GOY #3 goes down in flames*padded wallet now lint in the bottom of my blue jean pocket.

[truelyhandicapping]

Well with the nit almost done, i have one play left for what use to decide the national championship.

it warrants a GOY for the fact i stated in wednesday's post that it is now 14-1 ats, and 15-0 ats giving 2- or less.

boise st. being the only loss ats.
and that is were i came up with the 15-0 ats if 2- or less.

the 2- or less applied to rutgers wednesday night.

as some would say i'm selling crap on this forum, and some still resist the possiability that maybe i know what i'm doing. anyway

my line was rutgers -12. rutgers won by 12.
i wonder what kind of odds vegas gives for guessing a line. a couple hundred to one. boy that would be sweet.

sorry for the crap that i keep posting, i was told over and over again that is what makes this place tic, so i hear.

but i truely disagree.


thursday's

GOY IS NOTRE DAME -6

NOW THIS GAME IS NOT A 2- SPREAD. SO IT DOES HAVE THE POSSIABILTY OF LOSING, AS ANY OR MOST GAMES DO. THERE IS NO SUCH THING AS A LOCK. AS YOU ALL KNOW.



MY LINE HAS NOTRE DAME -17.

i will probably have another big play tomorrow and if anyone is interested i will list all system plays as well.

best of luck and i hope the streak continues.

ONE MORE THING, I read all threads here yesterday, some i mind you probably for the last time, anyway, i thought i saw someone say that they need another site other than the rx because the other site has dime players on it. i didn't know that dime players get special lines or special games. what a insult/joke to any and all on this forum. maybe that site has special ropes to hang yourself when you lose. there must be a special service that only lets dime players use their service. i bet vegas owns that service.

it probably seems that i won't let go or my ego is to big for this place, whatever. there are some on the site i wish i could talk to more, and others i wish would disappear from my threads and thoughts. to many two faced people around here thinking they are god. when really my wife is a better handicapper.


if you skipped the bs above, you must read below. please

2 notes to leave on: the big twelve is 8-0 ats in the dance, with only one losing straight up. and 6-3 in the nit.

last year the best record ats was the big east 12-4, led by the cuse. the big east also won the whole thing. coincidence. you have to forgive my spelling, i received a 10 on my act in english, but a 26 in math. hence the systems maybe. i don't know.

note 2: i mentioned this earlier in a post and i wanted to mention it again.

if you continue to take these mid major schools vs a big conf you will continue to get your ass handed to you.

nevada has proved me wrong through two rounds though.

but if you would of played all major conf vs these small school or conf you would of been way above .500, at least in the nit.
i posted this awhile ago and was called in idiot by someone who is well respected around here. its just to bad someone didn't pull a quote of that important info instead of all the other crap.

i guess sometimes we should just suck it up and admit we were wrong. it could of saved $$. everyone money.

best of luck this weekend.

not to sure how many more posts i will be giving.

i'm bring myself down with all this sh*t. i hate even opening my own thread sometimes. and reading others which i use to enjoy have now become to stupid to even consider someone trying to handicapp a game.
[This message was edited by truelyhandicapping on March 24, 2004 at 11:51 PM.]

[This message was edited by truelyhandicapping on March 25, 2004 at 02:07 AM.]

[This message was edited by truelyhandicapping on March 25, 2004 at 01:04 PM.]

[This message was edited by truelyhandicapping on March 25, 2004 at 09:30 PM.]

[This message was edited by truelyhandicapping on March 25, 2004 at 11:43 PM.]

 

[MGMan]

Nice call on the Rut GOY. I played it and we were never in doubt. I love those kind. I need a few more in the next two days before I have no access to a pc. Good Luck

 

[truelyhandicapping]

i don't think i will have much more. i wish, really could use the money.

maybe one in the pitt/osu game.

i don't think it is going to be a very comman play though.


will see what vegas does and what line they give.

 

[truelyhandicapping]

ACTUAL NUMBER OF +UNITS IS +14 MONDAY,+8.4 TUESDAY, AND +33 WEDNESDAY. A GRAND TOTAL OF + 55.4 UNITS IN THREE DAYS.

