At the Gate - Wednesday
By Mike Dempsey
Uncontested entered the picture for the Kentucky Derby (G1) with a good-looking win on Monday in the Smarty Jones at Oaklawn Park, picking up 10 points toward entry into the Run for the Roses.
The racing surface came up sloppy and under jockey Channing Hill the colt jumped out to uncontested (no pun intended) early lead and took the field gate to wire, returning $4.40 as the favorite.
Trained by Rom Moquette, the colt earned a 96 Beyer Speed Figure for his win and can still be had at a generous +8000 in early Derby wagering.
Next up for the colt will be the $500,000 Southwest (G3) at Oaklawn Park on Feb. 20, which is also a Road to the Kentucky Derby points race.
The last two slots for the $12 million Pegasus World Cup (G1) were filled on Monday and it looks as if we will have a full field of 12 shooting for the $7 million check for winning the world’s richest race.
The last two entrants are Prayer for Relief and Noble Bird, who both figure to be longshots.
As of right now the field is comprised of Arrogate, California Chrome, Keen Ice, Neolithic, Shaman Ghost, Eragon, War Story, War Envoy, Breaking Lucky, Ralis, Prayer for Relief and Noble Bird.
There is early betting available with California Chrome and Arrogate the co-favorites at even money. I think by the race, which will be run at Gulfstream Park on Saturday, Jan. 28, California Chrome will end up a slight favorite.
Here is the opening race from Gulfstream Park to get the day off to a good start:
GP Race 1 Clm $30,000N2L (12:35 ET)
#4 Wild Good 5-2
#6 Call to Honor 8-1
#1 Opening Remark 6-1
#3 Game Lad 3-1
Analysis: Wild Good pressed the early pace, took over the lead and could not hold off the winner late in a runner up finish at this level in his first start off a 3 1/2 month break. The winner Grand Nene came back to beat $30,000 non-winners of three or three-year-olds in his next outing on Dec. 21 here. He owns a solid pace profile throughout and does not need to move forward much off his last effort to win in this spot.
Call to Honor tossed in a did last out against state bed Alw-1 optional claimers and catches an easier spot here. Three back he was a decent second against $50,000 claimers. Note Jaramillo is off our top pick and is reunited with this guy. Worth tossing in the mix if he goes off near his 8-1 morning line.
Wagering
WIN: #4 to win at 9-5 or better.
EX: 4,6 / 1,3,4,6
TRI: 4,6 / 1,3,4,6 / 1,3,4,6,7
Today’s Featured Race of the Day from Gulfstream Park:
GP Race 7 Clm $25,000 (3:32 ET)
#8 My Third Eye 6-1
#1 Nerve Line 6-1
#10 Grace Appeal 15-1
#9 Harambe 10-1
Analysis: My Third Eye returns off a three-month break for the Ward barn that is 23% winners with runners coming back off a 61-180 day layoff. The filly broke her maiden over the turf here at five furlongs last June in her second career start. She takes the blinkers off and drops into an easier spot here tagged for $25,000. She has been working sharply at Palm Meadows for her return.
Nerve Line was not a threat last out on poly versus Alw-1 optional claimers and returns to turf for just the second time. Her turf debut was a game second over yielding footing last summer at Woodbine. The blinkers go on and she drops into a good spot here.
Wagering
WIN: #8 to win at 4-1 or better.
EX: 1,8 / 1,8,9,10
TRI: 1,8 / 1,8,9,10 / 1,2,8,9,10
Live Longshots:
These are price plays for exotic players looking to find a couple of extra contenders to use in their trifecta and superfecta wagers. Or for those with smaller bankrolls, you might want to get in a small win-place wager.
Gulfstream Park
R1: #6 Call to Honor 8-1
R6: #6 Ross J Dawg 8-1
R7: #10 Grace Appeal 15-1
R7: #9 Harambe 10-1
R8: #4 Hy Dandy 8-1
R9: #5 Island Therapy 8-1
Good luck today!