*Hedge Help*

[Sports247]

I've thought of everything I can but I can't really come up with a good hedge for this...help?

$1,000 4 team parlay...I've hit 3 legs with the Orioles Series remaining. All lines were -200ish or under. Parlay pays out $6,600...how could I bet the Royals to lock in 3Kish in profits? If it's not possible what's the best way? Losing the risk amount isnt a big deal so if there isn't a way I can just cheer on the O's and if they lose the world won't stop. Thanks in advance!

 

[Sports247]

Bump

 

[Shub]

I know its really risky but you could take royals TT over 3.5.




\

 

[Shub]

sorry i didn't see series.

 

[PatsFan1283]

I don't follow baseball too closely, what was the line on KC/Balt?

you like won't have 3k in equity

 

[Bourn]

Your best way might be to just wait and hope Baltimore wins a game so you can get KC at a better series price than -425 currently.

 

[Bourn]

Pretty sure it was Balt -130 for the series

 

[PatsFan1283]

er..I mean what is the current line, that is the only relevant info now

KC is -425 right now?

Your equity is like 100 bucks...Not even close to 3k unless Os can turn it around

3k? man your dreaming!

 

[Bourn]

Right

 

[Sports247]

Ya series price in the parlay was -140. As far as hedging since royals will be evenish money or a dog every game I thought I could do something like 1K on royals then next game 2K on royaks. Idk you're probably right I might just sit game 3 out, hope O's win then take royaks for 2K then if that loses and its 2-2 headed back to Bmore toss 1K on o's at maybe 2/1 or something I don't know just thinking out loud! Figured there was so math wiz who could calculate most optimal situation knowing probably remaining lines for royaks will be EV or + money

 

[PatsFan1283]

I mean I can do the math out but theres just no way you can create 3k in risk free equity right now. Need the Os to fight a little

 

[HarryCaray]

I mean I can do the math out but theres just no way you can create 3k in risk free equity right now. Need the Os to fight a little

This

 

[Bourn]

I mean I can do the math out but theres just no way you can create 3k in risk free equity right now. Need the Os to fight a little

Yup.

 

[Sports247]

I'll bump this after the O's pull a winner out in game 3! Thanks guys

 

[Hotpizza]

And when the O's lose game 3 then what? The hedge opportunity is over even if the O's win game 3.

 

[JeffPerry]

Don't hedge, as a matter of fact grab some more Baltimore NOW at those generous odds, sit back and clean up. Royals run is over.

 

[Sports247]

And when the O's lose game 3 then what? The hedge opportunity is over even if the O's win game 3.

Then what? Then I guess I lose a grand lol. And if there is a hedge oppotunity down 0-2 and the O's win game 3 there is every bit as much opportunity at 1-2. Then it pulls in a reasonable Royals series price and also opens up some Royals game lines that make a little more sense with 4 games to go compared to trying to navigate against 5 games.

 

[EverFresh]

buy bitcoin, that quantumdipshit guy says its going to 10,000 per BTC in six months

 

[GoBlue34]

Can you bet the exact series outcome? Meaning Royals win 4-0, 4-1, 4-2, 4-3? I don't know the odds of those but would think some of them are pretty high.

Bet 1,000 on each? Then you should guaranteed a profit one way or the other.

 

[Hotpizza]

The $3,000 hedge is gone and KC run isn't over. Buy some KC wins the World Series

Kansas City Royals vs Baltimore Orioles - American League Championship - Exact Series Result
Tue 10/14 10001 Kansas City Royals wins series 4-0 +250
8:05PM 10002 Not Kansas City Royals in 4 games -300
Tue 10/14 10003 Kansas City Royals wins series 4-1 +250
8:05PM 10004 Not Kansas City Royals in 5 games -300
Tue 10/14 10005 Kansas City Royals wins series 4-2 +395
8:05PM 10006 Not Kansas City Royals in 6 games -495
Tue 10/14 10007 Kansas City Royals wins series 4-3 +800
8:05PM 10008 Not Kansas City Royals in 7 games -1250
Tue 10/14 10013 Baltimore Orioles Team wins series 4-2 +1290
8:05PM 10014 Not Baltimore Orioles in 6 games -2125
Tue 10/14 10015 Baltimore Orioles Team wins series 4-3 +480
8:05PM 10016 Not Baltimore Orioles in 7 game -660
Tue 10/14 10021 KAN/BAL series ends in 6 games +289
8:05PM 10022 KAN/BAL series won't end in 6 games -349
Tue 10/14 10023 KAN/BAL series ends in 7 games +290
8:05PM 10024 KAN/BAL series won't end in 7 games -350
Tue 10/14 10025 Kansas City Royals series games won -1½ -261 o6 +200
8:05PM 10026 Baltimore Orioles series games won +1½ +221 u6 -240
Tue 10/14 10027 Kansas City Royals series games won -2½ -120 o4½,5 -258
8:05PM 10028 Baltimore Orioles series games won +2½ +100 u4½,5 +218
Tue 10/14 10029 Kansas City Royals series games won -1 -377 o5,5½ -132
8:05PM 10030 Baltimore Orioles series games won +1 +314 u5,5½ +112
Tue 10/14 10031 Kansas City Royals series games won -2 -191 o5½,6 +136
8:05PM 10032 Baltimore Orioles series games won +2 +166 u5½,6 -156
Tue 10/14 10033 Kansas City Royals series games won -3 +171 o6,6½ +247
8:05PM 10034 Baltimore Orioles series games won +3 -201 u6,6½ -292
Tue 10/14 10035 Kansas City Royals series games won +1 -1751
8:05PM 10036 Baltimore Orioles series games won -1 +1126
Tue 10/14 10037 Kansas City Royals series games won -½,-1 -405
8:05PM 10038 Baltimore Orioles series games won +½,+1 +328
Tue 10/14 10039 Kansas City Royals series games won -1,-1½ -311
8:05PM 10040 Baltimore Orioles series games won +1,+1½ +256
Tue 10/14 10041 Kansas City Royals series games won -1½,-2 -230
8:05PM 10042 Baltimore Orioles series games won +1½,+2 +190
Tue 10/14 10043 Kansas City Royals series games won -2,-2½ -146
8:05PM 10044 Baltimore Orioles series games won +2,+2½ +126
Tue 10/14 10045 Kansas City Royals series games won -2½,-3 +112
8:05PM 10046 Baltimore Orioles series games won +2½,+3 -132
Tue 10/14 10047 Kansas City Royals series games won -3,-3½ +218
8:05PM 10048 Baltimore Orioles series games won +3,+3½ -258
Tue 10/14 10049 Kansas City Royals series games won +½,+1 -715
8:05PM 10050 Baltimore Orioles series games won -½,-1 +508
Tue 10/14 10051 Kansas City Royals series games won +1,+1½ -1931
8:05PM 10052 Baltimore Orioles series games won -1,-1½ +1216

Tue 10/14 25001 Kansas City Royals win World Series +148
4:05PM 25002 Field wins World Series -168
Tue 10/14 25003 San Francisco Giants win World Series +270
4:05PM 25004 Field wins World Series -320
Tue 10/14 25005 St. Louis Cardinals win World Series +270
4:05PM 25006 Field wins World Series -320
Tue 10/14 25007 Baltimore Orioles win World Series +695
4:05PM 25008 Field wins World Series -990