- SOME JUICE, NOT MUCH SINCE I HAVEN'T LOST MUCH SO FAR.


GOY ND-6=20 UNITS

SYRACUSE = 10 UNITS
VANDY =5 UNITS
WAKE FOREST =5UNITS

THAT IS IT FOR NOW. MAYBE MORE LATER IN THE DAY.

ALL GAMES ABOVE ARE SYSTEM PLAYS, NONE ARE HANDICAPPED IN ANY WAY.

THERE WILL BE NO WRITE UPS. I HAVE NO TIME. MAYBE CHECK BACK LATER IN THE DAY. USE YOUR HANDICAPPING SKILLS TO DECIDE WHAT GAME BEST FITS YOU, IF ANY AT ALL.

I THINK I'M UP ABOUT 50 TO 60 UNITS FOR THE WEEK SO FAR. CLOSE TO 300 UNITS FOR THE PAST 2-3 WEEKS.

IF YOU HAVE A QUESTION ABOUT A SPECIFIC GAME, THEN JUST ASK. BUT I WILL BE OUT MOST OF THE DAY.

ONCE AGAIN BEST OF LUCK, AND LETS PAD THAT WALLET.

[This message was edited by truelyhandicapping on March 25, 2004 at 02:32 AM.]

 

[sutdog]

You sold me. I am convinced that you are a very good handicapper. My congraulations are your successes.

 

[boist]

Truely,

Good job the last few weeks. I can't wait for you to post from collegte BB Day 1 next season. Everyone is entitled to a nice run. Keeping it up over the long term is much more impressive. BTW, i think everyone else also picked Rutgers.

Boist

 

[cashflowmatters]

You have proven you are for real, nice write ups o each game, keep up the good work and GL CASH

 

[fivedoorsdown]

truely you really going against st joes.
they were by far the worst 1# seed and i still stand by that they will be the last 1 seed left.
good luck anyways.
also i've seen to much exposer for the freshman chris paul. generally when they focus on one person it spells dome.
last one that come to mind was fitzgerald from pitt vs virginia game (cfl)
just a thought

 

[truelyhandicapping]

THANKS FOR THE PROPS GUYS.

i'm glad a ton of people of had rutgers last night, after shields hit his third fade away jumper from beyond the arc, i knew it was over.

wish i would of through some hooks in last night.can't get to greedy in this business though.

yea i can't wait til the begginning of the next bb run, the great thing about my system is that i can go back and check to see how it did from start to finish.


this is the 3rd diff system i have used this year, all worked very well for some time.

let me throw a few numbers at you guys,9-4, 7-0, 5-0, 14-1, 4-1. all diff parts or sections to a system or revised within a system. these all usually become my 10 unit plays.

my line tonight on the cuse game is -18-.
and probably warrants a GOY tag, but i was tired when i posted last night.

 

[JUMBO227]

GREAT JOB SO FAR, YOUR KICKN SOME MAJOR ASS. THAT WAS SOME MAJOR POINT SHAVING LAST NIGHT ON THAT RUTGERS GAME, IT SHOULD OF WENT WAY OVER. WHAT DID THEY MAKE 6 BASKETS WITH 5 MINUTES LEFT. KEEP IT UP.

 

[truelyhandicapping]

what up fivedoorsdown,

never said this before but i love that name/handle.

if i ever own a bar or something of that nature, i might need to borrow the name. i'm sure for a small %.

wake forest is a good play for me, not a great, and maybe it shouldn't even be a 5 unit play, maybe a three.

the last plays of this category where,

vandy+2- nc st
tech+7- st joes
manhatten+7 wake forest
nevada+9 my zags
cfu+14- pitt
e. wash+16 okie st.*******lost
(e wash was a selection by only .22% in this system)
ala st.+34 duke***lost
liberty+25 st joes
vermont+20 uconn

a 7-2 record with both losses coming in the first round.

i don't know how it will work for the third round, but usually my system works better and better as the teams get better and better.


and just to let you know some of these plays i did not take, just for the fact i thought i was smarter than the numbers that i was puching out. learned my lesson with system.
i had st joes twice, uconn, the zags.

yea i had st joes twice and got burned twice, not this time. i'm on wake all the way.

best of luck buddy.

