Golden State and Over too obvious?

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Should we just ride this shit and collect the money or is this the game everything cools off. If i had put my balls on the line i would play gs and over. But i really believe tonight Utah and under is the right play. Am i falling for this shit again, am i going to see bunch of thugs shooting threes and forcing fouls while driving to the lane. I want Utah to shut down this god damn team, this could be coming from my heart more than my head.

Thoughts?
 

A Separate Reality
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"Bet What is; GS and the OVER not what YOU want it to be; Utah and UNDER. What you want has no effect on What is. The race does not always go to the swiftest, (What is) but that is the way to bet".

Capping 101

The Obvious as you call it, has a winning percentage higher than 50%
 

A Separate Reality
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Squeeze me? :ughhh:

What is... refers to what is happening before your eyes, what is going on, what is ocurring.

GS games at home go OVER more than not. GS at home in the playoffs Cover more than not. You either bet What Is going on or pass. In the long run, you'll go broke trying to GUESS when What is going on will stop going on. For example guessing when GS is going to lose at home or go UNDER is a losers game. You either bet GS and OVER or pass on both.
 

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What is... refers to what is happening before your eyes, what is going on, what is ocurring.

GS games at home go OVER more than not. GS at home in the playoffs Cover more than not. You either bet What Is going on or pass. In the long run, you'll go broke trying to GUESS when What is going on will stop going on. For example guessing when GS is going to lose at home or go UNDER is a losers game. You either bet GS and OVER or pass on both.


Much as I've tried to analyse the under play on GS throughout the playoffs & bet them,much have I lost...
Agree with OR, GS & over @ home is the most logical play,bookies post higher o/u every game & both Utah & GS keep on breaking those pts...
 

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GM 1 228 pts
GM 2 226 pts before OT
GM 3 230 pts
GM 4 line is 218.5

GM 4 GS beat Dallas 103-99. The other 3 GS home playoff games they have won by double digits.
Utah lost on the road at Houstan by 9, 8, and 4 pts. Then Utah won Gm 7 at Houstan.

Todays line of -7 is slightly inflated. Can GS cover this, yes, but don't think it will be anywhere as easy as GM 3. GS on the moneyline is the wise play if you like laying -320.
 

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Im going with utah and a small parlay with utah/under. I made the same bet for the last game and got crushed but i still feel it is the right play. Been watching this series intently and I just cant see GS continuing to make 3 after ridiculous 3. When those 3's finally start drying up and Utah continues to dominate the boards, golden state is going to have some serious problems.
 

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Im going with utah and a small parlay with utah/under. I made the same bet for the last game and got crushed but i still feel it is the right play. Been watching this series intently and I just cant see GS continuing to make 3 after ridiculous 3. When those 3's finally start drying up and Utah continues to dominate the boards, golden state is going to have some serious problems.

Exactly.
 

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Baron Davis has been playing with the flu & playing well...He's probably well by now & probably wanting to make this game a "statement game" going back to Utah...I think the coach won't want to change what has been working...?
Utah no doubt will want to change things...but can they in this arena?
Even the refs are giving Golden State some questionable calls...
Hard to say "under" ...what do I know...

SOB
 

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