Horse Racing 1-11-17

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Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at The Meadows

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 10 - Post: 4:00 - 1 mile. TROT - Class Rating: 69 - Purse:$9500 - CD 3-6YO NW 2 EXT PM RACES OR $13,500 LIFE MORNING LINE: 7-2-6-3
CONSORTIUM*CHOICES

# 7 ELMO BLATCH 5/2
# 5 BATTLESHOE CALEB 6/1
# 1 ROYAL RIGHT 15/1

ELMO BLATCH is the clear stand out wager in the eyes of the handicapping team. Could be the best in the group of horses here, showing nice stats of late. Average speed is a solid 72. Always tremendous driver/conditioner twosome. 42 percent winners when they work together. With this driver/trainer hooking up, investors often make cash. ROI is tremendous with this duo. BATTLESHOE CALEB - The 5 post sports a much higher than average win clip at The Meadows. Fantastic driver Yoder should find the pace of today's race to this gelding's liking - could be a good wager. ROYAL RIGHT - Has a very promising shot in this contest, if she can race to her back class. With this driver-conditioner hooking up, investors often make some profits. Return on investment is very good with this tandem.
 
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Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Pompano Park

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 4 - Post: 8:14 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 78 - Purse:$6500 - FILLIES AND MARES OPEN 5 NO. 4 RIVER RISING FIRST TIME LASIX HENNESSEY PICKED 2 OVER 1
CONSORTIUM*CHOICES

# 1 DRAGON TOWN 7/2
# 2 MACH THIS WAY 5/2
# 5 ANDRO MADI 12/1

Hard not to like DRAGON TOWN as the top pick this time. Take a look at this harness racer's avg speed figure of 81 and compare to today's class rating. Looks like a really strong bet. This contender looks very good considering the high class ratings. Not a good idea to throw out of any exotics. The group noted a clear-cut contest out of this harness racer last time. Hoping for a repeat of that to dominate. MACH THIS WAY - Has a formidable shot in this event, if she can perform to her back racing class. Recorded a 76 speed rating last out. A duplicate event here should get the triumph here. ANDRO MADI - Take a good look at making this horse your win wager based on very high win rate alone.
 
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Handicapped by The Walker Group at Mahoning Valley Race Course

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 6 - Claiming - 5.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $10000 Class Rating: 60

FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 118 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE DECEMBER 11 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $7,500


RECOMMENDED*CHOICES


# 9 WEEKEND MELODY 5/1

# 7 CLAIRE B. C. 15/1

# 12 RED SOLE DIVA 7/2

WEEKEND MELODY looks to be the wager in here. RED SOLE DIVA - Has garnered solid Equibase Speed Figures in dirt sprint races in the past. She has been racing solidly recently while recording strong Equibase Speed Figures.
 
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Handicapped by The Walker Group at Tampa Bay Downs

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 7 - Claiming - 8.2f on the Dirt. Purse: $10400 Class Rating: 77

FOR FOUR YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. WEIGHT, 122 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT A MILE OR OVER SINCE DECEMBER 11 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $8,000


RECOMMENDED*CHOICES


# 4 PHIL'SFIRSTFACTUM 3/1

# 1 WEST SHORE DRIVE 5/2

# 9 TICKET TO FAME 7/2

PHIL'SFIRSTFACTUM looks decent to best this field. He has a good opportunity for this race as handler, Tebbutt, has strong win rate with horses going this distance. Recorded a sound Equibase Speed Fig in the last race. Can run another good one in this affair. Is tough not to consider given the company run in recently. WEST SHORE DRIVE - Has been racing solidly and has among the best speed in the race for today's distance. Should be given consideration - I like the figures from the last contest. TICKET TO FAME - This gelding looks strong in this race since Reavis has a sharp winning percentage with horses going this distance. The speed figure of 73 from his last contest looks very good in here.
 
