At the Gate - Thursday
By Mike Dempsey
We started of the week with three winners on top on the Aqueduct card on Wednesday, the winners paying $5.20, $10.80 and $9.30, meaning our week started off much better than those in the Hillary Clinton campaign.
It also was better than the fine folks over at Paddy Power, the Irish wagering site that decided the election was over a couple of weeks ago and paid its players that backed Clinton over $1 million.
Back on Oct. 18 they released a statement that said in part, “With the national polls showing a healthy lead for the Democratic candidate and Donald Trump’s campaign running into scandal after scandal, Paddy Power believes it’s a done deal and that Hillary is a nailed-on certainty to occupy the Oval Office.”
Oops.
Donald J. Trump rallied like Zenyatta in the stretch of the 2009 Breeders’ Cup Classic (G1) to get the job done and become our next president.
For Paddy Power, it meant paying out an additional $4.5 million to their players that backed Trump.
They said last night, “His [Trump] victory in the early hours of the morning – which has left serious question marks over our company Christmas party – was indicated last week as his odds were slashed following an FBI investigation into Clinton’s private email server.”
“The result also stung us for our biggest political payout ever, we’ve been hit for over $4.5m by customers who backed Trump,” Paddy Power added.
I am guessing somebody over at Paddy Power might hear the words “You’re Fired” this week.
Here is the opening race from Aqueduct to get the day off to a good start:
AQU Race 1 Md $20,000 (12:20 ET)
#5 Frosty Appeal 8-1
#2 Wicked Fun 5-1
#3 Antebellum 6-5
#7 Splash of Sass 4-1
Analysis: Frosty Appeal has been beaten double digit lengths in each of her three starts but caught slop in her first two and last out it as over good turf and pedigree wise she seems better suited for dirt. She drops in for a $20,000 tag for Englehart that claimed her for $40,000 out of her debut. She gets a jock upgrade to Gallardo and the 8-1 morning line looks more than fair. She is out of a Valid Appeal mare that has dropped five winners.
Wicked Fun faded to finish a well beaten sixth last out for a $20,000 tag in the slop. She has run into repeat winners in three of her last four outings. She has only landed in the money once, a third on turf last fall against tougher. She catches a weak looking group here and will get a fast track. She is out of a Lemon Drop Kid mare that has dropped four other foals to race, three winners.
Wagering
WIN: #5 to win at 9-2 or better.
EX: 2,5 / 2,3,5,7
TRI: 2,5 / 2,3,5,7 / 1,2,3,5,7
Today’s Featured Race of the Day from Aqueduct:
AQU Race 7 Clm $16,000N2L (3:17 ET)
#5 Country Money 8-1
#6 That Makes Sense 3-1
#4 Battle Midway 4-1
#1 In Equality 5-2
Analysis: Country Money makes his first career start on dirt here after a fifth place finish on turf last out at the Big M against $25,000 non-winners of two. Pino claimed this guy for $50,000 back in May but the gelding has not been much of a threat in two starts for the new connections. He gets a class drop here and should take to dirt, by Hard Spun out of an A.P. Indy mare. The barn is 22% winners moving runners from turf to dirt. Decent value if he goes off near his 8-1 morning line.
That Makes Sense stalked the early pace, came up the inside and then was angling out wide, rallying for fourth beaten half-length for the top spot. The gelding gets a jock upgrade here going from the bug to Ortiz.
Wagering
WIN: #5 to win at 9-2 or better.
EX: 5,6 / 1,4,5,6
TRI: 5,6 / 1,4,5,6 / 1,4,5,6,8
Live Longshots:
These are price plays for exotic players looking to find a couple of extra contenders to use in their trifecta and superfecta wagers. Or for those with smaller bankrolls, you might want to get in a small win-place wager.
Aqueduct
R1: #5 Frosty Appeal 8-1
R4: #2 Sport 8-1
R4: #7 Medal D’ Honor 12-1
R6: #6 Same Kinda Crazy 8-1
R7: #5 Country Money 8-1
R9: #6 Fastidious 10-1
Good luck today!
By Mike Dempsey
We started of the week with three winners on top on the Aqueduct card on Wednesday, the winners paying $5.20, $10.80 and $9.30, meaning our week started off much better than those in the Hillary Clinton campaign.
It also was better than the fine folks over at Paddy Power, the Irish wagering site that decided the election was over a couple of weeks ago and paid its players that backed Clinton over $1 million.
Back on Oct. 18 they released a statement that said in part, “With the national polls showing a healthy lead for the Democratic candidate and Donald Trump’s campaign running into scandal after scandal, Paddy Power believes it’s a done deal and that Hillary is a nailed-on certainty to occupy the Oval Office.”
Oops.
Donald J. Trump rallied like Zenyatta in the stretch of the 2009 Breeders’ Cup Classic (G1) to get the job done and become our next president.
For Paddy Power, it meant paying out an additional $4.5 million to their players that backed Trump.
They said last night, “His [Trump] victory in the early hours of the morning – which has left serious question marks over our company Christmas party – was indicated last week as his odds were slashed following an FBI investigation into Clinton’s private email server.”
“The result also stung us for our biggest political payout ever, we’ve been hit for over $4.5m by customers who backed Trump,” Paddy Power added.
I am guessing somebody over at Paddy Power might hear the words “You’re Fired” this week.
Here is the opening race from Aqueduct to get the day off to a good start:
AQU Race 1 Md $20,000 (12:20 ET)
#5 Frosty Appeal 8-1
#2 Wicked Fun 5-1
#3 Antebellum 6-5
#7 Splash of Sass 4-1
Analysis: Frosty Appeal has been beaten double digit lengths in each of her three starts but caught slop in her first two and last out it as over good turf and pedigree wise she seems better suited for dirt. She drops in for a $20,000 tag for Englehart that claimed her for $40,000 out of her debut. She gets a jock upgrade to Gallardo and the 8-1 morning line looks more than fair. She is out of a Valid Appeal mare that has dropped five winners.
Wicked Fun faded to finish a well beaten sixth last out for a $20,000 tag in the slop. She has run into repeat winners in three of her last four outings. She has only landed in the money once, a third on turf last fall against tougher. She catches a weak looking group here and will get a fast track. She is out of a Lemon Drop Kid mare that has dropped four other foals to race, three winners.
Wagering
WIN: #5 to win at 9-2 or better.
EX: 2,5 / 2,3,5,7
TRI: 2,5 / 2,3,5,7 / 1,2,3,5,7
Today’s Featured Race of the Day from Aqueduct:
AQU Race 7 Clm $16,000N2L (3:17 ET)
#5 Country Money 8-1
#6 That Makes Sense 3-1
#4 Battle Midway 4-1
#1 In Equality 5-2
Analysis: Country Money makes his first career start on dirt here after a fifth place finish on turf last out at the Big M against $25,000 non-winners of two. Pino claimed this guy for $50,000 back in May but the gelding has not been much of a threat in two starts for the new connections. He gets a class drop here and should take to dirt, by Hard Spun out of an A.P. Indy mare. The barn is 22% winners moving runners from turf to dirt. Decent value if he goes off near his 8-1 morning line.
That Makes Sense stalked the early pace, came up the inside and then was angling out wide, rallying for fourth beaten half-length for the top spot. The gelding gets a jock upgrade here going from the bug to Ortiz.
Wagering
WIN: #5 to win at 9-2 or better.
EX: 5,6 / 1,4,5,6
TRI: 5,6 / 1,4,5,6 / 1,4,5,6,8
Live Longshots:
These are price plays for exotic players looking to find a couple of extra contenders to use in their trifecta and superfecta wagers. Or for those with smaller bankrolls, you might want to get in a small win-place wager.
Aqueduct
R1: #5 Frosty Appeal 8-1
R4: #2 Sport 8-1
R4: #7 Medal D’ Honor 12-1
R6: #6 Same Kinda Crazy 8-1
R7: #5 Country Money 8-1
R9: #6 Fastidious 10-1
Good luck today!
Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Freehold Raceway
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 5 - Post: 1:50 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 77 - Purse:$3300 - NON-WINNERS $1,500 IN LAST 5 STARTS NON-WINNERS LAST 3 ALLOWED $500 HORSES THAT RACED FOR PURSE OF $6,500 OR HIGHER LAST 2 STS INEL
CONSORTIUM*CHOICES
# 5 A EXSCAPE ARTIST 6/5
# 2 PERFECT TERROR 7/1
# 4 MEAT LOAF 9/2
Look no further than A EXSCAPE ARTIST as the bet today. The brain trust knows that speed is the key in harness racing. This solid standardbred will unlock our way to a nice triumph. Heads into this contest with formidable TrackMaster class numbers as compared to the bunch - take a good look. If performance in the most recent contest is representative, this nice horse will have a very great shot today. High last race TrackMaster SR. PERFECT TERROR - Surick is racking up the wins most recently. Outstanding win pct makes this solid standardbred our pick. Starters win from this position at Freehold Raceway with better than average regularity, suggesting this strong wager. MEAT LOAF - This gelding getting the victory wouldn't be impossible, a chance. Many bettors will recognize the excellent speed rating in the last race. Stacks up against any horse in this grouping.
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 5 - Post: 1:50 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 77 - Purse:$3300 - NON-WINNERS $1,500 IN LAST 5 STARTS NON-WINNERS LAST 3 ALLOWED $500 HORSES THAT RACED FOR PURSE OF $6,500 OR HIGHER LAST 2 STS INEL
CONSORTIUM*CHOICES
# 5 A EXSCAPE ARTIST 6/5
# 2 PERFECT TERROR 7/1
# 4 MEAT LOAF 9/2
Look no further than A EXSCAPE ARTIST as the bet today. The brain trust knows that speed is the key in harness racing. This solid standardbred will unlock our way to a nice triumph. Heads into this contest with formidable TrackMaster class numbers as compared to the bunch - take a good look. If performance in the most recent contest is representative, this nice horse will have a very great shot today. High last race TrackMaster SR. PERFECT TERROR - Surick is racking up the wins most recently. Outstanding win pct makes this solid standardbred our pick. Starters win from this position at Freehold Raceway with better than average regularity, suggesting this strong wager. MEAT LOAF - This gelding getting the victory wouldn't be impossible, a chance. Many bettors will recognize the excellent speed rating in the last race. Stacks up against any horse in this grouping.
Handicapped by The Walker Group at Golden Gate Fields
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 3 - Claiming - 8.5f on the Turf. Purse: $20000 Class Rating: 102
FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 125 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF TWO RACES AT A MILE OR OVER SINCE AUGUST 15 ALLOWED 3 LBS. ONE SUCH RACE SINCE THEN ALLOWED 5 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $20,000, IF FOR $18,000, ALLOWED 2 LBS.
RECOMMENDED*CHOICES
# 2 UNUSUAL MEETING 7/2
# 6 MY DISCRETION 4/1
# 5 PRESIDENTSKY 9/5
UNUSUAL MEETING is my choice. With a strong rider who has won at a solid 27 percent rate over the last 30 days. This has to be one of the top selections. Overall the Equibase Speed Figures of this racer look very good in this affair. MY DISCRETION - Wagerers should take a good look at this one as this gelding has one of the best win percentages at this distance in this group. Don't let this gelding slip past you. Could score at a juicy mutuel. PRESIDENTSKY - He should be considered given the strong speed figures. With a nice class fig average of 105, has one of the best class advantages in this field.
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 3 - Claiming - 8.5f on the Turf. Purse: $20000 Class Rating: 102
FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 125 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF TWO RACES AT A MILE OR OVER SINCE AUGUST 15 ALLOWED 3 LBS. ONE SUCH RACE SINCE THEN ALLOWED 5 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $20,000, IF FOR $18,000, ALLOWED 2 LBS.
