Here I am Boys SPA 8/10

[VaultedTreehouse]

I was asked a month ago after winning a handicapping contest to start sharing some of my selections with the board. I will be doing just that for the rest of the Saratoga meet as I warm up for the National Contest in January. I would like to give some reasons for picks rather than simply numbers. I'm a value player so sometimes you will see longshots and sometimes you'll get a 3-1 horse that has a 70% chance of winning a race. I do like Pinny matches and will share some of those as well.

As a rule I don't like betting 2 year old races BUT in Race 2- If Romans horse is live on the board, he is your most likely winner. I have seen this light workout plan from him before. He has a habit of keeping workouts off the charts(no joke--so does Carlos Martin and a few others)

Race 7-- Been burned a number of times so far betting horses with outside posts on the inner. The inner at the SPA is tighter than most anywhere. The mellon plays much fairer. Either way, this race is interesting b/c there looks to be plenty of speed signed on here to keep the pace honest. Theconfidenceman is the play with JR signed on and blinks added. Voss's horse may be a close second, but C Velaz has a habit of getting pieces of races lately especially on the turf where a number of rides have cost me quite a bit on money (save All Trumps where he couldn't screw it up)

Race 8--Will be supplied later.

Race 9- Jenny Joy if Bailey is off the horse. Otherwise, I'll take a shot with the rail horse in here with Coa aboard.

 

[trytrytry]

Vaulted I think Im in heaven right now. Will bookmark the horse forum page directly to see these threads and learn learn learn at the same time.

and for you another

 

[theKRACKON]

good luck Vaulted Treehouse

 

[VaultedTreehouse]

Spoke with my man at the Spa. He's a buyer up there and is actually negotiating the breeding rights for Lost in the Fog as we speak.....Word around the track on that Violette's horse in the 4th is a monster. Clockers said she will be 1-2 to 4-5 in that race so we'll see. I won't bet a baby race at that price, but I thought I'd pass it along.


I like Strategy in the 8th even though you won't get rich betting him in a 5 horse field...My luck I really wanted to play that prop against the Frankel horse on Pinny last night but they took the site down for work. Wake up this morning and the line moved so much that I can't do it anymore. Oh well. I will just bet her to win.

 

[VaultedTreehouse]

I like Royal Rapids here in the first race. A lot of value at 8-1 or better. Sitting at 12-1 with 40 minutes to post. I will bet him across and hope he can get up in time.

 

[G.MONEY]

VAULTED.......Thanks for sharing with us..............

 

[VaultedTreehouse]

Royal Rapids placed 4th at 13-1 after interference. Wasn't thrilled with the ride here, but wouldn't have challenged the top 2 in here at the end.

 

[VaultedTreehouse]

4-1 on Romans is actually not live enough for me. I won't be playing the horse here in Race 2.

 

[VaultedTreehouse]

Spoke with my man at the Spa. He's a buyer up there and is actually negotiating the breeding rights for Lost in the Fog as we speak.....Word around the track on that Violette's horse in the 4th is a monster. Clockers said she will be 1-2 to 4-5 in that race so we'll see. I won't bet a baby race at that price, but I thought I'd pass it along.


A little stunned by the early price on Violette here. Don't know what to think. But I will bet it at these levels.

 

[VaultedTreehouse]

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11

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10-Aug-05


</TD><TD class=accountText vAlign=bottom noWrap>11:38am



10-Aug-05


</TD><TD class=accountText vAlign=bottom noWrap>Future</TD><TD class=accountText vAlign=bottom align=left>Horse Matchups - Saratoga - Race 5 - Ameri...</TD><TD class=accountText vAlign=bottom noWrap align=right>+145</TD><TD class=accountText vAlign=bottom noWrap align=right>103.45</TD><TD class=accountText vAlign=bottom noWrap align=right>150.00</TD></TR><TR class="" id=pitcher10><TD class=accountText colSpan=4></TD><TD class=accountText align=left colSpan=4>Saratoga



Race 5
Americani vs Warm Cookie
Americani


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12

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10-Aug-05


</TD><TD class=accountText vAlign=bottom noWrap>0:00am



10-Aug-05


</TD><TD class=accountText vAlign=bottom noWrap>Horses



Win/Pl.


</TD><TD class=accountText vAlign=bottom align=left>Saratoga, Race #5



1.Americani (KY)


</TD><TD class=accountText vAlign=bottom noWrap align=right></TD><TD class=accountText vAlign=bottom noWrap align=right>100.00</TD><TD class=accountText vAlign=bottom noWrap align=right>N/A</TD></TR><TR class="" id=pitcher11><TD class=accountText colSpan=3></TD><TD class=accountText vAlign=top align=left>(2 x 50.00)</TD><TD class=accountText align=left colSpan=4>1.Americani (KY)</TD></TR><TR bgColor=black height=1 width="100"><TD colSpan=8></TD></TR><TR class=tableText height=30><TD class=accountText vAlign=top noWrap>



13

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10-Aug-05


</TD><TD class=accountText vAlign=bottom noWrap>0:00am



10-Aug-05


</TD><TD class=accountText vAlign=bottom noWrap>Horses



Show


</TD><TD class=accountText vAlign=bottom align=left>Saratoga, Race #5



1.Americani (KY)


</TD><TD class=accountText vAlign=bottom noWrap align=right></TD><TD class=accountText vAlign=bottom noWrap align=right>100.00</TD><TD class=accountText vAlign=bottom noWrap align=right>N/A</TD></TR><TR class="" id=pitcher12><TD class=accountText colSpan=3></TD><TD class=accountText vAlign=top align=left></TD><TD class=accountText align=left colSpan=4>1.Americani (KY)





Saw some posts about matchups with Americani. Wound up playing him with a minute to go as his price was all out of whack. Looks like everyone cashed on this one. Good job guys.



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[VaultedTreehouse]

I'm not betting outside posts in the inner ever again. At least at a flat mile up in Sar...Too much money burned with it.

 

[theKRACKON]

Jenny Joy i will ridek: