Yeah, I kind of like BG here too, but bottom line is both of these teams are pretty bad. With a total that high (~75) there will likely be a LOT of scoring, so such a small spread scares me, as this one could go either way really. But don't think it's a bad play.
Here are a few I like this weekend.
BYU +5.5 @ Michigan. Just not that impressed with Michigan, and BYU plays tough and Hill's backup has looked OK so far. A little worried about long road game after tough loss last week though, but I'd have to take the points here as a BYU win SU would not be a shocker at all.
LSU -24 @ Cuse. Probably pass on this one, although I think LSU can win by 30 if they want to, just don't know what their motivation for the blowout will be, and they might pull starters in 2H if lead is big enough.
Rice +34.5 @ Baylor. That's a lot of points to give to a decent Rice team. I mean, it's still Rice, but for mid-level type teams, Rice is always a tough out. Baylor's D will be their downfall here, as I think they let Rice in the endzone enough to stay within the number.
Notre Dame -29 vs. UMASS. ND certainly has the talent to destroy UMASS here, but coming off of a hard win vs. GT and has Clemson on deck, so might pass.
Texas A & M -7 @ Arkansas. Arky is having a tough go of it so far, and I think A & M is pretty solid. Hate laying that much on a road conference game, but .....well I already did.
Ball State +20.5 @ NW. Don't think the Cats are designed for blowouts. They've looked good so far, but I think BSU can keep this one within 2 TDs.
Arizona State +5.5 vs. USC. Pretty easy play here with the home dog/decent team vs. USC who just had a tough loss vs. Stanford. Far from a lock (not what I meant by "easy play"), but will be on Devils for sure here.
A lot of games on my radar this week, but those are the ones I narrowed down to so far. I think now that most teams have 3 games in, we're all starting to get a feel for who is who, so the "lean list" gets long. Just have to pick the right spots on the right teams and grind it out.
I think a good "action" play on the Friday card is UVA +3 (or more) at home vs. Boise. Haven't decided on that one yet. Probably hit up the wax vape and meditate on it some! !~~~!!~~~!
CG, I know you aren't into getting advice, so I'm not here to give any. But good to see you (at least thinking about) on a flat betting strategy. These cards are tough, hard to put one game too far above the others. That's why I pick my plays, narrow it down and just flat bet across the board. If there is that ONE GAME that stands out above the rest that I want to throw down on, that's what I do and leave the rest off. Easier said than done though.
BOL.
:smoking:
Released a bomb for tommorow. Got BLIT best line in town. Arkansas Razorbacks +7.5 (-110) $1100/$1000. How long can you hold down the biggest offensive line in the world (college and pro combined). Hogs will play hard and keep this close and I think they will even win outright in a rare case of WTF- wrong team favored. I however played it safe and took the +7.5. U know every square in the world is pounding Texas ATM. Let's go HOGS
Stack them pork chops CG! I'm thinking UNDER tonight in the Boise State vs Virginia.
Virginia's prime-time showdown with Boise State on Friday night (ESPN, 8 ET) in Charlottesville, Virginia, is expected to be cloudy and damp, with on and off light rain and drizzle throughout the game, according to AccuWeather. The heaviest rainfall is expected to come during the second half, with the worst-case scenario involving the Scott Stadium grass being torn up and being turned into mud and torn-up sod, especially inside the hash marks. The wind will not be a factor. Temperatures should be in the mid-60s, and with no thunderstorms, delays are not expected.
dbanana0-9
Virginia's prime-time showdown with Boise State on Friday night (ESPN, 8 ET) in Charlottesville, Virginia, is expected to be cloudy and damp, with on and off light rain and drizzle throughout the game, according to AccuWeather. The heaviest rainfall is expected to come during the second half, with the worst-case scenario involving the Scott Stadium grass being torn up and being turned into mud and torn-up sod, especially inside the hash marks. The wind will not be a factor. Temperatures should be in the mid-60s, and with no thunderstorms, delays are not expected.
dbanana0-9
Thanks fellas. Grabbing this line yesterday and getting it at the only spot it was +7.5 yesterday was huge. See line went off here at most books today of Hogs +6.5. That would have been a brutal loss to swallow. Big win. Hopefully carries some momentum for me into tommorow. Nice to pass on the whole card today except this Hogs +7.5 play and cash