RECOMMENDED*CHOICES
# 2 UNUSUAL MEETING 7/2
# 6 MY DISCRETION 4/1
# 5 PRESIDENTSKY 9/5
UNUSUAL MEETING is my choice. With a strong rider who has won at a solid 27 percent rate over the last 30 days. This has to be one of the top selections. Overall the Equibase Speed Figures of this racer look very good in this affair. MY DISCRETION - Wagerers should take a good look at this one as this gelding has one of the best win percentages at this distance in this group. Don't let this gelding slip past you. Could score at a juicy mutuel. PRESIDENTSKY - He should be considered given the strong speed figures. With a nice class fig average of 105, has one of the best class advantages in this field.
Handicapped by The Walker Group at Camarero Race Track
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 3 - Claiming - 5.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $9605 Class Rating: 60
FOR NATIVE FILLIES TWO YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 116 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE SEPTEMBER 10 ALLOWED 1 LBS. A RACE SINCE OCTOBER 25 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $27,000, IF FOR $25,000, ALLOWED 3 LBS.
RECOMMENDED*CHOICES
# 4 RONRONERA 2/1
# 5 COMPOSITORA 3/1
# 2 ESCAPADA 5/1
My choice in this contest is RONRONERA. She has posted decent numbers under today's conditions and will probably fare well versus this group. Molina ought to be able to get this filly to break out quickly for this race. With a quite good 60 speed fig last time out, will unquestionably be a factor in this race. COMPOSITORA - Will most likely be one of the leaders of the pack going into the halfway point of the affair. With a nice class figure average of 65, has one of the best class advantages in this field. ESCAPADA - The Lasix change (on Lasix) may spark a return for this filly. With a nice Equibase class rating average of 65, has one of the best class advantages in this field.
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 3 - Claiming - 5.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $9605 Class Rating: 60
FOR NATIVE FILLIES TWO YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 116 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE SEPTEMBER 10 ALLOWED 1 LBS. A RACE SINCE OCTOBER 25 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $27,000, IF FOR $25,000, ALLOWED 3 LBS.
RECOMMENDED*CHOICES
# 4 RONRONERA 2/1
# 5 COMPOSITORA 3/1
# 2 ESCAPADA 5/1
My choice in this contest is RONRONERA. She has posted decent numbers under today's conditions and will probably fare well versus this group. Molina ought to be able to get this filly to break out quickly for this race. With a quite good 60 speed fig last time out, will unquestionably be a factor in this race. COMPOSITORA - Will most likely be one of the leaders of the pack going into the halfway point of the affair. With a nice class figure average of 65, has one of the best class advantages in this field. ESCAPADA - The Lasix change (on Lasix) may spark a return for this filly. With a nice Equibase class rating average of 65, has one of the best class advantages in this field.
Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts
Hawthorne - Race #3 - Post: 3:20pm - Optional Claiming - 8.0 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $21,400 Class Rating: 103
Rating:
#4 BIG TOM PRADO (ML=7/2)
#1 FIVE GREEN STARS (ML=8/1)
#7 ALWAYS A CATCH (ML=4/1)
BIG TOM PRADO - This gelding should find these state breds easier than what he faced in his last event on October 19th. When Perez and Boyce join forces on equines the return on investment has been fantastic at +52. Didn't do well in the last race, but I do see two starts back when racing on the grass, a whole different animal. Speed rating of 107 should put this one in the money. FIVE GREEN STARS - This gelding has been running at higher class levels previously. He did win versus better, a $40,000 Optional Claiming race though. I believe this one is in the right spot today. Faces state bred foes today after finishing eighth versus 'open' company on Oct 19th. This rider/conditioner duo has been producing a high win pct, right around 31. This horse ran out of the top three at Hawthorne last out on the soft turf. He should improve right here without the off-track conditions. Reavis is strong in turf routes. This horse should have no alibis if he doesn't win. ALWAYS A CATCH - This racer coming off a sharp race in the last 30 days is a strong challenger in my book. I like the fact that this gelding's last figure, 106, is tops in this bunch. This gelding has the top turf fig in his last race. It doesn't take a college grad like The Brain to figure this here mount has a good chance.
Vulnerable Contenders: #6 BOLD RALLY (ML=5/2), #3 WHATEVERYBODYWANTS (ML=9/2), #8 CHAS THE MAN (ML=8/1),
BOLD RALLY - This vulnerable equine hasn't been near the winner at the finish line recently. The speed figs are going downward. I'm not betting on this runner off of that trend. WHATEVERYBODYWANTS - In the last race this horse finished fourth. Doesn't look promising for his chances in today's event. Not probable that the fig he garnered on October 8th will hold up in this affair. CHAS THE MAN - Never really did much at all in the last race on October 25th. Hard to bet on today. Finished tenth in his most recent effort with a run-of-the-mill speed figure. When I look at today's Equibase class figure, it would take an improved performance to triumph after that in this group.
STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Play #4 BIG TOM PRADO to win if you can get odds of 7/2 or more
EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [1,4,7]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Box [1,4,7] Total Cost: $6
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
[1,4,7] with [1,4,7] with [1,4,5,7,8] with [1,4,5,7,8] Total Cost: $36
Hawthorne - Race #3 - Post: 3:20pm - Optional Claiming - 8.0 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $21,400 Class Rating: 103
Rating:
#4 BIG TOM PRADO (ML=7/2)
#1 FIVE GREEN STARS (ML=8/1)
#7 ALWAYS A CATCH (ML=4/1)
BIG TOM PRADO - This gelding should find these state breds easier than what he faced in his last event on October 19th. When Perez and Boyce join forces on equines the return on investment has been fantastic at +52. Didn't do well in the last race, but I do see two starts back when racing on the grass, a whole different animal. Speed rating of 107 should put this one in the money. FIVE GREEN STARS - This gelding has been running at higher class levels previously. He did win versus better, a $40,000 Optional Claiming race though. I believe this one is in the right spot today. Faces state bred foes today after finishing eighth versus 'open' company on Oct 19th. This rider/conditioner duo has been producing a high win pct, right around 31. This horse ran out of the top three at Hawthorne last out on the soft turf. He should improve right here without the off-track conditions. Reavis is strong in turf routes. This horse should have no alibis if he doesn't win. ALWAYS A CATCH - This racer coming off a sharp race in the last 30 days is a strong challenger in my book. I like the fact that this gelding's last figure, 106, is tops in this bunch. This gelding has the top turf fig in his last race. It doesn't take a college grad like The Brain to figure this here mount has a good chance.
Vulnerable Contenders: #6 BOLD RALLY (ML=5/2), #3 WHATEVERYBODYWANTS (ML=9/2), #8 CHAS THE MAN (ML=8/1),
BOLD RALLY - This vulnerable equine hasn't been near the winner at the finish line recently. The speed figs are going downward. I'm not betting on this runner off of that trend. WHATEVERYBODYWANTS - In the last race this horse finished fourth. Doesn't look promising for his chances in today's event. Not probable that the fig he garnered on October 8th will hold up in this affair. CHAS THE MAN - Never really did much at all in the last race on October 25th. Hard to bet on today. Finished tenth in his most recent effort with a run-of-the-mill speed figure. When I look at today's Equibase class figure, it would take an improved performance to triumph after that in this group.
STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Play #4 BIG TOM PRADO to win if you can get odds of 7/2 or more
EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [1,4,7]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Box [1,4,7] Total Cost: $6
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
[1,4,7] with [1,4,7] with [1,4,5,7,8] with [1,4,5,7,8] Total Cost: $36
Woodbine Harness: Thursday 11/10 Analysis
By Garnet Barnsdale
DRF
MEET STATS: 0-0 / $0.00
BEST BETS: 0 – 0 / $0.00 SPOT PLAYS: 0 – 0 / $0.00
PICK 5: 4,6,9/2,6,8/4,7,8/4,9/2,4 = $21.60
EARLY PICK 4: 4,9/2,4/3,4,9/3,5,9 = $36
LATE PICK 4: 3,5,9/1/2,5,6/1,4,7,8 = $36
Best Bet: GEORGIES POCKETS (8th)
Spot Play: TANGO STAR (3rd)
Race 1
(9) MADDYS CREDIT took her only win here earlier in the year and showed keen interest late in her October 28th qualifier; call to upset. (4) SUNSET FILLY comes off a sharp win and although she will likely face a quicker early pace here, she's the one to beat. (6) COLLECTIVE WISDOM could last much longer near the front on this track. (10) THE CAMEL EXPRESS should be considered coming off a nice win, despite starting from the widest post.
Race 2
(8) GRACE DUHARAS drops from non-winners of three back to a very weak non-winners of two test here; top call. (2) LITTLE STUIE should fare much better starting from an inner post; using. (6) SECRETCODE HANOVER comes off a failed first-up bid and he could fare much better here off a trip. The trainer/driver jogged with a 19/1 shot on Monday night. (9) HILLS ANGEL is worth a look for the bottom of vertical bets; notice she has finished third more than 1/3 of the time this year.
Race 3
(4) TANGO STAR was getting to the winner late in the mile last week. Expect a more aggressive steer from this post. (7) THINK ON IT is on a roll and he showed some grit last week down the lane; using. (8) MAYFIELD DUKE was a good 2nd to a very sharp rival last time. He should be a threat from close range here. (10) MACH POWER doesn't need to do much to make the final probably after winning last week. I will try to beat him from the 10-hole here.
Race 4
(9) NOTETOSELF HANOVER won at a price two back when he worked out a great trip from an outer post. There are many slow leavers in here so he has a shot to repeat that trip. (4) PERSERVERANT bottomed out the field last week, but he isn't known for putting back-to-back good races together; your call. (1) NEW STANDARD is worth a look here landing in a claimer for the first time, which often provides a dramatic wake up. (8) IMSPORTY goes for Fellows off the claim and he could easily better this placing.
Race 5
(2) UNITED BI set some big early splits then held on last week. There is other speed in here, but he doesn't need the lead to win; slight nod. (4) WINDSUN MISSILE sat behind slow early fractions then was repelled late by a stubborn leader. He is a top contender here. (5) THE LAND SHARK gave the winner a scare last week and he should be considered here off that improved effort. (10) MISSION MAN seems likely for a smaller share.
Race 6
(9) SENIOR K is in by far the best form of his life and he should beat these if sent for position early from this post. (4) P L JACKSON has only missed the exacta twice all year and his late rally fell two steps short last week. He is the main danger. (3) JACK RACKHAM will likely look to sit a trip here and I always thought he races better as a stalker. Toss him in the tri. (1) SPEEDLING can get a good trip here and stay for a small slice.
Race 7
(3) HOMER RUN ships in and gets Davis. I'll take a stab here. (5) EAS IDEAL lost all hope at the start last time. Weller may have him fixed up here for the 2nd start out of his barn. (9) LYONS WILLIAM should be a speed threat here for Henry. (8) HES GONE BADDER is starting to get the look of a professional maiden but he should take a slice, as he usually does.
Race 8
(1) GEORGIES POCKETS trotted a middle 1/2 in 55 4/5 last week on his way to a big win. He is too sharp to bet against now. (4) MOONSTAR MISSION parlayed a soft trip on the engine into a solid win last week, but he will likely face more intense pressure earlier in the mile here. (8) MOSTINTERESTINGMAN is racing well and he is logical to hit the ticket. (7) JLS BAD MOON RISIN followed the choice last time and he was best of the rest. He should share here.
