Horse Racing 11-1-16

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Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Monticello Raceway

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 1 - Post: 12:25 - 1 mile. TROT - Class Rating: 74 - Purse:$2700 - NW $225 P/S L/5 OR P/S IN 2016 $4800 P/C L/S AE: $4000 CLM W/A AE: N/W 4 PM LT
CONSORTIUM*CHOICES

# 2 SHOWING OFF 9/2
# 5 WHATA HUSTLER 5/2
# 3 STORMONT LANCELOT 5/1

After thorough analysis by the wagering panel, SHOWING OFF comes out as the top contender. His 75 avg has this gelding among the strongest TrackMaster Speed Ratings in this one. Has a strong shot in this event, if he can perform to his back racing class. Considered a solid wager based solely on his high win figure. WHATA HUSTLER - Many top players will recognize the exemplary TrackMaster Speed Rating in the last gathering. Stacks up against any horse in this field of horses. The trainer Lappe has a way with this gelding, regularly cashing in their races. STORMONT LANCELOT - Composite pace figures say this competition should shape up nicely for this gelding. Looking for a big effort. This horse has a nose for the wire, just look at his better than average win percentage.

 

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Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Yonkers Raceway

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 1 - Post: 1:00 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 83 - Purse:$10500 - F& M NON-WINNERS OF $7,500 IN LAST 5 STARTS WINNERS OVER $47,500 IN 2016 NOT ELIGIBLE. AE. OPTIONAL CLAIMING ALLOWANCE $15,000 AE. OPTIONAL CLAIMING ALLOWANCE $12,500 DRAWN INSIDE #5 CLARA BEA IS SCRATCHED JUDGES.
CONSORTIUM*CHOICES

# 3 GINGER TREE ALEXIS 2/1
# 5 CLARA BEA N/A
# 1 JOKES JET 12/1

GINGER TREE ALEXIS has a competitive shot to take this race. Might be there at a decent price tag. Very likely one to keep in your exotics. Running very well, recorded a bang-up TrackMaster Speed Rating in her last competition (78). This standardbred will have to be a wager, based on the very good driver/handler win stat. CLARA BEA - Should be in the hunt again this time, looking to add to that already high lifetime winning percentage. This solid standardbred looks tough considering the high class numbers. Don't throw out of any exotics. JOKES JET - Pace makes the race is a favorite saying of this knowledge group. Pace stats here point to a very strong play.

 

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Handicapped by The Walker Group at Mahoning Valley Race Course

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 8 - Claiming - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $8100 Class Rating: 89

FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON THREE RACES SINCE NOVEMBER 1. THREE YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE OCTOBER 1 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $4,000 OHIO REGISTERED FOALS PREFERRED).


RECOMMENDED*CHOICES


# 9 DRAGO'S BEST 5/2

# 3 MISTERBULLTOYOU 12/1

# 8 PROPER TOUCH 7/2

DRAGO'S BEST looks like the bet in here. Could best this field here, showing very strong figures of late. Always good to invest in a handler with this kind of competitive win percentage - 17 percent - at this distance & surface. Yaranga will probably be able to get this gelding to break out quickly for this event. MISTERBULLTOYOU - Puhl has well above average gains at this distance/surface. Should definitely be carefully examined in this event if only for the very good speed rating garnered in the last contest. PROPER TOUCH - Has solid Equibase Class Figures relative to this group of horses in this race - worth a look. Has to be given a chance versus this field displaying formidable figs as of late and an average speed figure of 78 under similar conditions.

 

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Handicapped by The Walker Group at Portland Meadows

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 10 - Claiming - 8.3f on the Dirt. Purse: $5400 Class Rating: 78

FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE AUGUST 1 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $3,200.


RECOMMENDED*CHOICES


# 9 MR. TENACIOUS 5/2

# 8 WORK WITH ME 7/2

# 10 UNCORK IT 6/1

MR. TENACIOUS looks to be the bet in here. Is a solid contender based on figs posted as of late under today's conditions. Matias has been scorching the last month, winning at a nifty 21 percent rate. Must be given a shot - I like the figs from the last outing. WORK WITH ME - Will almost certainly go to the lead and should never look back. Shows formidable Equibase Speed Figs on average overall when measured up against the rest of this field. UNCORK IT - This gelding obviously likes the distance, going 1 for 5 in his races as of late. It's a good signal that Fergason is using Rosales on this horse.