 

[truelyhandicapping]

jumbo 227 i couldn't of said it any better


two missed free throws, a missed lay up, and missed dunk the other way, all in about 8 sec.

knew i wouldn't make.

still pretty pissed off about that.

villi just gave up.

 

[nytewalker]

truely....nice rutgers game last nyte....never sweated that one at all....do u have any opinion on the pitt/OSU game?
thanks

nyte

 

[truelyhandicapping]

um yea.

i want to do a few a things first before i release it.


i was going to release as a game of the year, but i can't bring myself to do it yet. need a few minutes still.

i hate to make you check back again. sorry.

 

[truelyhandicapping]

here goes the osu/pitt

my system has pitt. with a record in this situation of 7-0 since the tournanment started.
and every damn time i go against my system i get kicked in the nuts.

handicapping this game i come up with pitt on the road this season 7-1 ats.

but this reallly isn't going to be much of a road game, playing this one in east rutherford, in essense i think a home game.

the tournanment selection committee did this on purpose for pitt to play closer at home for the regionals, so basically they are saying they screwed okie st. did they put this region together to make the games closer or what. this game in okie country i would believe would be a thumping for the okie team.

watching both teams this year i feel okie st is much better. offensively not even close, lucas and allen are the best players i've seen all year. and with a game on the line lucas is my boy.

both are great defensively.

the couple games that okie st lost the other team shot great from the line, pitt is just terriable from the line, 66%. ouch! will not cut it this deep into the dance.

can paige step it up tonight and play the way he should be playing. can krauser keep under control for a 40 minute period.

can lucas or allen score with paige on either beating them all game long. playing a physical style game is completely diff than run and fun. saying that, i think the big 12 is as physical as any conf. will the refs call this as a physical game and let them play, or will this be another p*ssy match i keep seeing. i think the wac and acc are the only officials doing games.

not done, my 16 month is driving me nuts. bck in a second.

 

[truelyhandicapping]

back

she is to much sometimes, anyway

something to think about

big 12 is 8-0 in dance play. 7-1 su.

they are 8-0 for a reason.

big east 3-1 ats as dogs, 2-3 as fav. dog wins were against the pac ten and big ten. which doesn't say much.

watching the big east play and big 12 i feel the big 12 is a much better conf. which is a theory when i pick a lot of games, i always try to go with a stronger conf as long as the 2 teams have about the same record in conf play.

i hate to say this for the fact i have been extremely critical of handicappers lately saying crap like this, but

i'm sure everyone has seen the piece on the osu team putting shoulder pads on during practice.
some might say what a bunch of crap, but they did that to prove a point to his team after a loss to byu. you better get physical or it's going t be a long season. and since then this is a diff team.
another thing, all these kids that got screwed because of the baylor scandal, i think good things happen to good people. these kids have been through alot, i think this is some payback.

starting to become a good "who done it mystery", but you asked.

what a great piece for a national championship game.

and i still haven't given an answer, every time i go agaisnt my system i take it in the nuts, i think this will be a great game, and will have more on the under.

osu/pitt?my heart says osu, my pencil says pitt.

best of luck everyone.

adding
iowa st =5 unit play.
pitt under = 5 unit play.

 

[stewie21]

Definitely won't go against you again on your POY...Good Luck today and keep up the great work

 

[truelyhandicapping]

i can't wait for baseball.

peter gammons is the biggest idiot, homer, windsocker you will ever listen too.

fade every play and idea he has.


i just heard say how great the san fran offensive is at home, how they have outscored their opp at home by 99 runs in 81 games.

what the hell is he talking about. 1.2 runs a game. big deal it is their home park.

maybe their pitching has something to do with it.

moron,

sorry i know it is basketball season.

 

[truelyhandicapping]

i always liked party's.

i don't think i was invited though.

oh well, i don't drink anymore anyway.

 

[jaypaw]

So are you gonna bet pitt then?

or just the under?

I have OSU - no elaborate system to back it up.