Although it may be a tad early for a PGA _______ of the year, I have to go along with laying the big wood on this one. Even if Sutton HAD practiced this winter, this is a tough spot for him. Even though Campbell was very average yesterday and has been this year, Sutton carded 6 bogies (two on par fives and only one birdie (on a par 3) for a consistently bad round, which lends credence to your "inside info." Doesn't look like he is playing very well, and hasn't shown much lately.
Still, anything can happen in golf. I would have wagered Vijay to go much less than he did yesterday, too. One day matchups can go badly pretty darn fast. Good luck.