Homedawg's Tuesday Plays 27-16. +18.00

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Dynasty
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Monday: 3-1. +4.80
Overall: 27-16. +18.00


Not a bad day. UTEP left a sour taste in my mouth as i felt they had numerous chances, but that's what happens. You can't win them all (even though it feels like you should).
Think we have a few solid situations to take advantage of on Tuesday.

3 Units

Arkansas Little Rock +3.5 -110

Ya my hard on is growing for the Trojans. I have been on them the past 2 games and wanted to be on them in their first vs. Poly. Needless to say this is a team I was very high on at the beginning of the season, and have been following very closely. I think we may be able to benefit from an unfortunate situation here. Justin Carter, Creighton's leading rebounder (5.0rbg), and possibly the most athletic guy in the Valley is questionable for the game with an achilles injury. It doesn't look like he is going to play as he left their last game against Oral Roberts, and later was seen leaving the arena in a walking boot. Altma said this could be a long term thing. He also said it was like a sprained ankle, but maybe worse. Anyone that has ever played ball and sprained an ankle knows just how bad these injuries are to first recover from, and then have the confidence, and explosivesness to play with (trust me I tried and it bugged me all season long). Anyways to me this sounds like less than encouraging news. More importantly this would be a terrible blow to a Blue Jay team that struggles on the glass as it is. Altma has been stressing rebounding in practices. They were concerned before the season started that this would be a possible danger area, and it is turning out to be just that. They outrebounded Oral Roberts last game by 10, but before that they were -10, and -11 vs. Arkansas Pine Bluff, and New Mexico respectively. Now this falls right into one of Little Rock's strengths. To go along with a stingy defense, they are a superb rebounding team. They return all 5 starters from a team that rebounded very well last year. i don't have the stats in front of me, but I believe they were +7 or better last season. This season hasn't changed things. They were -8 La Tech on the boards, but +8 vs. Pepperdine, and +14 vs Cal Poly. I expect UALR to beat up Creighton on the glass all night, and get plenty of enough garbage buckets, put backs, and offensive rebounds to win the game. They are a very long, athletic team, something Creighton is not. Stinnett is a great athlete, but other than him, only Carter can match up athletically, but we touched on Carter's status. Creighton is also a much different team playing away from home. As most college teams do they benefit greatly from a very strong home court advantage. They do however to take some lumps on the road.
UALR also benefited from their first 2 games playing without arguably their best player Stephen Moore, who had some academic issues. He played last game not missing a beat dropping 14 points. UALR is very balanced so they don't rely on just 1 player for scoring. They spread the shots, and keep everyone involved. This is an experienced team who expects to win. They have revenge on their mind after losing by 19 at the ever tough Qwest Center in Omaha. I think we have a live homedog right here. Even if Carter plays I expect UALR to win this game. I am going to search around tomorrow, and try to find an update on his status. For now I am keeping this a 3 unit play, with the thought that he is playing (even though I doubt he will). Once I get an update on his status I may upgrade to my first 5 unit play of the season.
 

Dynasty
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sorry for the spelling, and other grammar. As if you can't tell i am not an english major, and that whole thing was too long to proofread (and it's late).
 

Dynasty
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wow man... you realy earn that money hard!

Thank you very very much...

GL!

no prob Sonny. In order to win at this game you must put in the time. And I said it before nobody is going to out work me.

I have another one coming up in 1 min

BOL
 

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Lock & Loaded on Arkansas-LR

Geared up for another winning day - Tuesday.

<TABLE cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width="98%" border=0><TBODY><TR bgColor=#99cccc><TD width="22%">[FONT=Verdana, Arial]Nov 24 11:41pm[/FONT]</TD><TD align=left width="32%">[FONT=Verdana, Arial]Basketball - Pending[/FONT]</TD><TD width="30%">[FONT=Verdana, Arial]300.00 to win 250.00[/FONT]</TD><TD align=right width="15%"></TD></TR><TR bgColor=#99cccc><TD width="100%" colSpan=4>[FONT=Verdana, Arial]1. Basketball - Arkansas Little Rock - spread +4 (-120) [/FONT]
[FONT=Verdana, Arial]for the entire game held on Nov 25 at 8:00pm [pending] [/FONT]
</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>

Bought the 1/2 point for the -10 juice. Never know, it might come in handy.

Go Trojans! :toast:

<TABLE class=teamheader cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 border=0><TBODY><TR vAlign=top><TD align=middle width=160> </TD><TD width=815>Ark.-Little Rock Trojans

</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
 

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Nice

ARL will be +4... just got at the pinny +4 -109... early action I suppose... GL!

Good job! :aktion033 If you wait, perhaps you can squeeze another 1/2 to 1 point? I decided to lock in NOW. Since homedawg locks in when he posts, I figure I should also.

I guess it all depends on the status of Carter, Creighton's leading rebounder.

Let's keep this HOMEDAWG TRAIN MONEY TRAIN rolling! :toast:
 

Dynasty
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2 Units

Tennessee Martin -4.5 -110

Another game where I think we can take advantage of some injuries/suspensions. Brady is not playing with the roster he expected when he began practice in the Fall. Neither Trey Finn, Brandon Ayers, or Yima Chia-Kur have been able to lace them up this season. The latter two, especially Chia-Kur, who averaged 11.7ppg last season, were expected to contribute greatly. The loss of fire power is more than evident. Take out the glorified exhibition game against Lyons, and they are only averaging 53.5 ppg. Brady has improved their defense greatly, but traveling to Martin to play the high scoring Skyhawks could be trouble. While Ark St is struggling to score, Tenn Martin is experiencing the exact opposite. Led by NBA prospect, Lester Hudson, and his 26ppg the Skyhawks are having no problems putting points on the board. They scored 121, 64, and 82 respectively. The one dud was against nationally ranked Tennessee. Needless to say Arkansas St is no Tennessee. I just don't see how the Indians are going to be able to keep up with Tenn Matin. To go along with Hudson, the Skyhawks have another all league player in Marquis Weddle, who himself is averaging 16.7 ppg. Those 2 form an outstanding backcourt to go along with an experienced supporting cast. I just don't think Arkansas St can win a shootout in Martin, and the Skyhawks should win this one by 10+
 

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Homedawg, you have an opinion on Niagara (+1) at Buffalo?

I was leaning Niagara pretty heavily, they have been tough against teams they are supposed to beat (hiccup with Villanova) and Buffalo seems to be very mediocre this season
 

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Play #2 for Tuesday - Locked & Loaded

Another obscure game. LOVE YOUR ANALYSIS! :aktion033

OK, I'm locked and loaded on the UT-Martin Skyhawks -4 (bought 1/2 point -120)

Go Skyhawks! :toast:

<TABLE class=teamheader cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 border=0><TBODY><TR vAlign=top><TD align=middle width=160> </TD><TD width=815>UT-Martin Skyhawks

</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
 

Dynasty
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Homedawg, you have an opinion on Niagara (+1) at Buffalo?

I was leaning Niagara pretty heavily, they have been tough against teams they are supposed to beat (hiccup with Villanova) and Buffalo seems to be very mediocre this season

Pretty good line IMO. I always have a tough time figuring those MAAC teams out. While both schools are in Buffalo there still is a home court advantage (comfortableness shooting on the rims) so I personally would tend to stay away. if I had to pick I prolly would back UB. GL with whatever you decide
 

Dynasty
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expect this one to go up a little. benefit of being able to play openers.
 

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need a read on Penn St...I know its a road game but its in state...probably will have just as many fans there as Penn. They return Cornley an all league performer and 4 other starters?? What gives?? Not to mention they feature 3 guys in starting lineup 6'10" or taller--I know they are atrocious away from home, but this isn't exactly a huge road trip and they have some familiarity with this Penn team...I just don't see a team like Penn hanging around with a veteran group that Penn St has...I mean they don't have much , but experience is something they do have in starting two seniors and three guys with an entire year under their belts. Are Rosen , Bernardini and a healthy Darren Smith enough to keep an undersized Penn team in this game?
 
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Rx. Veteran
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Any thought on Utah St.? Keep up the good work man, that record is every bookies nightmare :toast:
 

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