDARDBRED BREEDERS FUND 2 YEAR OLD FILLIES FIRST ELIMINATION - SECOND DIVISION
CONSORTIUM*CHOICES
# 6 LUV IS BLIND 1/2
# 3 SPOONFUL 2/1
# 5 POLITICAL ENERGY 12/1
If you want a very nice play here, feast your eyes on LUV IS BLIND. Unquestionably think these two have something special. Raymer sending the horse out means a formidable chance to get the victory. Worth looking at here on the basis of the ratings in the TrackMaster Speed Rating department alone. This contender has shown us some prior ability, just look at the 59 average class ranking. Should play well in this contest. SPOONFUL - Cannot put a finger on it, but love this filly for a bet. Getting a good feel about this filly. Could surprise this time. POLITICAL ENERGY - That 56 TrackMaster speed fig clocked in the last race puts this fine animal in the mix today. When starting from the 5 hole, a well above average win percentage has resulted.
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 2 - Post: 4:50 - 1 mile. TROT - Class Rating: 59 - Purse:$20000 - DELAWARE STANDARDBRED BREEDERS FUND 2 YEAR OLD FILLIES FIRST ELIMINATION - SECOND DIVISION
CONSORTIUM*CHOICES
# 6 LUV IS BLIND 1/2
# 3 SPOONFUL 2/1
# 5 POLITICAL ENERGY 12/1
If you want a very nice play here, feast your eyes on LUV IS BLIND. Unquestionably think these two have something special. Raymer sending the horse out means a formidable chance to get the victory. Worth looking at here on the basis of the ratings in the TrackMaster Speed Rating department alone. This contender has shown us some prior ability, just look at the 59 average class ranking. Should play well in this contest. SPOONFUL - Cannot put a finger on it, but love this filly for a bet. Getting a good feel about this filly. Could surprise this time. POLITICAL ENERGY - That 56 TrackMaster speed fig clocked in the last race puts this fine animal in the mix today. When starting from the 5 hole, a well above average win percentage has resulted.
Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Hoosier Park
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 1 - Post: 5:45 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 62 - Purse:$5000 - NON WINNERS OF 1 EXT PM RACE OR $5,000 LIFETIME TO BE CLAIMED FOR $9,000
CONSORTIUM*CHOICES
# 7 WET SHARK 8/1
# 6 HEAD STRONG 7/2
# 3 NEXT ISSUE 3/1
WET SHARK looks formidable to best this field especially at a such a nice price. Enters this competition with really good TrackMaster class statistics relative to the field of horses - could be worth a shot. HEAD STRONG - Eash fits this contender's style perfectly. They've enjoyed some tremendous results when teaming up. NEXT ISSUE - May be the most compelling in the pack here, showing great ratings of late. Average speed is a solid 63. This nice horse recorded a great TrackMaster SR last out. Looks in good shape to come right back.
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 1 - Post: 5:45 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 62 - Purse:$5000 - NON WINNERS OF 1 EXT PM RACE OR $5,000 LIFETIME TO BE CLAIMED FOR $9,000
CONSORTIUM*CHOICES
# 7 WET SHARK 8/1
# 6 HEAD STRONG 7/2
# 3 NEXT ISSUE 3/1
WET SHARK looks formidable to best this field especially at a such a nice price. Enters this competition with really good TrackMaster class statistics relative to the field of horses - could be worth a shot. HEAD STRONG - Eash fits this contender's style perfectly. They've enjoyed some tremendous results when teaming up. NEXT ISSUE - May be the most compelling in the pack here, showing great ratings of late. Average speed is a solid 63. This nice horse recorded a great TrackMaster SR last out. Looks in good shape to come right back.
Handicapped by The Walker Group at Evangeline Downs
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 2 - Claiming - 400y on the Dirt. Purse: $3500 Class Rating: 66
QUARTER HORSE 400Y, FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 124 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $3,500.
RECOMMENDED*CHOICES
# 2 QUICK AIR GAME 2/1
# 3 EYESA SCHOOLBOY 3/1
# 4 FREEBIRDS 8/1
QUICK AIR GAME looks formidable to best this field. Is a strong contender based on numbers put up lately under today's conditions. She has been running solidly lately while recording very strong Equibase Speed Figures. Martinez should be able to get this filly to break out early in here. EYESA SCHOOLBOY - I expect a strong performance from this horse whose conditioner has one of the top ROI percentages with horses running at this distance and surface. Should come out very solid - I have liked the way this gelding has moved speedily to the front end recently. FREEBIRDS - Could beat this group given the 50 Equibase speed fig garnered in his last outing. Huitron has a sharp win percent with horses racing in short races.
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 2 - Claiming - 400y on the Dirt. Purse: $3500 Class Rating: 66
QUARTER HORSE 400Y, FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 124 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $3,500.
RECOMMENDED*CHOICES
# 2 QUICK AIR GAME 2/1
# 3 EYESA SCHOOLBOY 3/1
# 4 FREEBIRDS 8/1
QUICK AIR GAME looks formidable to best this field. Is a strong contender based on numbers put up lately under today's conditions. She has been running solidly lately while recording very strong Equibase Speed Figures. Martinez should be able to get this filly to break out early in here. EYESA SCHOOLBOY - I expect a strong performance from this horse whose conditioner has one of the top ROI percentages with horses running at this distance and surface. Should come out very solid - I have liked the way this gelding has moved speedily to the front end recently. FREEBIRDS - Could beat this group given the 50 Equibase speed fig garnered in his last outing. Huitron has a sharp win percent with horses racing in short races.
Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts
Hawthorne - Race #6 - Post: 4:50pm - Allowance - 8.5 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $20,700 Class Rating: 90
Rating:
#2 SMILING GAMBLER (ML=8/1)
#5 BUBUZELA (ML=5/1)
#6 HARBOR JEDI (ML=9/2)
SMILING GAMBLER - Speed ratings on the turf point to this horse as a legit contender. Has the best in the field for this distance and surface. The Oct 14th race at Hawthorne was at a class level of (96). Dropping down the class ladder drastically, so she should be in a good position to win. BUBUZELA - Castro and Mitchell getting together are a horse gambler's friend. I seem to always make money betting Mitchell horses on the turf. That barn has a dominant win percent for this distance/surface. This mare is certainly on the improve with Equibase speed figures of 80, 82, 87 last 3 out. Last time around the track, ran the last quarter in less than 25 ticks. A good indication she can close well, and should be right there at the finish this time. HARBOR JEDI - This jockey and conditioner's horses have been generating a positive return on investment. This horse is for real on the grass. TrackMaster turf figure in last race at Arlington was tops in this bunch.
Vulnerable Contenders: #1 CLARE VIEW (ML=7/2), #11 CRUSADER GIRL TOO (ML=5/1), #4 ICY TALES (ML=8/1),
CLARE VIEW - Trying to beat this horse today at the value of 7/2. CRUSADER GIRL TOO - Unlikely that the fig she recorded on October 28th will hold up in this event. ICY TALES - This filly won last time, but probably won't do it today versus tougher competition.
STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Play #2 SMILING GAMBLER to win if you can get odds of 7/2 or more
EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [2,5,6]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Box [2,5,6] Total Cost: $6
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
[2,5,6] with [2,5,6] with [2,4,5,6,11] with [2,4,5,6,11] Total Cost: $36
Hawthorne - Race #6 - Post: 4:50pm - Allowance - 8.5 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $20,700 Class Rating: 90
Rating:
#2 SMILING GAMBLER (ML=8/1)
#5 BUBUZELA (ML=5/1)
#6 HARBOR JEDI (ML=9/2)
SMILING GAMBLER - Speed ratings on the turf point to this horse as a legit contender. Has the best in the field for this distance and surface. The Oct 14th race at Hawthorne was at a class level of (96). Dropping down the class ladder drastically, so she should be in a good position to win. BUBUZELA - Castro and Mitchell getting together are a horse gambler's friend. I seem to always make money betting Mitchell horses on the turf. That barn has a dominant win percent for this distance/surface. This mare is certainly on the improve with Equibase speed figures of 80, 82, 87 last 3 out. Last time around the track, ran the last quarter in less than 25 ticks. A good indication she can close well, and should be right there at the finish this time. HARBOR JEDI - This jockey and conditioner's horses have been generating a positive return on investment. This horse is for real on the grass. TrackMaster turf figure in last race at Arlington was tops in this bunch.