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Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Penn National - Race #7 - Post: 8:43pm - Maiden Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $14,300 Class Rating: 57

Rating:

#8 IRISH VEIL (ML=12/1)
#1 ABIDE BY ME (ML=3/1)
#2 LOOTERS CACHE (ML=5/1)
#11 TIGNE (ML=6/1)


IRISH VEIL - Looking at today's class rating, this pony is meeting an easier bunch than last out at Parx Racing. I always like to see a pony getting Lasix for the first time. Nunn adds it on this one today. That 55 fig this gelding earned in his last race tells me he's a big time player this time out. ABIDE BY ME - Ran last time out against a better group of horses at Parx Racing. The move down the ladder based on class rating points should suit him well. Allard is hoping to get a little more out of this gelding by adding blinkers today. LOOTERS CACHE - Possibly a peak effort for this colt today. Been getting closer to the winner with each recent start. Jock hops up on after getting to know the mount by riding last time around the track. That's always a good thing. A repeat of that recent race on Dec 16th where he garnered a rating of 55 looks good enough to prove victorious in this event. TIGNE - Earnings per race is something that I feel can be a valuable selection factor. This racer is ranked number one in this group. Trainer Chircop moves this animal to a lower class rank to face a weaker level today. Look for a sharp effort this time out. Last raced at Penn National carrying 6 pounds more. The lower weight carried right here should serve him well.

Vulnerable Contenders: #5 PRINCE FELIX (ML=4/1),

PRINCE FELIX - Tough to wager on any mount to turn things around if there is no reward to taking the shot. Can't wager on this runner in today's sprint of 6 furlongs. Hasn't even hit the board in a sprint race recently.


STRAIGHT WAGERS:

Bet on #8 IRISH VEIL to win if you can get at least 9/2 odds

EXACTA WAGERS:

Box [1,8] Box [2,8] Box [8,11]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:

None

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:

Pass
 
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Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Charles Town - Race #5 - Post: 8:51pm - Maiden Special - 7.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $23,000 Class Rating: 74

Rating:

#2 DIANA'S THRILL (ML=3/1)


DIANA'S THRILL - Horses that finish 2nd in Maiden races and finish well ahead of the third horse are generally good bets next time out. This thoroughbred could be tough in today's race, especially since Bocachica rode last time out and now should be familiar with this one. Expect better today as this filly gets Lasix for the 2nd time.

Vulnerable Contenders: #8 BROKEN MARRIAGE (ML=9/5), #6 IN BELLA'S HONOR (ML=5/2), #7 LA LA BAMBA (ML=5/1),

BROKEN MARRIAGE - This entrant hasn't been on the track since Dec 10th. Not even any workouts. This filly hasn't had any positive results in short distance races in the last couple months. Disappointing speed rating in the last race at Turfway Park at 1 mile. Don't think this racer will improve too much in today's race. IN BELLA'S HONOR - Difficult to wager on at 5/2 odds after the most recent efforts. LA LA BAMBA - Just cannot bet on this questionable contender. Didn't show me anything last time around the track or on November 28th. This less than sharp equine ran a most unsatisfactory speed fig last time out. She shouldn't show signs of improvement and will likely get beat in today's race running that number.

GUEST COMMENTARY: The Brain - DIANA'S THRILL - Based on my wisdom, a front runner positioned in an inner post on a bullring of a track in a sprint gets extra points in my book. Should be in a good spot at the top of the lane.
**


STRAIGHT WAGERS:

Putting our cash on #2 DIANA'S THRILL to win. Have to have odds of at least 1/1 or better though

EXACTA WAGERS:

2 with 4

TRIFECTA WAGERS:

None

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:

Skip
 
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Northfield: Wednesday 1/11 Analysis + Pick Four Ticket
By Jeremey Day

DRF

Race 8 - $10,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

Jeremey’s $1 Pick Four Play:

6 / 2,5,6 / 1 / 1,3,4 =$9


Best Bet: SKYWAY COBRA (1st)

Spot Play: SOUTHWIND JOKER (6th)


Race 1

(8) SKYWAY COBRA four-year-old looks to have a lot of ability swooping the field from the eight-hole in his career debut. (9) SR LILLYSTAR adds second-time lasix for a new barn. (1) IMAGE OF BLITZ has yet to win in eighteen career starts; use underneath.

Race 2

(1) BRIGHT STONE freelegged pacing mare gets the best post in a weak and inconsistent field. (4) WESTERN DIAL should probably considered the horse to beat but needs a good setup. (7) OAKLEY DOAKLEY will look to make it two straight at this level; threat.

Race 3

(5) PORSCHE GIBSON looks terrible on paper but if the trotting gelding can mind his manners he can upset at a price. (9) LIBERTY BEACH has been facing much tougher. The 5-year-old mare picks up a top driver and just needs to work out a good trip from the second tier. (1) OVERWHAT gets the best post down in class.