 

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Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Mountaineer Park - Race #3 - Post: 7:44pm - Maiden Special - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $14,100 Class Rating: 61

Rating:

#1 AMANDA MARIE (ML=5/2)
#7 BEAR'S AND BELLE'S (ML=8/1)


AMANDA MARIE - Parker and Clouston perform well when they join forces. Tough to top a win percent of 37. Note that although this filly finished in the place spot in her last race, she was well in front of the third place horse. This is a classic positive angle. The 61 latest race speed fig looks sound in black and white. BEAR'S AND BELLE'S - This filly finished well ahead of the show horse on October 17th. Those horses tend to run well next time out. Sipp brings her back again. I recommend you stick with this hot filly.

Vulnerable Contenders: #3 MISS SAMMY (ML=2/1), #2 SPOOFY DOO (ML=3/1), #5 LA INDIA ANACAONA (ML=5/1),

MISS SAMMY - I'd like to see more hospitable recent efforts with morning line odds of 2/1. No good fortune for this mount in a short distance contest over the last couple of months tells me that this filly is in a thorny spot SPOOFY DOO - If she goes off at the M/L odds of 3/1, I'll have to pass. LA INDIA ANACAONA - No triumphs for this pony at Mountaineer Park. This entrant likes to be on the board, but doesn't usually finish first. Don't put in the top spot.


STRAIGHT WAGERS:

Play #1 AMANDA MARIE to win if you can get odds of 7/5 or more

EXACTA WAGERS:

Box [1,7]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:

None

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:

None

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Mahoning Valley Race Course - Race #3 - Post: 1:40pm - Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $14,400 Class Rating: 65

Rating:

#11 IAMACONGATOO (ML=9/2)
#4 JOHANNAH JO (ML=5/1)
#2 OHIO SILVER (ML=8/1)


IAMACONGATOO - This rider and trainer's animals have been producing a positive return on investment. Zielinski brings this mare back into a race rather than a workout. He knows his mare is on top of her game. Look for this mare to run a lot better today. Last affair at Thistledown finishing sixth on a track listed as good is no indication of her true ability. Looking at today's Equibase class figure, this pony is up against an easier bunch than last time around the track at Thistledown. JOHANNAH JO - Took a class drop last race out at Thistledown. Balo - Williams keeps her at the same level right here in this race. I think that's a good move. OHIO SILVER - I really like that recent outing on Oct 10th at Thistledown where she ran first. The jockey and trainer combination here have a high win percentage when they team up. Recent Equibase speed figures show strong pattern of improvement. I like the case that this filly's last speed fig, 64, is tops in this bunch.

Vulnerable Contenders: #5 HOLIDAY WEEKEND (ML=7/2), #10 MISS MICHELLE LYNN (ML=6/1),

HOLIDAY WEEKEND - The probable favorite is vulnerable here with the lack of morning blow outs. Disappointing speed rating last out at Thistledown at 5 1/2 furlongs. Don't believe this vulnerable equine will improve too much in today's race. MISS MICHELLE LYNN - Just cannot play this less than sharp equine. Didn't show me anything last out or on Sep 18th.



STRAIGHT WAGERS:

#11 IAMACONGATOO is the play if we get odds of 9/5 or better

EXACTA WAGERS:

11 with [2,4]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:

Box [2,4,11] Total Cost: $6

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:

Skip

 

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SPOT PLAYS

For Tuesday

TRACK (RACE) HORSE, MORNING LINE

Finger Lakes (4th) The Undersheriff, 7-2
(7th) Spence Girl, 6-1


Mahoning Valley (2nd) Aristocrat Again, 10-1
(7th) Warren's Cracker, 3-1


Mountaineer (4th) Freedom Peace Love, 3-1
(9th) Wynn the Roses, 6-1


Parx Racing (2nd) Secret Secret, 6-1
(7th) Red Razzo, 5-1

 

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Yonkers: Tuesday 11/1 Analysis
By Derick Giwner

DRF

MEET STATS: 0 - 0 / $0.00

Best Bet: SOUTHERN CROSS (10th)

Spot Play: RANCOUSY (6th)


Race 1

(3) GINGER TREE ALEXIS is now in the high percentage Tom Milici barn. Four-year-old mare has proven to be fast in the past and can tap into that ability. (7) NEW YORK KITTY steps up to face better foes here, but is plenty sharp and gets helped by the scratch of #5 so she can move in a spot on the gate. (1) JOKES JET won at first asking on the barn and venue change; certainly capable.