Vulnerable Contenders: #1 CLARE VIEW (ML=7/2), #11 CRUSADER GIRL TOO (ML=5/1), #4 ICY TALES (ML=8/1),
CLARE VIEW - Trying to beat this horse today at the value of 7/2. CRUSADER GIRL TOO - Unlikely that the fig she recorded on October 28th will hold up in this event. ICY TALES - This filly won last time, but probably won't do it today versus tougher competition.
STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Play #2 SMILING GAMBLER to win if you can get odds of 7/2 or more
EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [2,5,6]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Box [2,5,6] Total Cost: $6
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
[2,5,6] with [2,5,6] with [2,4,5,6,11] with [2,4,5,6,11] Total Cost: $36
Handicapped by Rick Needham at Aqueduct
RACE #4 - AQUEDUCT - 1:47 PM EASTERN POST
8.0 FURLONGS TURF THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD $40,000.00 CLAIMING $40,000.00 PURSE
#6 IDOSYNCRATIC
#9 CORDERO
#1 CONTRADICT
#3 ROOFTOP VIEW
#6 IDIOSYNCRATIC takes a class drop (-8) this afternoon, and is the overall speed and pace profile leader in this claiming field racing at the mile distance of the grass, and has produced "POWER RUN PERFORMANCES" in each of his last five outings, hitting the board in three of those efforts, including a "POWER RUN WIN" in his 5th race back. #9 CORDERO, an Irish bred entry, and a 4-1 shot, also drop in class (-8), and has produced "POWER RUN PERFORMANCES" in four straight, including a "POWER RUN WIN" in his 4th race back.
RACE #4 - AQUEDUCT - 1:47 PM EASTERN POST
8.0 FURLONGS TURF THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD $40,000.00 CLAIMING $40,000.00 PURSE
#6 IDOSYNCRATIC
#9 CORDERO
#1 CONTRADICT
#3 ROOFTOP VIEW
#6 IDIOSYNCRATIC takes a class drop (-8) this afternoon, and is the overall speed and pace profile leader in this claiming field racing at the mile distance of the grass, and has produced "POWER RUN PERFORMANCES" in each of his last five outings, hitting the board in three of those efforts, including a "POWER RUN WIN" in his 5th race back. #9 CORDERO, an Irish bred entry, and a 4-1 shot, also drop in class (-8), and has produced "POWER RUN PERFORMANCES" in four straight, including a "POWER RUN WIN" in his 4th race back.
Northfield: Wednesday 11/9 Analysis + Pick Four Ticket
By Jeremey Day
DRF
Race 8 - $10,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool
Jeremey’s $1 Pick Four Play:
5,9 / 2,3,4 / 2,4 /1,3,4 =$36
Best Bet: OH PLEASE (5th)
Spot Play: CROWN GLORY (7th)
Race 1
(1) ROCKITVILLE gets the best post in a really weak field. (4) SR LILLYSTAR picks up a huge driver change. (5) ROCKIN H DASHING O has yet to win in thirteen starts but does seem to be improving.
Race 2
(2) LIMA ILLUSION well bred filly has room to improve against a suspect bunch. (3) ADMIRALS LADY REI has been knocking on the door against similar. (5) KINGOFTHEREIGNS lightly raced pacer has just been racing evenly but could threaten with some racing luck.
Race 3
(2) LADY EDITH will look to make it six straight; short price. (1) CHINA SIS owns some ability and will offer a good price with the best post. (3) DJ BABY BELLE picks up a huge driver change but is still probably best used underneath.
Race 4
(2) OVERDRIVE gets sent out for a low percentage pilot but looks to be in line for a great trip up close. (1) SILVER CHIEF will look to make it three straight wins starting from the rail; short price. (5) TONOLLI has a shot to hit the ticket with a smooth trip.
Race 5
(7) OH PLEASE four-year-old mare will look to make it three wins in five starts on the year; fires early. (4) ECHO'S ANNIE nice looking 3-year-old earned a solid victory last start against similar. (5) RUGGED HEART well bred filly has just been racing evenly ; command a price.
Race 6
(1) ART OF ESCAPE veteran pacer picks up the top driver with the best post down in class. (2) NATHAN is another dropper in the race that could threaten. (6) ITSNOONERTIME always offers a big price; use underneath.
Race 7
(9) CROWN GLORY has been facing slightly tougher. The trotting mare will offer good value in a field full of question marks. (7) ROSE RUN ROLLIE picks up a good driver change and also looks to offer a good price. (3) WILD NORDIC takes a huge drop in class but has just been racing evenly.
