* 7-9
** 42-29-1
*** 14-16
**** 6-2
It looks like with Texas losing to Tech, the Big 12 South and possibly the BCS is going to be turned upside down. I think the question now is who goes to the Big 12 Championship Game if we should end up with a two or three team tie. Here's how I break it down:
Oklahoma: For the Sooners to go, their going to have to hope for a three way tie. Because of OU's more difficult schedule they should win out over the other two teams and make it in. However, if it comes down to just OU and Texas, Texas would go because they won the head to head with OU. So bottom line is for OU to make it to the Big 12 CCG their going to have to hope for a three way tie.
Texas: The Horns need to hope for an OSU win over Texas Tech next week. And then for OU to beat TT the next week at home. And then OU to beat OSU in Stillwater. That would leave OU and Texas with one loss. So from what I'm led to believe, if it's just two teams that are left, it won't be the one who is rated higher in the BCS, but the one team who won the head to head, which in this case would be Texas. Somebody correct me if I'm wrong here. But this is how I understand it works when just two teams are involved.
Texas Tech: Tech basically needs to win out the rest of the way. With their weak schedule, they wouldn't be the highest rated BCS team if there should be a three way tie. This is the only team of the four who still controls their own desitny.
OSU: Okie Lite needs to win at Texas Tech next week. Then beat OU at home. And hope Texas loses on the road to Kansas, since a head to head with Texas means Texas goes.
What is going to be interesting is what the other teams around the country do. With 4 Big 12 teams in the top 8, I still think the chances of a Big 12 team making it to the Championship are pretty good. But we do have to hope for a Bama loss somewhere down the line. Either in the regular season or in the SEC Championship game. If they do, then this is where the politicking in the polls comes in. And it's not completely out of the question that either OU, Texas Tech or Texas makes it to the Big 12 Championship game and loses, and then the team who didn't even play in it moves up in the BCS polls and sneaks into the Championship Game. I've seen stranger things happen. Many things would have to happen for this scenerio. Penn State losing for one.. But you know at least one or two top ranked teams get upset in November every year. So it's not beyond the realm of possibilty....I'm starting my thread early this week because I see a play I want to jump on while the number is still good.
OSU (+3.5) over Texas Tech ***
I'm not sure exactly what this line is going to do. But I want to get it in early while I feel like it still favors my play. We have two teams with comparable defenses. But I feel like OSU is the much more balanced team on offense. One of the big reasons why Tech was able to beat Texas was the Horns lack of a having a serious run threat. TT was able to rush just 4 men and keep 7 back to protect against the long play. So they basically made Texas have to drive the length of the field every drive. The difference between Texas and OSU is Texas don't have a quick and bruising runner like Kendall Hunter, who is by far the best RB in the Big 12 right now. If the Texas defense had trouble with this kid, you know TT will. He'll be an important tool here because he'll keep TT's offense off of the field. And because TT will have to defend the run, it's going to leave the TT defenders one on one with Dez Bryant, and a now fully healthy Brandon Pettigrew. If TT thought they had problems covering Texas WR Shipley, their going to have double the trouble against Dez Bryant. I realize that TT's offense is playing at a high level right now. But defensively, TT has historically had problems against balanced offenses. And after coming off a big emotional national television win, I feel like the the Red Raiders could be a little flat for this game. OSU is coming off an easy win over ISU. This is a confident OSU team that feels like they should have beat Texas. And like I told you guys last week, I think this OSU team is a top 5 team in the country. In my opinion Texas Tech isn't. I like the Pokes here....
** 42-29-1
*** 14-16
**** 6-2
It looks like with Texas losing to Tech, the Big 12 South and possibly the BCS is going to be turned upside down. I think the question now is who goes to the Big 12 Championship Game if we should end up with a two or three team tie. Here's how I break it down:
Oklahoma: For the Sooners to go, their going to have to hope for a three way tie. Because of OU's more difficult schedule they should win out over the other two teams and make it in. However, if it comes down to just OU and Texas, Texas would go because they won the head to head with OU. So bottom line is for OU to make it to the Big 12 CCG their going to have to hope for a three way tie.
Texas: The Horns need to hope for an OSU win over Texas Tech next week. And then for OU to beat TT the next week at home. And then OU to beat OSU in Stillwater. That would leave OU and Texas with one loss. So from what I'm led to believe, if it's just two teams that are left, it won't be the one who is rated higher in the BCS, but the one team who won the head to head, which in this case would be Texas. Somebody correct me if I'm wrong here. But this is how I understand it works when just two teams are involved.
Texas Tech: Tech basically needs to win out the rest of the way. With their weak schedule, they wouldn't be the highest rated BCS team if there should be a three way tie. This is the only team of the four who still controls their own desitny.
OSU: Okie Lite needs to win at Texas Tech next week. Then beat OU at home. And hope Texas loses on the road to Kansas, since a head to head with Texas means Texas goes.
What is going to be interesting is what the other teams around the country do. With 4 Big 12 teams in the top 8, I still think the chances of a Big 12 team making it to the Championship are pretty good. But we do have to hope for a Bama loss somewhere down the line. Either in the regular season or in the SEC Championship game. If they do, then this is where the politicking in the polls comes in. And it's not completely out of the question that either OU, Texas Tech or Texas makes it to the Big 12 Championship game and loses, and then the team who didn't even play in it moves up in the BCS polls and sneaks into the Championship Game. I've seen stranger things happen. Many things would have to happen for this scenerio. Penn State losing for one.. But you know at least one or two top ranked teams get upset in November every year. So it's not beyond the realm of possibilty....I'm starting my thread early this week because I see a play I want to jump on while the number is still good.
OSU (+3.5) over Texas Tech ***
I'm not sure exactly what this line is going to do. But I want to get it in early while I feel like it still favors my play. We have two teams with comparable defenses. But I feel like OSU is the much more balanced team on offense. One of the big reasons why Tech was able to beat Texas was the Horns lack of a having a serious run threat. TT was able to rush just 4 men and keep 7 back to protect against the long play. So they basically made Texas have to drive the length of the field every drive. The difference between Texas and OSU is Texas don't have a quick and bruising runner like Kendall Hunter, who is by far the best RB in the Big 12 right now. If the Texas defense had trouble with this kid, you know TT will. He'll be an important tool here because he'll keep TT's offense off of the field. And because TT will have to defend the run, it's going to leave the TT defenders one on one with Dez Bryant, and a now fully healthy Brandon Pettigrew. If TT thought they had problems covering Texas WR Shipley, their going to have double the trouble against Dez Bryant. I realize that TT's offense is playing at a high level right now. But defensively, TT has historically had problems against balanced offenses. And after coming off a big emotional national television win, I feel like the the Red Raiders could be a little flat for this game. OSU is coming off an easy win over ISU. This is a confident OSU team that feels like they should have beat Texas. And like I told you guys last week, I think this OSU team is a top 5 team in the country. In my opinion Texas Tech isn't. I like the Pokes here....
