Horse Racing 11-21-16

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Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Northfield Park

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 7 - Post: 8:00 - 1 mile. TROT - Class Rating: 82 - Purse:$9000 - NON WINNERS $6500 IN LAST 5 STARTS. NO. 9 STARTS FROM 2ND TIER NORTHFIELD TRAINER CHANGE HN 9 V.COPELAND TO D.SANTANTONIO
CONSORTIUM*CHOICES

# 2 NEELY'S MESSENGER 8/5
# 9 CASH ON DELIVERY 3/1
# 3 NORTHERN SPARK 7/2

NEELY'S MESSENGER most definitely looks the interesting entrant to beat in this one. The panel of smart guys gives this entrant a respectable chance to come home a winner, class ratings are tops in the grouping. Should be considered for this race if only for the good TrackMaster Speed Rating recorded in the most recent race. This horse has a nose for the wire, just look at his better than average win statistic. CASH ON DELIVERY - Has really strong speed ratings and quite possibly has to be considered for a play in this event. This gelding has been performing against some of the most competitive horses in this field of horses lately. NORTHERN SPARK - Earned a 80 speed fig in last race. A duplicate effort here should get the top prize in this race.
 
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Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Yonkers Raceway

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 6 - Post: 8:50 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 83 - Purse:$20000 - NON-WINNERS OF 4 P-M RACES OR $40,000 LIFETIME. 2,3& 4 YEAR OLD COLTS, HORSES & GELDINGS
CONSORTIUM*CHOICES

# 5 CONCUR 9/5
# 7 NOX VEGAS BLUECHIP 5/2
# 3 HAPPY ANDYVERSARY 7/1

We've got an instinct CONCUR is going to get the top prize. Been competing with some tougher customers of late, has a distinct class edge. (Average Rating 85). With a competitive 84 TrackMaster Speed Rating last time out, will clearly be a factor in this race. Driver-trainer are no strangers to the winners circle and should have this gelding breaking away from the field of starters. NOX VEGAS BLUECHIP - May provide us a trip to the winner's circle based on really strong recent TrackMaster Speed Ratings - earning an avg of 86. He has nice class figures, averaging 86. Could be considered for a bet in this race. HAPPY ANDYVERSARY - Many horse players will recognize the great TrackMaster Speed Rating in the last outing. Stacks up against any horse in this bunch. With better than average win stats, Dube should have this gelding in excellent position to win the competition.
 
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Handicapped by The Walker Group at Finger Lakes

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 1 - Claiming - 8.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $9000 Class Rating: 77

FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON TWO RACES IN 2015-2016. THREE YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT A MILE OR OVER SINCE OCTOBER 21 ALLOWED 2 LBS. SUCH A RACE SINCE SEPTEMBER 21 ALLOWED 4 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000.


RECOMMENDED*CHOICES


# 2 KING DIX C 3/2

# 1 DIAMOND SHOWCASE 7/2

# 5 BOB E 5/2

KING DIX C has a respectable shot to take this race. Should best this group here, showing decent figures of late. Could beat this group of animals given the 78 speed rating recorded in his last outing. Must be carefully examined given the class of races run recently. DIAMOND SHOWCASE - Must be carefully examined based on the competitive Equibase Speed Figure recorded in the last contest. Is a very strong contender based on figures garnered lately under today's conditions. BOB E - Could provide positive gains based on respectable recent Equibase speed figs with an average of 64. With Cruz on top him, this gelding should be able to break out quickly in this competition.
 
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Handicapped by The Walker Group at Mountaineer Park

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 8 - Optional Claiming - 8.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $16200 Class Rating: 96

FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON A RACE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, OR STARTER OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES OR CLAIMING PRICE $15,000. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT A MILE OR OVER SINCE OCTOBER 21 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $15,000 W V A BRED RACES


RECOMMENDED*CHOICES


# 4 REMEMBERTOBREATHE 7/2

# 6 PALTARREVENGE 6/1

# 7 EXPLORE 2/1

REMEMBERTOBREATHE is the top bet in this race. The winning percentage shown by horses entered by Lyster running at this distance are the strongest in this field. Ought to compete admirably in the early pace contest which bodes well with this field. Garnered a solid speed rating in the last race. Can run another good one in this affair. PALTARREVENGE - The speed figure of 88 from his latest contest looks decent in here. Must be given a chance given the class of races run lately. EXPLORE - Win percentage one of the best in this group of horses in this race. This gelding has posted some nice finishing positions in his last couple of efforts.
 
