Horse Racing 1-10-17

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Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at The Meadows

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Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 7 - Post: 3:00 - 1 mile. TROT - Class Rating: 75 - Purse:$11400 - CD 3-6YO NW 3 EXT PM RACES OR $18,000 LIFE
CONSORTIUM*CHOICES

# 3 FIRE IN MY HEART 5/2
# 2 WHAMBAMTHANKUMAAM 20/1
# 7 RAIL KAT 8/1

All signs point to FIRE IN MY HEART for the selection. He has been performing strongly and the speed ratings are among the most compelling in the group of horses. Seems to have a very good class advantage based on the participants he has faced. With a solid driver, who has won at a very good 29 percent rate the past month, this has to be one of the best choices. WHAMBAMTHANKUMAAM - 66 percent of the time this trainer and horse partnership end up in the money. Big players today. This entrant looks very good. Look at the 75 average TrackMaster SR. RAIL KAT - This horse has a nose for the wire, just look at his better than average win pct.
 
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Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Monticello Raceway

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 4 - Post: 1:25 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 79 - Purse:$3000 - N/W $261 P/S L/5-7 OR P/S IN 2016
CONSORTIUM*CHOICES

# 2 SEMALU EXPRESS 5/2
# 3 OAKS HANOVER 3/1
# 5 BULLVILLEBLAST 6/1

After thorough analysis by the handicapping team, SEMALU EXPRESS comes out as the top selection. Overall percentages look good. Can't throw him out of the picture. Exhibits the look of a profitable play, averaging a nifty 80 speed rating. Most definitely the class of the bunch with an average rating of 80. A nice contender. OAKS HANOVER - Feel the need for speed, this fine animal has been turning in some top notch speed figures averaging around 79. Should be considered here if only for the formidable speed rating achieved in the most recent outing. BULLVILLEBLAST - Overall markings appear very nice. Can't throw out at this point.
 
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Handicapped by The Walker Group at Louisiana Downs

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 7 - Maiden Claiming - 220y on the Dirt. Purse: $6000 Class Rating: 60

QUARTER HORSE 220Y, FOR ACCREDITED LA BRED MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 124 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000.


RECOMMENDED*CHOICES


# 3 TIME TA TOAST 10/1

# 8 JLA FLOGOES ON FIRE 7/2

# 6 DASH GOES A LADY 8/1

My pick in this event is TIME TA TOAST and is a solid value bet given the line at 10/1. Reason to like this filly as she has in the saddle one of the best jocks using winning percentages over the last 30 days. Has formidable early pace and will almost certainly fare admirably against this group. The Equibase Speed Fig of 60 from her most recent race looks solid in here. JLA FLOGOES ON FIRE - Is a definite contender - given the 63 speed figure from her most recent race. Don't overlook this filly in your bets - very dangerous with Lujan aboard. DASH GOES A LADY - With a nice class fig average of 71, has one of the top class advantages in this group of horses. It's a good signal that Celestino is using Hernandez on this horse.
 
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Handicapped by The Walker Group at Parx Racing

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 6 - Claiming - 6.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $20000 Class Rating: 87

FOR FOUR YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON A RACE SINCE JULY 10. WEIGHT, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $7,500


RECOMMENDED*CHOICES


# 5 MAGICAL FIRE 5/1

# 1 PIN AND WIN 8/1

# 7 BABY CAT 8/1

MAGICAL FIRE is my choice. Has put up strong Speed Figures in dirt sprint races in the past. Should best this group of animals here, showing very good figs of late. With a formidable ROI of +26 this handler has shown strong results with entries running at this distance and surface. PIN AND WIN - He has been racing very well recently while recording solid speed figures. Could best this group based on the speed figure - 88 - of his last effort.
 
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Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Turf Paradise - Race #2 - Post: 1:10pm - Maiden Claiming - 5.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $6,300 Class Rating: 65

Rating:

#4 TICKLE ME PINK (ML=2/1)
#5 SHAZZ (ML=10/1)


TICKLE ME PINK - To play a pony off workouts, you have to know when to tell if a horse is fit. The fact that this filly worked recently at longer distance is a positive angle. The jock and conditioner combination have a profitable ROI when they are put together. The 65 most recent race figure looks good in the TrackMaster PPs. SHAZZ - The return on investment when Gamez and Crotts get together is fantastic. I like this first-time-starter mainly because her workouts for this have been here at Turf Paradise.

Vulnerable Contenders: #8 CORRELATION (ML=9/5), #3 NATIVE SPEAKER (ML=4/1), #2 WILLOW WITCH (ML=8/1),

CORRELATION - Doesn't look to have enough positive aspects to justify the price. NATIVE SPEAKER - This was a live animal, but now this one hasn't been doing anything in the morning. Have to watch your step with this weaker runner. WILLOW WITCH - No favorable outcomes for this vulnerable equine in a short distance contest over the last 60 days tells me that this filly is in a thorny circumstance



STRAIGHT WAGERS:

#4 TICKLE ME PINK is the play if we get odds of 3/2 or better

EXACTA WAGERS:

Box [4,5]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:

None

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:

None
 
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Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Mahoning Valley Race Course - Race #3 - Post: 1:40pm - Starter Allowance - 4.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $12,500 Class Rating: 82

Rating:

#6 CAROLYN M. (ML=6/1)
#5 THIS CATS ON FIRE (ML=15/1)


CAROLYN M. - I like a horse that manages to hit the board as often as this mare. Almost always in the money so don't leave her out of your exotic bets. Mare's last workout should have her fit for today's race. This speed freak should be aided by this shorter distance. This thoroughbred likes to win on different racing tracks. The switch in venue today may be a wake up call. THIS CATS ON FIRE - The jock and handler combination have a beneficial return on investment when they combine forces. I think that today's shorter distance should help this mare.

Vulnerable Contenders: #1A WORLD ELITE (ML=3/2), #1 U AND TEQUILA (ML=3/2), #3 LET'S PLAY TWO (ML=7/2),

WORLD ELITE - A bit of a less than stellar try when this mare finished fifth. When examining today's Equibase class figure, she will have to register a better speed rating than last out to vie in this dirt sprint. U AND TEQUILA - Just cannot bet on this mount. Didn't show me anything positive last time out or on Dec 8th. LET'S PLAY TWO - The victory on Dec 30th probably isn't good enough to beat these today. This runner ran a common speed rating in the last race. She shouldn't show signs of improvement and will probably suffer defeat in today's event running that rating.

GUEST COMMENTARY: Winston - CAROLYN M. - This race horse is meeting a much easier field than in the last race on August 29th. Worth a prime wager today.
*
*
*


STRAIGHT WAGERS:

Bet on #6 CAROLYN M. To win if you can get at least 7/5 odds

EXACTA WAGERS:

Box [5,6]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:

None

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:

None
 
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Yonkers: Tuesday 1/10 Analysis
By Brewster Smith

DRF

FINAL 2016 MEET STATS: 295 - 1254 / $1,893.50

BEST BETS: 32 - 117 / $151.10

Best Bet: MUSTANG MACH N (1st)

Spot Play: MY TEMUJIN N (4th)


Race 1

(4) MUSTANG MACH N Gelding took a tough loss in his last try, is sharp enough to get back to his winning ways. (7) JC KINGDOM was on the move at the 3/4 pole but was when flat turning for home last out. (1) GIDDY UP DELIGHT should get involved from the rail.

Race 2

(3) MAJESTIC MISTRESS Trotting mare moves her trade to Yonkers; in her last one at Woodbine was pretty sharp for second money; should fit well against these. (4) PINA COLADA AS is back to a flat mile and gets the services of Bartlett; she could wake up. (1) TOMBS ANGEL showed some speed in her Saratoga finale and has a win from the fence; watch out.

