Arkansas St +4
If you are a stat guy there is no way you can play against Ark St here. John Brady has them winning games the way I like to see. They only have 1 player averaging more than 10 points a game, but Brady has them winning games with defense and rebounding. Those are the 2 things I look at first when capping games, defense and rebounding. They do just that. Get this no team has shot better than 40% against them this year, and no team has out rebounded them. Miss 36% +1 rb avg, Lyons 32% +15, Murray St 37% +9, UT Martin 36% +10, Ball St 40% +16. Those are just crazy numbers, and they seem to be buying into Brady's defensive approach that he said he planned on implementing when he took over this summer. And why shouldn't they be buying in? They have won at a very good Tenn Martin team that was picked to win the OVC, and at an improved Ball St team over the weekend. They beat a team that was guard oriented with all american Lester Hudson of the Skyhawks, and an established big in Nevill of Ball St. Winning those 2 games on the road should give them confidence while traveling to the Hulman Center to face the Sycamores. Conversely Indiana St is 0-4, and have only shot better than 42% in 1 game, and has been out rebounded in each. 2 things which seem to give a strong edge to Ark St. I still say the loss of Stinson before the season was a death blow for the year before the first game was played. These are 2 programs heading for a totally opposite year, and expect the confident Arkansas St team to come in and get another win.
If you are a stat guy there is no way you can play against Ark St here. John Brady has them winning games the way I like to see. They only have 1 player averaging more than 10 points a game, but Brady has them winning games with defense and rebounding. Those are the 2 things I look at first when capping games, defense and rebounding. They do just that. Get this no team has shot better than 40% against them this year, and no team has out rebounded them. Miss 36% +1 rb avg, Lyons 32% +15, Murray St 37% +9, UT Martin 36% +10, Ball St 40% +16. Those are just crazy numbers, and they seem to be buying into Brady's defensive approach that he said he planned on implementing when he took over this summer. And why shouldn't they be buying in? They have won at a very good Tenn Martin team that was picked to win the OVC, and at an improved Ball St team over the weekend. They beat a team that was guard oriented with all american Lester Hudson of the Skyhawks, and an established big in Nevill of Ball St. Winning those 2 games on the road should give them confidence while traveling to the Hulman Center to face the Sycamores. Conversely Indiana St is 0-4, and have only shot better than 42% in 1 game, and has been out rebounded in each. 2 things which seem to give a strong edge to Ark St. I still say the loss of Stinson before the season was a death blow for the year before the first game was played. These are 2 programs heading for a totally opposite year, and expect the confident Arkansas St team to come in and get another win.
Gl Homedawg.
to tell you the truth until even last year i used to buy half points and play ml's on small favorites, and dogs. However the more and more I read into the topic I learned that buying points is a losing proposition in the long run. the extra juice you are paying , or the extra points you are giving up will hit your bottom line pretty good in the long run. so i just added a few more outs, and shopped a little harder. i am a huge advocate of not buying points and would advise anyone else not to. i do think Ark St wins this one, but 4 is still a decent amount of points to be catching, especially on the road in a game that should be played in the upper 50's - lower 60's
gl:toast:
I only buy points in football when the line is 3 or 7. I guess depending on the match up if you expect a low scoring game you take the points, but I usually take the ML on an underdog. Especially with a game like last night between <?xml:namespace prefix = st1 ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com
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http://gosycamores.com live stats
