HNIC
Date---------record------units
10/11 -------- 2-0 ------ +2.68
10/18---------2-2------- -0.20
10/25----------1-2------ -1.10
11/1------------1-3------ -1.60
11/8------------1-2-1---- -1.00
11/15----------0-4------- -4.10
11/22----------3-3-------- +1.75
11/29-----------1-2-------- -.90
12/6------------1-2------- -1.90
12/13-----------2-3------- -1.25
YTD----------14-23-1---- -7.62
A couple weeks ago I mentioned in a post how a friend of mine has been cleaning up in the NHL by simply parlaying chalk. He knows very little about hockey but then there’s something to be said for keeping things simple, having a plan, and sticking to it. I have done none of the above. I’m like a leaf blowing in the wind changing direction at the slightest push. I develop a belief, like playing the draw line in hockey, and then abandon it. So what happens? Games going to OT actually increase from their 25% early season rate. Meanwhile I watch my money boat sail on without me.
Yesterday someone mentioned Soprano and his whereabouts. From what I remembered of his style he’d take huge favorites and play them for jaw dropping amounts of 20 or 40 units, (whatever that means). However, he cleaned up in the post season last year when this trend of heavy chalk covering began. I got news for you all. It hasn’t stopped.
So when artiesliver mentioned this other site he had disappeared to, I had to take a look. Surely he was up ten gazillion units by now. I wasn’t disappointed. Although a hair short of ten gazillion he is having a fabulous year and more power to him. He has a plan…he’s sticking to it…...and it’s paying off. I wish I could say the same about me.
So where do I go from here? I’ve tried playing games on the draw line, parlaying two teamers on the puck line, (taking the goal an a half), first period plays, favorites minus a goal, favorites in regulation, minus a half goal in regualtion, totals, team totals, teasing totals, ……Arrrghhhh. Thank god there isn’t a coin flip in hockey because surely I’d be down with that.
I’m done. I explained to Bushay in a email yesterday that I’ve slowed down my plays considerable opting instead for scalping games. I make pennies on the dollar but at least, I make. Predicting lines moves is far easier than picking who is actually going to win game. At least it is for me…this year….so far.
But in the spirit of HNIC the games, (and losing picks), must go on. So undaunted I offer these plays sure to go horribly wrong. Tailer beware.
Carolina +175 (BetVegasVic)
Carolina TT Over 2.5 +115 (5dimes)
Boson leaves immediately after this game for a five game trip beginning tomorrow in St Louis. Undoubtedly their heads are elsewhere. Matinee meeting, New England snow storm, Christmas rush in Filene’s Basement. Lord knows what’s on their minds but it ain’t hockey. Not today…‘tis the season.
Carolina and Cam Ward are quietly rolling along and winning games. They’ve lost one game in regulation all month. They have endured and recovered from a lengthy laundry list of injured players to find themselves tied for the final spot of the playoffs.
Price is too tempting.
Nashville -.5 regulation -145 (Bookmaker)
Oh man the Islanders are bad. ….and missing. Physically and emotionally. Their injury list would take too long to post here. Last night they lose more in Andy Sutton to a broken foot. The souls remaining look like the walk of the living dead. These guys have lost 10 of their last 11 and have looked really, really bad in doing so. Not your run of a mill 3-2 shootout loses for these guys. 8 loses have been by more than a goal, (a few in the 4 to 7 goal deficit variety).
Nashville fights for every point they can get to make the playoffs. They have a brutal schedule coming up, own a clear advantage in net, are healthy, and always play tough at home. This one won’t be close.
Chicago TT Over 2.5 -140 (5dimes)
Because the Blackhawks have failed to reach 3 goals only 6 times in their last 27 games and Roberto Luongo is watching this one with Mats Sundin on the sidelines.
Parlay
Detroit -315
Pittsburgh -195 (BetVegasVic)
100/99
Because my chalk player parlay loving friend says so.