Race 8
(5) DJ LANCE pacer is capable of a big effort with a trouble-free trip. (9) EL PUNCHO ten-year-old stallion was a game winner down in class two back; threat. (2) UNTOLD LEGEND looks to offer low value with a provisional pilot; use underneath.
Race 9
(2) DOUBTING TOM is just now back in racing shape after a long layoff; big chance. (3) AISLING veteran trotter finds a slightly softer field than his last two. (4) CRAZOLO five-year-old makes his third start back off a long layoff.
Race 10
(4) P L DRAGON could offer a decent price in a field with few contenders. (2) ATOMIC REI just missed at this level last out and benefits from the top driver. (5) PRO DUECE morning line favorite comes into the race off a layoff and looks to need a start; use caution.
Race 11
(1) FLYIN ORION will look to make it two straight at this level. (4) CHICAGOSONAROLL just raced evenly last start bet down as a heavy favorite. (3) TERROR AINT EASY will offer a big price and has been competitive at this level.
Race 12
(3) ZORGWIJK MERCEDES might have some newfound confidence after a nice score down in class. (4) HOORAY KATIE trotting mare put in a sneaky good effort last start from a tough post. (2) CALLIT AS U SEEIT finished the mile strong last start; threat.
Race 13
(2) GRANDKIDS ATTACK raced well last week up in class. The pacer needed the start and should be sharper. (1) JUMPIN JACK J gets the best post in a field full of question marks. (5) HALFA CENTURY will look to make it two straight but needs more.
Race 14
(2) CERTAIN POTENTIAL comes into the race off a miscue but is fast enough to win at this level. (1) ULTIMATE WINNER has room to improve second start back off a layoff. (4) SNEAKY SAM is better than what his record indicates; threat.
Race 15
(3) WINTER CRUISE will be used very aggressively down in class. (4) SPARTAN PRIDE burned cash at this level last week but is still a threat. (5) BETTORSEEITMYWAY picks up a top driver against a suspect bunch.
By Jeremey Day
DRF
Race 8 - $10,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool
Jeremey’s $1 Pick Four Play:
5,9 / 2,3,4 / 2,4 /1,3,4 =$36
Best Bet: OH PLEASE (5th)
Spot Play: CROWN GLORY (7th)
Race 1
(1) ROCKITVILLE gets the best post in a really weak field. (4) SR LILLYSTAR picks up a huge driver change. (5) ROCKIN H DASHING O has yet to win in thirteen starts but does seem to be improving.
Race 2
(2) LIMA ILLUSION well bred filly has room to improve against a suspect bunch. (3) ADMIRALS LADY REI has been knocking on the door against similar. (5) KINGOFTHEREIGNS lightly raced pacer has just been racing evenly but could threaten with some racing luck.
Race 3
(2) LADY EDITH will look to make it six straight; short price. (1) CHINA SIS owns some ability and will offer a good price with the best post. (3) DJ BABY BELLE picks up a huge driver change but is still probably best used underneath.
Race 4
(2) OVERDRIVE gets sent out for a low percentage pilot but looks to be in line for a great trip up close. (1) SILVER CHIEF will look to make it three straight wins starting from the rail; short price. (5) TONOLLI has a shot to hit the ticket with a smooth trip.
Race 5
(7) OH PLEASE four-year-old mare will look to make it three wins in five starts on the year; fires early. (4) ECHO'S ANNIE nice looking 3-year-old earned a solid victory last start against similar. (5) RUGGED HEART well bred filly has just been racing evenly ; command a price.
Race 6
(1) ART OF ESCAPE veteran pacer picks up the top driver with the best post down in class. (2) NATHAN is another dropper in the race that could threaten. (6) ITSNOONERTIME always offers a big price; use underneath.
Race 7
(9) CROWN GLORY has been facing slightly tougher. The trotting mare will offer good value in a field full of question marks. (7) ROSE RUN ROLLIE picks up a good driver change and also looks to offer a good price. (3) WILD NORDIC takes a huge drop in class but has just been racing evenly.
Race 8
(5) DJ LANCE pacer is capable of a big effort with a trouble-free trip. (9) EL PUNCHO ten-year-old stallion was a game winner down in class two back; threat. (2) UNTOLD LEGEND looks to offer low value with a provisional pilot; use underneath.
