GimmeDattt Rebound Thread

[GimmeDattt]

Will keep all plays in here until they are worth posting seperatley.

131-114 +7.80 Units

I can't believe I have lost 35 units. I studied what I was doing early season and think I have figured it out. Thats what I thought yesterday though.

Plays
Georgetown -5 (5 Units)
Minnesota +1 (2 Units)

After these shitballs wrap up I think I may have 2 9pm plays and 1 11:00 play.

Here is to a winning day :toast:

 

[zona34]

good luck my friend. Minnesota - I don't know about that one. I am leary of going against Purdue even though they had a tough time against NW.

 

[BORO]

Looks like GT is the play but the public is all over them also. Do you take public % in effect when you hadicapp? At one site, 86% is on GT and the line dropped. I'm not much of a college BB capper but in other sports this would tell me to take WVU. Thanks and good luck tonight.

 

[GimmeDattt]

Looks like GT is the play but the public is all over them also. Do you take public % in effect when you hadicapp? At one site, 86% is on GT and the line dropped. I'm not much of a college BB capper but in other sports this would tell me to take WVU. Thanks and good luck tonight.

No. There is no point. The public will win and the public will lose. Dealing with public %'s will just fuck with your mind.

 

[seriousaddiction]

no way GT is at 86%..look at a real service

 

[GimmeDattt]

no way GT is at 86%..look at a real service

Yea I am trying to see what HD has. I found when I payed for services I let the %'s get to me so I try to ignore them. Now that I have made my play I would like to know what G-Town is at though out of curiosity.

 

[BORO]

Thanks for responding and your right about it fucking with your head.

 

[BORO]

no way GT is at 86%..look at a real service

Show me a real service and I will.

 

[GimmeDattt]

Show me a real service and I will.

Whatever one HD has is a pretty good one. Ask him which he uses I forgot the name.

 

[JBoston107]

Gimme, I have been watchinng your thread for a while and enjoy your picks and insight. I am not the world's best capper and don't claim to have all the answers. With that said, the whole "public betting" thing is not necessarily BS. I have been using the betting trends over the years as a measure when trimming down the games I play. For instance, if the public is on more than 75% and the line drops, I may lay off of the bet. Also, if 85% is on any given side, I may lay off. Like I said, i dont use this as a way to pick bets, but it has been very helpful in averting disasters. Sure, over time, it has gotten me off of a few close winners, but its saved more than it has hurt, thats for sure. Maybe using that as a buffer may help you get back on track. Just a thought. GL and look forward to your plays bro!

 

[seriousaddiction]

Whatever one HD has is a pretty good one. Ask him which he uses I forgot the name.

he has the best service money can buy. It will show you everything. Where the money is...where the percentages are. I could care less if 80% of the public is on Gtown as long as 50% of the money is in the right spot. Those are the games and numbers you wanna look at.

 

[GimmeDattt]

Gimme, I have been watchinng your thread for a while and enjoy your picks and insight. I am not the world's best capper and don't claim to have all the answers. With that said, the whole "public betting" thing is not necessarily BS. I have been using the betting trends over the years as a measure when trimming down the games I play. For instance, if the public is on more than 75% and the line drops, I may lay off of the bet. Also, if 85% is on any given side, I may lay off. Like I said, i dont use this as a way to pick bets, but it has been very helpful in averting disasters. Sure, over time, it has gotten me off of a few close winners, but its saved more than it has hurt, thats for sure. Maybe using that as a buffer may help you get back on track. Just a thought. GL and look forward to your plays bro!

I would never lay off a play just because the public is on it. I may make it smaller but that is a rarity. I would rather be with the books then the pubic but all those %'s are so iffy. They don't account for locals, some don't even count all offshore books or vegas books. It is real tough to get a real %.

 

[JBoston107]

I would never lay off a play just because the public is on it. I may make it smaller but that is a rarity. I would rather be with the books then the pubic but all those %'s are so iffy. They don't account for locals, some don't even count all offshore books or vegas books. It is real tough to get a real %.

Exactly, which is why I would never use the %s to determine viable plays to begin with. I'm just telling you it has worked for me in the past and continues to work. Don't take my word for it, but it can't hurt to track it. Do it for a week and note the games the have a heavy public interest and/or reverse line movement for no reason. (i.e.- not based on injuries, etc) Like Michigan st, ok st, and wisky yesterday. HD was on MSU and Wisc and I usually like his plays and agree, but the heavy betting had me get off. It also took me off Buffalo which was a winner, but im ok with that... thats all im saying. By the way, who is your avatar???

 

[JBoston107]

Notes the games that you have already decided are picks... obviosuly not all the games on the card...

 

[yanni_gogolak]

no way GT is at 86%..look at a real service

seems like thats true
<table class="MasterTable_Sunset MasterTable" id="ctl00_ContentPlaceHolder1_GamesGrid_ctl00" style="width: 100%; border-collapse: collapse; table-layout: auto; empty-cells: show;" rules="all" border="1" cellspacing="0"><tbody><tr class="GridAltRow_Sunset" id="ctl00_ContentPlaceHolder1_GamesGrid_ctl00__1" style="background-color: White; height: 20px;"><td align="right">01/22/2009
07:00 PM </td><td> 707 - West Virginia

708 - Georgetown
</td><td align="center"> 13110 </td><td align="center">

</td><td align="right"> +6 -105
-6 -105 </td><td align="right"> +5 -103
-5 -107 </td><td align="center"> </td></tr></tbody></table>
i have found basketball more than any, imo, public betting doesnt have that much of a factor in going the opposite

 

[DHOS]

seems like thats true
<table class="MasterTable_Sunset MasterTable" id="ctl00_ContentPlaceHolder1_GamesGrid_ctl00" style="width: 100%; border-collapse: collapse; table-layout: auto; empty-cells: show;" rules="all" border="1" cellspacing="0"><tbody><tr class="GridAltRow_Sunset" id="ctl00_ContentPlaceHolder1_GamesGrid_ctl00__1" style="background-color: White; height: 20px;"><td align="right">01/22/2009
07:00 PM </td><td> 707 - West Virginia

708 - Georgetown
</td><td align="center"> 13110 </td><td align="center">

</td><td align="right"> +6 -105
-6 -105 </td><td align="right"> +5 -103
-5 -107 </td><td align="center"> </td></tr></tbody></table>
i have found basketball more than any, imo, public betting doesnt have that much of a factor in going the opposite

This is true. The higher number of games allow the books to play around a little more with the public.

 

[SpaceChimp]

I never look at %'s. I can't even remember the last time I did. Could care less.

I like your plays tonight Gimme. You'll get that money back, just take it easy. At least you're +7 not -7.

Gl tonight

 

[GimmeDattt]

Yea, I confirmed with HD. I can't believe it is that high on GT.

Anyway, when I was winning I would ride with the public some nights and go the other way some nights. I feel strong on GT at home tonight.

 

[hannowsky77]

good luck gimme!! these lines are getting really tough as all of our percentages have went down lately...lets get it back up there and smash these books....BOL bro

 

[miamiboy86]

good luck tonight GD