Race 2

(1) FANCY DESIRE went down the road in this class on Friday and gets a free ride again because she dropped in before the win. (2) AMERICAN ALIVE should be able to follow the top pick away and receive a comfy pocket trip. (6) SUMMER SNOW also comes off a win at this level. Classy veteran is always capable but often inconsistent.

Race 3

(5) DREAMLANDS ART has been racing evenly versus better foes and finally gets much needed class relief. I don’t love his form, but he has plenty of back class to tap into. (7) KIWI IDEAL N gets to drop down off a win; clear contender despite outside post. (2) FRANCOHARRINGTON N dropped to this level a week ago but was stuck outside. Starting from post two this week could make a big difference.

Race 4

(3) FLEM N EM N won in this class last week to boost his career earnings over $750K. Eleven-year-old has lost a step or two but should be able to dig down deep for a second straight score. (2) COOPER COAST A gets an interesting trainer change to Richard Banca considering ownership seems to remain intact; eligible to improve. (5) GOOD DAY MATE hasn’t been able to win very often but should get into the number somewhere.

Race 5

(2) CLASSIC AMERICAN N closed well in his North American debut and now gets a hint of class relief in start two. I wouldn’t say this is an easy spot, but he should fit nicely. (3) IDEAL FASHION picked up a win for a $20K tag last week and strangely drops into a lower conditioned event; obvious player. (7) LETTUCERIPRITA A has been in some difficult spots out of town and wouldn’t be a complete shock in this spot.

Race 6

(1) RANCOUSY raced evenly from the back of the pack in his first start since the beginning of June. Starting from the inside this week, I’m expecting to see early speed and a much better performance. (5) ILIKETHEMTRASHY beat lesser three starts back and was rewarded with two outside posts in this class. Moving in a few spots on the gate could lead to better results today. (6) YIPPITY HANOVER is certainly down in class and has won over the track in the past.

Race 7

(5) STONEBRIDGE COMBAT has been up against it facing older foes in recent starts. Sophomore gets in against a group closer to his age and could take them down the road. (1) MADMAN HALL has finished second or third in half of his 30 starts this year and should be sitting in close attendance starting from post one. (6) TRIUMPHANT’S CHIP raced okay in his debut for this barn; improvement very possible. (9) DOUBLEDAY qualified okay in his first start since August; big driver change.

Race 8

(9) GLOBAL REVOLUTION has morphed into a new horse since adding Lasix; riding the wave here. (4) ZETTE STARLET is another on a roll of late and with her early speed she could be controlling the race; must use. (5) TIGHT LINES has been doing good work in minor stakes. He should bring his usual honest effort to the track.

Race 9

(3) DRAZZMATAZZ finds an extremely soft spot this week and gets a big driver change to Scott Zeron. (1) PERFECRT ROAD was done in by an early mistake last time and can makes amends. (8) CANDY LANE put in an improved effort last time and might be ready to turn a corner.

Race 10

(2) SOUTHERN CROSS blasted down the road as the heavy chalk in his last appearance here at this level; huge class relief. (4) EMERALD CHIP comes off an improved try in his second start for this barn. Trainer sent out an impressive winner here Sunday. (3) WINDSONG LUXURY has been chasing nicely of late and should get into the exotics somewhere.

Race 11

(8) ILL HAVE ANOTHER has posted two even efforts from outside posts since moving into the Melander barn. Three-year-old is stuck with a bad draw again but faces a blank field and might just be able to overcome. (2) TOUGH GET GOING flashed speed and weakened late last time. He is probably the horse to beat. (7) MANHATTAN AS qualified back well enough; huge player in this spot.