Race 9
(2) DOUBTING TOM is just now back in racing shape after a long layoff; big chance. (3) AISLING veteran trotter finds a slightly softer field than his last two. (4) CRAZOLO five-year-old makes his third start back off a long layoff.
Race 10
(4) P L DRAGON could offer a decent price in a field with few contenders. (2) ATOMIC REI just missed at this level last out and benefits from the top driver. (5) PRO DUECE morning line favorite comes into the race off a layoff and looks to need a start; use caution.
Race 11
(1) FLYIN ORION will look to make it two straight at this level. (4) CHICAGOSONAROLL just raced evenly last start bet down as a heavy favorite. (3) TERROR AINT EASY will offer a big price and has been competitive at this level.
Race 12
(3) ZORGWIJK MERCEDES might have some newfound confidence after a nice score down in class. (4) HOORAY KATIE trotting mare put in a sneaky good effort last start from a tough post. (2) CALLIT AS U SEEIT finished the mile strong last start; threat.
Race 13
(2) GRANDKIDS ATTACK raced well last week up in class. The pacer needed the start and should be sharper. (1) JUMPIN JACK J gets the best post in a field full of question marks. (5) HALFA CENTURY will look to make it two straight but needs more.
Race 14
(2) CERTAIN POTENTIAL comes into the race off a miscue but is fast enough to win at this level. (1) ULTIMATE WINNER has room to improve second start back off a layoff. (4) SNEAKY SAM is better than what his record indicates; threat.
Race 15
(3) WINTER CRUISE will be used very aggressively down in class. (4) SPARTAN PRIDE burned cash at this level last week but is still a threat. (5) BETTORSEEITMYWAY picks up a top driver against a suspect bunch.
SPOT PLAYS
For Wednesday
TRACK (RACE) HORSE, MORNING LINE
Aqueduct (4th) Contradict, 7-2
(7th) Da Wildcat Girl, 5-1
Charles Town (5th) Officer Buster, 3-1
(6th) Quality Moves, 4-1
Churchill Downs (1st) Belvin, 3-1
(8th) Wild Dreams, 6-1
Delta Downs (2nd) Garlic, 6-1
(7th) Say Charlie, 7-2
Finger Lakes (3rd) Moonstone Beach, 5-1
(7th) Justenuffkick, 7-2
Gulfstream Park West (1st) Likeagirl, 7-2
(7th) Dayne's Pulpit, 8-1
Hawthorne (5th) On the Lam, 5-1
(6th) Icy Tales, 8-1
Mahoning Valley (4th) House of Prayer, 7-2
(7th) Undertaker, 3-1
Mountaineer (1st) Start de Parte, 9-2
(9th) Bill Nack, 9-2
Penn National (1st) Johnny Jump Up, 8-1
(2nd) Grace H, 7-2
Remington Park (5th) Falsete, 3-1
(9th) Tee Tee, 7-2
Woodbine (4th) Avenue Road, 7-2
(7th) Bella Humor, 8-1
For Wednesday
TRACK (RACE) HORSE, MORNING LINE
Aqueduct (4th) Contradict, 7-2
(7th) Da Wildcat Girl, 5-1
Charles Town (5th) Officer Buster, 3-1
(6th) Quality Moves, 4-1
Churchill Downs (1st) Belvin, 3-1
(8th) Wild Dreams, 6-1
Delta Downs (2nd) Garlic, 6-1
(7th) Say Charlie, 7-2
Finger Lakes (3rd) Moonstone Beach, 5-1
(7th) Justenuffkick, 7-2
Gulfstream Park West (1st) Likeagirl, 7-2
(7th) Dayne's Pulpit, 8-1
Hawthorne (5th) On the Lam, 5-1
(6th) Icy Tales, 8-1
Mahoning Valley (4th) House of Prayer, 7-2
(7th) Undertaker, 3-1
Mountaineer (1st) Start de Parte, 9-2
(9th) Bill Nack, 9-2
Penn National (1st) Johnny Jump Up, 8-1
(2nd) Grace H, 7-2
Remington Park (5th) Falsete, 3-1
(9th) Tee Tee, 7-2
Woodbine (4th) Avenue Road, 7-2
(7th) Bella Humor, 8-1
