Colts vs Bengals~ Bet Made Thursday.... Before this line might be moving up before game time
10-26-2017,01:38 PM [ Was On Previous Thread ]
New Orleans vs Chicago
Jeff Sagarin [ King Of Power RatingsThe PREDICTOR, is such that the score is the only thing that matters.
PREDICTOR is also known as PURE_POINTS, BALLANTINE, RHEINGOLD, WHITE OWL
and is a very good PREDICTOR of future games.
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GOLDEN_MEAN also utilizes the actual SCORES of the games in a different way but is also completely SCORE BASED
and thus should be a good match for the PURE POINTS in terms of predictive accuracy for upcoming games.
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The RECENT, is score-based and weights RECENT play more heavily than earlier games. Its effect will become
more pronounced the longer a season goes if a given team happens to have an upward or downward trend.
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The overall RATING is a synthesis of the three different SCORE-BASED methods, PREDICTOR(PURE_POINTS), GOLDEN_MEAN,
and RECENT and thus should be a good predictor in its own right.
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NFL 2017 through games of October 23 Monday - Week No. 7
RATING W L T SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 | PREDICTOR | GOLDEN_MEAN | RECENT
HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 2.24] [ 2.24] [ 2.24] [ 2.24]
1 New England Patriots = 27.55 5 2 0 21.13( 9) 1 1 0 | 3 2 0 | 26.92 2 | 29.89 1 | 26.15 3
2 Kansas City Chiefs = 26.22 5 2 0 23.26( 1) 2 1 0 | 4 1 0 | 26.92 1 | 26.58 2 | 24.14 8
3 Philadelphia Eagles = 25.54 6 1 0 20.59( 11) 0 1 0 | 3 1 0 | 25.50 4 | 25.13 4 | 27.34 1
4 New Orleans Saints = 25.42 4 2 0 22.84( 2) 1 2 0 | 3 2 0 | 26.33 3 | 24.19 6 | 27.05 2
5 Pittsburgh Steelers = 24.53 5 2 0 19.51( 21) 2 1 0 | 2 1 0 | 23.96 6 | 25.36 3 | 24.59 7
6 Seattle Seahawks = 23.99 4 2 0 18.00( 28) 0 1 0 | 1 1 0 | 23.84 7 | 23.91 7 | 24.89 5
7 Minnesota Vikings = 23.43 5 2 0 20.45( 13) 2 1 0 | 2 2 0 | 23.28 9 | 23.17 9 | 24.94 4
8 Green Bay Packers = 23.01 4 3 0 21.52( 6) 2 2 0 | 2 3 0 | 22.97 10 | 24.47 5 | 20.32 17
9 Dallas Cowboys = 22.01 3 3 0 17.74( 31) 0 1 0 | 0 2 0 | 22.90 11 | 22.07 10 | 19.54 19
10 Jacksonville Jaguars = 21.84 4 3 0 19.20( 24) 1 0 0 | 2 1 0 | 24.44 5 | 19.05 23 | 22.80 11
NFL 2017 through games of October 23 Monday - Week No. 7
RATING W L T SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 | PREDICTOR | GOLDEN_MEAN | RECENT
HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 2.24] [ 2.24] [ 2.24] [ 2.24]
11 Atlanta Falcons = 21.80 3 3 0 21.29( 8) 1 1 0 | 2 1 0 | 21.36 15 | 23.25 8 | 19.92 18
12 Houston Texans = 21.78 3 3 0 19.52( 20) 0 3 0 | 0 3 0 | 22.53 12 | 20.51 15 | 23.24 9
13 Los Angeles Rams = 21.57 5 2 0 17.94( 29) 2 1 0 | 2 2 0 | 23.45 8 | 18.69 24 | 24.70 6
14 Detroit Lions = 21.45 3 3 0 20.65( 10) 1 1 0 | 1 3 0 | 22.14 13 | 20.83 13 | 21.18 14
15 Carolina Panthers = 20.77 4 3 0 21.55( 5) 1 2 0 | 2 2 0 | 20.73 16 | 21.92 11 | 18.18 22
16 Washington Redskins = 20.71 3 3 0 22.03( 4) 0 3 0 | 1 3 0 | 20.14 20 | 20.79 14 | 22.53 12
17 Los Angeles Chargers = 20.69 3 4 0 20.54( 12) 0 2 0 | 0 2 0 | 21.40 14 | 19.86 18 | 20.84 16
18 Buffalo Bills = 20.50 4 2 0 19.03( 25) 0 0 0 | 1 1 0 | 20.62 17 | 19.58 19 | 22.85 10
19 Oakland Raiders = 20.15 3 4 0 19.44( 23) 1 0 0 | 1 1 0 | 20.16 19 | 21.55 12 | 16.45 27
20 Tampa Bay Buccaneers = 19.74 2 4 0 20.26( 14) 0 2 0 | 0 2 0 | 20.22 18 | 20.38 16 | 16.46 26
NFL 2017 through games of October 23 Monday - Week No. 7
RATING W L T SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 | PREDICTOR | GOLDEN_MEAN | RECENT
HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 2.24] [ 2.24] [ 2.24] [ 2.24]
21 Denver Broncos = 19.01 3 3 0 19.51( 22) 1 0 0 | 1 0 0 | 18.97 21 | 20.34 17 | 15.16 29
22 Baltimore Ravens = 18.40 3 4 0 19.60( 18) 0 3 0 | 0 3 0 | 18.15 22 | 19.25 21 | 16.99 25
23 Miami Dolphins = 18.39 4 2 0 19.69( 16) 0 1 0 | 1 1 0 | 16.38 27 | 19.57 20 | 20.91 15
24 Tennessee Titans = 17.99 4 3 0 18.64( 27) 2 0 0 | 2 1 0 | 17.21 26 | 19.12 22 | 17.44 23
25 Cincinnati Bengals = 17.84 2 4 0 19.55( 19) 0 2 0 | 0 3 0 | 17.71 23 | 17.81 26 | 18.44 21
26 Chicago Bears = 17.67 3 4 0 21.34( 7) 1 2 0 | 2 3 0 | 17.26 25 | 16.43 28 | 21.68 13
27 New York Giants = 17.53 1 6 0 22.05( 3) 0 3 0 | 0 4 0 | 17.31 24 | 17.95 25 | 17.23 24
28 Arizona Cardinals = 14.98 3 4 0 18.98( 26) 0 2 0 | 0 4 0 | 12.43 29 | 16.50 27 | 16.16 28
29 New York Jets = 14.88 3 4 0 19.86( 15) 1 1 0 | 1 1 0 | 14.75 28 | 12.53 30 | 18.56 20
30 Indianapolis Colts = 11.43 2 5 0 16.91( 32) 0 2 0 | 0 3 0 | 9.06 32 | 12.79 29 | 11.74 30
NFL 2017 through games of October 23 Monday - Week No. 7
RATING W L T SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 | PREDICTOR | GOLDEN_MEAN | RECENT
HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 2.24] [ 2.24] [ 2.24] [ 2.24]
31 San Francisco 49ers = 10.09 0 7 0 19.64( 17) 0 2 0 | 0 5 0 | 11.03 30 | 8.57 31 | 9.45 31
32 Cleveland Browns = 9.09 0 7 0 17.76( 30) 0 1 0 | 0 2 0 | 9.93 31 | 7.96 32 | 8.14 32
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Divisional Rankings
There are three group ratings, the "central mean", the
"simple average" (also known as the "arithmetic mean",)
and the WIN50%.
The "central mean" gives the most weight to the middle team(s)
in the group and progressively less weight to teams as you go
away from the middle in either direction, up or down.
This tends to smooth out the effect of anomalous teams that are rated
much higher and lower than the middle team(s) in the group. The
"simple average" ("arithmetic mean") weights each team equally
no matter where they are relative to the middle.
Here are a few examples of how the "central mean" is computed.
4-team group ___ the weights are 1-2-2-1
5-team group ___ the weights are 1-2-3-2-1
6-team group ___ the weights are 1-2-3-3-2-1
7-team group ___ the weights are 1-2-3-4-3-2-1
8-team group ___ the weights are 1-2-3-4-4-3-2-1
9-team group ___ the weights are 1-2-3-4-5-4-3-2-1
10-team group ___ the weights are 1-2-3-4-5-5-4-3-2-1
11-team group ___ the weights are 1-2-3-4-5-6-5-4-3-2-1
12-team group ___ the weights are 1-2-3-4-5-6-6-5-4-3-2-1
13-team group ___ the weights are 1-2-3-4-5-6-7-6-5-4-3-2-1
This is an expanded version of the "tri-mean".
The WIN50% is the rating required to win 50% of the games if playing an
infinite number of round-robins in the given group at a neutral location.
