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Tread lightly on Packers Sunday night. Defense still not great and don't think they should be favored on the road.
 

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They've split wins past 3 seasons........Gbay is 7-3 ATS at Lions past 10 years........Gbay is on a 5 game win streak & Lions lost 2 str........tough game, but I think Gbay wins SU
 

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Also if Skins lose SU to the Giants, the loser in this game will get into the playoffs if I'm not mistaken.
 

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Also if Skins lose SU to the Giants, the loser in this game will get into the playoffs if I'm not mistaken.

Correct, tough game but also a game that may not carry nearly the importance everyone seems to be assuming it has as a win or go home game. Most likely pass for me anyways but skins would have to win earlier in day for me to consider getting involved.
 

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I think Green Bay wins. Lions have been a let down later into the season. Rodgers said he would run the table. When he says that he usually backs it up. Lions haven't been able to make things happen late into the season. Much more confidence in GB than the Lions from what I've seen so far. I think these are simple data points but sometimes keeping it simple is best.
 

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Rodgers is averaging a 119.2 QB rating over the past 6 weeks.
Rodgers has not thrown an interception since early November

Jared Cook ? Speed , size and ability to break free makes things fun for Rodgers.
Detroit ranks 29th in TD's allowed by Tight Ends
Detroit ranks 26th in yards allowed by Tight Ends

Detroit ranks dead last #32 in DPR. That alone is about all you really need to know this week.


Just a little bit of what made me heat up the GB ticket.
Rodgers will shred the Lions defense. Do not fool yourself.
 

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To me it is Detroit or pass. 3.5 point fav on the road? I think this game is a coin flip, so i would be inclined to take the hook, if i can get it. But I haven't made a bet
 
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Taking the Lions +155. Points should not matter. Divisional game. Win and you have a playoff game next week at home. Back in by Washington loss and you will be on the road. Plenty of incentive to be sky high.
 

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I think key injuries here are Theo Riddick, Travis Swanson & Darius Slay. Both Riddick & Swanson will not play, but Slay is likely to play w/a bad hamstring. Leg injury like that not good against Jordy Nelson even if he does play. Riddick is a major weapon in the run & pass gm while Swanson's concussion lines up w/start of DET's struggles.

If DET's front 7 can pressure Rodgers consistently, this will definitely be close. But if GB's oline, which has been very good in the 5 gm win streak, holds up Rodgers will score & eat up clock.
 

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To me it is Detroit or pass. 3.5 point fav on the road? I think this game is a coin flip, so i would be inclined to take the hook, if i can get it. But I haven't made a bet
It's been consistently 3 for a while on my book. Half a point matters a lot. Especially in this match-up. I got GB at 3 here. Lions don't exactly set the world on fire at this point in the season. Always seem to do a lot better in the beginning-middle of the season. I could definitely see this being a 1 or 2 point game but I'm not going to make my bet out of fear of getting hit by the spread. Three is low enough. Might come back to bite me but I think it's the right move. Good luck to both sides!
 

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Forgot to add that I think throwing in a money line bet on the Packers would be pretty sweet in addition to the spread bet. I never do that, Harry does a lot of that. In this exact situation it makes a lot of sense when teams play this close and it's a divisional game with a lot on the line. Might make an exception and add a money line packers play.

Good eye lolz_69!
 

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If Stafford can keep-up with Rogers or remain even close, Detroit has a chance. A lot will depend on how-well the Lions healed-up (physically and mentally) after the beatings they took during the past two weeks on the road. The (over) 49' might be the play......
 

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