Race 3

(1) SUMMER SNOW was on the engine most of the way, but made a disappointing break turning for home. Pacing mare is good as any of these and the rail should put her right back in the winning groove. (4) TWIN B HONOUR 5-year-old mare was sharp missing the score by only 3/4 length; big threat. (5) COOL DESIRE was sent down the road once again for her second straight victory.

Race 4

(5) MY TEMUDJIN N showed signs of life for Team Burke last time at Philly. Gelding should appreciate the move to Yonkers and with a favorable trip, he can make tonight a winning one. (1) NORTHERN ASSASSIN A Two dull efforts at the Meadowlands but this 8-year-old is back at the Hilltop where he was a very game second three starts ago. (3) BULLVILLE KYLE Jersey invader could make an impact on the half-mile oval; we shall see.

Race 5

(1) BIG JER was very solid for win honors at the Big M two starts back and that was on the rail. Gelding has every right to boss these at his best. (3) MARTY MONKHOUSER A sitting in the pocket the entire trip and held the place spot last time around at the Meadowlands; dangerous. (4) TRIPLE SEELSTER was on the lead until the 3/4 pole and tired the rest of the way; could turn it around.

Race 6

(6) MASS BALANCE got to the front approaching the 1/2 mile marker but had a troubled trip at odds-on last time out. Trotter is good enough to take this but will need a favorable trip to make this possible. (4) GIDS PASSION went down the road last time out for all the glory, now he moves up in class, but is very capable. (1) METATRON did flash speed in his Meadowlands finale and the fence tonight should help his cause; we shall see.

Race 7

(7) HI HO STEVERINO is back on the half-mile oval where this gelding has done his best running. Post does hurt but he catches a weak group. (4) RIVER RUN FOR RYAN could make some serious noise if he returns to his second and third start respectably. (1) NOBLE FINESSE put in a mild bid to grab the show spot in his last trip to the post; not out of this.

Race 8

(4) STATION THREEOHSIX is clearly knocking at the door based on his last two starts and this 8-year-old does know how to get the job done at Yonkers; the pick. (5) WESTERN ALUMNI was sent down the road in his Saratoga finale for the victory; main danger. (2) TYLER did show good early zip last time upstate but tired in the stretch run; capable.

Race 9

(4) URBANITE HANOVER could be in a perfect spot if he gets the right kind of trip and has back class to overpower these. (1) GRIN FOR MONEY did not have enough gas in the tank and had to settle for the show spot in his most recent outing. (8) MAINLAND KEY N has been in the exacta picture five straight times, so now this 12-year-old pro will have to make some noise from the 8-hole; don't overlook.

Race 10

(1) WHAT A PEACH seems to tire in deep stretch, but the good news is he's back to the mile distance and moves to the rail. Ready to take these all the way. (7) DEWDLE ALL DAY Trotting mare has hit the board in her last four tries and the move to door number seven should not be a cause for alarm. (6) IRON was nailed for win honors in his last try but this gelding appears to be heading in the right direction; watch out.

Race 11

(3) CRUISINWITHMYBABY broke at the start in her last try at the Big M. This pacer knows how to win at Yonkers, and good to see Brennan at the helm; the pick. (5) NEW YORK KITTY was a game winner here two starts back at this level and appears to be a big threat against these. (2) ALBANY GIRL Mare moves to the two slot and that might help her chances with a favorable trip.
 
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Spot Plays

For Tuesday

TRACK (RACE) HORSE, MORNING LINE

Mahoning Valley (3rd) Gabio, 9-2
(6th) Hezalotta Wanda, 8-1


Parx Racing (1st) Running for Ryan, 9-2
(2nd) California Wildcat, 9-2


Sunland Park (6th) Flashy Indian, 6-1
(9th) Debbie Debs, 5-1


Turf Paradise (3rd) Steamnstone, 9-2
(7th) Increase, 7-2
 

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