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Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Parx Racing - Race #8 - Post: 3:34pm - Allowance - 8.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $44,000 Class Rating: 96

Rating:

#2 AIKEN PREP (ML=8/1)
#4 SNOW TROUBLE (ML=3/1)
#3 FREELANDER (ML=5/1)


AIKEN PREP - Gelding's finish positions keep getting better with each race. Maybe today's the day. This jock and conditioner's animals have been producing a profitable ROI. As long as Gonzalez keeps this horse off the pace, I have to believe this one could be a winner. PP lines show this horse with three improving speed ratings. Gonzalez should be on a horse ready to go right here in this race. SNOW TROUBLE - Don't throw out based on last race finish. He didn't hit the board, but made a nice move in the lane making up ground. Could be dangerous at a possible price. FREELANDER - This gelding is in top form right now. Ended up second last out and comes back quickly. This gelding's last speed fig registered on Oct 25th is tops in last race speed figures.

Vulnerable Contenders: #1 GRAVES ISLAND (ML=4/1), #5 YA (ML=9/2), #7 GRIT'N'GRIND (ML=6/1),

GRAVES ISLAND - Finished third in his most recent race with a run-of-the-mill fig. When I look at today's class rating, it would take an improved performance to triumph after that in this field. YA - If he goes off close to the M/L odds of 9/2, I'll have to pass. GRIT'N'GRIND - The speed rating in the last race doesn't fit very well in this contest when I look at the class rating of today's race. Mark this horse as a likely underpriced equine.



STRAIGHT WAGERS:

Putting our cash on #2 AIKEN PREP to win. Have to have odds of at least 3/1 or better though

EXACTA WAGERS:

2 with [3,4]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:

Box [2,3,4] Total Cost: $6

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:

Pass
 
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Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Zia Park - Race #10 - Post: 4:12pm - Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $12,000 Class Rating: 75

Rating:

#7 DODSON (ML=3/1)
#9 THECRYPTARRIVES (ML=4/1)


DODSON - I took a look at this gelding's finishes. He's almost always in-the-money. Just look at his most recent speed fig, 75. That one looks good in this bunch. Ran last out against tougher competition at Ruidoso Downs. The move to a lower level should suit him well. THECRYPTARRIVES - Atop this horse on November 8th and Chavez is back again in the irons in this race. Have to make this gelding a contender; he comes off a strong race on November 8th.

Vulnerable Contenders: #10 RISK IT ALL (ML=5/1), #6 D E SLOT MAN (ML=6/1), #11 MR MOO (ML=8/1),

RISK IT ALL - This gelding hasn't had any on the board results in sprint affairs in the last couple months. D E SLOT MAN - Couldn't make up ground at all on Oct 31st. Hard to play this time at the expected odds. Will be tough for this mount to beat this bunch off of that last speed rating. Improbable to improve enough to run a figure close to today's Equibase class figure, so put him on the likely underlays list. MR MOO - Hard to bet on any thoroughbred to turn things around if there is no reward to taking the shot.



STRAIGHT WAGERS:

#7 DODSON to win at post-time odds of 7/5 or better

EXACTA WAGERS:

Box [7,9]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:

None
 
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Woodbine Harness: Monday 11/21 Analysis
By Garnet Barnsdale

DRF

Race 1 - $40,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool

Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

PICK 5: 5,7,8/9,10/2/1,3,5/4,5,7 = $7.20

EARLY PICK 4: 1,3,5/4,5,7/3,6/3,4,7 = $54

LATE PICK 4: 3,4,7/4,6,8/5,6/6,7 = $36

MEET STATS: 13 - 52 / $78.90 BEST BETS: 3 - 5 / $9.30

SPOT PLAYS: 0 - 5 / $0.00

Best Bet: WINDSUN REVENGE (3rd)

Spot Play: PAR INTENDED (5th)


Race 1

(8) GIVE EM HECK raced decently from the 10-hole last week and he has a much better chance of clearing to the front early here, which is where he wants to be; slight nod. (7) LISVINNIE went a very long trip last week and he is another that could get position early which would improve his chances here. (5) NEW YORK NIGHTMARE was out the route last week which dulled his late closing bid. He too should improve here with a better trip. (3) DRAKE should hit the ticket off an inside following trip.

Race 2

(10) SHOOT THE THRILL drops back down to the level at which he was claimed and notice he jogged that night; top call. (9) TOGA TOWN raced tough last time on the rim and he is likely getting closer to his first win in a long time; using. (6) ALACRITY could wake up here at a price dropping into a claimer for his second start back off a break. (2) LISEBERG can take a smaller share racing from close range here.

Race 3

(2) WINDSUN REVENGE should be able to handle this group coming off a solid Breeders Crown effort. (8) IL SOGNO DREAM also faces his easiest field in some time and he should be a factor here. (6) FEARLESS MAN looks sharp returning from a break and he loves Woodbine. The longer he gets left alone on the lead, the tougher he will be. (3) YOURE MAJESTIC steps up noticeably, but she is razor-sharp and is worthy of exotics consideration here.

Race 4

(1) SHES A MANIAC made two moves in a winning effort last week and the step up in class here isn't dramatic; slight nod. (5) LADY JEN drops and moves to the middle of the gate; expect improvement. (3) ALEXAS HOPE was closing sharply at the end of her mile last week and she gets Waples here; using. (10) DONNA PARTY rates highly on form, but the 10-hole could be her undoing here.

Race 5

(5) PAR INTENDED goes right back into the same class off a sharp win and he could easily attract another claim here; top call. (4) HIGHLAND TARTAN also goes for a new barn here off a super effort where he showed some grit. Toss him on your multi-race tickets. (7) LONEWOLF CURRIER had a good trip on the choice's cover but he couldn't reach him late. He isn't out of this, but he will likely find the top two troublesome. (2) JENKINS CREEEK was a sharp winner off the claim last time and he should factor here racing on or near the front.

Race 6

(3) TRUE MUSCLE should improve sharply vs. easier here and she should get put into the race earlier than she has been; slight nod. (6) MOSTINTERESTINGMAN is only a one-time winner, but he too should enjoy the easier company this time. (5) DEUCE DEUCE DEUCE has missed six weeks of action but he does add Lasix here and he figures on form; your call. (8) SECRETCODE HANOVER set strong splits last time then tired late. He can take a smaller share here if he doesn't get hung out early.

Race 7

(4) MACH MESSIER moves up off a strong effort in defeat to an up-and-coming colt. He could take these gate-to-wire. (3) LATE NIGHT goes for three straight and he is hard to ignore in his current sharp state. (7) DREAMY FELLA drops from non-winners of five and he should be heard from down the lane here using his potent closing kick. (8) JACK RACKHAM should be a threat here exiting the Autumn series, but he must overcome the outer post position.

Race 8

(6) CASH FOR GOLD drops slightly and he should be right there vs. these if he starts his move early enough. (8) CATCH THE DREAM also rates highly in this class if he can stay on stride this time. (4) ITS HUW YOU KNOW should be a pace factor if he can overcome his recent gait issues here. (1) OLYMPIC SON steps up off a win, but he can be a factor here off a similar following trip.

Race 9

(5) ER QUINN could easily get the same winning pocket trip here as he did last week; top call. (6) NEVER BEEN TOLD moves up off a strong win and he will have to be caught, but, if the choice sits in his pocket, he could get picked off late in the mile. (3) OUTLAW GUNPOWDER can improve if he gets put into the race at some point this time. (4) CUNDALINI figures to sit an inside following trip and re-emerge for a smaller share here.

Race 10

(6) EAST END gets off the rail here which should enable a better start. He should be prominent throughout. (7) PUTNAMS LEGACY also moves to a post that is better for leaving hard, which is likely with him here; using. (4) SHADOWFALL is one of the better closers in the field. Look for him late if there is a lot of action early in the mile. (1) CENTURY CHURCHILL should share off an inside following trip. (8) SHARKY SHARK still has some upside making only his third start here. He can pass many of these late.
 