Race 9
(2) UF BETTORS HANOVER drops to the bottom here and he should get put into play early from a good post. (6) DREYDL HANOVER comes off a good qualifier and faces a mostly weak bunch here. He could surprise off a trip near the front. (5) SHADOW MARGEAUX blew up on the first turn last week. He can hit the ticket if he stays pacing this time. (8) DRAKE has a strong in-the-money record and is a good one to use on the bottom.
Race 10
(8) STIR AND SERVE has a great record racing out of town this year, is in good form and should bring a square price here. He can beat these if raced from close range. (1) CALGARY SEELSTER can set big fractions and keep chugging, which can be a major advantage on this track. (4) JAC SPADE does his best racing here and his form is improving; using. (7) TEA WITH MS MCGILL drops back down and he should wake up with a much better performance. (6) NEVER BEEN TOLD is always around the money and shouldn't be left off High-5 tickets.
By Garnet Barnsdale
DRF
MEET STATS: 0-0 / $0.00
BEST BETS: 0 – 0 / $0.00 SPOT PLAYS: 0 – 0 / $0.00
PICK 5: 4,6,9/2,6,8/4,7,8/4,9/2,4 = $21.60
EARLY PICK 4: 4,9/2,4/3,4,9/3,5,9 = $36
LATE PICK 4: 3,5,9/1/2,5,6/1,4,7,8 = $36
Best Bet: GEORGIES POCKETS (8th)
Spot Play: TANGO STAR (3rd)
Race 1
(9) MADDYS CREDIT took her only win here earlier in the year and showed keen interest late in her October 28th qualifier; call to upset. (4) SUNSET FILLY comes off a sharp win and although she will likely face a quicker early pace here, she's the one to beat. (6) COLLECTIVE WISDOM could last much longer near the front on this track. (10) THE CAMEL EXPRESS should be considered coming off a nice win, despite starting from the widest post.
Race 2
(8) GRACE DUHARAS drops from non-winners of three back to a very weak non-winners of two test here; top call. (2) LITTLE STUIE should fare much better starting from an inner post; using. (6) SECRETCODE HANOVER comes off a failed first-up bid and he could fare much better here off a trip. The trainer/driver jogged with a 19/1 shot on Monday night. (9) HILLS ANGEL is worth a look for the bottom of vertical bets; notice she has finished third more than 1/3 of the time this year.
Race 3
(4) TANGO STAR was getting to the winner late in the mile last week. Expect a more aggressive steer from this post. (7) THINK ON IT is on a roll and he showed some grit last week down the lane; using. (8) MAYFIELD DUKE was a good 2nd to a very sharp rival last time. He should be a threat from close range here. (10) MACH POWER doesn't need to do much to make the final probably after winning last week. I will try to beat him from the 10-hole here.
Race 4
(9) NOTETOSELF HANOVER won at a price two back when he worked out a great trip from an outer post. There are many slow leavers in here so he has a shot to repeat that trip. (4) PERSERVERANT bottomed out the field last week, but he isn't known for putting back-to-back good races together; your call. (1) NEW STANDARD is worth a look here landing in a claimer for the first time, which often provides a dramatic wake up. (8) IMSPORTY goes for Fellows off the claim and he could easily better this placing.
Race 5
(2) UNITED BI set some big early splits then held on last week. There is other speed in here, but he doesn't need the lead to win; slight nod. (4) WINDSUN MISSILE sat behind slow early fractions then was repelled late by a stubborn leader. He is a top contender here. (5) THE LAND SHARK gave the winner a scare last week and he should be considered here off that improved effort. (10) MISSION MAN seems likely for a smaller share.
Race 6
(9) SENIOR K is in by far the best form of his life and he should beat these if sent for position early from this post. (4) P L JACKSON has only missed the exacta twice all year and his late rally fell two steps short last week. He is the main danger. (3) JACK RACKHAM will likely look to sit a trip here and I always thought he races better as a stalker. Toss him in the tri. (1) SPEEDLING can get a good trip here and stay for a small slice.
Race 7
(3) HOMER RUN ships in and gets Davis. I'll take a stab here. (5) EAS IDEAL lost all hope at the start last time. Weller may have him fixed up here for the 2nd start out of his barn. (9) LYONS WILLIAM should be a speed threat here for Henry. (8) HES GONE BADDER is starting to get the look of a professional maiden but he should take a slice, as he usually does.
Race 8
(1) GEORGIES POCKETS trotted a middle 1/2 in 55 4/5 last week on his way to a big win. He is too sharp to bet against now. (4) MOONSTAR MISSION parlayed a soft trip on the engine into a solid win last week, but he will likely face more intense pressure earlier in the mile here. (8) MOSTINTERESTINGMAN is racing well and he is logical to hit the ticket. (7) JLS BAD MOON RISIN followed the choice last time and he was best of the rest. He should share here.
Race 9
(2) UF BETTORS HANOVER drops to the bottom here and he should get put into play early from a good post. (6) DREYDL HANOVER comes off a good qualifier and faces a mostly weak bunch here. He could surprise off a trip near the front. (5) SHADOW MARGEAUX blew up on the first turn last week. He can hit the ticket if he stays pacing this time. (8) DRAKE has a strong in-the-money record and is a good one to use on the bottom.
Race 10
(8) STIR AND SERVE has a great record racing out of town this year, is in good form and should bring a square price here. He can beat these if raced from close range. (1) CALGARY SEELSTER can set big fractions and keep chugging, which can be a major advantage on this track. (4) JAC SPADE does his best racing here and his form is improving; using. (7) TEA WITH MS MCGILL drops back down and he should wake up with a much better performance. (6) NEVER BEEN TOLD is always around the money and shouldn't be left off High-5 tickets.