Date---------record------units
10/11 -------- 2-0 ------ +2.68
10/18---------2-2------- -0.20
10/25----------1-2------ -1.10
11/1------------1-3------ -1.60
11/8------------1-2-1---- -1.00
11/15----------0-4------- -4.10
11/22----------3-3-------- +1.75
11/29-----------1-2-------- -.90
12/6------------1-2------- -1.90
12/13-----------2-3------- -1.25
YTD----------14-23-1---- -7.62
A couple weeks ago I mentioned in a post how a friend of mine has been cleaning up in the NHL by simply parlaying chalk. He knows very little about hockey but then there’s something to be said for keeping things simple, having a plan, and sticking to it. I have done none of the above. I’m like a leaf blowing in the wind changing direction at the slightest push. I develop a belief, like playing the draw line in hockey, and then abandon it. So what happens? Games going to OT actually increase from their 25% early season rate. Meanwhile I watch my money boat sail on without me.
Yesterday someone mentioned Soprano and his whereabouts. From what I remembered of his style he’d take huge favorites and play them for jaw dropping amounts of 20 or 40 units, (whatever that means). However, he cleaned up in the post season last year when this trend of heavy chalk covering began. I got news for you all. It hasn’t stopped.
So when artiesliver mentioned this other site he had disappeared to, I had to take a look. Surely he was up ten gazillion units by now. I wasn’t disappointed. Although a hair short of ten gazillion he is having a fabulous year and more power to him. He has a plan…he’s sticking to it…...and it’s paying off. I wish I could say the same about me.
So where do I go from here? I’ve tried playing games on the draw line, parlaying two teamers on the puck line, (taking the goal an a half), first period plays, favorites minus a goal, favorites in regulation, minus a half goal in regualtion, totals, team totals, teasing totals, ……Arrrghhhh. Thank god there isn’t a coin flip in hockey because surely I’d be down with that.
I’m done. I explained to Bushay in a email yesterday that I’ve slowed down my plays considerable opting instead for scalping games. I make pennies on the dollar but at least, I make. Predicting lines moves is far easier than picking who is actually going to win game. At least it is for me…this year….so far.
But in the spirit of HNIC the games, (and losing picks), must go on. So undaunted I offer these plays sure to go horribly wrong. Tailer beware.
Carolina +175 (BetVegasVic)
Carolina TT Over 2.5 +115 (5dimes)
Boson leaves immediately after this game for a five game trip beginning tomorrow in St Louis. Undoubtedly their heads are elsewhere. Matinee meeting, New England snow storm, Christmas rush in Filene’s Basement. Lord knows what’s on their minds but it ain’t hockey. Not today…‘tis the season.
Carolina and Cam Ward are quietly rolling along and winning games. They’ve lost one game in regulation all month. They have endured and recovered from a lengthy laundry list of injured players to find themselves tied for the final spot of the playoffs.
Price is too tempting.
Nashville -.5 regulation -145 (Bookmaker)
Oh man the Islanders are bad. ….and missing. Physically and emotionally. Their injury list would take too long to post here. Last night they lose more in Andy Sutton to a broken foot. The souls remaining look like the walk of the living dead. These guys have lost 10 of their last 11 and have looked really, really bad in doing so. Not your run of a mill 3-2 shootout loses for these guys. 8 loses have been by more than a goal, (a few in the 4 to 7 goal deficit variety).
Nashville fights for every point they can get to make the playoffs. They have a brutal schedule coming up, own a clear advantage in net, are healthy, and always play tough at home. This one won’t be close.
Chicago TT Over 2.5 -140 (5dimes)
Because the Blackhawks have failed to reach 3 goals only 6 times in their last 27 games and Roberto Luongo is watching this one with Mats Sundin on the sidelines.
Parlay
Detroit -315
Pittsburgh -195 (BetVegasVic)
100/99
Because my chalk player parlay loving friend says so.
