Hi everyone,
I hope all is well. For those of you who remember me in the NBA forum, I went on a pretty good streak after the ALL STAR BREAK. My record was documented. I used the double down method. I don't want to go into great details, but will be happy to answer any questions. When I first started my system last season, I had a lot of positive feedback which I used to better my system.
This system takes patience. I need to find the right spot to start betting on or against a team.
All my bets start at $30, if it loses, then $60, if it loses, then $120, if it loses, then that is a system lose.
For those of you who were around last year, you might recall my take on SPREADS.
A spread is there to make the game even.
Vegas does not put out lines of the top of their heads. It is the linesmakers job to come out with the best lines possible. We all sit in front of the computer, researching for hours to find the best bets. Think about it, Vegas linesmakers are doing the same thing. Who are we to think that we are smarter then them. Or that we have access to more information then they do.
My system is simple.
I look at how the teams are doing both SU and ATS for most recently played games, and who their next 3 opponents are. I still handicap the games, but not into so much detail. I put a lot of emphasis on the strength of schedule, both of whom they have just played and who they are about to play.
For example:
Atlanta is at Indiana Wed night.
then Atl plays Utah, then @NY, then Miami.
So let's analyse. Indiana is 1-2 their last 3.
Atl is 2-1 their last 3.
What I'm looking at now is if this is the right spot to bet against Atl. I don't think so, especially since the spread is ATL +14.
I will wait and see the result of this game first. If Atl keeps it close, then I will go against them vs UTAH. Reason is Utah will get a softer line, maybe -7.
If Atl gets smoked, then Utah will get a line around -10, in which case I may not bet. Basically, the situation I am looking for is for Atl to keep it close against Indiana. If Atl could pull out the upset @Indy, then I will definetly bet against Atl vs Utah. I see know way that Atl can cover against Utah, then @NY, and finally vs Miami. Let's say they do cover vs Utah and NY, what line do you think they would get vs Miami? My guess would be Miami -4.
Anyway, I hope this makes sence to everyone, but if you are confused about something, then just ask. All I can say is that I've never felt more confident in my bets then last years second half of the NBA season and the beginning of this year.
In all honousty, I am undocumented, 15-0 on my system picks.
Remember, a system lose is when I lose 3 in a row betting on or against the same team.
lose gm 1 -33
lose gm 2 -66
win gm 3 +120
balance +21
The first reaction out of most of you is, "you only one 21 dollars, and you risked 120 on one bet. That's not a great return."
You're right, but I can't see how this system can lose very often.
Last year, my record was something like 48-2, documented.
So let's say that all my system bets went down to the 3rd game.
I had 48 wins x $21 = $1008
I had 2 loses x -$231= -$462
That's a profit of $538.00
If you started with $60 initial bet, you would have made 538 x2 = $1076.00
Anyway, for those of you who do not know my thread from last year, I apologize for the confusion of this write-up. But again, if you have any questions, please ask and I will try and answer back.
I will begin my picks today.
good luck everyone,
and let's have fun!
#1 Leaf fan
I hope all is well. For those of you who remember me in the NBA forum, I went on a pretty good streak after the ALL STAR BREAK. My record was documented. I used the double down method. I don't want to go into great details, but will be happy to answer any questions. When I first started my system last season, I had a lot of positive feedback which I used to better my system.
This system takes patience. I need to find the right spot to start betting on or against a team.
All my bets start at $30, if it loses, then $60, if it loses, then $120, if it loses, then that is a system lose.
For those of you who were around last year, you might recall my take on SPREADS.
A spread is there to make the game even.
Vegas does not put out lines of the top of their heads. It is the linesmakers job to come out with the best lines possible. We all sit in front of the computer, researching for hours to find the best bets. Think about it, Vegas linesmakers are doing the same thing. Who are we to think that we are smarter then them. Or that we have access to more information then they do.
My system is simple.
I look at how the teams are doing both SU and ATS for most recently played games, and who their next 3 opponents are. I still handicap the games, but not into so much detail. I put a lot of emphasis on the strength of schedule, both of whom they have just played and who they are about to play.
For example:
Atlanta is at Indiana Wed night.
then Atl plays Utah, then @NY, then Miami.
So let's analyse. Indiana is 1-2 their last 3.
Atl is 2-1 their last 3.
What I'm looking at now is if this is the right spot to bet against Atl. I don't think so, especially since the spread is ATL +14.
I will wait and see the result of this game first. If Atl keeps it close, then I will go against them vs UTAH. Reason is Utah will get a softer line, maybe -7.
If Atl gets smoked, then Utah will get a line around -10, in which case I may not bet. Basically, the situation I am looking for is for Atl to keep it close against Indiana. If Atl could pull out the upset @Indy, then I will definetly bet against Atl vs Utah. I see know way that Atl can cover against Utah, then @NY, and finally vs Miami. Let's say they do cover vs Utah and NY, what line do you think they would get vs Miami? My guess would be Miami -4.
Anyway, I hope this makes sence to everyone, but if you are confused about something, then just ask. All I can say is that I've never felt more confident in my bets then last years second half of the NBA season and the beginning of this year.
In all honousty, I am undocumented, 15-0 on my system picks.
Remember, a system lose is when I lose 3 in a row betting on or against the same team.
lose gm 1 -33
lose gm 2 -66
win gm 3 +120
balance +21
The first reaction out of most of you is, "you only one 21 dollars, and you risked 120 on one bet. That's not a great return."
You're right, but I can't see how this system can lose very often.
Last year, my record was something like 48-2, documented.
So let's say that all my system bets went down to the 3rd game.
I had 48 wins x $21 = $1008
I had 2 loses x -$231= -$462
That's a profit of $538.00
If you started with $60 initial bet, you would have made 538 x2 = $1076.00
Anyway, for those of you who do not know my thread from last year, I apologize for the confusion of this write-up. But again, if you have any questions, please ask and I will try and answer back.
I will begin my picks today.
good luck everyone,
and let's have fun!
#1 Leaf fan
