Gulfstream 2/9

[DesertPix]

Good morning from Miami! Posting for the early pick five and hope to be back later for the rest of the card.

Race 1 - #4 Liberale (6-1) Closed well for a 4th place finish in last. I re-watched the race last night and it looks like Ortiz waited too long to ask her forcing her to navigate difficult traffic. Gets the bug boy today, which should help keep the price fair. (5,4,2,7)

Race 2 - #7 Ikeisgreat (4-1) Should make the lead from the outside and will have an easier time of it with the drop to claiming ranks. (7,6,1,3)

Race 3 - #3 Bless The Kitten (5-1) The two Pletcher colts will take a lot of money at the window, but this guy has every chance to go with them, and at much better odds. (8,3,4,7)

Race 4 - #3 Token (4-1) Failed as heavy chalk in debut. I hope she's working into shape, gets ignored off last, and shows up today. (3,2,7,1)

Race 5 - #3 Duc de Calas (10-1) Big drop in class and removes blinkers. This is a pretty strong angle for Clement. I feel like this race has bomb written all over it - wish I could pick the right one. (9,3,2,7)

Good luck to all the horse players today!

 

[Prof_Factor]

Good luck, Desert!

 

[HossSense]

Good Luck DP

 

[DesertPix]

Thanks, gentlemen, good luck to you both as well today.

2nd Race - the 7 is scratched so I'll post #6 Frontier Mesa (6-1). Won't get that price, but worth a shot at 3-1 or better.

 

[DesertPix]

Race 6 - #2 Bird Map (12-1) She's up against some expensive fillies and perhaps one of them is the real deal. But I'm willing to take a shot after seeing that 47.3 last Sunday morning. (5,2,1,7)

Race 7 - #6 Catharsis (8-1) She'll get the blazing fractions she needs. I love the barn switch. (3,6,10,9)

Race 8 - #12 Day Trip (15-1) Tapit colt with only one career start should improve with the switch to grass and will love the added distance as well. (12,4,2,6)

Race 9 - #7 Gran Reserva (15-1) Gets Jaramillo back, who rode her maiden score. Speedy 5f work last week gives me hope. (3,7,2,8)

Race 10 - #9 Angel of Mischief (6-1) Been on the shelf for over a year, but has been working steadily and has the back class to be in this until the end. (9,8,2,4)

Race 11 - #6 Hail Michigan (9-2) I was all over this colt a couple of weeks ago in his comebacker (he forgot to show up). Now he drops again, so I will be stubborn and double down. (6,8,7,4)

 

[yesyes]

des

g afternoon

race 4--- 3-1 now but should close above 5-1 -- seeing nothing in my sims to support
race 5--- in reality it shouldn't drop below 7-1 -- nothing in my sims to support
i know he has good numbers on the move but no big guys are in .

use the rule of 66 if he drops below 5-2 they are betting from the underground but can't see it

looking at the rest now

 

[yesyes]

race 6-- what can i say ---- be careful--- maybe 8-1 or 9-1


race 7-- at first had him huge sim drop --- but three arrows kicked in --- so now i'm confused on this
one as he doesn't have #46 sim and #96 but he does have 111 112 113 which are a problem
gut says 7 to 8-1 ( and he does have an outrageous simulation) which should help




race8 -- simulation #77 another f---cking problem , gut says 10-1 max but use the rule of 66
again here -----if he is 4-1 go to windows


race 9--- also #46 but not lower than 8-1


race 10- should be safe


race 11-- should be safe


all in all interesting selections today races 7,8,9 could have huge swings


that's it i see the #3 just got beat in the fourth by inches
maybe form turnaround for u


good luck dp

 

[DesertPix]

Thanks for the info, Yesyes, appreciate it as always.

 

[Lt1]

Gl dp