GoSooners Plays and Fades for Week 3

[GoSooners]

** Plays 2-7
*** Plays 1-3
****Plays 0-2

It's been a tough couple of weeks. Hopefully I can get back on track this week. Until I do I'm keeping my plays small.


Texas (-16.5) over Texas Tech **

It's been a rough couple of weeks for the Big 12 with 2 out of the top 3 teams in the conference going down to defeat. Texas is the last man standing. And I think they finally flex their muscles this week. This is a game that I've had on my radar since summer. And the best possible scenerio with the line happend last week with Texas Tech burying Rice and Texas struggling some on the road against Wyoming. But with these huge lines against ULM and Wyoming, Texas really hasn't had much to play so far this season. But I think this first conference game will light a fire under them. Especially since they've had this game marked on their calender since their defeat to TT last season that took them out of the NC game. This isn't a good spot for the Red Raiders. For one thing TT has always struggled when they are starting a new QB having to go on the road in the Big 12. And they also lost a couple of the best secondary players in their history. These guys were absolute lockdown db's. So they'll be missed this year. And with Texas still having McCoy, who will be looking for a Hesiman-like performance in this game, I expect some big passing numbers to be put up.. TT has never had much luck in Austin only covering once in the last 10 years against Mack Brown and losing by an average score of 51-23. I don't see anything about these two teams that has changed..Taking the Horns.

 

[indiana]

G.Sooners.........

bol this week buddy...........thank you for your time and efforts.. all will turn around

indy

 

[CapNCash]

I am 2-7 as well, its been a rough start.

 

[Incubus]

Best of luck, GoSooners! :toast:

You're one of the top handicappers here at the Rx, and it's only a matter of time until the pendulum swings the other way back - HARD! We all want to take advantage of this when it happens! <><>

 

[VoiceofReason101]

Texas has looked a bit sluggish but I do agree that its Texas or nothing here. I certainly feel a bounce back week, GL my friend

 

[GoSooners]

Texas has looked a bit sluggish but I do agree that its Texas or nothing here. I certainly feel a bounce back week, GL my friend

The Horns haven't had anything to play for in the last couple of weeks. They'll be sky high and play with more fire for this one.

 

[BetToWin33]

Only a matter of time before you get back on track

 

[jbragg10]

good luck this week. I am looking into this texas game as well

 

[bookiebanger]

Best of luck to get back on track.

 

[GoSooners]

Guys...As you know I like the rushing dogs when I cap these games. It's a little early yet, and I really don't like to get this system going until a month into the season. But here is what we have to go on for the moment. You can take what you want out of these numbers. And I really haven't made my mind up myself on any of these games. But for those of you not familiar with what I'm talking about, the team who wins the rushing battle generally controls the pace of the game and stands a good chance of covering the spread when they are made the dogs. Here a few of the bigger Big 12 games I'm looking at this week.

Nebraska/VT...We can all agree that VT has played the tougher schedule than the Huskers. But the Hokies have had problems stopping the run so far. They are giving up about 5 ypc. And gave up 4.5 ypc to Marshall last week. Nebraska is averaging 6.8 ypc while giving up 3.6..You can reach your own conclusions about this. It appears like Nebraska could give these guys a good game. But the negative here for Nebraska is first year starting QB going on the road for the first time. And no proven receivers.

UCONN/Baylor...The only stats we have to by with Baylor is their first game with Wake. They averaged 5.3 ypc against Wake while giving up 3.7. The next week Wake gave up 4.4 ypc to Stanford while gaining 5.6 ypc. So Wake definitely did better against Stanford. But that was against a rookie QB. UCONN so far as been very stout on defense. After 2 games against Ohio and NC they are giving up just a mere 1.5 ypc while gaining 3.2 ypc rushing. A tough call since the game is played at Baylor. But UCONN has a way of ugliying up a game with their defense.


KSU/UCLA...Not really much to go on with KSU. They played an ugly game the other night against Louisiana. The Cats averaged 4.5 ypc rushing while giving up 3.5. UCLA on the other hand has been stout on defense giving up a mere 2.4 ypc. But they have gained just 3.6 ypc rushing. This is why I like UCLA as a dog much more than I do as favorites.

Texas/TT...I've already played this game. But I thought i would pass along that TT only gained 52 yards rushing against Rice. You say fine, they are a passing team anyway. But TT averaged 115 ypg rushing last year against stiffer competetion. Texas worked on their rushing game last week against Wyoming and averaged 5.3 ypc on the road. Which isn't bad at all. And they gave up just a mere 2.5 ypc on defense.

 

[AlwaysKeen]

GL this week gosooners...I know you are one of the best around and hopefully we both can pick it up this week...

 

[clutch]

What's your early take on Texas A&M vs Utah St?

 

[GoSooners]

What's your early take on Texas A&M vs Utah St?

We only have one game to go on from each team. And both teams have had two weeks to prepare for this game. Utah State covered in their first game with Utah. And the big reason why was because they averaged 6.5 ypc to Utah's 4.7. And only got outrushed 233-221. And Utah St had 342 total yards of offense against a pretty decent defense. So I'm sure that Utah St. will have a little more success against A&M than the Aggies first opponet New Mexico did. A&M racked up over 600 yards of total offense on New Mexico while averaging over 5 ypc to New Mexico's 0.9. Now we all know by now that New Mexico is bad. But when you compare A&M's over 600 yards to NM's second opponet Tulsa. Tulsa had 489 total yards and gave up 3.2 ypc. So A&M did a better job than Tulsa on both sides of the ball. So from that one game the Aggies looked pretty impressive. I don't know how they are going to play down the road against a team that hits back. But I'm hearing the Aggies have a ton of speed this year on the offensive side of the ball. Something Utah State didn't see as much of in their first game with Utah. And since the game is being played at College Station I would have to favor the Aggies with the line under 3 td's and Utah State having to travel cross country. GL

 

[CoachCB]

GS, rough start for me too.....GL this week!!!

 

[clutch]

I liked 'em at 17, not sure not as much past that.

Thanks. Your the man in the Big 12.

 

[Right-Side]

Seems like alot of experienced cappers are having a rough start including myself. But we will get them soon enough. BOL, RS

 

[FavreHater]

If it was up to me I would play Texas Tech. However I talked to my pro picker tonight who has me at 7-1 since I started listening to him and he said Texas. So HOOK EM HORNS!

 

[GoSooners]

Seems like alot of experienced cappers are having a rough start including myself. But we will get them soon enough. BOL, RS

Lots of inconsistent teams in college football this year. And so many teams have scheduled these FCS opponents that it's hard to get a read on them when they go into Division 1 play. Hopefully we'll get a better idea where these teams stand after this week...GL

 

[GoSooners]

If it was up to me I would play Texas Tech. However I talked to my pro picker tonight who has me at 7-1 since I started listening to him and he said Texas. So HOOK EM HORNS!

I would lay money down right now that Texas hasn't showed us everything on offense yet. They've probably kept things as vanilla as possible against these easy opponents. I think they'll have some surprises waiting for Tech. The other night I saw where the Tech receivers were getting a lot of seperation from the slower Rice defenders. That won't happen against Texas, who has a great secondary this year. BOL

 

[KOOPSTAKNICCA]

College been rough start for me as well. Been making it up in the pro's though. Keep it going GS. Its will comeback around for you. This is the first thread I dig into every week. U have a BIG Week coming your way my friend. Look forward to the rest of your plays this week. Koopsta