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Yonkers: Monday 11/21 Analysis
By Brewster Smith

DRF

MEET STATS: 284 - 1189 / $1,832.70

BEST BETS: 32 - 111 / $151.10

Best Bet: I SAID PLEASE (7th)

Spot Play: PT B QUICK (2nd)


Race 1

(5) ANOTHER LOOK took charge at the 3/4 pole but was nailed for win honors last out by (6) RD BILLIE. Very possible she might turn the tables on that rival. (6) RD BILLIE was very game in the pocket to get the job done recently; threat again. (8) MI VIDA came late on the scene to mow them down last out; beware despite the move to the 8-hole.

Race 2

(2) PT B QUICK makes his first try at the Hilltop and gets a cozy post to work with; could take this at his best. (5) VINOVIO took the pocket route last time around for all the glory; player again. (4) ROCK POWER Gelding is knocking at the door based on his last two tries so watch out.

Race 3

(4) GIVEMEYOURHEART Filly is on a roll scoring her last two starts. Form is sharp, so with that said, the hat trick is clearly not out of the question. (7) ROSY OUTLOOK put in a mild rally and lost glory by only a neck; big threat. (2) SOUTHWIND TANGO is better than her last try and door number two can help her cause; maybe.

Race 4

(4) RACE WITH GRACE gets post relief tonight off her closing third-place finish last time out. Filly seems to be heading in the right direction and she has every right to get the job done. (8) WINNERS OVER is another that is knocking at the door, but will have to take this from post eight; possible. (2) HEARTS WILD is back inside where she was a fast closing winner two trips ago.

Race 5

(7) FASHION DRAGON did not have the best of trips as the chalk last time out, but this gelding is much better that effort; ready to fire his best if given a perfect trip. (1) BALLERAT BOOMERANG took down the hat trick from the fence last time out and the gelding retains the rail; dangerous again. (6) BREAKTIME HANOVER was sitting in the pocket most of the way but could not get to the winner in his most recent outing; not out of this.

Race 6

(5) CONCUR was very game for third money at the Meadowlands last time out and now the gelding moves to the half-mile oval and gets the services of Bartlett; candidate. (2) SPINSTIGATOR raced evenly and held the show spot last week; could make some noise against these. (7) NOX VEGAS BLUECHIP fits well in here and he could be right in the mix with a favorable trip.

Race 7

(8) I SAID PLEASE Pacing filly has good tactical speed and she will need it with the move to the 8-hole. Good to see Bartlett with the drive and there's a possibility he can get the sophomore to greet the cameraman for pictures. (4) CHEYENNE TRIENGEL came close to glory last time out losing by 1/2 length; big threat. (1) HUG A PRINCESS gets post relief and that should help her cause; watch out.

Race 8

(4) PRETTY BOY HILL came first up and held on for the victory last out. Sophomore colt seems to be in winning form so two straight is not out of the question. (3) DERECHO was sent down the road in his last trip for all the glory; main danger. (2) MAURICE has hit the board in his last three tries so he clearly is not out of this by far.

Race 9

(7) FINE DIAMOND moves down in class for team Brennan/Burke so post 7 should not be a problem for this 3-year-old pacer; gets the call. (4) SETTLEMOIR flashed some speed in his latest at Pocono and could have a say against this group. (1) GOLDEN GESTURE went evenly in his last start and could land a share from the fence.

Race 10

(1) IN THE HUDDLE was caught for the score last out, but this gelding is coming off a sharp performance two trips ago and now he lands the rail; the pick. (4) CAVIART SKYLER showed speed but came up empty in the stretch drive at Philly recently; player. (8) IDEAL JIMMY moves down the ladder but will have to get the job done from door number eight; capable.
 
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SPOT PLAYS

For Monday

TRACK (RACE) HORSE, MORNING LINE

Finger Lakes (6th) My Favorite Two, 3-1
(8th) Keepin It Zeal, 9-2


Mountaineer (1st) Save My Soul, 7-2
(5th) Don't Defy Me, 3-1


Parx (2nd) Rienzi, 3-1
(4th) Wyandot, 7-2


Thistledown (5th) Bucket Beat, 5-1
(6th) Summer Shoe, 4-1


Turf Paradise (5th) Allen's Crown, 3-1
(7th) Migiwewin, 3-1
 

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