DIVISION CENTRAL MEAN SIMPLE AVERAGE TEAMS WIN50%
1 (NFC SOUTH) = 21.72 21.93 ( 1) 4 21.91 ( 1)
2 (NFC NORTH) = 21.67 21.39 ( 4) 4 21.41 ( 4)
3 (NFC EAST) = 21.42 21.45 ( 3) 4 21.44 ( 3)
4 (afc west) = 21.15 21.52 ( 2) 4 21.47 ( 2)
5 (afc east) = 20.04 20.33 ( 5) 4 20.23 ( 5)
6 (afc south) = 18.80 18.26 ( 6) 4 18.37 ( 6)
7 (NFC WEST) = 17.86 17.66 ( 7) 4 17.72 ( 7)
8 (afc north) = 17.68 17.47 ( 8) 4 17.57 ( 8)
DIVISION CENTRAL MEAN SIMPLE AVERAGE TEAMS WIN50%
3 (NFC EAST) = 21.42 21.45 ( 3) 4 21.44 ( 3)
2 (NFC NORTH) = 21.67 21.39 ( 4) 4 21.41 ( 4)
1 (NFC SOUTH) = 21.72 21.93 ( 1) 4 21.91 ( 1)
7 (NFC WEST) = 17.86 17.66 ( 7) 4 17.72 ( 7)
5 (afc east) = 20.04 20.33 ( 5) 4 20.23 ( 5)
8 (afc north) = 17.68 17.47 ( 8) 4 17.57 ( 8)
6 (afc south) = 18.80 18.26 ( 6) 4 18.37 ( 6)
4 (afc west) = 21.15 21.52 ( 2) 4 21.47 ( 2)
______________________________________________________________________________________________________
By Division
________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
3 (NFC EAST) = 21.42 21.45 ( 3) TEAMS= 4 21.44 ( 3)
NFL 2017 through games of October 23 Monday - Week No. 7
RATING W L T SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 | PREDICTOR | GOLDEN_MEAN | RECENT
HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 2.24] [ 2.24] [ 2.24] [ 2.24]
3 Philadelphia Eagles = 25.54 6 1 0 20.59( 11) 0 1 0 | 3 1 0 | 25.50 4 | 25.13 4 | 27.34 1
9 Dallas Cowboys = 22.01 3 3 0 17.74( 31) 0 1 0 | 0 2 0 | 22.90 11 | 22.07 10 | 19.54 19
16 Washington Redskins = 20.71 3 3 0 22.03( 4) 0 3 0 | 1 3 0 | 20.14 20 | 20.79 14 | 22.53 12
27 New York Giants = 17.53 1 6 0 22.05( 3) 0 3 0 | 0 4 0 | 17.31 24 | 17.95 25 | 17.23 24
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2 (NFC NORTH) = 21.67 21.39 ( 4) TEAMS= 4 21.41 ( 4)
NFL 2017 through games of October 23 Monday - Week No. 7
RATING W L T SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 | PREDICTOR | GOLDEN_MEAN | RECENT
HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 2.24] [ 2.24] [ 2.24] [ 2.24]
7 Minnesota Vikings = 23.43 5 2 0 20.45( 13) 2 1 0 | 2 2 0 | 23.28 9 | 23.17 9 | 24.94 4
8 Green Bay Packers = 23.01 4 3 0 21.52( 6) 2 2 0 | 2 3 0 | 22.97 10 | 24.47 5 | 20.32 17
14 Detroit Lions = 21.45 3 3 0 20.65( 10) 1 1 0 | 1 3 0 | 22.14 13 | 20.83 13 | 21.18 14
26 Chicago Bears = 17.67 3 4 0 21.34( 7) 1 2 0 | 2 3 0 | 17.26 25 | 16.43 28 | 21.68 13
________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
1 (NFC SOUTH) = 21.72 21.93 ( 1) TEAMS= 4 21.91 ( 1)
NFL 2017 through games of October 23 Monday - Week No. 7
RATING W L T SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 | PREDICTOR | GOLDEN_MEAN | RECENT
HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 2.24] [ 2.24] [ 2.24] [ 2.24]
4 New Orleans Saints = 25.42 4 2 0 22.84( 2) 1 2 0 | 3 2 0 | 26.33 3 | 24.19 6 | 27.05 2
11 Atlanta Falcons = 21.80 3 3 0 21.29( 8) 1 1 0 | 2 1 0 | 21.36 15 | 23.25 8 | 19.92 18
15 Carolina Panthers = 20.77 4 3 0 21.55( 5) 1 2 0 | 2 2 0 | 20.73 16 | 21.92 11 | 18.18 22
20 Tampa Bay Buccaneers = 19.74 2 4 0 20.26( 14) 0 2 0 | 0 2 0 | 20.22 18 | 20.38 16 | 16.46 26
________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
7 (NFC WEST) = 17.86 17.66 ( 7) TEAMS= 4 17.72 ( 7)
NFL 2017 through games of October 23 Monday - Week No. 7
RATING W L T SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 | PREDICTOR | GOLDEN_MEAN | RECENT
HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 2.24] [ 2.24] [ 2.24] [ 2.24]
6 Seattle Seahawks = 23.99 4 2 0 18.00( 28) 0 1 0 | 1 1 0 | 23.84 7 | 23.91 7 | 24.89 5
13 Los Angeles Rams = 21.57 5 2 0 17.94( 29) 2 1 0 | 2 2 0 | 23.45 8 | 18.69 24 | 24.70 6
28 Arizona Cardinals = 14.98 3 4 0 18.98( 26) 0 2 0 | 0 4 0 | 12.43 29 | 16.50 27 | 16.16 28
31 San Francisco 49ers = 10.09 0 7 0 19.64( 17) 0 2 0 | 0 5 0 | 11.03 30 | 8.57 31 | 9.45 31
________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
5 (afc east) = 20.04 20.33 ( 5) TEAMS= 4 20.23 ( 5)
NFL 2017 through games of October 23 Monday - Week No. 7
RATING W L T SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 | PREDICTOR | GOLDEN_MEAN | RECENT
HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 2.24] [ 2.24] [ 2.24] [ 2.24]
1 New England Patriots = 27.55 5 2 0 21.13( 9) 1 1 0 | 3 2 0 | 26.92 2 | 29.89 1 | 26.15 3
18 Buffalo Bills = 20.50 4 2 0 19.03( 25) 0 0 0 | 1 1 0 | 20.62 17 | 19.58 19 | 22.85 10
23 Miami Dolphins = 18.39 4 2 0 19.69( 16) 0 1 0 | 1 1 0 | 16.38 27 | 19.57 20 | 20.91 15
29 New York Jets = 14.88 3 4 0 19.86( 15) 1 1 0 | 1 1 0 | 14.75 28 | 12.53 30 | 18.56 20
________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
8 (afc north) = 17.68 17.47 ( 8) TEAMS= 4 17.57 ( 8)
NFL 2017 through games of October 23 Monday - Week No. 7
RATING W L T SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 | PREDICTOR | GOLDEN_MEAN | RECENT
HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 2.24] [ 2.24] [ 2.24] [ 2.24]
5 Pittsburgh Steelers = 24.53 5 2 0 19.51( 21) 2 1 0 | 2 1 0 | 23.96 6 | 25.36 3 | 24.59 7
22 Baltimore Ravens = 18.40 3 4 0 19.60( 18) 0 3 0 | 0 3 0 | 18.15 22 | 19.25 21 | 16.99 25
25 Cincinnati Bengals = 17.84 2 4 0 19.55( 19) 0 2 0 | 0 3 0 | 17.71 23 | 17.81 26 | 18.44 21
32 Cleveland Browns = 9.09 0 7 0 17.76( 30) 0 1 0 | 0 2 0 | 9.93 31 | 7.96 32 | 8.14 32
________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
6 (afc south) = 18.80 18.26 ( 6) TEAMS= 4 18.37 ( 6)
NFL 2017 through games of October 23 Monday - Week No. 7
RATING W L T SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 | PREDICTOR | GOLDEN_MEAN | RECENT
HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 2.24] [ 2.24] [ 2.24] [ 2.24]
10 Jacksonville Jaguars = 21.84 4 3 0 19.20( 24) 1 0 0 | 2 1 0 | 24.44 5 | 19.05 23 | 22.80 11
12 Houston Texans = 21.78 3 3 0 19.52( 20) 0 3 0 | 0 3 0 | 22.53 12 | 20.51 15 | 23.24 9
24 Tennessee Titans = 17.99 4 3 0 18.64( 27) 2 0 0 | 2 1 0 | 17.21 26 | 19.12 22 | 17.44 23
30 Indianapolis Colts = 11.43 2 5 0 16.91( 32) 0 2 0 | 0 3 0 | 9.06 32 | 12.79 29 | 11.74 30
________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
4 (afc west) = 21.15 21.52 ( 2) TEAMS= 4 21.47 ( 2)
NFL 2017 through games of October 23 Monday - Week No. 7
RATING W L T SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 | PREDICTOR | GOLDEN_MEAN | RECENT
HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 2.24] [ 2.24] [ 2.24] [ 2.24]
2 Kansas City Chiefs = 26.22 5 2 0 23.26( 1) 2 1 0 | 4 1 0 | 26.92 1 | 26.58 2 | 24.14 8
17 Los Angeles Chargers = 20.69 3 4 0 20.54( 12) 0 2 0 | 0 2 0 | 21.40 14 | 19.86 18 | 20.84 16
19 Oakland Raiders = 20.15 3 4 0 19.44( 23) 1 0 0 | 1 1 0 | 20.16 19 | 21.55 12 | 16.45 27
21 Denver Broncos = 19.01 3 3 0 19.51( 22) 1 0 0 | 1 0 0 | 18.97 21 | 20.34 17 | 15.16 29
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New_Feature
HOME team in CAPS (if both teams in lower case, game is at neutral location)
The HOME ADVANTAGE has been factored in for all HOME and CLOSEBY games. No home edge is applied in neutral games.
In a CLOSEBY game, half of the normal home advantage has been applied.
Regular Method Predictions "New Feature" Offense-Defense Method Predictions
FAVORITE Rating Points Gold Recent UNDERDOG FAVORITE WINNER LOSER SPREAD TOTAL UNDERDOG
===========================================================================================================================
pittsburgh steel 0.84 -0.42 2.29 1.16 DETROIT LIONS pittsburgh steel 27.53 - 25.27 2.26 52.80 DETROIT LIONS
WASHINGTON REDSK 0.95 -0.52 0.96 5.23 dallas cowboys WASHINGTON REDSK 26.79 - 23.30 3.49 50.09 dallas cowboys
TAMPA BAY BUCCAN 1.21 1.73 0.70 0.52 carolina panther carolina panther 22.85 - 21.00 1.85 43.86 TAMPA BAY BUCCAN
BALTIMORE RAVENS 2.25 4.01 1.93 -1.68 miami dolphins BALTIMORE RAVENS 16.91 - 12.90 4.01 29.81 miami dolphins
BUFFALO BILLS 2.59 2.70 0.27 8.65 oakland raiders BUFFALO BILLS 19.15 - 16.25 2.91 35.40 oakland raiders
SEATTLE SEAHAWKS 4.45 3.56 5.64 3.89 houston texans houston texans 22.01 - 20.40 1.61 42.41 SEATTLE SEAHAWKS
atlanta falcons 4.67 4.36 8.48 -0.89 NEW YORK JETS atlanta falcons 25.11 - 24.13 0.99 49.24 NEW YORK JETS
CINCINNATI BENGA 8.65 10.89 7.27 8.94 indianapolis col CINCINNATI BENGA 27.53 - 12.42 15.11 39.95 indianapolis col
NEW ENGLAND PATR 9.11 7.76 12.27 7.55 los angeles char NEW ENGLAND PATR 25.24 - 17.37 7.87 42.62 los angeles char
KANSAS CITY CHIE 9.45 10.19 8.49 11.22 denver broncos KANSAS CITY CHIE 30.47 - 14.43 16.03 44.90 denver broncos
NEW ORLEANS SAIN 9.99 11.31 10.00 7.61 chicago bears NEW ORLEANS SAIN 29.78 - 16.24 13.54 46.02 chicago bears
minnesota viking 14.35 13.35 15.21 16.80 cleveland browns minnesota viking 21.16 - 6.45 14.71 27.61 cleveland browns
PHILADELPHIA EAG 17.70 16.71 18.80 20.14 san francisco 49 PHILADELPHIA EAG 38.69 - 15.93 22.76 54.63 san francisco 49
===========================================================================================================================
COMBO is the combining of the ELO and the BLUE. ELO and BLUE are set to be on the same scale
and so are directly comparable and of course the COMBO is set to that same scale.
ELO uses only who the winner and loser was of each game and of course the game location.
So the difference in ELO between winning by 1 and losing by 1 is very large.
BLUE cares only about the score and game location and so in BLUE, the difference between
winning by 1 and losing by 1 is simply only 2 points which would be the same difference
as winning by 20 as compared to winning by 18 ... very small.
BLUE is an acronym which stands for "BestLinearUnbiasedEstimator" also known as "pure-least-squares."
The ELO and the BLUE and thus the COMBO are all "unbiased" in that they consider only results from the season in question.
Starting ratings have no bearing at all.
Predictions for these ratings are found below at the bottom of the file.
___________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
NFL 2017 through games of October 23 Monday - Week No. 7
HOME ADVANTAGE= [ 0.93] [ 0.37] [ 1.48]
COMBO W L T SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10| VS top16 ELO BLUE
1 Kansas City Chiefs = 30.67 5 2 0 24.20( 1) 3 1 0| 4 1 0 30.31( 2) 31.30( 1)
2 Philadelphia Eagles = 29.09 6 1 0 21.26( 9) 3 1 0| 4 1 0 30.50( 1) 28.16( 4)
3 New Orleans Saints = 27.87 4 2 0 23.35( 3) 2 2 0| 4 2 0 27.31( 5) 28.72( 3)
4 New England Patriots = 27.15 5 2 0 22.63( 4) 1 2 0| 2 2 0 27.46( 4) 27.05( 5)
5 Pittsburgh Steelers = 26.56 5 2 0 19.82( 20) 2 0 0| 2 0 0 28.19( 3) 25.42( 8)
6 Minnesota Vikings = 25.60 5 2 0 20.96( 11) 1 1 0| 2 2 0 26.93( 6) 24.63( 9)
7 Los Angeles Rams = 23.74 5 2 0 16.40( 29) 0 1 0| 0 1 0 21.54( 13) 26.72( 6)
8 Jacksonville Jaguars = 23.48 4 3 0 19.48( 22) 1 0 0| 1 1 0 19.73( 18) 29.50( 2)
9 Washington Redskins = 23.24 3 3 0 24.12( 2) 0 3 0| 1 3 0 23.82( 10) 22.89( 10)
10 Buffalo Bills = 23.04 4 2 0 19.00( 24) 0 1 0| 2 1 0 24.90( 9) 21.58( 14)
NFL 2017 through games of October 23 Monday - Week No. 7
HOME ADVANTAGE= [ 0.93] [ 0.37] [ 1.48]
COMBO W L T SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10| VS top16 ELO BLUE
11 Carolina Panthers = 22.77 4 3 0 22.56( 5) 2 2 0| 3 2 0 25.18( 7) 20.88( 16)
12 Houston Texans = 22.36 3 3 0 20.15( 17) 0 2 0| 0 2 0 19.50( 21) 26.03( 7)
13 Green Bay Packers = 21.96 4 3 0 21.01( 10) 0 2 0| 0 3 0 22.39( 12) 21.73( 13)
14 Atlanta Falcons = 21.55 3 3 0 21.94( 6) 0 3 0| 2 3 0 23.09( 11) 20.29( 17)
15 Los Angeles Chargers = 21.01 3 4 0 21.27( 8) 0 3 0| 1 4 0 20.45( 15) 21.79( 12)
16 Detroit Lions = 20.95 3 3 0 20.70( 15) 1 2 0| 1 3 0 20.54( 14) 21.57( 15)
17 Seattle Seahawks = 20.82 4 2 0 15.58( 32) 0 0 0| 1 1 0 19.66( 19) 22.22( 11)
18 Miami Dolphins = 20.77 4 2 0 20.76( 13) 0 1 0| 2 1 0 25.15( 8) 16.95( 24)
19 Oakland Raiders = 19.18 3 4 0 20.69( 16) 1 1 0| 1 3 0 18.27( 23) 20.27( 18)
20 Denver Broncos = 19.09 3 3 0 19.06( 23) 0 1 0| 1 2 0 20.37( 16) 17.99( 20)
NFL 2017 through games of October 23 Monday - Week No. 7
HOME ADVANTAGE= [ 0.93] [ 0.37] [ 1.48]
COMBO W L T SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10| VS top16 ELO BLUE
21 Dallas Cowboys = 18.43 3 3 0 16.35( 30) 0 0 0| 0 3 0 16.79( 25) 20.18( 19)
22 Chicago Bears = 18.26 3 4 0 21.73( 7) 2 1 0| 2 3 0 19.79( 17) 16.86( 25)
23 New York Jets = 18.09 3 4 0 20.70( 14) 1 3 0| 1 3 0 19.52( 20) 16.79( 26)
24 Tennessee Titans = 17.54 4 3 0 17.85( 26) 0 1 0| 0 1 0 19.25( 22) 15.88( 27)
25 Baltimore Ravens = 17.48 3 4 0 19.73( 21) 0 2 0| 0 2 0 17.44( 24) 17.73( 22)
26 Tampa Bay Buccaneers = 17.10 2 4 0 20.05( 18) 0 3 0| 0 3 0 16.55( 26) 17.84( 21)
27 Cincinnati Bengals = 15.68 2 4 0 20.03( 19) 1 1 0| 1 2 0 13.44( 28) 17.70( 23)
28 New York Giants = 13.10 1 6 0 20.83( 12) 0 1 0| 1 3 0 10.04( 29) 15.32( 28)
29 Arizona Cardinals = 12.77 3 4 0 17.80( 28) 0 1 0| 0 3 0 15.61( 27) 7.59( 31)
30 Indianapolis Colts = 7.67 2 5 0 16.08( 31) 0 0 0| 0 1 0 9.84( 30) 1.98( 32)
NFL 2017 through games of October 23 Monday - Week No. 7
HOME ADVANTAGE= [ 0.93] [ 0.37] [ 1.48]
COMBO W L T SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10| VS top16 ELO BLUE
31 San Francisco 49ers = 6.91 0 7 0 18.89( 25) 0 2 0| 0 3 0 3.48( 31) 8.70( 29)
32 Cleveland Browns = 6.05 0 7 0 17.81( 27) 0 1 0| 0 1 0 2.95( 32) 7.72( 30)
___________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
DIVISION WIN50% ARITH.MEAN TEAMS
1 (NFC SOUTH) = 22.31 22.32 4 ( 2)
2 (afc east) = 22.23 22.26 4 ( 3)
3 (afc west) = 22.19 22.49 4 ( 1)
4 (NFC NORTH) = 21.68 21.69 4 ( 4)
5 (NFC EAST) = 20.94 20.97 4 ( 5)
6 (afc south) = 18.18 17.76 4 ( 6)
7 (afc north) = 16.49 16.44 4 ( 7)
8 (NFC WEST) = 16.18 16.06 4 ( 8)
DIVISION WIN50% ARITH.MEAN TEAMS
5 (NFC EAST) = 20.94 20.97 4 ( 5)
4 (NFC NORTH) = 21.68 21.69 4 ( 4)
1 (NFC SOUTH) = 22.31 22.32 4 ( 2)
8 (NFC WEST) = 16.18 16.06 4 ( 8)
2 (afc east) = 22.23 22.26 4 ( 3)
7 (afc north) = 16.49 16.44 4 ( 7)
6 (afc south) = 18.18 17.76 4 ( 6)
3 (afc west) = 22.19 22.49 4 ( 1)
___________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
5 (NFC EAST) = 20.94 20.97
NFL 2017 through games of October 23 Monday - Week No. 7
HOME ADVANTAGE= [ 0.93] [ 0.37] [ 1.48]
COMBO W L T SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10| VS top16 ELO BLUE
2 Philadelphia Eagles = 29.09 6 1 0 21.26( 9) 3 1 0| 4 1 0 30.50( 1) 28.16( 4)
9 Washington Redskins = 23.24 3 3 0 24.12( 2) 0 3 0| 1 3 0 23.82( 10) 22.89( 10)
21 Dallas Cowboys = 18.43 3 3 0 16.35( 30) 0 0 0| 0 3 0 16.79( 25) 20.18( 19)
28 New York Giants = 13.10 1 6 0 20.83( 12) 0 1 0| 1 3 0 10.04( 29) 15.32( 28)
___________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
4 (NFC NORTH) = 21.68 21.69
NFL 2017 through games of October 23 Monday - Week No. 7
HOME ADVANTAGE= [ 0.93] [ 0.37] [ 1.48]
COMBO W L T SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10| VS top16 ELO BLUE
6 Minnesota Vikings = 25.60 5 2 0 20.96( 11) 1 1 0| 2 2 0 26.93( 6) 24.63( 9)
13 Green Bay Packers = 21.96 4 3 0 21.01( 10) 0 2 0| 0 3 0 22.39( 12) 21.73( 13)
16 Detroit Lions = 20.95 3 3 0 20.70( 15) 1 2 0| 1 3 0 20.54( 14) 21.57( 15)
22 Chicago Bears = 18.26 3 4 0 21.73( 7) 2 1 0| 2 3 0 19.79( 17) 16.86( 25)
___________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
1 (NFC SOUTH) = 22.31 22.32
NFL 2017 through games of October 23 Monday - Week No. 7
HOME ADVANTAGE= [ 0.93] [ 0.37] [ 1.48]
COMBO W L T SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10| VS top16 ELO BLUE
3 New Orleans Saints = 27.87 4 2 0 23.35( 3) 2 2 0| 4 2 0 27.31( 5) 28.72( 3)
11 Carolina Panthers = 22.77 4 3 0 22.56( 5) 2 2 0| 3 2 0 25.18( 7) 20.88( 16)
14 Atlanta Falcons = 21.55 3 3 0 21.94( 6) 0 3 0| 2 3 0 23.09( 11) 20.29( 17)
26 Tampa Bay Buccaneers = 17.10 2 4 0 20.05( 18) 0 3 0| 0 3 0 16.55( 26) 17.84( 21)
___________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
8 (NFC WEST) = 16.18 16.06
NFL 2017 through games of October 23 Monday - Week No. 7
HOME ADVANTAGE= [ 0.93] [ 0.37] [ 1.48]
COMBO W L T SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10| VS top16 ELO BLUE
7 Los Angeles Rams = 23.74 5 2 0 16.40( 29) 0 1 0| 0 1 0 21.54( 13) 26.72( 6)
17 Seattle Seahawks = 20.82 4 2 0 15.58( 32) 0 0 0| 1 1 0 19.66( 19) 22.22( 11)
29 Arizona Cardinals = 12.77 3 4 0 17.80( 28) 0 1 0| 0 3 0 15.61( 27) 7.59( 31)
31 San Francisco 49ers = 6.91 0 7 0 18.89( 25) 0 2 0| 0 3 0 3.48( 31) 8.70( 29)
___________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
2 (afc east) = 22.23 22.26
NFL 2017 through games of October 23 Monday - Week No. 7
HOME ADVANTAGE= [ 0.93] [ 0.37] [ 1.48]
COMBO W L T SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10| VS top16 ELO BLUE
4 New England Patriots = 27.15 5 2 0 22.63( 4) 1 2 0| 2 2 0 27.46( 4) 27.05( 5)
10 Buffalo Bills = 23.04 4 2 0 19.00( 24) 0 1 0| 2 1 0 24.90( 9) 21.58( 14)
18 Miami Dolphins = 20.77 4 2 0 20.76( 13) 0 1 0| 2 1 0 25.15( 8) 16.95( 24)
23 New York Jets = 18.09 3 4 0 20.70( 14) 1 3 0| 1 3 0 19.52( 20) 16.79( 26)
___________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
7 (afc north) = 16.49 16.44
NFL 2017 through games of October 23 Monday - Week No. 7
HOME ADVANTAGE= [ 0.93] [ 0.37] [ 1.48]
COMBO W L T SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10| VS top16 ELO BLUE
5 Pittsburgh Steelers = 26.56 5 2 0 19.82( 20) 2 0 0| 2 0 0 28.19( 3) 25.42( 8)
25 Baltimore Ravens = 17.48 3 4 0 19.73( 21) 0 2 0| 0 2 0 17.44( 24) 17.73( 22)
27 Cincinnati Bengals = 15.68 2 4 0 20.03( 19) 1 1 0| 1 2 0 13.44( 28) 17.70( 23)
32 Cleveland Browns = 6.05 0 7 0 17.81( 27) 0 1 0| 0 1 0 2.95( 32) 7.72( 30)
___________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
6 (afc south) = 18.18 17.76
NFL 2017 through games of October 23 Monday - Week No. 7
HOME ADVANTAGE= [ 0.93] [ 0.37] [ 1.48]
COMBO W L T SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10| VS top16 ELO BLUE
8 Jacksonville Jaguars = 23.48 4 3 0 19.48( 22) 1 0 0| 1 1 0 19.73( 18) 29.50( 2)
12 Houston Texans = 22.36 3 3 0 20.15( 17) 0 2 0| 0 2 0 19.50( 21) 26.03( 7)
24 Tennessee Titans = 17.54 4 3 0 17.85( 26) 0 1 0| 0 1 0 19.25( 22) 15.88( 27)
30 Indianapolis Colts = 7.67 2 5 0 16.08( 31) 0 0 0| 0 1 0 9.84( 30) 1.98( 32)
___________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
3 (afc west) = 22.19 22.49
NFL 2017 through games of October 23 Monday - Week No. 7
HOME ADVANTAGE= [ 0.93] [ 0.37] [ 1.48]
COMBO W L T SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10| VS top16 ELO BLUE
1 Kansas City Chiefs = 30.67 5 2 0 24.20( 1) 3 1 0| 4 1 0 30.31( 2) 31.30( 1)
15 Los Angeles Chargers = 21.01 3 4 0 21.27( 8) 0 3 0| 1 4 0 20.45( 15) 21.79( 12)
19 Oakland Raiders = 19.18 3 4 0 20.69( 16) 1 1 0| 1 3 0 18.27( 23) 20.27( 18)
20 Denver Broncos = 19.09 3 3 0 19.06( 23) 0 1 0| 1 2 0 20.37( 16) 17.99( 20)
___________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
end_ratings
FAVORITE Combo Elo Blue UNDERDOG
Houston Texans 0.62 -0.53 2.34 @ Seattle Seahawks *** Elo and Blue DIFFER on who will win
Miami Dolphins 2.37 7.34 -2.25 @ Baltimore Ravens *** Elo and Blue DIFFER on who will win
Atlanta Falcons 2.54 3.19 2.03 @ New York Jets
Pittsburgh Steelers 4.68 7.27 2.37 @ Detroit Lions
Carolina Panthers 4.74 8.26 1.56 @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers
@ Buffalo Bills 4.79 7.00 2.79 Oakland Raiders
@ Washington Redskins 5.74 7.41 4.19 Dallas Cowboys
@ New England Patriots 7.06 7.38 6.74 Los Angeles Chargers
@ Cincinnati Bengals 8.94 3.97 17.20 Indianapolis Colts
@ New Orleans Saints 10.53 7.90 13.33 Chicago Bears
@ Kansas City Chiefs 12.50 10.31 14.78 Denver Broncos
N Minnesota Vikings 19.55 23.99 16.91 @ Cleveland Browns
@ Philadelphia Eagles 23.11 27.39 20.93 San Francisco 49ers
FAVORITE Combo Elo Blue UNDERDOG
10-26-2017,01:38 PM [ Was On Previous Thread ]
Coach Chuck Pagano is in serious position in my option, what I have read analyzing this game for bet Sunday. I see no reason why the Colts win another game this year. I look for Pagano be fired in 2018 and he could be fired even before season ends. CIN is in must win situation at home after be crushed by there rival PIT, that was embarrassing 29-14. Colts after Sunday’s 27-0 home embarrassment against Jacksonville, QB Jacoby Brissett was sacked 10 times and hit a total of 20 ,absolutely no offensive line and most of all no team spirit, I just can't imagine there locker room situation as power rating at #31 with SF at #32. I see this game 28-10, and 28-3,or 24-10 CIN wins by 2 touchdowns at home. Bengals defense will dominate against the Colts with no problem. Group 25 NFL Football Outsiders Powering rating [Cleveland OH]>>>> Point Spread with there calculations + 11 1/2 in this match up according to DVAXN>>> there advantage point > Defensive Yards CIN vs IND + 12.5 CIN/// Offensive points CIN + 14 plus points. My bet that I have already made today to be on safe side with touch down and field goal. I am buying 1/2 point to make the favorite CIN -10 [-$135 ]Bet 7 X $///>>>>instead of current spread of -10 1/2 & First half -6 1/2 - 10 for 5x $ &Money Line $-550 for X 15$ [ Huge] I am also adding> With a press includes last week win Dallas Cowboys Vs San Fresco 49ers -$255 15 X$ added & Press onBills Game Includeslast week win>Money Line $-145 X10$ [ Big] added to this bet[ a colossal bet total of all my wins on money line going on this game > Bet at Ceasars > [ Bet It All Or Sleep In The Hall] !!!! Good Luck Hat[ Luck Is Based On Percentage Points ]
Dallas vs Washington The controversy and distraction caused by Foster’s unwise move, plus the realization of how disastrous the ‘Skins injuries might be in such an important contest, give Dallas a 70% to 75% chance to win ATS or straight up. The Stats make this game close but Defensive total yards, Defensive points and But The offensive points in this match + 5 DAL. Key factor here is Cowboys are one of the best running teams in the NFL. Offensive line is in serious problems with injury's .Washington isn’t balanced enough on offense, and they’re banged up on both sides of the ball. If Washington were fully healthy, this could be different, but because of that Dallas wins. It will still be close because it always is with these two. Caesars -1 1/2-10 My Bet.Buying 1/2 point -1 Dallas -$135 Plus 1 st Half Dallas -1/2-110
New Orleans vs Chicago
Drew Brees is showing why he still has some left in the tank. In their 26-17 win against the Packers, Brees completed 27 of his 38 passes for 3331 yards and a touchdown. The running game was also on top of its own game. Both running backs Mark Ingram and Alvin Kamara finished the day with 162 total rushing yards and one touchdown. Total yards of play New Orleans > 412.0 To CHI 301.2 . Chicago has been getting pretty lucky with their defense and poor opposing quarterback performances >> defense yard New Orleans 365.7 To Chicago 301.5. DVAXN Group 25 NFL Football Outsiders Powering Rating & There Calculated Point Spreads [Cleveland OH] Power Rating + 10 New Orleans & Calculated Point Spread -11 New Orleans. Bobby Lancer power rating[ Saint Paul Minnesota] >>> CHI 17.43>Total Score 28.50 NO //// CHI 158.57 >Passing Yards 269.33 NO ////CHI 126.00 Rushing Yards 121.67 NO //// CHI 30:08 Time on Field 31:23 NO /// New Orleans by +12 1/2. This is the game where everyone will take notice of the New Orleans Saints. My Pick: New Orleans (-8) I am buying 1/2 point to make the favorite New Orleans - 8 [-$135 ] From Current Line -8 1/2 [Ceasars]
Reverse bets contain two "if bet" sequences, and you must lay down an equal amount for each one: an My Bet for $330 is $660 as a reverse bet >>>My Bet >New Orleans+ Dallas Side & Dallas+ New Orleans Side......The advantage of playing reverse bets is that you are still able to limit your exposure to losses while expanding the possible combinations that will produce winning wagers.
Jeff Sagarin [ King Of Power RatingsThe PREDICTOR, is such that the score is the only thing that matters.
PREDICTOR is also known as PURE_POINTS, BALLANTINE, RHEINGOLD, WHITE OWL
and is a very good PREDICTOR of future games.
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
GOLDEN_MEAN also utilizes the actual SCORES of the games in a different way but is also completely SCORE BASED
and thus should be a good match for the PURE POINTS in terms of predictive accuracy for upcoming games.
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
The RECENT, is score-based and weights RECENT play more heavily than earlier games. Its effect will become
more pronounced the longer a season goes if a given team happens to have an upward or downward trend.
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
The overall RATING is a synthesis of the three different SCORE-BASED methods, PREDICTOR(PURE_POINTS), GOLDEN_MEAN,
and RECENT and thus should be a good predictor in its own right.
________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
NFL 2017 through games of October 23 Monday - Week No. 7
RATING W L T SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 | PREDICTOR | GOLDEN_MEAN | RECENT
HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 2.24] [ 2.24] [ 2.24] [ 2.24]
1 New England Patriots = 27.55 5 2 0 21.13( 9) 1 1 0 | 3 2 0 | 26.92 2 | 29.89 1 | 26.15 3
2 Kansas City Chiefs = 26.22 5 2 0 23.26( 1) 2 1 0 | 4 1 0 | 26.92 1 | 26.58 2 | 24.14 8
3 Philadelphia Eagles = 25.54 6 1 0 20.59( 11) 0 1 0 | 3 1 0 | 25.50 4 | 25.13 4 | 27.34 1
4 New Orleans Saints = 25.42 4 2 0 22.84( 2) 1 2 0 | 3 2 0 | 26.33 3 | 24.19 6 | 27.05 2
5 Pittsburgh Steelers = 24.53 5 2 0 19.51( 21) 2 1 0 | 2 1 0 | 23.96 6 | 25.36 3 | 24.59 7
6 Seattle Seahawks = 23.99 4 2 0 18.00( 28) 0 1 0 | 1 1 0 | 23.84 7 | 23.91 7 | 24.89 5
7 Minnesota Vikings = 23.43 5 2 0 20.45( 13) 2 1 0 | 2 2 0 | 23.28 9 | 23.17 9 | 24.94 4
8 Green Bay Packers = 23.01 4 3 0 21.52( 6) 2 2 0 | 2 3 0 | 22.97 10 | 24.47 5 | 20.32 17
9 Dallas Cowboys = 22.01 3 3 0 17.74( 31) 0 1 0 | 0 2 0 | 22.90 11 | 22.07 10 | 19.54 19
10 Jacksonville Jaguars = 21.84 4 3 0 19.20( 24) 1 0 0 | 2 1 0 | 24.44 5 | 19.05 23 | 22.80 11
NFL 2017 through games of October 23 Monday - Week No. 7
RATING W L T SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 | PREDICTOR | GOLDEN_MEAN | RECENT
HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 2.24] [ 2.24] [ 2.24] [ 2.24]
11 Atlanta Falcons = 21.80 3 3 0 21.29( 8) 1 1 0 | 2 1 0 | 21.36 15 | 23.25 8 | 19.92 18
12 Houston Texans = 21.78 3 3 0 19.52( 20) 0 3 0 | 0 3 0 | 22.53 12 | 20.51 15 | 23.24 9
13 Los Angeles Rams = 21.57 5 2 0 17.94( 29) 2 1 0 | 2 2 0 | 23.45 8 | 18.69 24 | 24.70 6
14 Detroit Lions = 21.45 3 3 0 20.65( 10) 1 1 0 | 1 3 0 | 22.14 13 | 20.83 13 | 21.18 14
15 Carolina Panthers = 20.77 4 3 0 21.55( 5) 1 2 0 | 2 2 0 | 20.73 16 | 21.92 11 | 18.18 22
16 Washington Redskins = 20.71 3 3 0 22.03( 4) 0 3 0 | 1 3 0 | 20.14 20 | 20.79 14 | 22.53 12
17 Los Angeles Chargers = 20.69 3 4 0 20.54( 12) 0 2 0 | 0 2 0 | 21.40 14 | 19.86 18 | 20.84 16
18 Buffalo Bills = 20.50 4 2 0 19.03( 25) 0 0 0 | 1 1 0 | 20.62 17 | 19.58 19 | 22.85 10
19 Oakland Raiders = 20.15 3 4 0 19.44( 23) 1 0 0 | 1 1 0 | 20.16 19 | 21.55 12 | 16.45 27
20 Tampa Bay Buccaneers = 19.74 2 4 0 20.26( 14) 0 2 0 | 0 2 0 | 20.22 18 | 20.38 16 | 16.46 26
NFL 2017 through games of October 23 Monday - Week No. 7
RATING W L T SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 | PREDICTOR | GOLDEN_MEAN | RECENT
HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 2.24] [ 2.24] [ 2.24] [ 2.24]
21 Denver Broncos = 19.01 3 3 0 19.51( 22) 1 0 0 | 1 0 0 | 18.97 21 | 20.34 17 | 15.16 29
22 Baltimore Ravens = 18.40 3 4 0 19.60( 18) 0 3 0 | 0 3 0 | 18.15 22 | 19.25 21 | 16.99 25
23 Miami Dolphins = 18.39 4 2 0 19.69( 16) 0 1 0 | 1 1 0 | 16.38 27 | 19.57 20 | 20.91 15
24 Tennessee Titans = 17.99 4 3 0 18.64( 27) 2 0 0 | 2 1 0 | 17.21 26 | 19.12 22 | 17.44 23
25 Cincinnati Bengals = 17.84 2 4 0 19.55( 19) 0 2 0 | 0 3 0 | 17.71 23 | 17.81 26 | 18.44 21
26 Chicago Bears = 17.67 3 4 0 21.34( 7) 1 2 0 | 2 3 0 | 17.26 25 | 16.43 28 | 21.68 13
27 New York Giants = 17.53 1 6 0 22.05( 3) 0 3 0 | 0 4 0 | 17.31 24 | 17.95 25 | 17.23 24
28 Arizona Cardinals = 14.98 3 4 0 18.98( 26) 0 2 0 | 0 4 0 | 12.43 29 | 16.50 27 | 16.16 28
29 New York Jets = 14.88 3 4 0 19.86( 15) 1 1 0 | 1 1 0 | 14.75 28 | 12.53 30 | 18.56 20
30 Indianapolis Colts = 11.43 2 5 0 16.91( 32) 0 2 0 | 0 3 0 | 9.06 32 | 12.79 29 | 11.74 30
NFL 2017 through games of October 23 Monday - Week No. 7
RATING W L T SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 | PREDICTOR | GOLDEN_MEAN | RECENT
HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 2.24] [ 2.24] [ 2.24] [ 2.24]
31 San Francisco 49ers = 10.09 0 7 0 19.64( 17) 0 2 0 | 0 5 0 | 11.03 30 | 8.57 31 | 9.45 31
32 Cleveland Browns = 9.09 0 7 0 17.76( 30) 0 1 0 | 0 2 0 | 9.93 31 | 7.96 32 | 8.14 32
________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Divisional Rankings
There are three group ratings, the "central mean", the
"simple average" (also known as the "arithmetic mean",)
and the WIN50%.
The "central mean" gives the most weight to the middle team(s)
in the group and progressively less weight to teams as you go
away from the middle in either direction, up or down.
This tends to smooth out the effect of anomalous teams that are rated
much higher and lower than the middle team(s) in the group. The
"simple average" ("arithmetic mean") weights each team equally
no matter where they are relative to the middle.
Here are a few examples of how the "central mean" is computed.
4-team group ___ the weights are 1-2-2-1
5-team group ___ the weights are 1-2-3-2-1
6-team group ___ the weights are 1-2-3-3-2-1
7-team group ___ the weights are 1-2-3-4-3-2-1
8-team group ___ the weights are 1-2-3-4-4-3-2-1
9-team group ___ the weights are 1-2-3-4-5-4-3-2-1
10-team group ___ the weights are 1-2-3-4-5-5-4-3-2-1
11-team group ___ the weights are 1-2-3-4-5-6-5-4-3-2-1
12-team group ___ the weights are 1-2-3-4-5-6-6-5-4-3-2-1
13-team group ___ the weights are 1-2-3-4-5-6-7-6-5-4-3-2-1
This is an expanded version of the "tri-mean".
The WIN50% is the rating required to win 50% of the games if playing an
infinite number of round-robins in the given group at a neutral location.
DIVISION CENTRAL MEAN SIMPLE AVERAGE TEAMS WIN50%
1 (NFC SOUTH) = 21.72 21.93 ( 1) 4 21.91 ( 1)
2 (NFC NORTH) = 21.67 21.39 ( 4) 4 21.41 ( 4)
3 (NFC EAST) = 21.42 21.45 ( 3) 4 21.44 ( 3)
4 (afc west) = 21.15 21.52 ( 2) 4 21.47 ( 2)
5 (afc east) = 20.04 20.33 ( 5) 4 20.23 ( 5)
6 (afc south) = 18.80 18.26 ( 6) 4 18.37 ( 6)
7 (NFC WEST) = 17.86 17.66 ( 7) 4 17.72 ( 7)
8 (afc north) = 17.68 17.47 ( 8) 4 17.57 ( 8)
DIVISION CENTRAL MEAN SIMPLE AVERAGE TEAMS WIN50%
3 (NFC EAST) = 21.42 21.45 ( 3) 4 21.44 ( 3)
2 (NFC NORTH) = 21.67 21.39 ( 4) 4 21.41 ( 4)
1 (NFC SOUTH) = 21.72 21.93 ( 1) 4 21.91 ( 1)
7 (NFC WEST) = 17.86 17.66 ( 7) 4 17.72 ( 7)
5 (afc east) = 20.04 20.33 ( 5) 4 20.23 ( 5)
8 (afc north) = 17.68 17.47 ( 8) 4 17.57 ( 8)
6 (afc south) = 18.80 18.26 ( 6) 4 18.37 ( 6)
4 (afc west) = 21.15 21.52 ( 2) 4 21.47 ( 2)
______________________________________________________________________________________________________
By Division
________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
3 (NFC EAST) = 21.42 21.45 ( 3) TEAMS= 4 21.44 ( 3)
NFL 2017 through games of October 23 Monday - Week No. 7
RATING W L T SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 | PREDICTOR | GOLDEN_MEAN | RECENT
HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 2.24] [ 2.24] [ 2.24] [ 2.24]
3 Philadelphia Eagles = 25.54 6 1 0 20.59( 11) 0 1 0 | 3 1 0 | 25.50 4 | 25.13 4 | 27.34 1
9 Dallas Cowboys = 22.01 3 3 0 17.74( 31) 0 1 0 | 0 2 0 | 22.90 11 | 22.07 10 | 19.54 19
16 Washington Redskins = 20.71 3 3 0 22.03( 4) 0 3 0 | 1 3 0 | 20.14 20 | 20.79 14 | 22.53 12
27 New York Giants = 17.53 1 6 0 22.05( 3) 0 3 0 | 0 4 0 | 17.31 24 | 17.95 25 | 17.23 24
________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
2 (NFC NORTH) = 21.67 21.39 ( 4) TEAMS= 4 21.41 ( 4)
NFL 2017 through games of October 23 Monday - Week No. 7
RATING W L T SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 | PREDICTOR | GOLDEN_MEAN | RECENT
HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 2.24] [ 2.24] [ 2.24] [ 2.24]
7 Minnesota Vikings = 23.43 5 2 0 20.45( 13) 2 1 0 | 2 2 0 | 23.28 9 | 23.17 9 | 24.94 4
8 Green Bay Packers = 23.01 4 3 0 21.52( 6) 2 2 0 | 2 3 0 | 22.97 10 | 24.47 5 | 20.32 17
14 Detroit Lions = 21.45 3 3 0 20.65( 10) 1 1 0 | 1 3 0 | 22.14 13 | 20.83 13 | 21.18 14
26 Chicago Bears = 17.67 3 4 0 21.34( 7) 1 2 0 | 2 3 0 | 17.26 25 | 16.43 28 | 21.68 13
________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
1 (NFC SOUTH) = 21.72 21.93 ( 1) TEAMS= 4 21.91 ( 1)
NFL 2017 through games of October 23 Monday - Week No. 7
RATING W L T SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 | PREDICTOR | GOLDEN_MEAN | RECENT
HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 2.24] [ 2.24] [ 2.24] [ 2.24]
4 New Orleans Saints = 25.42 4 2 0 22.84( 2) 1 2 0 | 3 2 0 | 26.33 3 | 24.19 6 | 27.05 2
11 Atlanta Falcons = 21.80 3 3 0 21.29( 8) 1 1 0 | 2 1 0 | 21.36 15 | 23.25 8 | 19.92 18
15 Carolina Panthers = 20.77 4 3 0 21.55( 5) 1 2 0 | 2 2 0 | 20.73 16 | 21.92 11 | 18.18 22
20 Tampa Bay Buccaneers = 19.74 2 4 0 20.26( 14) 0 2 0 | 0 2 0 | 20.22 18 | 20.38 16 | 16.46 26
________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
7 (NFC WEST) = 17.86 17.66 ( 7) TEAMS= 4 17.72 ( 7)
NFL 2017 through games of October 23 Monday - Week No. 7
RATING W L T SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 | PREDICTOR | GOLDEN_MEAN | RECENT
HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 2.24] [ 2.24] [ 2.24] [ 2.24]
6 Seattle Seahawks = 23.99 4 2 0 18.00( 28) 0 1 0 | 1 1 0 | 23.84 7 | 23.91 7 | 24.89 5
13 Los Angeles Rams = 21.57 5 2 0 17.94( 29) 2 1 0 | 2 2 0 | 23.45 8 | 18.69 24 | 24.70 6
28 Arizona Cardinals = 14.98 3 4 0 18.98( 26) 0 2 0 | 0 4 0 | 12.43 29 | 16.50 27 | 16.16 28
31 San Francisco 49ers = 10.09 0 7 0 19.64( 17) 0 2 0 | 0 5 0 | 11.03 30 | 8.57 31 | 9.45 31
________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
5 (afc east) = 20.04 20.33 ( 5) TEAMS= 4 20.23 ( 5)
NFL 2017 through games of October 23 Monday - Week No. 7
RATING W L T SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 | PREDICTOR | GOLDEN_MEAN | RECENT
HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 2.24] [ 2.24] [ 2.24] [ 2.24]
1 New England Patriots = 27.55 5 2 0 21.13( 9) 1 1 0 | 3 2 0 | 26.92 2 | 29.89 1 | 26.15 3
18 Buffalo Bills = 20.50 4 2 0 19.03( 25) 0 0 0 | 1 1 0 | 20.62 17 | 19.58 19 | 22.85 10
23 Miami Dolphins = 18.39 4 2 0 19.69( 16) 0 1 0 | 1 1 0 | 16.38 27 | 19.57 20 | 20.91 15
29 New York Jets = 14.88 3 4 0 19.86( 15) 1 1 0 | 1 1 0 | 14.75 28 | 12.53 30 | 18.56 20
________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
8 (afc north) = 17.68 17.47 ( 8) TEAMS= 4 17.57 ( 8)
NFL 2017 through games of October 23 Monday - Week No. 7
RATING W L T SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 | PREDICTOR | GOLDEN_MEAN | RECENT
HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 2.24] [ 2.24] [ 2.24] [ 2.24]
5 Pittsburgh Steelers = 24.53 5 2 0 19.51( 21) 2 1 0 | 2 1 0 | 23.96 6 | 25.36 3 | 24.59 7
22 Baltimore Ravens = 18.40 3 4 0 19.60( 18) 0 3 0 | 0 3 0 | 18.15 22 | 19.25 21 | 16.99 25
25 Cincinnati Bengals = 17.84 2 4 0 19.55( 19) 0 2 0 | 0 3 0 | 17.71 23 | 17.81 26 | 18.44 21
32 Cleveland Browns = 9.09 0 7 0 17.76( 30) 0 1 0 | 0 2 0 | 9.93 31 | 7.96 32 | 8.14 32
________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
6 (afc south) = 18.80 18.26 ( 6) TEAMS= 4 18.37 ( 6)
NFL 2017 through games of October 23 Monday - Week No. 7
RATING W L T SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 | PREDICTOR | GOLDEN_MEAN | RECENT
HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 2.24] [ 2.24] [ 2.24] [ 2.24]
10 Jacksonville Jaguars = 21.84 4 3 0 19.20( 24) 1 0 0 | 2 1 0 | 24.44 5 | 19.05 23 | 22.80 11
12 Houston Texans = 21.78 3 3 0 19.52( 20) 0 3 0 | 0 3 0 | 22.53 12 | 20.51 15 | 23.24 9
24 Tennessee Titans = 17.99 4 3 0 18.64( 27) 2 0 0 | 2 1 0 | 17.21 26 | 19.12 22 | 17.44 23
30 Indianapolis Colts = 11.43 2 5 0 16.91( 32) 0 2 0 | 0 3 0 | 9.06 32 | 12.79 29 | 11.74 30
________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
4 (afc west) = 21.15 21.52 ( 2) TEAMS= 4 21.47 ( 2)
NFL 2017 through games of October 23 Monday - Week No. 7
RATING W L T SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 | PREDICTOR | GOLDEN_MEAN | RECENT
HOME ADVANTAGE=[ 2.24] [ 2.24] [ 2.24] [ 2.24]
2 Kansas City Chiefs = 26.22 5 2 0 23.26( 1) 2 1 0 | 4 1 0 | 26.92 1 | 26.58 2 | 24.14 8
17 Los Angeles Chargers = 20.69 3 4 0 20.54( 12) 0 2 0 | 0 2 0 | 21.40 14 | 19.86 18 | 20.84 16
19 Oakland Raiders = 20.15 3 4 0 19.44( 23) 1 0 0 | 1 1 0 | 20.16 19 | 21.55 12 | 16.45 27
21 Denver Broncos = 19.01 3 3 0 19.51( 22) 1 0 0 | 1 0 0 | 18.97 21 | 20.34 17 | 15.16 29
________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
New_Feature
HOME team in CAPS (if both teams in lower case, game is at neutral location)
The HOME ADVANTAGE has been factored in for all HOME and CLOSEBY games. No home edge is applied in neutral games.
