siena played multiple ot game against canisius but that was 5 days ago. manhattan is playing their 4th game in 9 days and that could be the key here. siena still defending their home court well this season, and the last three times they were a home dog against manhattan they won all those games outright. in last 6 years the two teams in this series are doing much better at home in head-to-head meetings, and when i say much better, i mean by almost 17 points of differential per game. manhattan only 26/51 from the free throw line in two games this week. in their first meeting this season they were called for 10 less fouls than siena (30 siena fouls) and had 20 more free throw attempts (43 in total). they also had 12 less turnovers and outscored siena by 18 from the 3pt land. those are the stats that usually describe the home cooking.
siena +6
siena +6