Season: +40 Units
** Plays 23-18
*** Plays 11-9-1
**** Plays 6-0
It's Red River Rivalry week. Always my favorite time of the season. This year it's especially nice with having OU and Texas in their rightful places in the top 5. Let there be no doubt about it, this game will be a WAR. The other big game will be OSU & Missouri. So we'll find out much more about these four teams after this weekend. Up to now this has been a killer season for the 3 big universities in the state of Oklahoma. Between OU, OSU and Tulsa these teams are 15-0 ATS so far! Enough to make our local bookies weep. I know all good things must come to an end, which will probably be this week..But at this point in the season I can't ever recall this happening with even one of our teams, much less all three. I think we saw from last week that teams like Nebraska, KSU and Colorado have a ways to go to become competetive with the elite teams in this conference. But my expectations really weren't that high for these teams before the season started. The Huskers don't have the manpower. KSU has too many JC transfers and a questionable coach. And Colorado, although talented in areas, have simply been too beat up by their brutal early season schedule to make a dent...Something I was afraid might happen to this team. If it's a team in need of a bye week it's the Buffs. But they won't get their next one until Nov.22. As far as the perennial cellar dwellars Baylor and Iowa State go, if you ask me right now if I think these two teams will finish at the bottom of their divisions, I would have to say no..I think they could very well be replaced by Texas A&M & Kansas State. And Nebraska isn't even out of the question.
Halfway through the season here are the futures team total wins that I have going:
Arizona State (Under 8.5 wins) *** With 3 losses already I like my chances of hitting this one. Especially after USC takes care of them this weekend.
Miami (Under 7.5 wins)**** With 3 losses already they'll have to win 6 out of their last 7 games to beat me..I like my chances. Especially when this young team hits the road and tries to win games.
North Carolina (Over 6.5 wins) ** With 4 wins already, I like my chances..Especially with Butch Davis coaching this team..
Kansas (Under 7.5 win) ** Probably my shakiest play. But it still won't be easy this season with a much tougher schedule. Especially if they struggle on the road as bad as they did last week against ISU.
Thursday:
Clemson at Wake Forest...Clemson is definitely the probable running dogs in this game..Wake is struggling to run the football this season (84.8 ypg vs 144.8 ypg last season). However Wake does lead the ACC in passing. After removing the division 2 teams from their schedule, Clemson & Wake are dead even on total offense. But the reason this is just a small play for me is because Wake's defensive numbers are very impressive. Wake is averaging giving up only 17 ppg to teams who average 36. Clemson's numbers are solid too allowing 19 ppg to teams who average 23. Wake also has a slight experience edge. I think that nationally this Clemson team is still judged by the first game loss they had to Bama. But as we all know now, Bama is one of the top teams in the country. Clemson then won their next 3 games, and then lost to a Maryland team that Clemson dominated everywhere but the scoreboard. On the other side, Wake has been winning games. But they haven't exactly been decisive wins. Last minute field goal vs Ole Miss and 4 field goals and no TD's against Florida State..And then an absolutely awful inexcusable loss to Navy as 17 point favorites. Wake rushed for only 43 yards on 35 carries in that game..This won't get it done against a team like Clemson. I think Wake's main problem this year is dealing with a new offensive line. And it's not going to be easy winning when they go up against the elite teams in the ACC. But perhaps the biggest angle/trend to this game is simply that Wake has traditionally been a terrible home favorite. And Clemson has been an excellent dog. Especially a short spread road dog. So despite the coaching mismatch between Bowden and Jim Grobe (but Bowden has won the last 2), I have to go with the dogs in this spot for a small play. I bought the half point. Taking Clemson (+3) over Wake Forest **
I'll be back on Thursday with the rest of my plays....Good luck
** Plays 23-18
*** Plays 11-9-1
**** Plays 6-0
It's Red River Rivalry week. Always my favorite time of the season. This year it's especially nice with having OU and Texas in their rightful places in the top 5. Let there be no doubt about it, this game will be a WAR. The other big game will be OSU & Missouri. So we'll find out much more about these four teams after this weekend. Up to now this has been a killer season for the 3 big universities in the state of Oklahoma. Between OU, OSU and Tulsa these teams are 15-0 ATS so far! Enough to make our local bookies weep. I know all good things must come to an end, which will probably be this week..But at this point in the season I can't ever recall this happening with even one of our teams, much less all three. I think we saw from last week that teams like Nebraska, KSU and Colorado have a ways to go to become competetive with the elite teams in this conference. But my expectations really weren't that high for these teams before the season started. The Huskers don't have the manpower. KSU has too many JC transfers and a questionable coach. And Colorado, although talented in areas, have simply been too beat up by their brutal early season schedule to make a dent...Something I was afraid might happen to this team. If it's a team in need of a bye week it's the Buffs. But they won't get their next one until Nov.22. As far as the perennial cellar dwellars Baylor and Iowa State go, if you ask me right now if I think these two teams will finish at the bottom of their divisions, I would have to say no..I think they could very well be replaced by Texas A&M & Kansas State. And Nebraska isn't even out of the question.
Halfway through the season here are the futures team total wins that I have going:
Arizona State (Under 8.5 wins) *** With 3 losses already I like my chances of hitting this one. Especially after USC takes care of them this weekend.
Miami (Under 7.5 wins)**** With 3 losses already they'll have to win 6 out of their last 7 games to beat me..I like my chances. Especially when this young team hits the road and tries to win games.
North Carolina (Over 6.5 wins) ** With 4 wins already, I like my chances..Especially with Butch Davis coaching this team..
Kansas (Under 7.5 win) ** Probably my shakiest play. But it still won't be easy this season with a much tougher schedule. Especially if they struggle on the road as bad as they did last week against ISU.
Thursday:
Clemson at Wake Forest...Clemson is definitely the probable running dogs in this game..Wake is struggling to run the football this season (84.8 ypg vs 144.8 ypg last season). However Wake does lead the ACC in passing. After removing the division 2 teams from their schedule, Clemson & Wake are dead even on total offense. But the reason this is just a small play for me is because Wake's defensive numbers are very impressive. Wake is averaging giving up only 17 ppg to teams who average 36. Clemson's numbers are solid too allowing 19 ppg to teams who average 23. Wake also has a slight experience edge. I think that nationally this Clemson team is still judged by the first game loss they had to Bama. But as we all know now, Bama is one of the top teams in the country. Clemson then won their next 3 games, and then lost to a Maryland team that Clemson dominated everywhere but the scoreboard. On the other side, Wake has been winning games. But they haven't exactly been decisive wins. Last minute field goal vs Ole Miss and 4 field goals and no TD's against Florida State..And then an absolutely awful inexcusable loss to Navy as 17 point favorites. Wake rushed for only 43 yards on 35 carries in that game..This won't get it done against a team like Clemson. I think Wake's main problem this year is dealing with a new offensive line. And it's not going to be easy winning when they go up against the elite teams in the ACC. But perhaps the biggest angle/trend to this game is simply that Wake has traditionally been a terrible home favorite. And Clemson has been an excellent dog. Especially a short spread road dog. So despite the coaching mismatch between Bowden and Jim Grobe (but Bowden has won the last 2), I have to go with the dogs in this spot for a small play. I bought the half point. Taking Clemson (+3) over Wake Forest **
I'll be back on Thursday with the rest of my plays....Good luck
Last edited:
You going to the game Saturday?
