Horse Racing 10-26-16

Search
Joined
May 19, 2007
Messages
205,324
Tokens
Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Northfield Park

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 10 - Post: 9:00 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 77 - Purse:$6800 - NON WINNERS $4000 IN LAST 5 STARTS THAT ARE N/W $40,000 IN 2016. NO. 9 STARTS FROM 2ND TIER NORTHFIELD
CONSORTIUM*CHOICES

# 5 CAMART HANOVER 20/1
# 6 DOWN N DIRTY 8/1
# 2 WINTER CRUISE 9/2

The consensus today is that CAMART HANOVER is the one to beat and the payoff could be huge based on that 20/1 morning line. Cannot put a finger on it, but support this gelding for a wager. DOWN N DIRTY - Exhibits the look of a profitable play, averaging a nifty 78 TrackMaster Speed Rating. A formidable class horse shouldn't be be glossed over. With an avg class figure of 80 all signs say this is the one to beat. WINTER CRUISE - Could more than likely handle this group given the 79 TrackMaster Speed Rating recorded in his most recent race.
 
Joined
May 19, 2007
Messages
205,324
Tokens
Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Monticello Raceway

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 4 - Post: 1:56 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 65 - Purse:$3300 - SIX YEAR OLDS AND UNDER NW 2 PM
CONSORTIUM*CHOICES

# 2 JL BILL 5/2
# 5 JOE SAYS GO 7/2
# 4 INTERMIX 8/1

JL BILL is the most respectable play in this race. Has the makings of a profitable play, averaging a rather good 71 TrackMaster Speed Rating. The panel of smart guys gives this race horse a nice chance to take this race, class rankings are tops in the field. Could be considered in this event if only for the respectable TrackMaster SR recorded in the most recent race. JOE SAYS GO - Cannot put a finger on it, but strongly consider this gelding for a wager. INTERMIX - The 68 average class statistic may give this gelding a distinct edge in the bunch.
 
Joined
May 19, 2007
Messages
205,324
Tokens
Handicapped by The Walker Group at Keeneland

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 6 - Allowance - 8.5f on the Turf. Purse: $62000 Class Rating: 84

FOR FILLIES TWO YEARS OLD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. WEIGHT, 122 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF $24,600 AT A MILE OR OVER ON THE TURF ALLOWED 2 LBS. $21,000 AT A MILE OR OVER ALLOWED 4 LBS. IN THE EVENT THAT THIS RACE IS TAKEN OFF THE TURF IT WILL BE CONTESTED AT ONE MILE AND ONE-SIXTEENTH ON THE MAIN TRACK.


RECOMMENDED*CHOICES


# 1 PARTY BOAT 4/1

# 2 PRICE TOO HIGH 3/1

# 8 SENORA ACERO 5/1

I think PARTY BOAT is a very strong choice. She has garnered very good numbers under today's conditions and will probably fare well versus this group. She has been racing strongly lately while recording solid Equibase speed figs. The Equibase Speed Fig of 82 from her last affair looks formidable in here. PRICE TOO HIGH - Going in a turf route race gives this filly a decent shot. Has recorded solid speed figures in turf route races in the past.
 
Joined
May 19, 2007
Messages
205,324
Tokens
Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Charles Town - Race #8 - Post: 10:15pm - Claiming - 6.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $10,000 Class Rating: 75

Rating:

#11 INDUSTRY LEADER (ML=3/1)
#6 HARDENED WILDCAT (ML=7/2)


INDUSTRY LEADER - Was in a $7,500 Claiming race at Parx Racing last time out. That race had a class number of 87 and he is moving down in today's race. A certain strong challenger. Gelding took a little vacation, but has been racing into shape. HARDENED WILDCAT - It looks like Batista had to be in the know about this gelding on Oct 7th when riding him for the initial time. Back on again today. I like to wager on this handicapping angle, a racer coming back off a sharp contest within the last 30 days. I like this gelding. Has the uppermost earnings per start in this event. I think that a sprinter coming off a layoff will usually run his best in the 3rd or 4th start back.

Vulnerable Contenders: #7 THE REVEREND JAMES (ML=5/2), #5 EMPOWERING FORCE (ML=4/1), #12 TENS WILD (ML=9/2),

THE REVEREND JAMES - Tough to bet on a horse that loses so frequently. Speed kills. Plenty of speed in this affair compromises this animal's efforts. EMPOWERING FORCE - The Brain always warns me to keep my distance from ponies in sprint races that haven't hit the board in short distance contests recently. Tough to bet on any mount like this that didn't finish in the money after the long turnout and comes right back. This horse just hasn't looked sharp of late. TENS WILD - Didn't look so good last time. Probably won't do much running today. Should be difficult for this horse to beat this field off of that last speed figure. Unlikely to improve enough to run a figure anywhere near today's class rating, so put him on the likely underpriced contenders list.



STRAIGHT WAGERS:

Have to go with #11 INDUSTRY LEADER on the win end if we get at least 7/5 odds

EXACTA WAGERS:

Box [6,11]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:

11 with 6 with [7,9,12] Total Cost: $3

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:

None
 
Joined
May 19, 2007
Messages
205,324
Tokens
Handicapped by The Walker Group at Camarero Race Track

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 2 - Maiden Claiming - 8.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $5750 Class Rating: 38

FOR NATIVE MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 118 LBS.; OLDER, 120 LBS. CLASIFICADOS EN $3,500 Y DEBUTANTES ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $3,500.


RECOMMENDED*CHOICES


# 2 SALADO'SGIRLFRIEND 15/1

# 4 CORONADO BELLE 2/1

# 1 TWINS MIRACLE 3/1

SALADO'SGIRLFRIEND looks competitive to best this group of horses and is a very strong value-based wager given the 15/1 line. Has been running well lately and will almost certainly be on or close to the lead early on. Navarro has sharp numbers that point to this filly to be a strong contender. The class figure of today's race is much lower than her last race. CORONADO BELLE - This filly ought to be considered just off the earnings per start in dirt route events alone. Robles will most likely be able to get this filly to break out quickly in this race.
 
Joined
May 19, 2007
Messages
205,324
Tokens
Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Woodbine - Race #5 - Post: 8:47pm - Maiden Claiming - 6.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $16,000 Class Rating: 77

Rating:

#11 ME MORE (ML=4/1)
#4 FAINNE GEAL (ML=8/1)


ME MORE - I look for this horse to sit off the pace and make a solid move on the turn, cruising straight on to the wire. Ranked number one in earnings per race entered. Another indicator that this horse is classy. FAINNE GEAL - Have to make this gelding a solid contender; he comes off a nice effort on October 7th. Gelding is a few starts into a return here. Should give a big race today. This gelding is clearly on the improve with speed ratings of 62, 71, 77 last 3 out. Just look at his last speed fig, 77. That one looks good in this field.

Vulnerable Contenders: #10 ROCK RIVER (ML=5/2), #5 MEY'S FLASH (ML=5/1), #6 SPANISH BRIGADIER (ML=6/1),

ROCK RIVER - I predict bad luck for this horse in this contest. MEY'S FLASH - 5/1 is not offering enough value for any thoroughbred in a sprint of 6 1/2 furlongs that hasn't finished in the money in a short distance race recently. Difficult to bet on any horse to turn things around if there is no value to taking the risk. Finished eighth in his most recent performance with a run-of-the-mill speed figure. When I look at today's Equibase class figure, it would take an improved performance to win after that in this field. SPANISH BRIGADIER - Improbable that the rating he earned on Oct 14th will be enough in this race.


STRAIGHT WAGERS:

Play #11 ME MORE to win if you can get odds of 3/2 or more

EXACTA WAGERS:

Box [4,11]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:

None

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:

Pass
 
Joined
May 19, 2007
Messages
205,324
Tokens
Handicapped by Rick Needham at Belmont Park

RACE #1 - BELMONT PARK - 12:55 PM EASTERN POST

6.0 FURLONGS DIRT MAIDENS THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD $20,000.00 CLAIMING $29,000.00 PURSE

#4 TREE TOP LOVER
#2 AZAREL
#6 KOHLHASE
#5 FIELDING GOLD

#4 TREE TOP LOVER, a British-bred entry, is the overall speed and pace profile leader in this maiden field sprinting at today's distance of 6.0 furlongs on the dirt, has nice early speed abilities to compliment, and has produced a quartet of "POWER RUN BOARD HITS" in his last five starts. Jockey Irad Ortiz and Trainer David Jacobson send him to the post ... they've hit the board with an impressive 63% of their entries saddled as a team to date. #2 AZAREL, a 5-1 shot, drops in class (-6), and comes off back-to-back "POWER RUN PERFORMANCES" in his last two outings, missing his "diploma" in his 2nd race back, by less than a length in a determined attempt to break his maiden.
 
Joined
May 19, 2007
Messages
205,324
Tokens
SPOT PLAYS

For Wednesday

TRACK (RACE) HORSE, MORNING LINE

Belmont Park (2nd) May Flowers, 4-1
(4th) My Fair Lily, 3-1


Charles Town (3rd) Sailaway, 3-1
(4th) Tipasa, 3-1


Delta Downs (6th) Ringneckdove, 8-1
(8th) Customary, 6-1


Finger Lakes (4th) The Giant Is Lit, 4-1
(7th) Underthemoonlight, 6-1


Gulfstream Park West (3rd) English Maneuver, 7-2
(5th) Little United, 6-1


Hawthorne (2nd) Media Forecast, 4-1
(5th) Pink Bubble, 4-1


Indiana Grand (6th) Check Or a Wreck, 8-1
(7th) Gingermore, 4-1


Keeneland (3rd) Lady of Opinion, 6-1
(4th) Doxology, 7-2


Mountaineer (4th) Lions Summit, 4-1
(6th) Plunder, 5-1


Penn National (2nd) Honor Achieved, 3-1
(5th) Tattersail, 9-2


Remington Park (2nd) Morongo, 3-1
(7th) Sheza Prize, 9-2


Woodbine (3rd) For U Ruth, 3-1
(7th) Forest Castle, 3-1
 
Joined
May 19, 2007
Messages
205,324
Tokens
Northfield: Wednesday 10/26 Analysis + Pick Four Ticket
By Jeremey Day