In a CLOSEBY game, half of the normal home advantage has been applied.
Regular Method Predictions "New Feature" Offense-Defense Method Predictions
FAVORITE Rating Points Gold Recent UNDERDOG FAVORITE WINNER LOSER SPREAD TOTAL UNDERDOG
===========================================================================================================================
pittsburgh steel 0.84 -0.42 2.29 1.16 DETROIT LIONS pittsburgh steel 27.53 - 25.27 2.26 52.80 DETROIT LIONS
WASHINGTON REDSK 0.95 -0.52 0.96 5.23 dallas cowboys WASHINGTON REDSK 26.79 - 23.30 3.49 50.09 dallas cowboys
TAMPA BAY BUCCAN 1.21 1.73 0.70 0.52 carolina panther carolina panther 22.85 - 21.00 1.85 43.86 TAMPA BAY BUCCAN
BALTIMORE RAVENS 2.25 4.01 1.93 -1.68 miami dolphins BALTIMORE RAVENS 16.91 - 12.90 4.01 29.81 miami dolphins
BUFFALO BILLS 2.59 2.70 0.27 8.65 oakland raiders BUFFALO BILLS 19.15 - 16.25 2.91 35.40 oakland raiders
SEATTLE SEAHAWKS 4.45 3.56 5.64 3.89 houston texans houston texans 22.01 - 20.40 1.61 42.41 SEATTLE SEAHAWKS
atlanta falcons 4.67 4.36 8.48 -0.89 NEW YORK JETS atlanta falcons 25.11 - 24.13 0.99 49.24 NEW YORK JETS
CINCINNATI BENGA 8.65 10.89 7.27 8.94 indianapolis col CINCINNATI BENGA 27.53 - 12.42 15.11 39.95 indianapolis col
NEW ENGLAND PATR 9.11 7.76 12.27 7.55 los angeles char NEW ENGLAND PATR 25.24 - 17.37 7.87 42.62 los angeles char
KANSAS CITY CHIE 9.45 10.19 8.49 11.22 denver broncos KANSAS CITY CHIE 30.47 - 14.43 16.03 44.90 denver broncos
NEW ORLEANS SAIN 9.99 11.31 10.00 7.61 chicago bears NEW ORLEANS SAIN 29.78 - 16.24 13.54 46.02 chicago bears
minnesota viking 14.35 13.35 15.21 16.80 cleveland browns minnesota viking 21.16 - 6.45 14.71 27.61 cleveland browns
PHILADELPHIA EAG 17.70 16.71 18.80 20.14 san francisco 49 PHILADELPHIA EAG 38.69 - 15.93 22.76 54.63 san francisco 49
===========================================================================================================================
COMBO is the combining of the ELO and the BLUE. ELO and BLUE are set to be on the same scale
and so are directly comparable and of course the COMBO is set to that same scale.
ELO uses only who the winner and loser was of each game and of course the game location.
So the difference in ELO between winning by 1 and losing by 1 is very large.
BLUE cares only about the score and game location and so in BLUE, the difference between
winning by 1 and losing by 1 is simply only 2 points which would be the same difference
as winning by 20 as compared to winning by 18 ... very small.
BLUE is an acronym which stands for "BestLinearUnbiasedEstimator" also known as "pure-least-squares."
The ELO and the BLUE and thus the COMBO are all "unbiased" in that they consider only results from the season in question.
Starting ratings have no bearing at all.
Predictions for these ratings are found below at the bottom of the file.
___________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
NFL 2017 through games of October 23 Monday - Week No. 7
HOME ADVANTAGE= [ 0.93] [ 0.37] [ 1.48]
COMBO W L T SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10| VS top16 ELO BLUE
1 Kansas City Chiefs = 30.67 5 2 0 24.20( 1) 3 1 0| 4 1 0 30.31( 2) 31.30( 1)
2 Philadelphia Eagles = 29.09 6 1 0 21.26( 9) 3 1 0| 4 1 0 30.50( 1) 28.16( 4)
3 New Orleans Saints = 27.87 4 2 0 23.35( 3) 2 2 0| 4 2 0 27.31( 5) 28.72( 3)
4 New England Patriots = 27.15 5 2 0 22.63( 4) 1 2 0| 2 2 0 27.46( 4) 27.05( 5)
5 Pittsburgh Steelers = 26.56 5 2 0 19.82( 20) 2 0 0| 2 0 0 28.19( 3) 25.42( 8)
6 Minnesota Vikings = 25.60 5 2 0 20.96( 11) 1 1 0| 2 2 0 26.93( 6) 24.63( 9)
7 Los Angeles Rams = 23.74 5 2 0 16.40( 29) 0 1 0| 0 1 0 21.54( 13) 26.72( 6)
8 Jacksonville Jaguars = 23.48 4 3 0 19.48( 22) 1 0 0| 1 1 0 19.73( 18) 29.50( 2)
9 Washington Redskins = 23.24 3 3 0 24.12( 2) 0 3 0| 1 3 0 23.82( 10) 22.89( 10)
10 Buffalo Bills = 23.04 4 2 0 19.00( 24) 0 1 0| 2 1 0 24.90( 9) 21.58( 14)
NFL 2017 through games of October 23 Monday - Week No. 7
HOME ADVANTAGE= [ 0.93] [ 0.37] [ 1.48]
COMBO W L T SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10| VS top16 ELO BLUE
11 Carolina Panthers = 22.77 4 3 0 22.56( 5) 2 2 0| 3 2 0 25.18( 7) 20.88( 16)
12 Houston Texans = 22.36 3 3 0 20.15( 17) 0 2 0| 0 2 0 19.50( 21) 26.03( 7)
13 Green Bay Packers = 21.96 4 3 0 21.01( 10) 0 2 0| 0 3 0 22.39( 12) 21.73( 13)
14 Atlanta Falcons = 21.55 3 3 0 21.94( 6) 0 3 0| 2 3 0 23.09( 11) 20.29( 17)
15 Los Angeles Chargers = 21.01 3 4 0 21.27( 8) 0 3 0| 1 4 0 20.45( 15) 21.79( 12)
16 Detroit Lions = 20.95 3 3 0 20.70( 15) 1 2 0| 1 3 0 20.54( 14) 21.57( 15)
17 Seattle Seahawks = 20.82 4 2 0 15.58( 32) 0 0 0| 1 1 0 19.66( 19) 22.22( 11)
18 Miami Dolphins = 20.77 4 2 0 20.76( 13) 0 1 0| 2 1 0 25.15( 8) 16.95( 24)
19 Oakland Raiders = 19.18 3 4 0 20.69( 16) 1 1 0| 1 3 0 18.27( 23) 20.27( 18)
20 Denver Broncos = 19.09 3 3 0 19.06( 23) 0 1 0| 1 2 0 20.37( 16) 17.99( 20)
NFL 2017 through games of October 23 Monday - Week No. 7
HOME ADVANTAGE= [ 0.93] [ 0.37] [ 1.48]
COMBO W L T SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10| VS top16 ELO BLUE
21 Dallas Cowboys = 18.43 3 3 0 16.35( 30) 0 0 0| 0 3 0 16.79( 25) 20.18( 19)
22 Chicago Bears = 18.26 3 4 0 21.73( 7) 2 1 0| 2 3 0 19.79( 17) 16.86( 25)
23 New York Jets = 18.09 3 4 0 20.70( 14) 1 3 0| 1 3 0 19.52( 20) 16.79( 26)
24 Tennessee Titans = 17.54 4 3 0 17.85( 26) 0 1 0| 0 1 0 19.25( 22) 15.88( 27)
25 Baltimore Ravens = 17.48 3 4 0 19.73( 21) 0 2 0| 0 2 0 17.44( 24) 17.73( 22)
26 Tampa Bay Buccaneers = 17.10 2 4 0 20.05( 18) 0 3 0| 0 3 0 16.55( 26) 17.84( 21)
27 Cincinnati Bengals = 15.68 2 4 0 20.03( 19) 1 1 0| 1 2 0 13.44( 28) 17.70( 23)
28 New York Giants = 13.10 1 6 0 20.83( 12) 0 1 0| 1 3 0 10.04( 29) 15.32( 28)
29 Arizona Cardinals = 12.77 3 4 0 17.80( 28) 0 1 0| 0 3 0 15.61( 27) 7.59( 31)
30 Indianapolis Colts = 7.67 2 5 0 16.08( 31) 0 0 0| 0 1 0 9.84( 30) 1.98( 32)
NFL 2017 through games of October 23 Monday - Week No. 7
HOME ADVANTAGE= [ 0.93] [ 0.37] [ 1.48]
COMBO W L T SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10| VS top16 ELO BLUE
31 San Francisco 49ers = 6.91 0 7 0 18.89( 25) 0 2 0| 0 3 0 3.48( 31) 8.70( 29)
32 Cleveland Browns = 6.05 0 7 0 17.81( 27) 0 1 0| 0 1 0 2.95( 32) 7.72( 30)
___________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
DIVISION WIN50% ARITH.MEAN TEAMS
1 (NFC SOUTH) = 22.31 22.32 4 ( 2)
2 (afc east) = 22.23 22.26 4 ( 3)
3 (afc west) = 22.19 22.49 4 ( 1)
4 (NFC NORTH) = 21.68 21.69 4 ( 4)
5 (NFC EAST) = 20.94 20.97 4 ( 5)
6 (afc south) = 18.18 17.76 4 ( 6)
7 (afc north) = 16.49 16.44 4 ( 7)
8 (NFC WEST) = 16.18 16.06 4 ( 8)
DIVISION WIN50% ARITH.MEAN TEAMS
5 (NFC EAST) = 20.94 20.97 4 ( 5)
4 (NFC NORTH) = 21.68 21.69 4 ( 4)
1 (NFC SOUTH) = 22.31 22.32 4 ( 2)