Woodbine Harness: Thursday 11/10 Analysis
By Garnet Barnsdale
DRF
MEET STATS: 0-0 / $0.00
BEST BETS: 0 – 0 / $0.00 SPOT PLAYS: 0 – 0 / $0.00
PICK 5: 4,6,9/2,6,8/4,7,8/4,9/2,4 = $21.60
EARLY PICK 4: 4,9/2,4/3,4,9/3,5,9 = $36
LATE PICK 4: 3,5,9/1/2,5,6/1,4,7,8 = $36
Best Bet: GEORGIES POCKETS (8th)
Spot Play: TANGO STAR (3rd)
Race 1
(9) MADDYS CREDIT took her only win here earlier in the year and showed keen interest late in her October 28th qualifier; call to upset. (4) SUNSET FILLY comes off a sharp win and although she will likely face a quicker early pace here, she's the one to beat. (6) COLLECTIVE WISDOM could last much longer near the front on this track. (10) THE CAMEL EXPRESS should be considered coming off a nice win, despite starting from the widest post.
Race 2
(8) GRACE DUHARAS drops from non-winners of three back to a very weak non-winners of two test here; top call. (2) LITTLE STUIE should fare much better starting from an inner post; using. (6) SECRETCODE HANOVER comes off a failed first-up bid and he could fare much better here off a trip. The trainer/driver jogged with a 19/1 shot on Monday night. (9) HILLS ANGEL is worth a look for the bottom of vertical bets; notice she has finished third more than 1/3 of the time this year.
Race 3
(4) TANGO STAR was getting to the winner late in the mile last week. Expect a more aggressive steer from this post. (7) THINK ON IT is on a roll and he showed some grit last week down the lane; using. (8) MAYFIELD DUKE was a good 2nd to a very sharp rival last time. He should be a threat from close range here. (10) MACH POWER doesn't need to do much to make the final probably after winning last week. I will try to beat him from the 10-hole here.
Race 4
(9) NOTETOSELF HANOVER won at a price two back when he worked out a great trip from an outer post. There are many slow leavers in here so he has a shot to repeat that trip. (4) PERSERVERANT bottomed out the field last week, but he isn't known for putting back-to-back good races together; your call. (1) NEW STANDARD is worth a look here landing in a claimer for the first time, which often provides a dramatic wake up. (8) IMSPORTY goes for Fellows off the claim and he could easily better this placing.
Race 5
(2) UNITED BI set some big early splits then held on last week. There is other speed in here, but he doesn't need the lead to win; slight nod. (4) WINDSUN MISSILE sat behind slow early fractions then was repelled late by a stubborn leader. He is a top contender here. (5) THE LAND SHARK gave the winner a scare last week and he should be considered here off that improved effort. (10) MISSION MAN seems likely for a smaller share.
Race 6
(9) SENIOR K is in by far the best form of his life and he should beat these if sent for position early from this post. (4) P L JACKSON has only missed the exacta twice all year and his late rally fell two steps short last week. He is the main danger. (3) JACK RACKHAM will likely look to sit a trip here and I always thought he races better as a stalker. Toss him in the tri. (1) SPEEDLING can get a good trip here and stay for a small slice.
Race 7
(3) HOMER RUN ships in and gets Davis. I'll take a stab here. (5) EAS IDEAL lost all hope at the start last time. Weller may have him fixed up here for the 2nd start out of his barn. (9) LYONS WILLIAM should be a speed threat here for Henry. (8) HES GONE BADDER is starting to get the look of a professional maiden but he should take a slice, as he usually does.
Race 8
(1) GEORGIES POCKETS trotted a middle 1/2 in 55 4/5 last week on his way to a big win. He is too sharp to bet against now. (4) MOONSTAR MISSION parlayed a soft trip on the engine into a solid win last week, but he will likely face more intense pressure earlier in the mile here. (8) MOSTINTERESTINGMAN is racing well and he is logical to hit the ticket. (7) JLS BAD MOON RISIN followed the choice last time and he was best of the rest. He should share here.
Race 9
(2) UF BETTORS HANOVER drops to the bottom here and he should get put into play early from a good post. (6) DREYDL HANOVER comes off a good qualifier and faces a mostly weak bunch here. He could surprise off a trip near the front. (5) SHADOW MARGEAUX blew up on the first turn last week. He can hit the ticket if he stays pacing this time. (8) DRAKE has a strong in-the-money record and is a good one to use on the bottom.
Race 10
(8) STIR AND SERVE has a great record racing out of town this year, is in good form and should bring a square price here. He can beat these if raced from close range. (1) CALGARY SEELSTER can set big fractions and keep chugging, which can be a major advantage on this track. (4) JAC SPADE does his best racing here and his form is improving; using. (7) TEA WITH MS MCGILL drops back down and he should wake up with a much better performance. (6) NEVER BEEN TOLD is always around the money and shouldn't be left off High-5 tickets.
By Garnet Barnsdale
DRF
MEET STATS: 0-0 / $0.00
BEST BETS: 0 – 0 / $0.00 SPOT PLAYS: 0 – 0 / $0.00
PICK 5: 4,6,9/2,6,8/4,7,8/4,9/2,4 = $21.60
EARLY PICK 4: 4,9/2,4/3,4,9/3,5,9 = $36
LATE PICK 4: 3,5,9/1/2,5,6/1,4,7,8 = $36
Best Bet: GEORGIES POCKETS (8th)
Spot Play: TANGO STAR (3rd)
Race 1
(9) MADDYS CREDIT took her only win here earlier in the year and showed keen interest late in her October 28th qualifier; call to upset. (4) SUNSET FILLY comes off a sharp win and although she will likely face a quicker early pace here, she's the one to beat. (6) COLLECTIVE WISDOM could last much longer near the front on this track. (10) THE CAMEL EXPRESS should be considered coming off a nice win, despite starting from the widest post.
Race 2
(8) GRACE DUHARAS drops from non-winners of three back to a very weak non-winners of two test here; top call. (2) LITTLE STUIE should fare much better starting from an inner post; using. (6) SECRETCODE HANOVER comes off a failed first-up bid and he could fare much better here off a trip. The trainer/driver jogged with a 19/1 shot on Monday night. (9) HILLS ANGEL is worth a look for the bottom of vertical bets; notice she has finished third more than 1/3 of the time this year.
Race 3
(4) TANGO STAR was getting to the winner late in the mile last week. Expect a more aggressive steer from this post. (7) THINK ON IT is on a roll and he showed some grit last week down the lane; using. (8) MAYFIELD DUKE was a good 2nd to a very sharp rival last time. He should be a threat from close range here. (10) MACH POWER doesn't need to do much to make the final probably after winning last week. I will try to beat him from the 10-hole here.
Race 4
(9) NOTETOSELF HANOVER won at a price two back when he worked out a great trip from an outer post. There are many slow leavers in here so he has a shot to repeat that trip. (4) PERSERVERANT bottomed out the field last week, but he isn't known for putting back-to-back good races together; your call. (1) NEW STANDARD is worth a look here landing in a claimer for the first time, which often provides a dramatic wake up. (8) IMSPORTY goes for Fellows off the claim and he could easily better this placing.
Race 5
(2) UNITED BI set some big early splits then held on last week. There is other speed in here, but he doesn't need the lead to win; slight nod. (4) WINDSUN MISSILE sat behind slow early fractions then was repelled late by a stubborn leader. He is a top contender here. (5) THE LAND SHARK gave the winner a scare last week and he should be considered here off that improved effort. (10) MISSION MAN seems likely for a smaller share.
Race 6
(9) SENIOR K is in by far the best form of his life and he should beat these if sent for position early from this post. (4) P L JACKSON has only missed the exacta twice all year and his late rally fell two steps short last week. He is the main danger. (3) JACK RACKHAM will likely look to sit a trip here and I always thought he races better as a stalker. Toss him in the tri. (1) SPEEDLING can get a good trip here and stay for a small slice.
Race 7
(3) HOMER RUN ships in and gets Davis. I'll take a stab here. (5) EAS IDEAL lost all hope at the start last time. Weller may have him fixed up here for the 2nd start out of his barn. (9) LYONS WILLIAM should be a speed threat here for Henry. (8) HES GONE BADDER is starting to get the look of a professional maiden but he should take a slice, as he usually does.
Race 8
(1) GEORGIES POCKETS trotted a middle 1/2 in 55 4/5 last week on his way to a big win. He is too sharp to bet against now. (4) MOONSTAR MISSION parlayed a soft trip on the engine into a solid win last week, but he will likely face more intense pressure earlier in the mile here. (8) MOSTINTERESTINGMAN is racing well and he is logical to hit the ticket. (7) JLS BAD MOON RISIN followed the choice last time and he was best of the rest. He should share here.
Race 9
(2) UF BETTORS HANOVER drops to the bottom here and he should get put into play early from a good post. (6) DREYDL HANOVER comes off a good qualifier and faces a mostly weak bunch here. He could surprise off a trip near the front. (5) SHADOW MARGEAUX blew up on the first turn last week. He can hit the ticket if he stays pacing this time. (8) DRAKE has a strong in-the-money record and is a good one to use on the bottom.
Race 10
(8) STIR AND SERVE has a great record racing out of town this year, is in good form and should bring a square price here. He can beat these if raced from close range. (1) CALGARY SEELSTER can set big fractions and keep chugging, which can be a major advantage on this track. (4) JAC SPADE does his best racing here and his form is improving; using. (7) TEA WITH MS MCGILL drops back down and he should wake up with a much better performance. (6) NEVER BEEN TOLD is always around the money and shouldn't be left off High-5 tickets.
Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts
Aqueduct - Race #4 - Post: 1:47pm - Maiden Special - 8.5 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $60,000 Class Rating: 96
Rating:
#2 SPORT (ML=8/1)
#6 ALSINAAFY (IRE) (ML=2/1)
#9 REDISCOVER (ML=15/1)
SPORT - Ortiz and Bond perform well when they combine forces. It's hard to beat a +100 return on investment for a jock and trainer. I seem to always make money betting Bond horses on the grass. That barn has a dominant win pct for this distance/surface. ALSINAAFY (IRE) - Castellano is back for another race today after sitting atop this horse for the first time on Sep 25th and ought to know the ropes to this one a little better. I seem to always make money betting Brown horses on the grass. That barn has a powerful win pct for this distance/surface. Equibase speed figs on the turf point to this thoroughbred as a legit contender. Has the best in the field for this dist/surf. Running 1 1/16 miles on the turf, you've have to look at horse's turf figures. This thoroughbred has the tops in the bunch. REDISCOVER - Ortiz and Jacobson perform well when they partner up. Hard to top a winning percentage of 33. You have to consider this race horse in today's event. He has been claimed out of his last two events.
Vulnerable Contenders: #8 WINNING ROAD (ML=8/5), #4 THREE PERFECTIONS (ML=5/2), #1 L'ANGE BLEU (GER) (ML=5/1),
WINNING ROAD - Doesn't seem to have enough good aspects to justify the reward. THREE PERFECTIONS - I'm predicting a lackluster go of it out of him this time around. L'ANGE BLEU (GER) - Will be hard for this mount to beat this field off of that last speed rating. Unlikely to improve enough to run a figure close enough to today's class figure, so put him on the questionable challengers list.
GUEST COMMENTARY: The Turf Man - SPORT - This racer, posting the top average class figure, figures to give these thoroughbreds a run for their money.
*
*
STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Bet on #2 SPORT to win if you can get at least 7/2 odds
EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [2,6,9]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Box [2,6,9] Total Cost: $6
Aqueduct - Race #4 - Post: 1:47pm - Maiden Special - 8.5 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $60,000 Class Rating: 96
Rating:
#2 SPORT (ML=8/1)
#6 ALSINAAFY (IRE) (ML=2/1)
#9 REDISCOVER (ML=15/1)
SPORT - Ortiz and Bond perform well when they combine forces. It's hard to beat a +100 return on investment for a jock and trainer. I seem to always make money betting Bond horses on the grass. That barn has a dominant win pct for this distance/surface. ALSINAAFY (IRE) - Castellano is back for another race today after sitting atop this horse for the first time on Sep 25th and ought to know the ropes to this one a little better. I seem to always make money betting Brown horses on the grass. That barn has a powerful win pct for this distance/surface. Equibase speed figs on the turf point to this thoroughbred as a legit contender. Has the best in the field for this dist/surf. Running 1 1/16 miles on the turf, you've have to look at horse's turf figures. This thoroughbred has the tops in the bunch. REDISCOVER - Ortiz and Jacobson perform well when they partner up. Hard to top a winning percentage of 33. You have to consider this race horse in today's event. He has been claimed out of his last two events.
Vulnerable Contenders: #8 WINNING ROAD (ML=8/5), #4 THREE PERFECTIONS (ML=5/2), #1 L'ANGE BLEU (GER) (ML=5/1),
WINNING ROAD - Doesn't seem to have enough good aspects to justify the reward. THREE PERFECTIONS - I'm predicting a lackluster go of it out of him this time around. L'ANGE BLEU (GER) - Will be hard for this mount to beat this field off of that last speed rating. Unlikely to improve enough to run a figure close enough to today's class figure, so put him on the questionable challengers list.
GUEST COMMENTARY: The Turf Man - SPORT - This racer, posting the top average class figure, figures to give these thoroughbreds a run for their money.
*
*
STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Bet on #2 SPORT to win if you can get at least 7/2 odds
EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [2,6,9]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Box [2,6,9] Total Cost: $6
Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Rosecroft Raceway
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 1 - Post: 6:40 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 74 - Purse:$6000 - MARYLAND PREFERRED FILLIES & MARES NW $2,500
CONSORTIUM*CHOICES
# 9 BONNIE BEN JAMIN 9/2
# 6 POWERFUL HONEY 3/1
# 5 QUIK TO FOOL YOU 9/2
Really keen on the chance of BONNIE BEN JAMIN taking down the winner's share for this one. Horoscope said take a chance today, this standardbred is as good as any to take a shot with. This horse has a nose for the wire, just look at her better than average win pct. POWERFUL HONEY - Earned a 69 TrackMaster Speed Rating in last race. A duplicate race here should get the win here. Overall percentages look good. Can't throw her out of the picture. QUIK TO FOOL YOU - Been going to post with some tougher customers of late, has a distinct class advantage. (Average Rating 76). Very good driver-trainer, winning 20 percent of the time. Could be a strong wager.
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 1 - Post: 6:40 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 74 - Purse:$6000 - MARYLAND PREFERRED FILLIES & MARES NW $2,500
CONSORTIUM*CHOICES
# 9 BONNIE BEN JAMIN 9/2
# 6 POWERFUL HONEY 3/1
# 5 QUIK TO FOOL YOU 9/2
Really keen on the chance of BONNIE BEN JAMIN taking down the winner's share for this one. Horoscope said take a chance today, this standardbred is as good as any to take a shot with. This horse has a nose for the wire, just look at her better than average win pct. POWERFUL HONEY - Earned a 69 TrackMaster Speed Rating in last race. A duplicate race here should get the win here. Overall percentages look good. Can't throw her out of the picture. QUIK TO FOOL YOU - Been going to post with some tougher customers of late, has a distinct class advantage. (Average Rating 76). Very good driver-trainer, winning 20 percent of the time. Could be a strong wager.
SPOT PLAYS
For Thursday
TRACK (RACE) HORSE, MORNING LINE
Aqueduct (5th) Sea Pebble, 3-1
(6th) Same Kinda Crazy, 8-1
Charles Town (4th) Flash Tips, 9-2
(5th) Windsor's Song, 7-2
Churchill Downs (5th) Mister Pippit, 3-1
(8th) Miss Coco, 6-1
Delta Downs (3rd) Roger Brown, 3-1
(5th) Outoftheballpark, 4-1
Finger Lakes (2nd) Pie's First Lady, 5-1
(4th) Jordy, 5-1
Golden Gate Fields (1st) Sweet Moment, 3-1
(5th) Contessa B., 6-1
Gulfstream Park West (5th) Adagio, 7-2
(7th) Dungeness, 6-1
Hawthorne (3rd) Whateverybodywants, 9-2
(6th) Somali Byrd, 7-2
Penn National (2nd) Mischief Music, 4-1
(4th) Our Carly, 4-1
Remington Park (2nd) Hall of Fame, 6-1
(5th) Ptaha, 4-1
For Thursday
TRACK (RACE) HORSE, MORNING LINE
Aqueduct (5th) Sea Pebble, 3-1
(6th) Same Kinda Crazy, 8-1
Charles Town (4th) Flash Tips, 9-2
(5th) Windsor's Song, 7-2
Churchill Downs (5th) Mister Pippit, 3-1
(8th) Miss Coco, 6-1
Delta Downs (3rd) Roger Brown, 3-1
(5th) Outoftheballpark, 4-1
Finger Lakes (2nd) Pie's First Lady, 5-1
(4th) Jordy, 5-1
Golden Gate Fields (1st) Sweet Moment, 3-1
(5th) Contessa B., 6-1
Gulfstream Park West (5th) Adagio, 7-2
(7th) Dungeness, 6-1
Hawthorne (3rd) Whateverybodywants, 9-2
(6th) Somali Byrd, 7-2
Penn National (2nd) Mischief Music, 4-1
(4th) Our Carly, 4-1
Remington Park (2nd) Hall of Fame, 6-1
(5th) Ptaha, 4-1