DRF

Race 8 - $10,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

Jeremey’s $1 Pick Four Play:

1 with 1,7,9 with 1,2,9 with 1,3,9 = $27

Best Bet: IMA NUISANCE (6th)

Spot Play: CALLIT AS U SEEIT (7th)


Race 1

(5) WICKED WINDY went a big mile last week out of the eight-hole; short price. (3) KYLE ISAAC five-year-old has room to improve against a suspect bunch. (1) OH PLEASE lightly raced mare gets the best post and is just now back in racing shape.

Race 2

(1) SILVER CHIEF dominated at this level last week. (3) KINGOFTHEREIGNS freshman pacer faces older but has some upside. (7) ADMIRALS LADY REI should be able to hit the ticket with a smooth trip.

Race 3

(3) QUEEN OF RACING mare is 0 for her career but has been knocking on the door and will offer value. (5) ECHO'S ANNIE has been facing tougher. The filly will offer a low price; use caution. (2) RUGGED HEART well bred filly picks up a huge driver change.

Race 4

(2) PRISONER OF LOVE two-year-old makes his second start for new connections. The gelding finds a weak and inconsistent field. (3) FLYIN ORION is very inconsistent from week to week. A good effort puts him in the mix. (7) MARTYS VICTORY has hit the board in four straight. The pacer makes his first start in a new barn.

Race 5

(9) MOMA JEAN'S CROWN drops down in class and will offer a big price. (2) WASHINGTONIAN should be much closer turning for home; threat. (1) JAILHOUSE BRIDE trotting mare has been competitive against similar.

Race 6

(8) IMA NUISANCE pacing stallion takes a huge dropdown in class. (6) FRISKIEAFFAIR raced well last week but would need much more to beat the top choice. (2) MOST REMARKABLE has just been racing evenly; use underneath.

Race 7

In a field with few contenders, (2) CALLIT AS U SEEIT should be in line for an excellent trip up close. (3) JO JO'S JOURNEY raced really well off the scratch last week; big chance. (1) VICTORY CANDY MAN has room to improve third start back off a long layoff.

Race 8

(1) WIT AND WISDOM will be used very aggressively looking to drop and pop. (3) BETTOR DESIGN was much better last start after some dull efforts. (4) C C STORMEY had some sneaky late pace last week but needs more.

Race 9

(7) LADY EDITH filly is coming on strong late in the year; fires early. (9) EVANORA gets sent out for one of the top barns in the country. (1) SUPER LILY filly is very talented, but has question marks getting sent out for a provisional driver.

Race 10

(9) JIMMY RIP burned cash last week down in class. The seven-year-old will need a much better effort to score. (2) WINTER CRUISE will likely take heavy tote action because of the mile last week. The pacer is very inconsistent; use caution. (1) MORELAND FLASH has been sharp in two straight; threat.

Race 11

(3) SIMMY veteran trotter had no chance from the far outside post last week. The trotter is sharp and can score with a smooth trip. (1) CALLIING A VICTORY has been trotting faster than most of the field and gets the best post. (9) STARDUST MEMORIES has been facing tougher; threat.

Race 12

(1) P L ADDER picks up a significant driver change with the best starting post. (6) BETTOR'S DESTINY could be one of few threats to the top choice dropping in class for capable connections. (9) CMR WINDMACH can pace a good mile with a setup.

Race 13

(4) LOL KEN WIN takes a big drop in class with a top driver; short price. (3) TOO TALL TAMARAC probably needed a start over the track and has room to improve. (9) JUST HENRY had no excuse last week at this level; use underneath.

Race 14

(5) PATIENT I D raced well last week against a tougher field. (2) MYSTIC FLOWER just missed at this level last week. (3) SCREAMIN DREAMIN has just been racing evenly but drops down against softer.

Race 15

In a wide open race, (4) BUBBA SKINNER will offer a monster price making his second start for a new trainer. (3) IN THEORY picks up the top driver but has burned cash at this level before. (5) SANTA'S SPECIAL is good enough to beat this group with a decent setup.
 

Forum statistics

Threads
1,119,858
Messages
13,574,195
Members
100,877
Latest member
businesstalkmag
The RX is the sports betting industry's leading information portal for bonuses, picks, and sportsbook reviews. Find the best deals offered by a sportsbook in your state and browse our free picks section.FacebookTwitterInstagramContact Usforum@therx.com