8 (NFC WEST) = 16.18 16.06 4 ( 8)
2 (afc east) = 22.23 22.26 4 ( 3)
7 (afc north) = 16.49 16.44 4 ( 7)
6 (afc south) = 18.18 17.76 4 ( 6)
3 (afc west) = 22.19 22.49 4 ( 1)
___________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
5 (NFC EAST) = 20.94 20.97
NFL 2017 through games of October 23 Monday - Week No. 7
HOME ADVANTAGE= [ 0.93] [ 0.37] [ 1.48]
COMBO W L T SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10| VS top16 ELO BLUE
2 Philadelphia Eagles = 29.09 6 1 0 21.26( 9) 3 1 0| 4 1 0 30.50( 1) 28.16( 4)
9 Washington Redskins = 23.24 3 3 0 24.12( 2) 0 3 0| 1 3 0 23.82( 10) 22.89( 10)
21 Dallas Cowboys = 18.43 3 3 0 16.35( 30) 0 0 0| 0 3 0 16.79( 25) 20.18( 19)
28 New York Giants = 13.10 1 6 0 20.83( 12) 0 1 0| 1 3 0 10.04( 29) 15.32( 28)
___________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
4 (NFC NORTH) = 21.68 21.69
NFL 2017 through games of October 23 Monday - Week No. 7
HOME ADVANTAGE= [ 0.93] [ 0.37] [ 1.48]
COMBO W L T SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10| VS top16 ELO BLUE
6 Minnesota Vikings = 25.60 5 2 0 20.96( 11) 1 1 0| 2 2 0 26.93( 6) 24.63( 9)
13 Green Bay Packers = 21.96 4 3 0 21.01( 10) 0 2 0| 0 3 0 22.39( 12) 21.73( 13)
16 Detroit Lions = 20.95 3 3 0 20.70( 15) 1 2 0| 1 3 0 20.54( 14) 21.57( 15)
22 Chicago Bears = 18.26 3 4 0 21.73( 7) 2 1 0| 2 3 0 19.79( 17) 16.86( 25)
___________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
1 (NFC SOUTH) = 22.31 22.32
NFL 2017 through games of October 23 Monday - Week No. 7
HOME ADVANTAGE= [ 0.93] [ 0.37] [ 1.48]
COMBO W L T SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10| VS top16 ELO BLUE
3 New Orleans Saints = 27.87 4 2 0 23.35( 3) 2 2 0| 4 2 0 27.31( 5) 28.72( 3)
11 Carolina Panthers = 22.77 4 3 0 22.56( 5) 2 2 0| 3 2 0 25.18( 7) 20.88( 16)
14 Atlanta Falcons = 21.55 3 3 0 21.94( 6) 0 3 0| 2 3 0 23.09( 11) 20.29( 17)
26 Tampa Bay Buccaneers = 17.10 2 4 0 20.05( 18) 0 3 0| 0 3 0 16.55( 26) 17.84( 21)
___________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
8 (NFC WEST) = 16.18 16.06
NFL 2017 through games of October 23 Monday - Week No. 7
HOME ADVANTAGE= [ 0.93] [ 0.37] [ 1.48]
COMBO W L T SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10| VS top16 ELO BLUE
7 Los Angeles Rams = 23.74 5 2 0 16.40( 29) 0 1 0| 0 1 0 21.54( 13) 26.72( 6)
17 Seattle Seahawks = 20.82 4 2 0 15.58( 32) 0 0 0| 1 1 0 19.66( 19) 22.22( 11)
29 Arizona Cardinals = 12.77 3 4 0 17.80( 28) 0 1 0| 0 3 0 15.61( 27) 7.59( 31)
31 San Francisco 49ers = 6.91 0 7 0 18.89( 25) 0 2 0| 0 3 0 3.48( 31) 8.70( 29)
___________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
2 (afc east) = 22.23 22.26
NFL 2017 through games of October 23 Monday - Week No. 7
HOME ADVANTAGE= [ 0.93] [ 0.37] [ 1.48]
COMBO W L T SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10| VS top16 ELO BLUE
4 New England Patriots = 27.15 5 2 0 22.63( 4) 1 2 0| 2 2 0 27.46( 4) 27.05( 5)
10 Buffalo Bills = 23.04 4 2 0 19.00( 24) 0 1 0| 2 1 0 24.90( 9) 21.58( 14)
18 Miami Dolphins = 20.77 4 2 0 20.76( 13) 0 1 0| 2 1 0 25.15( 8) 16.95( 24)
23 New York Jets = 18.09 3 4 0 20.70( 14) 1 3 0| 1 3 0 19.52( 20) 16.79( 26)
___________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
7 (afc north) = 16.49 16.44
NFL 2017 through games of October 23 Monday - Week No. 7
HOME ADVANTAGE= [ 0.93] [ 0.37] [ 1.48]
COMBO W L T SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10| VS top16 ELO BLUE
5 Pittsburgh Steelers = 26.56 5 2 0 19.82( 20) 2 0 0| 2 0 0 28.19( 3) 25.42( 8)
25 Baltimore Ravens = 17.48 3 4 0 19.73( 21) 0 2 0| 0 2 0 17.44( 24) 17.73( 22)
27 Cincinnati Bengals = 15.68 2 4 0 20.03( 19) 1 1 0| 1 2 0 13.44( 28) 17.70( 23)
32 Cleveland Browns = 6.05 0 7 0 17.81( 27) 0 1 0| 0 1 0 2.95( 32) 7.72( 30)
___________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
6 (afc south) = 18.18 17.76
NFL 2017 through games of October 23 Monday - Week No. 7
HOME ADVANTAGE= [ 0.93] [ 0.37] [ 1.48]
COMBO W L T SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10| VS top16 ELO BLUE
8 Jacksonville Jaguars = 23.48 4 3 0 19.48( 22) 1 0 0| 1 1 0 19.73( 18) 29.50( 2)
12 Houston Texans = 22.36 3 3 0 20.15( 17) 0 2 0| 0 2 0 19.50( 21) 26.03( 7)
24 Tennessee Titans = 17.54 4 3 0 17.85( 26) 0 1 0| 0 1 0 19.25( 22) 15.88( 27)
30 Indianapolis Colts = 7.67 2 5 0 16.08( 31) 0 0 0| 0 1 0 9.84( 30) 1.98( 32)
___________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
3 (afc west) = 22.19 22.49
NFL 2017 through games of October 23 Monday - Week No. 7
HOME ADVANTAGE= [ 0.93] [ 0.37] [ 1.48]
COMBO W L T SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10| VS top16 ELO BLUE
1 Kansas City Chiefs = 30.67 5 2 0 24.20( 1) 3 1 0| 4 1 0 30.31( 2) 31.30( 1)
15 Los Angeles Chargers = 21.01 3 4 0 21.27( 8) 0 3 0| 1 4 0 20.45( 15) 21.79( 12)
19 Oakland Raiders = 19.18 3 4 0 20.69( 16) 1 1 0| 1 3 0 18.27( 23) 20.27( 18)
20 Denver Broncos = 19.09 3 3 0 19.06( 23) 0 1 0| 1 2 0 20.37( 16) 17.99( 20)
___________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
end_ratings
FAVORITE Combo Elo Blue UNDERDOG
Houston Texans 0.62 -0.53 2.34 @ Seattle Seahawks *** Elo and Blue DIFFER on who will win
Miami Dolphins 2.37 7.34 -2.25 @ Baltimore Ravens *** Elo and Blue DIFFER on who will win
Atlanta Falcons 2.54 3.19 2.03 @ New York Jets
Pittsburgh Steelers 4.68 7.27 2.37 @ Detroit Lions
Carolina Panthers 4.74 8.26 1.56 @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers
@ Buffalo Bills 4.79 7.00 2.79 Oakland Raiders
@ Washington Redskins 5.74 7.41 4.19 Dallas Cowboys
@ New England Patriots 7.06 7.38 6.74 Los Angeles Chargers
@ Cincinnati Bengals 8.94 3.97 17.20 Indianapolis Colts
@ New Orleans Saints 10.53 7.90 13.33 Chicago Bears
@ Kansas City Chiefs 12.50 10.31 14.78 Denver Broncos
N Minnesota Vikings 19.55 23.99 16.91 @ Cleveland Browns
@ Philadelphia Eagles 23.11 27.39 20.93 San Francisco 49ers
FAVORITE Combo Elo Blue UNDERDOG
NOTE:::The handicapping information taken from internet sports media and other sources connected with NFL Sports.*****Stats taken from Danny Sheridan power rating, Dunkel Index power rating has game with DVAXN Group 25 NFL Football Outsiders Powering Rating & There Calculated Point Spreads [Cleveland OH]
Yesterday is not ours to recover, but tomorrow is ours to win or lose. The price of success is hard work, dedication"& motivation when you are handicapping games with Betting Success in the NFL.
Thanks To All Of You For Your Support, Friendship on Rx NFL Forum
Hårr¥THëHÄT
Yesterday is not ours to recover, but tomorrow is ours to win or lose. The price of success is hard work, dedication"& motivation when you are handicapping games with Betting Success in the NFL.
Thanks To All Of You For Your Support, Friendship on Rx NFL Forum
Hårr¥THëHÄT