Race 4

In a really tough race to handicap, (2) LETS BE TRUTHFUL gets sent out for a low percentage pilot but will offer a big price in a very soft field. (1) CHROME SEELSTER comes off a scratch and has had trouble winning at this level but does benefit from the best post. (5) RIDGE PARK has not won a race in a very long time. In the right scenario he can hit the ticket.

Race 5

(7) MARGARITA MAN has been overmatched in two straight. The 10-year-old trotter should find this bunch much more to his liking. (3) CABO has been knocking on the door at this level. (9) VAYA CON DIOS is very inconsistent from week to week. A good effort puts him in the mix.

Race 6

In another wide open and evenly matched race, (9) SOUTHWIND JOKER gets a monster morning line and shows some close efforts against slightly better. (6) TALBOTCREEK ARMANI has question marks coming off a scratch; command a price. (1) PRO DUECE couldn't beat a weaker bunch two back off of easy fractions; use underneath.

Race 7

(1) RED ROCKS gets the best post with a big driver change; fires early. (6) PARNELL is capable of trotting a good mile with a smooth trip. (2) FORT COMMANDER gelding hasn't won at this level in quite some time.

Race 8

(6) J C ONTHEBEACH doesn't come into the race in the best form but is facing significantly weaker. (9) OK FERRARI bumps up in class against tougher. The 7-year-old is better than what he shows on paper. (4) KWIK MAC comes into the race off a scratch but has been competitive at this level in recent efforts.

Race 9

(5) WISHIN IWAS FISHIN looks to offer the best price of the contenders. (2) SOULFUL DELIGHT nine-year-old trotter owns tons of back class and comes off an easy victory. (6) BOOYAH TJ trotter owns a big burst of speed when timed right.

Race 10

(1) TWINKLE LIKE ASTAR will look to make it three straight wins win racing at this level. (4) BOURBANS BEST pacer has not been good in his last few starts. The 10-year-old does drop down a notch but needs a turnaround. (9) GIUSEPPE MOLLUSCA has room to improve with a start over the track.

Race 11

(4) WELLTHEREYOUGO owns a slight class edge on the field. (1) SHAGUAR has lots of room to improve second start back off the layoff. The pacer adds second time lasix with the best post. (3) AIRGUITAR ROCKSTAR burned cash last out against tougher. The 9-year-old drops in class and is one of the horses to beat.

Race 12

(2) CRANK IT UP was heavily bet against better last start. The pacer picks up a good driver change and will look to play 'catch me if you can'. (3) BREAKIN THE LAW will need a complete turnaround from last week but does show some decent lines. (7) ELOCUTIONIST takes a big drop in class with a top driver.

Race 13

(2) POW CHICKA POW POW drops back down to a much easier spot. (1) JUMPIN JACK J rarely wins but does get the best post; use underneath. (9) MODEL NINETYFOUR needs a good setup and a smooth trip to hit the ticket.

Race 14

In a field full of question marks, (5) FUDGE didn't win in 2016 but finds a suspect bunch. (2) NATHAN picks up a good driver change with a nice starting post. (3) LOGAN COUNTY RALPH is very inconsistent week to week. A good effort puts him close.

Race 15

(9) ELDON MURRAY beat a decent field three back showing good closing ability. (1) CLASSIC DRAGON gets the best post and was a winner win last seen at this level. (5) TEST OF WILL shows decent efforts but needs more to hit the top spot.
 
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Spot Plays

For Wednesday

TRACK (RACE) HORSE, MORNING LINE

Charles Town (5th) Diana’s Thrill, 3-1
` (6th) Masons Dream, 5-1


Delta Downs (1st) Theboyzgalaxy, 7-2
(7th) Rooster Bullet, 4-1


Gulfstream Park (3rd) Spring for More, 5-1
(5th) American Cowgirl, 6-1


Mahoning Valley (3rd) Hot Flash, 6-1
(8th) She’s a Gem, 7-2


Penn National (2nd) Approximator, 5-1
(7th) Abide by Me, 3-1


Tampa Bay Downs (2nd) Extreme Excess, 7-2
(5th) Starship Stache, 7-2


Turf Paradise (1st) Brutus Maximus, 8-1
(7th) Mystical Prize, 5-1


Turfway Park (4th) Archiboldo, 4-1
(8th) Rob and Jon’s Girl, 4-1
 

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